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CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Journal of Social and Political Studies Published since 2000 Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 CA&CC Press® SWEDEN 1 Volume 17 FOUNDEDIssue 3 2016 AND PUBLISHEDCENTRAL ASIA AND THEBY CAUCASUS INSTITUTE INSTITUTE OF FOR CENTRAL ASIAN AND STRATEGIC STUDIES OF CAUCASIAN STUDIES THE CAUCASUS Registration number: 620720-0459 Registration number: M-770 State Administration for Ministry of Justice of Patents and Registration of Sweden Azerbaijan Republic PUBLISHING HOUSE CA&CC Press®. SWEDEN Registration number: 556699-5964 Journal registration number: 23 614 State Administration for Patents and Registration of Sweden E d i t o r i a lC o u n c i l Eldar Chairman of the Editorial Council ISMAILOV Tel./fax: (994 - 12) 497 12 22; E-mail: [email protected] Murad ESENOV Editor-in-Chief Tel./fax: (46) 70 232 16 55; E-mail: [email protected] Vladimer PAPAVA Deputy Editor-in-Chief Tel./fax: (995 - 32) 24 35 55; E-mail: [email protected] Jannatkhan Deputy Editor-in-Chief EYVAZOV Tel./fax: (994 - 12) 596 11 73; E-mail: [email protected] Kalamkas represents the journal in Kazakhstan (Astana) YESSIMOVA Tel./fax: (7 - 701) 7408600; E-mail: [email protected] Ainura represents the journal in Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek) ELEBAEVA Tel./fax: (996 - 312) 61 30 36; E-mail: [email protected] Saodat OLIMOVA represents the journal in Tajikistan (Dushanbe) Tel.: (992 372) 21 89 95; E-mail: [email protected] Farkhad represents the journal in Uzbekistan (Tashkent) TOLIPOV Tel.: (9987 - 1) 225 43 22; E-mail: [email protected] Ziya KENGERLI represents the journal in Azerbaijan (Baku) Tel.: (+994 - 50) 3006694; E-mail: [email protected] David represents the journal in Armenia (Erevan) PETROSYAN Tel.: (374 - 10) 56 88 10; E-mail: [email protected] Kakhaber ERADZE represents the journal in Georgia (Tbilisi) Tel.: (+995 - 95) 45 82 88; E-mail: [email protected] Sun ZHUANGZHI represents the journal in China (Beijing) Tel.: (86) 10-64039088; E-mail: [email protected] Konrad SCHÄFFLER represents the journal in Germany (Munich) Tel.: (49 - 89) 3003132; E-mail: [email protected] Vladimir MESAMED represents the journal in the Middle East (Jerusalem) Tel.: (972 - 2) 5882332; E-mail: [email protected] Irina EGOROVA represents the journal in the Russian Federation (Moscow) Tel.: (7 - 495) 3163146; E-mail: [email protected] Robert represents the journal in the U.S. (Buffalo, NY) GUANG TIAN Tel: (716) 880-2104; E-mail: [email protected] Rustem represents the journal in Ukraine (Kiev) ZHANGUZHIN Tel.: (380 - 44) 524-79-13; E-mail: [email protected] 2 CENTRAL ASIA AND THEE CAUCASUS D I T O R I A LB O A R D Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 Akif ABDULLAEV Ph.D. (Economy), Senior Research Fellow, Institute of Strategic Studies of the Caucasus (Azerbaijan) Bülent ARAS Doctor, Chair, Department of International Relations, Fatih University (Turkey) Mariam ARUNOVA Ph.D. (History), leading research associate, Institute of Oriental Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia) Garnik ASATRIAN D.Sc. (Philology), Professor, Head of the Department of Iranian Studies, Erevan State University (Armenia) Mustafa AYDIN Rector of Kadir Has University (Turkey) Svante E. CORNELL Professor, Research Director, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, Silk Road Studies Program, Johns Hopkins University-SAIS (U.S.A.) William FIERMAN D.Sc. (Political Science), Professor of Indiana University (U.S.A.) Paul GOBLE Senior Advisor, Voice of America (U.S.A.) Sergey GRETSKY Doctor, Chair of Central Asian Studies, Foreign Service Institute, U.S. Department of State (U.S.A.) Xing GUANGCHENG D.Sc. (Political Science), Professor, Deputy Director of the Institute for East European, Russian and Central Asian Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (China) Alexander IGNATENKO President, Institute of Religion and Politics, Doctor of Philosophy, specialist in Islamic studies, leading expert of the Institute of Social Systems, Moscow State University, member of the Council for Cooperation with Religious Associations under the Russian Federation President (Russia) Ashurboi IMOMOV Ph.D. (Law), Assistant Professor, Head of the Department of Constitutional Law, Tajik National University (Tajikistan) Stephen F. JONES Professor, Russian and Eurasian Studies, Mount Holyoke College (U.S.A.) Lena JONSON Doctor, senior researcher, Swedish Institute of International Affairs (Sweden) Klara KHAFIZOVA D.Sc. (History), Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies, Professor at the International Relations and Foreign Policy Department, Kainar University (Kazakhstan) Zaynidin KURMANOV D.Sc. (History), Professor, Head of the Chair of International Relations, the Kyrgyz-Russian University (Kyrgyzstan) Jacob M. LANDAU Professor of Political Science, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem (Israel) S. Neil MACFARLANE Professor, Director, Center for International Studies, The University of Oxford (Great Britain) Alexei MALASHENKO D.Sc. (History), Professor, Scholar-in-Residence, Ethnicity and Nation-Building Program Co-Chair, The Carnegie Moscow Center (Russia) Abbas MALEKI Doctor, Director General, International Institute for Caspian Studies (Iran) Akira MATSUNAGA Doctor, History of Central Asia and the Caucasus, Program Officer, The Sasakawa Peace Foundation (Japan) Roger N. McDERMOTT Affiliated Senior Analyst, Danish Institute for International Studies, Copenhagen (Denmark) Roin METREVELI D.Sc. (History), Professor, Academician of the Georgian National Academy of Sciences, President of the National Committee of Georgian Historians (Georgia) Nazim MUZAFFARLI D.Sc. (Economy), Professor, Director, Institute of Economy, Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences (Azerbaijan) Vitaly NAUMKIN D.Sc. (History), Professor, Director, Center for Strategic and International Studies of RF (Russia) Yerengaip OMAROV Professor, Rector of Kainar University, President of the Academy of Natural Sciences, Republic of Kazakhstan (Kazakhstan) Avtandil SILAGADZE D.Sc. (Economy), Professor, Tbilisi University of International Relations, Full Member of the Georgian National Academy of Sciences (Georgia) S. Frederick STARR Professor, Chairman, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, The Johns Hopkins University (U.S.A.) James V. WERTSCH Professor, Director of the International and Regional Studies Program, Washington University in St. Louis (U.S.A.) Alla YAZKOVA D.Sc. (History), Professor, head of the Mediterranean-Black Sea Center, Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia) Stanislav ZHUKOV D.Sc. (Economy), Senior Researcher, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences (Russia) The materials that appear in the journal do not necessarily reflect the Editorial Board and the Editors’ opinion Editorial Office: CA&CC Press AB, Hubertusstigen 9. 97455 Luleå, SWEDEN WEB ADDRESS: http://www.ca-c.org © Central Asia and the Caucasus, 2016 © CA&CC Press®, 2016 3 Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Journal of Social and Political Studies Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 IN THIS ISSUE: POLITICS TODAY Andrei Mordovtsev, Alexey Mamychev, Tatyana Mordovtseva, DEMOCRATIC TRANSIT Mikhail Mirzorin. IN THE SOUTH CAUCASIAN COUNTRIES ............................ 7 Valentin Lyubashits, Alexey Mamychev, THE NORTHERN CAUCASUS IN THE 21ST CENTURY: Diana Mamycheva, SOCIOCULTURAL AND POLITICAL-ECONOMIC Maria Vronskaya. VIABILITY OF RUSSIA’S STATE SOVEREIGNTY ................. 14 Alexey Mamychev, POLITICAL TRANSFORMATION OF Diana Mamycheva, PUBLIC-POWER ORGANIZATION AND Valeria Krupnitskaya, THE COLOR REVOLUTION TECHNOLOGY Alla Timofeeva. IN THE EURASIAN SPACE .................................................... 22 Ali Salgiriev, Maret Betilmerzaeva, Vakha Gaziev, Magomed POLITICAL STRATIFICATION WITHIN THE ELITES Soltamuradov. (A NORTH CAUCASIAN CASE STUDY) ............................... 30 Kadyrzhan Smagulov, ANALYSIS OF THE PROTEST MOOD Gulnar Nasimova. IN THE WESTERN REGION OF KAZAKHSTAN ................... 38 Maxim INDEPENDENCE AS AN “INVENTED TRADITION” Kirchanov. IN GEORGIA’S POLITICAL IDENTITY (2014-2016) .............. 47 4 CENTRAL ASIA AND THE CAUCASUS Volume 17 Issue 3 2016 REGIONAL SECURITY Inomjon THE ISLAMIC STATE IN AFGHANISTAN AND Bobokulov. REGIONAL SECURITY IN CENTRAL ASIA ............................ 56 Asiet Shadzhe, ETHNOPOLITICAL INFLUENCE Irina Karabulatova, IN REGULATING NATIONAL SECURITY Rashid Khunagov, IN BORDER TERRITORIES OF THE COUNTRIES Zuriet Zhade. IN THE CAUCASIAN-CASPIAN REGION .............................. 66 Maxim ARMENIA’S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY: Starchak. THREATS AND CHALLENGES .............................................. 75 Viktoria COMBATING MONEY LAUNDERING AND Kirilenko. TERRORISM FINANCING ...................................................... 88 ETHNIC RELATIONS Svetlana Lyausheva, Rashid Khunagov, Zuriet Zhade, ETHNIC TENSIONS IN THE SOUTH OF RUSSIA Asiet Shadzhe. IN THE OPINIONS OF EXPERTS .......................................... 96 Rashid Khunagov, TRADITIONAL ADYGHE STEREOTYPES Asfar Shaov, WITHIN THE ETHNIC TOLERANCE/INTOLERANCE Svetlana Lyausheva, DICHOTOMY AS A FACTOR OF ETHNIC EVOLUTION Vyacheslav Nekhai. IN THE NORTHERN CAUCASUS ........................................ 105 Svetlana Lyausheva, THE TRADITIONAL ADYGHE CULTURE Vyacheslav Nekhai, IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBALIZATION: Rashid Khunagov, SOCIAL INTEGRATION AS A FACTOR OF Bela Shkhachemukova. DEFUSING ETHNIC TENSION IN THE CAUCASUS .......... 113 Asfar Shaov, TRANSFORMATION OF ETHNOCONFESSIONAL