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Bergrivier 2017 Socio-Economic Profile

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Bergrivier 2017 Socio-Economic Profile Bergrivier Municipality 2017 BERGRIVIER: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 34 Bergrivier: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 68 751 19 072 2016 Matric Pass Rate 92.6% Gini Coefficient 0.56 Learner-Teacher Ratio 31.5 Human Development Index 0.69 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 31.7% 2016 3 69.9% 0.0 11.0% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 3.6% -33.8% -6.2% 12.1% -5.1% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 Where the Municipality is responsible for services, there is 100 per cent access to all services i.e. water, sanitation, electricity and refuse removal. 97.5% 83.6% 97.7% 97.9% 91.7% 2016 2016 Drought 12 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 14 5.6% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Agriculture, forestry and fishing Manufacturing catering and accommodation 26.0% 22.9% 13.5% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in Bergrivier municipal area. A demographic perspective of a municipality allows the observation of not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other developments that influence the social lives of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects such as gender, race, migration and life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect, in most cases, at least one aspect of demographics. A good understanding of this area is therefore crucial. The overview of key demographic features provided in this chapter comprises of estimates of population size, the distribution of the population across age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short overview, the SEP tries to help municipalities in their planning processes by delivering credible data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality POPULATION 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 Bergrivier Cederberg Matzikama Saldanha Bay Swartland 2018 68 751 53 917 72 564 113 239 124 969 2019 69 688 54 462 73 316 115 125 126 448 2020 70 597 54 998 74 046 116 972 127 884 2021 71 502 55 519 74 769 118 776 129 279 2022 72 379 56 029 75 478 120 541 130 629 2023 73 232 56 518 76 174 122 264 131 940 The total population of Bergrivier Municipality is estimated to grow from 68 751 in 2018 to 73 232 in 2023. This equates to growth of 6.5 per cent across the period; or at an average annual rate of 1.3 per cent. The average annual growth for Bergrivier Municipality is slightly higher than that of the District’s 1.2 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 - 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 15 428 42 140 4 328 46.9 2018 16 745 46 431 5 578 48.1 2023 17 419 49 171 6 644 48.9 The above table depicts the population composition of age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age; Age 65+: aged. In Bergrivier Municipality, the dependency ratio is estimated to increase from 46.9 in 2011, to 48.9 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a greater pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. EDUCATION2 Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 EDUCATION EDUCATION 2 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality EDUCATION2 LEARNER ENROLMENT 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Bergrivier Matzikama Swartland Saldanha Bay Cederberg 2014 7 981 9 913 16 613 15 530 7 464 2015 8 126 10 004 16 933 16 300 7 546 2016 8 212 10 247 17 356 16 886 7 647 Learner enrolment in Bergrivier Municipality increased at an average annual growth rate of 1.4 per cent between 2014 and 2016, growing relatively slowly when compared with other local municipalities within the West Coast (e.g. Saldanha Bay growing at 4.3 per cent and Swartland at 2.2 per cent), with learner enrolment in the West Coast District growing at 2.4 per cent over the same period. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner –teacher ratio in Bergrivier Municipality fluctuated between 2014 and 2016, from 27.6 in 2014, to 33.4 in 2015, decreasing again in 2016 to 31.5. Although low when compared to other areas within the District (e.g. Saldanha Bay at 48.4 in 2016), higher ratios could affect learner performance. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio include the ability of schools to employ more educators as well as the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES The drop-out rates for learners within Bergrivier municipal area that enrolled in Grade 10 in 2013 and Grade 12 in 2015 wasThe learner28.2 per–teacher cent; for ratio the groupin Bergrivier of learners Municipality that enrolled fluctuat ined Grade between 10 in 2014 and in Grade 12 in2014 2016, and the 2016, drop from-out rate27.6 increasedin 2014, to to 33.4 31.7 in per 2015, cent. decreasing again in 2016 to 31.5. Although low when compared to other areas within the District (e.g. Saldanha Bay at 48.4 in 2016), higher ratios could affect learner performance. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio include the ability of schools to employ more educators as well as the ability to collect fees. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, Further Education and Training (FET) colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could positively affect academic outcomes. Although the West Coast College (in terms of FET) has campuses across the West Coast area, there is no campus within the Bergrivier municipal area. 25 20 15 10 5 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 9 20 2015 10 20 2016 13 20 The total number of schools in Bergrivier Municipality remained unchanged at 20 from 2014 to 2016. However, growth in the number of schools with libraries is noted, increasing from 9 in 2014 to 13 in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, it is expected that parents are increasingly unable to pay school fees. The figure below displays the proportion of no-fee schools within the Bergrivier municipal area. 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Bergrivier Cederberg Matzikama Saldanha Bay Swartland 2014 65,0% 80,0% 80,7% 54,6% 74,2% 2015 65,0% 80,0% 80,7% 54,6% 74,2% 2016 65,0% 79,2% 77,8% 52,2% 74,2% The proportion of no-fee schools within Bergrivier municipal area remained unchanged at 65.0 per cent between 2014 and 2016. 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state can influence the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economic and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section considers the matric pass rate within the Bergrivier municipal area. 100,0% 80,0% 60,0% 40,0% 20,0% 0,0% Bergrivier Matzikama Swartland Saldanha Bay Cederberg 2014 84,1% 93,7% 88,3% 87,9% 88,2% 2015 91,9% 93,8% 86,5% 87,9% 89,0% 2016 92,6% 91,1% 89,4% 81,3% 89,5% Bergrivier Municipality’s matric pass rate improved substantially from 84.1 per cent in 2014 to 91.9 per cent in 2015 and reaching 92.6 per cent in 2016. The increase in the matric pass rate improves learner’s ability to access higher education institutions in order to broaden their opportunities. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Bergrivier Municipality. It is therefore importantHEALTH for the Municipality to monitor public health facilities, diseases like HIV and TB as well as general health issues, such as maternal health, all of which affect the communities. This SEP provides the basic statistics concerning these issues. Since this profile focusses on public health facilities,HEALTH private3 facilities are not included. Data source: Department of Health, HEALTH2017 HEALTH HEALTH3 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Bergrivier Municipality HEALTH3 HEALTHCARE FACILITIES Citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly related to the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach.
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