Reconstructing AFGHANISTAN Adam Bennett, Editor Bruno de Schaetzen Louis Dicks-Mireaux Felix Fischer Thierry Kalfon Ron van Rooden International Monetary Fund ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution © 2005 International Monetary Fund Production: IMF Multimedia Services Division Cover design: Massoud Etemadi Figures: Theodore F. Peters, Jr. Typesetting: Alicia Etchebarne-Bourdin Cataloging-in-Publication Data Reconstructing Afghanistan/Adam Bennett, editor—[Washington, D.C.]: International Monetary Fund, 2004. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 1-58906-324-4 1. Afghanistan—Economic policy. 2. Afghanistan—Economic conditions. 3. Fiscal policy— Afghanistan. 4. Monetary policy—Afghanistan. I. Bennett, Adam. HC417.R43 2004 Mackenzie, G.A. (George A.), 1950– Price: US$25.00 Please send orders to: International Monetary Fund, Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20431, USA Tel.: (202) 623-7430 • Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail:
[email protected] Internet: http://www.imf.org ©International Monetary Fund. Not for Redistribution Contents Preface vii List of Acronyms ix Map x 1. Overview Ron van Rooden 1 The Political Landscape1 Coordination of Assistance1 Role of the IMF2 Economic Developments and Achievements3 Looking Ahead5 2. Recent Macroeconomic Developments Ron van Rooden and Louis Dicks-Mireaux 6 Comparison of Donor Assistance6 Output and Prices9 External Sector 12 Appendix 2.1. Poppy Dimension in the Afghan Economy 20 References 27 3. Fiscal Framework and the Budget Thierry Kalfon 28 A Slow Descent into Chaos 28 Dismal Situation but Resilient Structures 29 Reconstruction Strategy 31 Fiscal Policy Framework: Postconflict Budgeting 34 Appendix 3.1. Programs of the National Development Framework 42 Appendix 3.2. Comparing Afghanistan’s 2002/03 Operating Budget with Low-Income Countries’ Budgets 45 References 46 4.