Momma's Got the Pill” How Anthony Comstock and Griswold V
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“Momma's Got the Pill” How Anthony Comstock and Griswold v. Connecticut Shaped U.S. Childbearing Martha J. Bailey Draft: August 2007 Abstract The 1960s ushered in a new era in U.S. demographic history characterized by sharp reductions in family size. To estimate the importance of oral contraception in this transition, this paper develops a new empirical strategy based upon idiosyncratic variation in the language of “Comstock” laws. The central results of this analysis suggest that the birth control pill accelerated the reduction in the fertility rate in the early 1960s and facilitated the transition to the two-child household. The implications of these results reach beyond the 1960s, as reduced fertility has had a lasting impact on the American family and economy. Contact information The author is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics and a Research Affiliate at the Population Studies Center at the University of Michigan, and a Faculty Research Fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Mailing address: Department of Economics, University of Michigan, 611 Tappan Street, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 48108-1220; email: [email protected]. Acknowledgements Research on this project was generously supported by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the University of Michigan Population Studies Center. I am grateful for insightful comments from Jeremy Atack, Charlie Brown, Tom Buchmueller, Kasey Buckles, Bill Collins, John DiNardo, Daniel Eisenberg, David Frisvold, David Lam, Bob Margo, Heather Royer, Gary Solon, Tara Watson, Charlie Westoff, and Bob Willis. This paper has also benefited from suggestions from the participants at the University of Minnesota Population Center, the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Annual Meetings in Health Policy Research, and seminar participants at the University of Indiana, Stanford University, University of Toronto Law School, the University of Michigan Labor Seminar and Population Studies Center, and the National Bureau of Economic Research. Lindley Barbee, Xiaoqing Song, and Kate VandenBroek conducted outstanding research assistance. Allie Davido provided exceptional legal research and coauthored the legal appendix. I gratefully acknowledge information shared by Joanna Lahey and Liz Oltmans Ananat that aided in the construction of this paper's legal appendix. Isaac W. Eberstein made me aware of Lorretta Lynn's controversial 1972 hit, “Pill,” which I reference in the paper’s title. Lyrics to Loretta Lynn's 1972 song, “Pill” (Lorene Allen - Don McHan - T.D. Bayles) © ‘72 Coal Miners Music, BMI / Guaranty Music, BMI You wined me and dined me when I was your girl Told me if I’d be your wife you'd show me the world But all I’ve seen of this old world is a bed and a doctor bill I'm tearin’ down your brooder house cause now I've got the pill All these years I’ve stayed at home while you had all your fun And every year that’s gone by another baby’s come There’s gonna be some changes made right here on nursery hill You’ve set this chicken your last time cause now I’ve got the pill This old maternity dress I’ve got is going in the garbage The clothes I’m wearin’ from now on won't take up so much yardage Miniskirts hot pants and a few little fancy frills Yeah I’m making up for all those years since I’ve got the pill I’m tired of all your crowing how you and your hens play While holdin’ a couple in my arms another’s on the way This chicken’s done tore up her nest and ready to make a deal And you can’t afford to turn it down cause you know I’ve got the pill This incubator is overused because you’ve kept it filled The feeling good comes easy now since I’ve got the pill It's getting’ dark it’s roostin’ time tonight it’s too good to be real Oh daddy don’t you worry now cause momma’s got the pill Oh daddy don’t you worry now cause momma’s got the pill I. Introduction During the 1960s, significant changes in women's decisions regarding marriage, childbearing, and work ushered in a new era of U.S. demographic history. Over the next twenty years, U.S. fertility rates fell by 50 percent (Figure I), and the proportion of women having fewer than three children increased from 42 to 66 percent (Figure II).1 Almost half a century later, the American family and labor force remain fundamentally altered (Lundberg and Pollak 2007). Although hundreds of articles in academic and popular journals document these trends and speculate about their origins, the underlying causes of this “second demographic transition” remain a subject of scholarly debate. The demographic literature has emphasized the role of technology in regulating the supply of births and, in particular, the birth control pill. Armed with national survey evidence, population scientists heralded the 1960s as a period of “contraceptive revolution” characterized by substantial declines in unplanned marital childbearing (Westoff 1975) and a significant rise in the frequency of marital intercourse (Westoff 1974). In his Presidential Address to the Population Association in 1975, Charles Westoff asserted that “the entire decline in births within marriage across the decade of the ‘sixties’ can be attributed to the improvement in the control of fertility” (579). Economists have been critical of this view and have instead emphasized changes in the demand for children.2 Because sharp reduction in the U.S. fertility rate in the 1960s followed the U.S. baby boom, some would argue that this period represents a reversion to the longer-term U.S. trend—and not a revolution at all. One need only point to sharp declines in the U.S. fertility rate during the 1920s, for instance, to highlight how rapidly behavior might have changed in the absence of modern contraceptive technology. For these reasons, Gary Becker concludes in his Treatise on the Family (1991: 143) that “the 1 This comparison is made for cohorts entering their childbearing years in difference decades. Women born in 1930 (1949) entered their childbearing years during the 1950s (1970s). 2 The longer-term decline in fertility is often attributed to the gradual evolution in the demand for children. This explanation highlights the rising opportunity cost of childbearing associated with increases in women's education, the growth of the clerical sector, and falling discrimination in the workplace. The baby boom interrupted this longer-term decline from around 1940 to 1957. Momma’s Got the Pill - 1 ‘contraceptive revolution’ … ushered in by the pill has probably not been a major cause of the sharp drop in fertility in recent decades.” The importance of this scholarly debate is difficult to overstate. The relevance of birth control technology to human behavior bears upon theoretical formulations of economic and population growth, many of which implicitly ignore significant changes in the technology and costs of regulating births. It also has substantial implications for economic models of the age-structure, family size and structure, and the composition of the labor force. Finally, it shapes our evaluations of domestic and international family planning policies, which have been the subject of heated scholarly discourse (Pritchett 1994a, 1994b; Bongaarts 1994, Knowles et al. 1994) Yet the difficulty of disentangling the contribution of modern contraception has limited the conclusions of research on this question. This is especially true in the context of the United States, where the release of the first birth control pill in 1957 coincided with the peak of the baby boom and rapidly changing awareness, attitudes, and norms about women’s rights and roles.3 This simultaneity renders standard, inter-temporal (before-and-after or cross-cohort) comparisons difficult to interpret. Fifty years after the advent of oral contraception, it is unclear whether the 1960s were a “contraceptive revolution” or a revolution of the times. Recent empirical research provides little insight into this question, because the legal variation used for identification is concentrated in the early 1970s and only affected access to the pill among unmarried, childless women under age 21 (Goldin and Katz 2002, Bailey 2006, Guldi 2007).4 Although the findings of these studies are suggestive, it is doubtful that they generalize to the 90 percent of childbearing 3 In 1963, President Kennedy's Commission on the Status of Women released a report documenting pervasive discrimination against women. Betty Friedan published the best-seller, The Feminine Mystique in 1963, a book documenting the emotional and intellectual oppression of the middle-class housewife. In 1964, Title VII of the Civil Rights Act codified a prohibition on employment discrimination against women. (Many believe that “sex” was included as a last-ditch effort to kill the bill. Nevertheless, this piece of legislation formed a legal basis for prosecuting discrimination against women in years to come.) In 1966, the National Organization for Women was organized by the NAACP. By the end of the decade, the women’s movement was pervasive and instrumental in generating awareness of gender inequities, if not opportunities, for many women. 4 Goldin and Katz (2002) and Bailey (2006) use variation in the age of legal consent. This variation existed primarily for unmarried women ages 18 to 20. Momma’s Got the Pill - 2 decisions that occurred after marriage in the 1960s. The “power of the pill” for the population of married, adult women remains an open question. This paper seeks to quantify the importance of the birth control pill in shaping married U.S. women's childbearing decisions using a novel empirical strategy. This strategy makes use of a newly compiled legal history of U.S. anti-obscenity, or “Comstock,” laws and exploits idiosyncratic variation in statutory language.