APPENDIX 1: South Central Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Condition Quality of Life 88% (Target set by 51.23% Countywide The plan includes schemes to SSSIs (Sites of Report 2017 the favourable, • Countywide - 52.05% favourable, 45.38% encourage sustainable Special Hertfordshire 46.05% unfavourable and recovering (2018) transport. These schemes will Scientific Environmental unfavourable and GTP Area reduce the likelihood of Interest) Forum (HEF) 2008 recovering • Castle Lime Works quarry SSSI – damage from poor air quality (p46) (2017) Unfavourable declining (2005) and vehicular damage. • SSSI – Favourable/unfavourable recovering (2010) • SSSI – Favourable/unfavourable recovering (2012) • Sherrards park Wood SSSI – Favourable/unfavourable recovering (2017) • Water End Swallows Holes SSSI – Favourable (2009) Presence of Hertfordshire No target set 30% (2013) 2015-2019 The rivers Mimram and Lea Water Voles Environmental 1 sighting in remain strongholds for in Monitored Forum Quality 3 sightings in -Hatfield supporting important Site of Life Report populations. Mink control is 2014 still being undertaken as a necessary component of Water

Mammal Atlas vole conservation. In 2013, as

http://mamm in 2012, about 30 mink were al- caught and killed in the county. atlas.hnhs.org /2015/WVO.sh tml

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Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Sightings of Ecology Advice Monthly average 2015-2019 There will be fewer hare Hares team maximum hare 6 sightings in Hertsmere sightings. sightings 17 sightings in Welwyn-Hatfield Mammal Atlas March to May http://mamm 2014: 7 sightings al- March to May atlas.hnhs.org 2017: 20 sightings /2015/BHA.sht

ml Number of HCC No more than 42 41 (10/15 to Hertsmere: 2 (2018) The plan includes road safety children killed Dashboard (2015-16) 09/16) : 7 (2018) schemes which seek to reduce and seriously http://statint. the risk of people being killed injured in hertscc.gov.uk 44 (Q1 17/18) or seriously injured in the area. road traffic /infostore/1/e It is likely more children would accidents nv.html be killed or injured without these schemes. Number of HCC 413 (The target is 404 (Q3 15/16) Countywide: 444 (Q4 12/18) Without the road safety people killed Dashboard steady) 460 (Q1 17/18) Hertsmere: 42 (2018) schemes included in the plan it or seriously http://statint. Welwyn Hatfield: 47 (2018) is likely more people would be injured on hertscc.gov.uk killed or seriously injured on roads in the /infostore/1/e the areas roads. authority nv.html Number of Herts Slight Casualties 2882 (Q1 17/18) Hertsmere: 307 (2018) Without the road safety Slight Injuries Infostore, Env 3543 Welwyn Hatfield: 293 (2018) schemes included in the plan it (all ages) Dashboard is likely more people in the http://statint. area would be involved in hertscc.gov.uk incidents causing slight /infostore/1/e injuries. nv.html

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) % of All trips HCC 3% (2015/16) 2.7% (2015) 2.2% (2016) A number of cycle route (under 3 dashboard improvements are included in miles) made the plan. Without these by cycling schemes it is likely the number of people cycling in the area would not increase. % of all trips HCC 64% (2015 -16) 62.6% (2015) 76.5% (2016) A number of pedestrian route (under 1 mile) dashboard improvements are included in made by the plan. Without these walking schemes it is likely the number of people walking in the area would not increase. Childhood NCMP No target set CountyWide: (2017/18) The plan seeks to facilitate Obesity (national child Reception: 12% Countywide – sustainable transport in a reception age measurement overweight 7% Reception: 19.3% Overweight number of locations. Without and year 6 programme) very overweight Year 6: 21% Overweight this facilitation of sustainable Year 6: 15% and healthy travel choices the overweight 14% Hertsmere – trend of increasing childhood https://www.h very overweight Reception: 10% Overweight obesity may worsen. This ertshealthevid (2015/16) Year 6: 15% Overweight would particularly affect areas ence.org/docu where levels of obesity are ments/themat Countywide - Welwyn Hatfield – already above county averages ic/ncmp- Reception: 12% Reception: 11.5% Overweight such as Hertsmere. hertfordshire- overweight, 8% Year 6: 17% Overweight briefing-2018- very overweight. 10.pdf Year 6: 13% overweight, 16% very overweight (2016/17).

Welwyn Hatfield

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) – Reception: 13% overweight, 7.3% very overweight. Year 6: 13% overweight, 14% very overweight (2016/17). Hertsmere – Reception: 11% overweight, 10% very overweight. Year 6: 13.7% overweight, 15.3% very overweight (2016/17). Number of TARS No target set 2289 (2015 Welwyn Hatfield: 602 (2018-2019) Without the creation of new people Sustainable 4536 (2016) Hertsmere: 366 (2018-2019) cycle infrastructure in the area achieving Travel Officer it is likely that less people level 2 of the would pursue level 2 National National Cycle Training due to Cycling inadequate facilities. Training Standards Conditions of Highway Panel 26% (2015/16) 26%(2010), The data collection method has been Without the plan’s proposed Footways - % Paper April 47.3% (2012) changed, the County Council is awaiting 2 footway improvements there where 2015 Surveys complete data collection cycles to check that may be less people utilising the maintenance completed to the new method is stable and reliable. footpaths. There would also be should be date 78% were a higher risk of accidents. considered category 1: “As New”, 14 % were

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) category 2: “Aesthetically Impaired”, 8% were category 3: “Functionally Impaired” and 1% were category 4: “Structurally Unsound” (April 2015) % of the total HCC 78% 72% (2015/16) 57.2% (2017/18) A lack of pedestrian crossing length of Dashboard 67% (2016/17) improvements would further footpaths and indicator EN53 reduce the public’s access to other Rights footpaths and other Rights of of Way that Way. were easy to use by members of the public Hertfordshire CMS 800 (17/18) 1009 (Q1 17/18) Welwyn / Hatfield Without the plan’s Health Walks (Countryside 991 (Q3 17/18) 7924 attendances improvements to walking - walks led Management 534 individual walks infrastructure there would be Service) 430 individual walkers more barriers to promoting (Dashboard PI walking in the area. number is Hertsmere ENV49) 9940 attendances 560 individual walks 499 individual walkers

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) % of residents HEF Quality of No target set 2.6%(2013/14) 2.6%(2013/14) The plan’s work to improve who are Life Report. access to sustainable transport concerned will prevent unconstrained about traffic growth. Unconstrained different traffic growth would have types of noise negative impacts on local noise in their area. pollution. Noise HEF Quality of National Average 5.7 (2013/14) 5.7 (2013/14) Noise complaints in Herts complaints Life Report - 7.5 (date unknown) remained consistently beneath received per national average even though 1000 construction and development population continues. The plan’s schemes will help to prevent this number increasing. Complaints HCC No target set : 707 Luton: 2793 (2019) from Aircraft Dashboard (2013), Stansted: Stansted: 2555 (2019) Noise 244 (2014) https://live- Luton: 997 (2014) webadmin- Stansted: 244 media.s3.amazona (2015) ws.com/media/366 Stanstead: 2,555 6/noise- (2017) complaints-report- 2017.pdf https://www.herts ad.co.uk/news/luto n-airport-noise- complaints- statistics-1- 6093814

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Number of Defra No target set 14 HCC, 11 Countywide: 19 HCC and 13 Highways The plan seeks to implement AQMAs in Highways (2015) England (2018) schemes which will help to Herts TTDR Report Countywide: 19 • Hertsmere 2 HCC and 4 Highways combat air pollution in the HCC and 14 • Welwyn Hatfield: 0 area. If not addressed, poor air Highways England quality can lead to health (2017) problems and overall reduced Welwyn Hatfield: quality of life. 0 AQMA’s Hertsmere: 6 AQMA’s Annual mean HEF Quality of < 40µg/m³ 35µg/m³ (2012) 31 µg/m3 (2015) The plan seeks to implement nitrogen Life Report 38µg/m³ (2014) schemes which will help to dioxide levels combat air pollution. If not close to busy addressed, poor air quality can roads lead to health problems and overall reduced quality of life. This would particularly affect the quality of life in areas where AQMAs have been declared such as Hertsmere. Percentage of PHOF 2017 No target set 5.6% (2013 - (2017) The plan seeks to implement all-cause PHOF) England – 5.1% schemes which will help to adult - East of England – 5.5% combat air pollution in the mortality 5.1% (2015) Hertsmere – 5.9% area. If not addressed, poor air attributable Welwyn Hatfield Welwyn Hatfield – 5.9% quality can lead to health to long term – 5.0% (2015) problems and overall reduced exposure to Hertsmere – 5.1% quality of life. This would current levels (2015) particularly affect the quality of of life in areas where AQMAs anthropogeni have been declared such as c particulate Hertsmere.

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) air pollution Per capita HCC 1.35 (2015/16) 2.3 (2012) 2.3 (2013) CO2 emissions cause CO2 Dashboard environmental damage and emissions in http://statint. impact upon climate change. the LA area hertscc.gov.uk The county could experience (in tonnes) /infostore/1/e more flooding incidents on nv.html local roads without schemes that encourage sustainable transport. Children Traffic and Age 5-10 63%, age Age 5 – 10: 69%, Age 5-10: 68% (2017/18) Without the proposed schemes travelling to Transport 11-16 78% (2015) age 11-16: 79% Age 10-11 70% (2017/18) fewer children may be able to school. Mode Data Report (2015/16) travel to school sustainably. share of (TTDR) 2017 Age 5 – 10: 70% This would result in a decline in sustainable p.46 (2016/17) local air quality. school Age 11 – 16: 77% journeys (2016/17)

% of Schools Sustainable 83% of all schools 82% (2011 -12) 60% (2017) A lack of safe and sustainable with Travel Modes of 82% (2014) travel infrastructure may deter Plans Travel Strategy schools from creating travel (SMoTS) 2015 plans. This would result in a decline in local air quality. TTDR 2017 Number of Sustainable No target set 2289 (2015) Welwyn Hatfield: 602 (2018-2019) Without the proposed schemes Children Travel Officer 4407 (2016) Hertsmere: 366 (2018-2019) to improve cycle infrastructure achieving (TARS) less children may complete level 2 of the level 2 National Cycle Training. National This could result in cycling not Cycle Training being seen as a viable (Bikeability) alternative in the area.

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Car County Travel 1.16 (England), 1.38 (2011) 1.38 (2017) Car ownership is an indication Ownership in Survey 2015 1.40/ (2012 County of the scale of the Hertfordshire p.23 Travel Survey) 1.53 (2015) environmental problem faced (Cars per in Herts. It highlights the need Household) TTDR 2017 to facilitate behavioural change via schemes such as those proposed in the plan. Congestion - TTDR 17 2.8 minutes per 2.82 minutes per Just under 3 minutes to travel a mile (2016) More congestion may ensue average mile (2015-16) mile (2012-13) without the plan leading to journey time increases in emissions which per mile 2.58 minutes per affect the quality of life for during the mile (2015) residents in the area. morning peak Area of HCC No target set 51.16 (2015-16) 42.86% (2017/18) The plan does not encourage Greenfield Dashboard significant amounts of new land lost http://statint. 35.09 (2016-17) road building which would other than to hertscc.gov.uk result in loss of species, development /infostore/1/e habitats and ecosystems. that accords nv.html with development plans Percentage of HCC No target set 75.82 (2014-15) 77.89% (2017/18) The plan will help to encourage New Homes Dashboard sustainable transport where built on http://statint. 78.09% (2015-16) any development does previously hertscc.gov.uk increase. developed /infostore/1/e land nv.html

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) % of Rural DEFRA/ONS No target set Rural land %: Rural land percentage: 6.7% (2011) Land in classification, 6.7% (date Residential population: 128,584 (2011) Hertfordshire HertsLIS (for unknown) the land Residential percentage) population: 131180 (date unknown) % of bus users Dashboard 85% (2015-16) 60% (2012-13) 60% (2012-13) Improvements to passenger satisfied with transport infrastructure are local included as part of the plan. provision of Without improvements to passenger passenger transport transport information less people will information see passenger transport as a viable convenient alternative to the car. Bus Services Dashboard 90% (2015-16) 91.6% (2014-15) 78.7% (2019) Bus route improvements are running on included as part of the plan. time 90.03% (2015-16) These will help to keep buses running to schedule. Without improvements to bus routes more buses are likely to be late.

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Number of HCC 36 million 34.67 million 31.2 million (2016/17) Improvements to bus routes Bus Passenger Dashboard (2015/16) (2014 -15) and bus infrastructure in the journeys http://statint. area are likely to encourage (boardings) hertscc.gov.uk 37.9 million bus travel. Without any per year /infostore/1/e (2015-16) additional measures to (millions) nv.html encourage bus travel it is likely car dependency will continue. % of bus users Hertfordshire 80% (2012-13) 73% (2012-13) 63% (2014-15) The plan seeks to improve bus satisfied with County routes and supporting the provision Council infrastructure in a number of of passenger Environment locations. Without these transport Survey 2014 improvements bus user services. p.57 satisfaction may decrease further. Active https://www.h No target set 64080 (2015) • Hertfordshire: 70500 (2016) Enterprises in ertfordshire.g • Welwyn Hatfield: 5580 (2016) Hertfordshire ov.uk/microsit • Hertsmere: 8710 (2016) es/herts- insight/topics/ economy- work-and- education.asp x GVA per Head https://www.he No target set £29,035 (2015) £30,564 (2016) rtfordshire.gov. uk/microsites/h erts- insight/topics/e conomy-work- and- education.aspx

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Principle TAMP Asset No more than 6 4% (2013-14) 2% (2017/18) The plan seeks to help Road Performance (2015-16) facilitate modal shift to Condition - % Report APR 3% (2017/18) sustainable forms of transport. of the 2015 (created Without measures to network with April 2016) encourage modal shift car use negative will remain high. This will likely residual life deteriorate principle roads (where further leading to a greater maintenance number of accidents, greater should be congestion and damage to considered) vehicles. Non Principle TAMP Asset No more than 9 14% (2013-14) 5% (2017/18) The plan seeks to help Classified Performance (2015-16) 8% (2014-15) facilitate modal shift to Road Report APR 6% (2017/18) sustainable forms of transport. Condition % 2015 (created Without measures to where April 2016) encourage modal shift car use structural will remain high. This will likely maintenance deteriorate non principle roads should be further leading to a greater considered number of accidents, greater congestion and damage to vehicles. Unclassified TAMP Asset No more than 13 17% (2013-14) 10% (2017/18) The plan seeks to help Road Performance (2015-16) 19% (2014-15) facilitate modal shift to Condition - % Report APR 15% (2017/18) sustainable forms of transport. where 2015 p.22 Without measures to structural (created April encourage modal shift car use maintenance 2016) will remain high. This will likely should be deteriorate unclassified roads considered. further leading to a greater number of accidents, greater

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) congestion and damage to vehicles. Herts Waste HWP Annual No target set 247284 tonnes 513,000 tones (2017/18) Partnership Report 2017- (2015–2016) overall 2018 recycling rate 258218 tonnes (2016-2017) Number of Historic No target set • Countywide: 25 in Hertfordshire (2015) There would be more damage Scheduled Environment 180 to scheduled monuments by Monuments Record, • GTP Area: 33 road building. Natural, Historic & built Environment Advisory team Number of Historic No target set • Countywide: 29 parks and gardens in Hertfordshire open There would be more damage registered Environment 46 to the public to registered parks and Parks and Record, • GTP Area: 9 – gardens by road building. Gardens Natural, Gobions, Historic & built Gorhambury, Environment Water, Advisory team House, Wrotham http://hertsga Park, rdenstrust.org. Panshanger, uk/parks- Napsbury gardens/ Hospital, Brocket Hall, Hatfield House

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Number of Historic No target set 8172 Hertsmere: 13 listed Environment buildings Record, Countywide: 8188 Welwyn Hatfield: 25 Natural, GTP Area: 1242 Historic & built Environment Advisory team

https://en.wiki pedia.org/wiki /Grade_II*_list ed_buildings_i n_Hertfordshir e Percentage of For the % of 40% (CTS 2018) sustainable sustainable modes mode share to increase year on for year Hertfordshire residents Percentage of 90% 93.59% (2017/18) new (steady state) developments within 30 minutes by public transport of key services

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Percentage of Luton: More Luton: 33% (2018) passengers passengers to use travelling to sustainable Stanstead: 50.6% (2018) airports by transport to reduce non-car CO2 emissions. modes (Luton and Stanstead: The aim Stanstead) is to increase the percentage journeys made by public transport. Percentage of Luton: An increase Luton: 32% (2018) employees in employees travelling to travelling to work Stanstead: 2019 data Autumn 2019 (staff airports by by non-car modes mode share data is collected every 2 years) non-car modes (Luton Stanstead: The aim and is to increase the Stanstead) percentage journeys made by public transport which reduces congestion on the local highway network and environmental impacts on the surrounding areas.

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Journey tune Decrease in figure 258 reliability in Hertfordshire Percentage of 83% (2020/21) 81%* compliance of 84% (2025/26) speed limits 85% (2030/31) Number of Increase in 4631 (2018) ULEV vehicles numbers registered in Hertfordshire Overall roads Steady State A rds: condition targets A Rds: 10.4 4.49 ACI index for (2018/19) Hertfordshire’ s roads B, C & U Rds: 8.97 ACI (2018/19) Income HertsLis - 127 (2015) 126 (2019) deprivation https://report affecting s.instantatlas.c children index om/report/vie w/7f0da506e6 4047899aa449 fc5613d82a/E 10000015#

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APPENDIX 1: South Central Hertfordshire Growth and Transport Plan - Baseline Data

Indicator Source Target Previous data Most Current data (date) ‘Without the Plan’ scenario (Date) Income HertsLis - 129 (2015) 127 (2019) deprivation https://report affecting s.instantatlas.c older people om/report/vie w/7f0da506e6 4047899aa449 fc5613d82a/E 10000015#

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