9Th Annual Conference Programme

9th Annual Conference Programme

Peter Froggatt Centre Queens University Belfast June 20-22, 2019

Table of Contents

EPSA Officers and Programme Committee ...... 4 Schedule incl. meetings and reception ...... 6 Map and Wifi Information ...... 8 Venue Floor Plans ...... 10 Friday evening reception information ...... 11 Programme Grid ...... 12 Conference Program ...... 13

Save the date for The 10th Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association

18th – 20th June 2020 Prague

The venue will be the Prague Congress Centre, located on one of Prague’s hills, which provides visitors with a beautiful view of the silhouette of Prague Castle, together with a myriad of towers belonging to churches, cathedrals, and palaces from the historical city centre. The Congress Centre is one of the largest and best-equipped European centres, the ideal venue for the next EPSA annual event. Metro access to the City Centre from the venue is convenient and takes minutes.

Prague is one of the most beautiful cities in the world. The city is romantic and successful, ancient and modern, but above all it is a city that is cosmopolitan through and through, very used to welcoming visitors.

EPSA Officers and Programme Committee

Members of the EPSA Council 2019

Elected Members

President: Orit Kedar (Hebrew University of Jerusalem) Council: Fabio Franchino (University of Milan), Indridi Indridson (University of California Riverside), Gail McElroy (Trinity College Dublin), Dennis Quinn (Georgetown University), Isabela Mares (Yale University)

Ex-officio Members Executive Director: Ken Benoit (London School of Economics) Treasurer/Vice-President: Thomas Pluemper (Vienna University of Economics and Business) Executive Council member at large: Raymond Duch (University of Oxford) PSRM Editor: Paul Kellstedt (Texas A&M University)

Lifetime Members Raymond Duch Kasper Hansen William Clark Thomas Plümper Kristin Michelitch Macartan Humphreys Mark Kayser Michael Lewis-Beck Jennifer Clark Andrew Martin Daniel Butler Scott Tyson Wolfgang Mueller Ulrich Sieberer Kenneth Benoit Vera Troeger Jonas Bunte Stefanie Walter Carl Henrik Knutsen Diana O'Brien

Programme Committee 2019

Programme Committee Co-Chairs 2019: Kenneth Benoit (LSE), Gail McElroy (Trinity College Dublin), John Garry (Queen’s University Belfast) Track Chairs: Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour John Garry, QUB Comparative Politics Ken Benoit, LSE Legislative Studies and Party Politics Gail McElroy, TCD Political Economy Tim Hicks, UCL EU Politics Gail McElroy, TCD International and Domestic Conflict Thomas Chadefaux, TCD International Relations Jonathan Kuyper, QUB Political Methodology Laron Williams, U. Missouri Public Policy and Public Administration Eoin O'Malley, DCU Political Theory Peter Stone, TCD Political Communication and Media Rebekah Tromble, Leiden

Conference Manager: Mel Sawers Exhibitions Manager: Kirsten Schmidt

EPSA 2019 Schedule

Wednesday

A pre-conference reception at the Dark Horse Pub, 30-34 Hill Street , Belfast featuring food and (self-pay) drinks and music...... 18:00 – 21:00

Thursday

EPSA Fun Run, Europa Hotel, Great Victoria Street, BT2 7AP Belfast ……………………………………….…07.00 – 08.00

Registration opens in Peter Froggatt Conference Centre of Queen’s University...... 09:00 Panel Session 1 ...... 09.30 – 11:10 Panel Session 2 ...... 11:20 – 13.10 Panel Session 3 ...... 13.20 – 15:10 Panel Session 4 ...... 15.20 – 17:00 Panel Session 5 ...... 17.10 – 18.50

EPSA Council Meeting and Lunch (Senate Room) ...... 12.00 – 13:10

EPSA AGM (PFC/OG/007) ...... 19:00 – 19:15 EPSA Presidential Address (PFC/OG/007) ………………………………………..………………………………………….19:15 – 19.45 EPSA Presidential Reception (Whitla Hall) ...... 20.00 – 21:30 Masterclass in Gin and Tonic Mixing (at venue) ………………………………………………………………………..…20.00 – 21.30

Friday PSRM Editorial Board Meeting and Lunch (Senate Room) ...... 12:00 –13:10 Panel Session 6 ...... 09.30 – 11:10 Panel Session 7 ...... 11:20 – 13100 Panel Session 8 ...... 13.20 – 15:10 Panel Session 9 ...... 15.20 – 17:00 Panel Session 10 ...... 17.10 – 18.50

EPSA Reception (Belfast City Hall) ...... 19:00– 21:30

Saturday

EUP Editorial Board Meeting (Senate Room) 08.00 – 9:00

Panel Session 11 ...... 09:00 – 10:40 Panel Session 12 ...... 10:50 – 12:40 Panel Session 13 ...... 12.50 – 14.40 Panel Session 14 ...... 14.500-16.40

Conference Venue Location and Directions

PETER FROGGATT CENTRE 7, 9 College Park E, Belfast BT7 1PS

Free Internet / Wi-Fi Information

SSID (Network Name): eduroam Password: TBC

Registration and Exhibitors

The registration desk and the exhibitors will be located in the foyer near the entrance of the Peter Froggatt Centre.

Food and Drink at EPSA

A coffee dock with food is located in the ground floor of the Peter Froggatt Centre.

Other options are:

MAPS

Overall venue locations

Peter Froggatt Centre

Friday General Reception

BELFAST CITY HALL Donegall Square N, Belfast BT1 5GS

How to get there from the conference venue Approx 15 minute walk

DETAILED SCHEDULE GRID

Thursday Friday Saturday 09:30 - 11:20 - 13:20 - 15:20 - 17:10 - 09:30 - 11:20 - 13:20 - 15:20 - 17:10 - 09:00 - 10:50 - 12:50 - 14:50 - Room 11:10 13:10 15:10 17:00 18:50 11:10 13:10 15:10 17:00 18:50 10:40 12:40 14:40 16:30

PFC/02/017 EL1 EL2 EL3 EL4 EL5 EL6 EL8 EL7 EL9 EL10 EL11 EL12 EL13 EL14 PFC/02/018 PE1 PE2 PE3 PE4 PE5 PE6 PE7 PE8 PE9 PE10 PE11 PE12 PE13 PE14 PFC/02/025 LE1 LE2 LE3 LE4 LE5 LE6 LE7 LE8 LE9 LE10 LE11 CF17 CF18 PFC/02/026 EU1 EU2 EU3 EU4 EU5 EU6 EU7 EU8 LE12 LE15 LE16 LE17 LE18 PFC/03/005 PT1 LE19 LE20 PT2 CP17 PT3 EL43 PT4 EL44 EL45 EL46 EL47 EL48 PFC/03/006A CP2 PA1 CP4 PA2 PE29 PE30 PA3 PA4 CP18 CP19 PE31 EL49 PFC/03/006B IR1 IR2 IR3 IR4 IR5 IR6 IR7 IR8 IR9 IR10 IR11 IR12 PFC/03/011 CF1 CF2 CF3 CF4 CF5 CF6 CF7 CF8 CF9 CF10 CF11 CF12 CF13 CF14 PFC/03/017 EL15 EL16 EL17 EL18 EL19 EL20 EL21 EL22 EL23 EL24 EL25 EL26 EL27 EL28 PFC/0G/007 ME1 ME2 ME3 ME4 ME5 ME6 ME7 CF15 CF16 PFC/0G/024 CP1 CP3 CP5 CP6 CP7 CP8 CP10 CP9 CP11 CP12 Bell Lecture Theatre CP13 CP14 CP15 CP16 Emeleus Lecture Theatre PS1 PS2 LE13 LE14 LAN/0G/074 EL29 EL30 EL31 EL32 EL33 EL34 EL35 EL36 EL37 EL38 EL39 EL40 EL41 EL42 MAPTC/0G/006 PE15 PE16 PE17 PE18 PE19 PE20 PE21 PE22 PE23 PE24 PE25 PE26 PE27 PE28 MAPTC/0G/017 PC1 PC2 PC3 PC4 PC5 PC6 PC7 PC8 PC9 PC10 PC11 PC12 PC13

DETAILED SCHEDULE PE15 Political Economy Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Date: 20th June 2019 Informal welcome reception Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Time: 18:00 - 21:00

Date: 19th June 2019 PE15 - Preferences for Public Spending Location: Dark Horse Pub Chair Informal reception at the Dark Horse Pub, Evelyne Hübscher - Central European University, 30-34 Hill Street. Hungary https://dukeofyorkbelfast.com/venues/the-dark- Discussant horse/ Raluca Pahontu - University of Oxford, United

Kingdom Panels 890: Conflict or Crime? How victimization

shapes preferences for public goods provision EL29 in Liberia Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Sarah Berens1, Sabrina Karim2 Time: 9:30 - 11:10 1University of Cologne, Germany. 2Cornell Date: 20th June 2019 University, USA Location: LAN/0G/074 912: Unemployment and Social Policy:

Preferences for Investment Versus EL29 - Satisfaction with Democracy Consumption Chair Seobin Han, Hyeok Yong Kwon Kathrin Ackermann - Heidelberg University, Korea University, Korea, Republic of Germany 1127: The Effects of Tax-Embedded Policies on Discussant Public Views of the Welfare State Denis Cohen - Mannheim Centre for European Alexander Tahk, Susannah Tahk Social Research, Germany University of Wisconsin–Madison, USA 964: A democratic deficit in world politics? 947: The role of income-group preferences Novel conceptualizations and global survey and inequality on redistributive policies experiments Xavier Romero-Vidal1, Steven Van Hauwaert2 Farsan Ghassim 1 Leuphana Universität Lüneburg , Germany. University of Oxford, United Kingdom 2Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz, 808: The dynamics of policy congruence and Germany satisfaction with democracy

Heinz Brandenburg1, Robert Johns2, Stefanie Reher1 PC1 1University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom. Political Communication and Media 2University of Essex, United Kingdom Time: 9:30 - 11:10 854: Diffused Polarization: The Impact of Issue Date: 20th June 2019 Diversity on Collective Will Formation and Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Satisfaction with Democracy

Julian M. Hoerner, Sara B. Hobolt PC01 - Communicating (for and against) populism London School of Economics and Political Chair Science , United Kingdom Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik - University of Vienna, 59: Process or Outcome? Popular Austria Conceptualisations of Democracy in the Arab Discussant World Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik - University of Vienna, Barry Maydom Austria. Franziska Keller - Hong Kong University of Birkbeck College, University of London, United Science and Technology, Hong Kong Kingdom 101: Do supporters of populists use digital 347: Democracy strained: The effect of media differently? Comparing communicative financial bailouts on political representation. interactions by supporters of Donald Trump Rubén Ruiz-Rufino and Hillary Clinton on Reddit King's College London, United Kingdom Andreas Jungherr1, Oliver Posegga2, Jisun An3

1 2 University of Konstanz, Germany. University of Bamberg, Germany. 3Qatar Computing PE01 - The Political Economy of Budgetary Trade- Research Institute, Qatar offs 498: You Called Me a Populist! The Media’s Chair Talk of Populism and Its Influence on Public Nick Vivyan - Durham University, United Kingdom Opinion Discussant Guillem Rico1, Eva Anduiza1, Camilo Thomas Kurer - Harvard University, USA. Nick Cristancho2, Enrique Hernández1 Vivyan - Durham University, United Kingdom 1Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain. 992: Tradeoffs in Attitudes towards Taxation 2Universitat de Barcelona, Spain and Spending: A Conjoint Experiment Based 780: Against the globalist class: Does the on the British Tax Summary Alternative for Germany borrow from Hitler? Lucy Barnes, Jack Blumenau, Benjamin Judith Spirig, Daniel Bischof Lauderdale University of Zurich, Switzerland University College London, United Kingdom 472: Fighting Euroscepticism: The Impact of 745: Electoral policy-making with constraints: EU Institutional Advertising on Support for Partisan political budget cycles in European Integration industrialised democracies Enrique Hernández1, Roberto Pannico2 Vera Troeger1, David Rueda2 1Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain. 1University of Warwick, United Kingdom. 2Social Sciences Institute of the University of 2University of Oxford, United Kingdom Lisbon, Portugal 69: The Demise of the "Death Tax": The Worldwide Abolition of InheritanceTaxation, 1970-2015 EL1 Philipp Genschel1, Julian Limberg1, Laura Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Seelkopf2 Time: 9:30 - 11:10 1European University Institute, Italy. 2Ludwig Date: 20th June 2019 Maximilians Universität, Germany Location: PFC/02/017 1054: Changing Politics and Changing Pies: The Political Economy of Budgets in EL01 - Election Pledges and Voters Developing Countries Chair Christine Lipsmeyer1, Philips Andrew2, Guy Fabio Ellger - Humbolt, Germany Whitten1 Discussant 1Texas A&M, USA. 2University of Colorado, USA Philip Dreyer - LSE, United Kingdom. Shane 119: Explaining fiscal worlds. How the EU Reynolds - University of Limerick, Ireland countries balanced income equality and 281: Made to be broken: false promises in national wealth between 2007 and 2016. election manifestos Alessia Damonte, Fedra Negri Rory Costello Università degli Studi di Milano, Italy University of Limerick, Ireland 287: Media Coverage of Campaign Promises Throughout the Electoral Cycle LE1 Stefan Müller Legislative Studies and Party Politics University of Zurich, Switzerland Time: 9:30 - 11:10 336: How do voters define election pledges? Date: 20th June 2019 Carsten Jensen, Suthan Krishnarajan Location: PFC/02/025 Aarhus University, Denmark 365: How voters respond to party pledge LE01 - Legislative Speech I fulfilment Chair Theres Matthieß Sven Oliver Proksch - University of Cologne, WZB, Germany Germany Discussant Nicole Rae Baerg - University of Essex, United PE1 Kingdom Political Economy Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Date: 20th June 2019 Location: PFC/02/018

51: Gender, Debate and Rebellion in the PT1 House of Commons, 1992 - 2015: A Structural Political Theory Topic Modelling Approach Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Sonia Bhalotra, Manuel Fernández, Jonathan Date: 20th June 2019 Slapin Location: PFC/03/005 University of Essex, United Kingdom 357: Establishment Responses to Populist PT01 - Democracy and Epistemology Challenges: Evidence from Legislative Speech Chair Frederi Hjorth Anil Kumar Vaddiraju - Institute for Social and University of Copenhagen, Denmark Economic Change, Bangalore, India 264: Minority Governments and Legislative Discussant Debate Peter Stone - Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Sven-Oliver Proksch, Jan Schwalbach, Jens 165: Reconsidering the Instrumental Case for Wäckerle Epistocracy University of Cologne, Germany Adam Gibbons 903: Sticks in a Bundle are Unbreakable? The Rutgers University, USA Effect of Polarization on Parties’ Compromise 523: Lotteries are as Legitimizing as Elections Rhetoric in 7 European Democracies, 1995 - Alexander Motchoulski 2013 University of Arizona , USA Mariken van der Velden1, Anthea Alberto2 541: Epistemic Democracy and the Wisdom of 1Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands. Crowds 2Humboldt Universität, Germany Keith Sutherland 1075: Asking About Europe: MP's Use of University of Exeter, United Kingdom Parliamentary Questions for European Issues Lauren Perez University of Chicago, USA CP2 Comparative Politics Time: 9:30 - 11:10 EU1 Date: 20th June 2019 EU Politics Location: PFC/03/006A Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Date: 20th June 2019 CP02 - New Research in African Political Economy Location: PFC/02/026 Chair Patrick Kuhn - Durham University, United Kingdom EU1 - The European Court of Justice Discussant Chair Rachael McLellan - Princeton University, USA Lukas Obholzer - Freie Universität Berlin, Germany 358: The Myth of the Misinformed Irregular Discussant Migrant? Insights from Nigeria Amie Kreppel - University of Florida, USA Bernd Beber, Alexandra Scacco 1067: Tending the bar: Strategic case WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Germany allocation in the Court of Justice of the 435: Does information about policy European Union attribution influence candidate selection? Silje Synnøve Lyder Hermansen Evidence from a survey experiment in Ghana. PluriCourts, University of Oslo, Norway Robin Harding, Tanushree Goyal 621: Three (main) roads to integration. University of Oxford, United Kingdom Explaining the case selection for judicial 478: Citizen Preferences and Disparities in review at the Court of Justice of the European Elite Responsiveness: Evidence from Union Deliberative Forums in Kampala, Uganda David Hilpert Constantin Manuel Bosancianu, Ana Garcia- University of Mannheim, Germany Hernandez, Macartan Humphreys 1114: Uncertainty and Legal Disintegration: Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Evidence from Brexit Sozialforschung, Germany Arthur Dyevre, Nicolas Lampach, Michal 675: Norms and Women’s Political Ovadék, Monika Glavina, Wessel Wijtvliet Participation: Survey Evidence from Rural KU Leuven, Belgium Ghana Nahomi Ichino, Noah Nathan University of Michigan, USA

872: How does Violence Change Local Ethnic 1German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Demography?: Evidence from Kenya Germany. 2University of Birmingham, United Kimuli Kasara Kingdom Columbia University , USA 786: Can the design of power-sharing peace settlements secure citizen support in post- conflict states? Evidence from conjoint survey IR1 experiments in Northern Ireland and Cyprus. International Relations Edward Morgan-Jones, Laura Sudulich , Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Neophytos Loizides, Feargal Feargal Cochrane Date: 20th June 2019 University of Kent, United Kingdom Location: PFC/03/006B 795: The determinants of female participation in resistance campaigns: A cross-national IR01 - Balance of Power study Chair Ingrid Vik Bakken Douglas Atkinson - Cardiff University, United Norwegian University of Science and Kingdom Technology (NTNU), Norway Discussant 805: Extremist Militant Groups and the Douglas Atkinson - Cardiff University, United Provision of Justice: Experimental Evidence Kingdom from South Central Somalia 86: Arms Transfers and the Dynamics of Nicholas Haas, Prabin Khadka Intervention New York University, USA Bradley Smith Vanderbilt University, USA 88: Strategic Nuclear Latency and Extended EL15 Deterrence Relations Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Justin Nicholson Time: 9:30 - 11:10 University of Rochester, USA Date: 20th June 2019 136: The Dark Side of the Force: Threat Location: PFC/03/017 Perception, Bilateralism and the Origins of the U.S-Australia Alliance EL15 - Electoral system consequences Michael Cohen Chair Australian National University, Australia Conrad Ziller - University of Cologne, Germany Discussant Colin Rapp - University of Copenhagen, Denmark CF1 866: Formal models and empirical analysis of International and Domestic Conflict electoral rules. The case of Romanian Time: 9:30 - 11:10 parliamentary elections in 2008 and 2012. Date: 20th June 2019 Adrian Miroiu, Mihai Paunescu Location: PFC/03/011 National University of Political Science and Public Administration, Romania CF01 - Empirical Advances in the Study of Post- 1079: Anocracy in Ankara: Co-party Bias in the Conflict Politics Turkish Housing Development Administration Chair (TOKI), 2002 - 2016 Krzysztof Krakowski - Collegio Carlo Alberto, Italy Yihan Zhu1, Ethan Caspi2, Chris Dann1, Lutfi Discussant Sun3, Andre Zeromski4 Lesley-Ann Daniels - Institut Barcelona d'Estudis 1London School of Economics, United Kingdom. Internacionals (IBEI), Spain 2University of Southern California, USA. 3Trinity 9: Legacies of Wartime Order: ‘Punishment University, USA. 4Washington and Lee Attacks’ and Social Control in Northern University, USA Ireland 403: Should One Depend on the Partisan Vote Kit Rickard, Kristin M. Bakke or Gather Floating Votes? — Variation in University College London (UCL), United Voting Behaviors on District Magnitude Kingdom Kosuke Nakamura, Junichiro Wada 499: How Wartime Institutions Shape Yokohama City University, Japan Electoral Performance after Civil Conflicts Felix Haass1, Martin Ottmann2

390: Nobody likes to support a loser, do they? Examining the social-group bases of third- EL30 party voting in recent British elections Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Christopher Raymond Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Queen's University Belfast, United Kingdom Date: 20th June 2019 1124: The Impact of Electoral Systems on Location: LAN/0G/074 Party-centred Voting Francisco Cantú1, Pedro Riera2 EL30 - Issue emphasis and ownership 1University of Houston, USA. 2University Carlos Chair III of Madrid, Spain Farsan Ghassim - University of Oxford, United Kingdom Discussant CP1 Tarik Abou-Chadi - Comparative Politics 972: What Matters to the Public? Most Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Important Issues and Most Important Date: 20th June 2019 Problems Location: PFC/0G/024 Beth Leech1, Joost Berkhout2, Patrick 3 4 5 Bernhagen , Adam Chalmers , Amy McKay CP01 - Politics of Immigrants and Immigration in 1Rutgers University, USA. 2University of Advanced Post-Industrial Democracies: Parties, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 3University of Voters, and Public Attitudes Stuttgart, Germany. 4Kings College London, Chair United Kingdom. 5University of Exeter, United Diane Bolet - LSE, United Kingdom Kingdom Discussant 1173: Issue Emphasis and the slow process of Dalston Ward - ETH Zurich, Switzerland policy formation in the context of U.K. Major 419: Who's to blame: Populist Right-Wing and Legislation mainstream parties' roles in adoption of Christine Sylvester welfare chauvinist policies Binghamton University, USA Juliana Chueri 189: Government Agendas, Party Agendas University of Geneva, Switzerland and Niche Party Success 428: Falling Behind the Competition or Tarik Abou-Chadi1, Christoffer Green- Restless in the Class: A Longitudinal Pedersen2 Assessment of Worries over Immigration in 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2Aarhus Germany and Risk Inequalities University, Denmark Elif Naz Kayran 544: Party Rhetoric and Issue Ownership Graduate Institute of International and Zeynep Somer-Topcu1, Laron Williams2 Development Studies, Geneva, Switzerland 1University of Texas, USA. 2University of 882: Immigrants’ policy preferences in a Missouri, USA comparative view: The role of integration 909: The relationship between issue saliency, policies and economic conditions in shaping public satisfaction and (health) policy reforms attitudinal convergence Diana Burlacu1, Ellen Immergut2 Anna-Lena Nadler 1Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany. University of Geneva, Switzerland 2European University Institute, Italy 112: Banning the Veil: The Effect of Religious Clothing Restrictions on Attitudes towards Muslims and Immigrants in Europe PE16 Rebeccca Glazier, Christopher Williams Political Economy University of Arkansas at Little Rock, USA Time: 11:20 - 13:10 190: Learning about Polarizing Facts: Date: 20th June 2019 Politically Motivated Learning and the Asylum Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Seeker Debate in Germany Konstantin Glinitzer1, Tobias Gummer1, Markus PE16 - Political Economy of Development Wagner2 Chair 1GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Jan Pierskalla - Ohio State University, USA Sciences, Germany. 2University of Vienna, Discussant Austria Melissa Ziegler Rogers - Claremont Graduate University, USA

279: Political Determinants of Economic 984: Political Fragmentation in the Digital Backwardness: An Empirical Investigation Domain: Evidence from a Structural Topic Dina Rosenberg1, Evgeny Sedashov2 Modelling Approach in France, Germany and 1Higher School of Economics, Russian the UK. Federation. 2Binghamton University (SUNY), Raphael Heiberger1, Silvia Majo-Vazquez2, Laia USA Castro3, Rasmus K. Nielsen2, Mariluz 1175: When State Building Backfires: Elite Congosto4, Frank Esser3 Divisions and Collective Action in Rebellion 1University of Bremen, Germany. 2University of Emily Sellars1, Francisco Garfias2 Oxford, United Kingdom. 3University of Zurich, 1Yale University, USA. 2UCSD, USA Switzerland. 4University Carlos III, Spain 1176: Population Pressures: Migration, 1000: How Does the Media Environment Repression, and Agrarian Reform in Latin Affect Readership? Evidence from an App America Selective Trial in Italy Emily Sellars Alessandro Vecchiato Yale University, USA New York University, USA 327: Democracy and Developmental State in Latin America: between the industrializing rush and the distributive need EL2 Julia Bandeira1, Pedro Perfeito da Silva2 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 1Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. Time: 11:20 - 13:10 2Central European University, Hungary Date: 20th June 2019 Location: PFC/02/017

PC2 EL02 - Electoral Consequences of Coalitions Political Communication and Media Chair Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Michael Laver - New York University, USA Date: 20th June 2019 Discussant Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Albert Albert Falcó-Gimeno - University of Barcelona, Spain PC02 - Insights from Experiments and Trace Data 879: Electoral consequences of coalition Chair negotiation outcomes Zoltan Fazekas - Copenhagen Business School, Heike Klüver1, Svenja Krauss2 Denmark 1Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany. Discussant 2University of Essex, United Kingdom Zoltan Fazekas - Copenhagen Business School, 161: Do voters update their perception of Denmark. Fabrizio Gilardi - University of Zurich, coalition parties’ issue positions? The Switzerland influence of partisan motivated reasoning and 479: Election Coverage and Slant in Television political attention News Philipp Dreyer Gregory Martin, Ali Yurukoglu London School of Economics, United Kingdom Stanford University, USA 438: Coalition cabinets, radical right parties 741: New ways to gather trace data: From and government policy: Why coalition tracking to takeout governments go tough on immigration Damian Trilling1, Wouter van Atteveldt2, Felicia Fabio Ellger, Heike Klüver Löcherbach2, Judith Möller1 Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany 1Universiteit van Amsterdam, Netherlands. 862: The Political Costs of Cross-block 2Vrije Universiteit, Netherlands Coalitions 961: How Nudges Can (De)polarize America: A Evelyne Hübscher Field Experiment on the Effects of Online Central European University, Hungary Media Exposure 108: Should we stay or should we go? Andrew Guess1, Pablo Barberá2, Simon Electoral effects of dropping out of coalition Munzert3, JungHwan Yang4 talks 1Princeton University, USA. 2London School of Heike Kluever1, Jae-Jae Spoon2 Economics and Political Science, United 1Humboldt University, Germany. 2University of Kingdom. 3Hertie School of Governance, Pittsburgh, USA Germany. 4University of Illinois at Urbana- Champaign, USA

PE2 770: Wasting Female Candidates? Examining Political Economy Party and Gender Differences in Candidate Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Retention Date: 20th June 2019 Maarja Lühiste1, Heiko Giebler2 Location: PFC/02/018 1Newcastle University, United Kingdom. 2WZB Berlin Social Science Centre, Germany PE02 - Understanding Public Opinion towards 715: Multi-Level Governance and Women’s Trade and Globalization Legislative Representation Chair Kristina Gushchina, André Kaiser Jeff Frieden - Harvard University, USA University of Cologne, Germany Discussant 238: Using Gender Quotas to Fight Intraparty Jeff Frieden - Harvard University, USA. Katja Battles Kleinberg - SUNY- Binghamton, USA Sergio Ascencio Bonfil PE 2.1: Economic Threat, Misinformation, and New York University Abu Dhabi, UAE Public Support for International Trade 911: Descriptive Representation and Price D.J. Flynn1, Yusaku Horiuchi2, Dong Zhang3 Discrimination 1IE University, Spain. 2Dartmouth College, USA. Timm Betz, David Fortunato, Diana O'Brien 3Lingnan University, Hong Kong Texas A&M University, USA PE 2.2: 'Folk Mercantilism'? Competing 1242: The Impact of Institutional Design on Frameworks in Public Opinion on Trade Women's Committee Appointments Katja Kleinberg Tiffany D. Barnes1, Constanza Schibber2 Binghamton University, USA 1University of Kentucky, USA. 2Michigan State 1276: Do Electoral Campaigns Influence Public University, USA Support for Trade? Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Election Michael Plouffe1, Jason Kuo2 EU2 1University College London, United Kingdom. EU Politics 2National Taiwan University, Taiwan Time: 11:20 - 13:10 1277: Information, Nativism, and Support for Date: 20th June 2019 Economic Globalization Location: PFC/02/026 1 2 Kathleen Powers , Jason Reifler , Thomas Scotto3 EU2 - The EU in Crisis: Public Opinion, 1Dartmouth College, USA. 2University of Exeter, Disintegration Pressures, and the Future of United Kingdom. 3University of Strathclyde, European Integration United Kingdom Chair 1278: Moving Goalposts: Presidential Anne Rasmussen - University of Copenhagen, Accountability for Economic Foreign Policy Denmark Alexandra Guisinger 611: The EU in Crisis: Public Opinion, Temple University, USA Disintegration Pressures, and the Future of European Integration (Roundtable) 1 2 Christina Schneider , Catherine de Vries , Sara LE2 Hobolt3, Julia Gray4 Legislative Studies and Party Politics 1University of California, San Diego, USA. 2Free Time: 11:20 - 13:10 University, Amsterdam, Netherlands. 3London Date: 20th June 2019 School of Economics and Political Science, Location: PFC/02/025 United Kingdom. 4University of Pennsylvania, USA LE02 - Gender and Legislatures I Chair Constanza Schibber - Michigan State University, LE19 USA Legislative Studies and Party Politics Discussant Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Martin Hansen - Brunel University, United Date: 20th June 2019 Kingdom Location: PFC/03/005

LE19 - Party formation and change Chair

Stefanie Bailer - Universität Basel, Switzerland 1University of Uppsala, Sweden. 2German Discussant Center for Integration and Migration Research Dean Lacy - Dartmouth College, USA (DeZIM), Germany. 3City University of New 968: Electoral Demands and the Emergence of York, USA New Parties in Young European Democracies 821: Health awareness and the transition Raimondas Ibenskas towards clean cooking fuels: Evidence from University of Southampton, United Kingdom Rajasthan, India 843: Mass transformation or lone defectors? Martina Zahno1, Katharina Michaelowa1, Legislators' goals and party switching Purnamita Dasgupta2, Ishita Sachdeva3 strategies in Western Europe 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2Institute of Elisa Volpi Economic Growth, Delhi, India. 3Delhi European University Institute, Italy University, India 845: Candidate turnover and party policy change in Central and Eastern Europe Allan Sikk1, Philipp Köker2 IR2 1University College London, United Kingdom. International Relations 2Leibniz University Hannover, Germany Time: 11:20 - 13:10 1085: Youth parties: representing the young Date: 20th June 2019 or replicating the old? Location: PFC/03/006B 1 2 Stefanie Bailer , Tamaki Ohmura 1University of Basel, Switzerland. 2ETH Zürich, IR02 - Politics of Climate Change Switzerland Chair 1192: Interrupted Continuities: The Birth, Vally Koubi - ETH Zurich, Switzerland Death and Resurrection of Political Legacies Discussant Elli Palaiologou1, Elias Dinas2 Dennis Hammerschmidt - University of Mannheim, 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Germany 2European University Institute, Italy 379: Green Contracts: The Global Environment Facility and the Politics of Procurement PA1 Elena McLean Public Policy and Public Administration SUNY Buffalo, USA Time: 11:20 - 13:10 256: Domestic Losers, Foreign Winners? Date: 20th June 2019 Support for Climate Action under Weak Location: PFC/03/006A International Institutions 1 2 Patrick Bayer , Federica Genovese PA01 - Policy Interventions 1University of Glasgow, United Kingdom. Chair 2University of Essex, United Kingdom Anthony Kevins - Utrecht University, Netherlands 412: How climate change leads to Discussant emigration:Transmission channels, Luca Bellodi - UCL, United Kingdom conditional and long-run effects 1050: Regulatory Impact Assessment (RIA) in Marc Helbling1, Daniel Meierrieks2 Poland – 15 years of RIA experience in the 1University of Bamberg, Germany. 2WZB Berlin post-transition governance framework Social Science Center, Germany Wojciech Rogowski1, Kamil Jnski2 888: Targeting the most climate-vulnerable 1Warsaw School of Economics, Poland. countries? Comparing the allocation of 2University of Lodz, Poland German bilateral and multilateral adaptation 417: Acceptability before and Acceptance finance after Experiencing Disruptive Technologies: Mascha Rauschenbach, Sven Harten, The Case of a Self-Driving Bus Service Trial in Alexandra Köngeter, Gerald Leppert, Kevin Switzerland Moull, Martin Noltze Michael Wicki German Institute for Development Evaluation ETH Zürich, Switzerland (DEval), Germany 117: The chilling effects of aggressive policing practices: How Stop and Frisk affected undocumented students' performance CF2 Linna Martén1, Niklas Harder2, Amy Hsin3 International and Domestic Conflict Time: 11:20 - 13:10

Date: 20th June 2019 1109: Ethnic boundaries in Catalonia: how Location: PFC/03/011 geography matters Ivan Serrano CF02 - Conflict dynamics and diffusion Universitat Oberta de Catalunya, Spain Chair 962: To Fight or to Vote: Sovereignty Adam Scharpf - German Institute of Global and Referendums as Strategies in Conflicts over Area Studies, Germany Self-Determination Discussant Friederike Luise Kelle, Mitja Sienknecht Tore Wig - PRIO, Norway Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin/ Berlin Social 41: Introducing the Armed Nonstate Actor Science Center, Germany Rivalry Dataset (ANARD) 732: Party competition and signaling to Stephen Powell, Adrian Florea regional constituencies: Evidence from co- University of Glasgow, United Kingdom sponsorship networks in Portugal 717: How Individual Actors Can Derail Group Patricia Calca1, Sebastian Koehler2 Conflicts 1CIES-ISCTE, Portugal. 2University of Konstanz, Chagai Weiss1, Yonatan Lupo2, Eugene Finkel3, Germany Dan Miodownik4 1 University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA. 2George Washington University, Israel. 3Johns ME1 Hopkins University, USA. 4Hebrew University of Comparative Politics Jerusalem, Israel Time: 11:20 - 13:10 933: Explaining the variation in sub-national Date: 20th June 2019 diffusion of civil conflict: civilians' targeting Location: PFC/0G/007 and reactive violence. Andrea Salvi ME01 - Advances in Survey Methodology Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Discussant 1122: Government Responses to Militant Andrew Philips - University of Colorado Boulder, Group Competition USA Kevin Greene1, Justin Conrad2, Brian Phillips3 848: Estimating the Opinion of Religious 1University of Pittsburgh, USA. 2University of Minority Groups Using Bayesian Multilevel North Carolina at Charlotte, USA. 3University of Models with Poststratification Essex, United Kingdom Simon Ellerbrock1, Richard Traunmüller2, 1149: The Diffusion of Anti-Government Christopher Claassen3 Protests in Time and Space 1Mannheim Centre for European Social Katrin Paula Research (MZES) - University of Mannheim, University of Mannheim, Germany Germany. 2University of Mannheim, Germany. 3University of Glasgow, United Kingdom 407: Measuring Time Preferences in Large EL16 Surveys Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Michael Bechtel1, Kenneth Scheve2 Time: 11:20 - 13:10 1Washington University in St. Louisd, USA. Date: 20th June 2019 2Stanford University, USA Location: PFC/03/017 1038: Can Strengthening Self-Integrity Improve Measurement Accuracy of Sensitive EL16 - Ten Habits of Secessful Regions Survey Items? Evidence from Survey Chair Experiments on Self-Affirmation and Adrian Miroiu - Uni of Pol Sc and Public Admin, Contextualisation Romania Patrick Kuhn, Samuel Mellish, Nick Vivyan Discussant Durham University, United Kingdom Janne Tukiainen - 1107: Publishing with Sensitive Data: 995: Revisiting the Linz-Moreno question. Balancing Replication and Privacy Concerns Identities, causal antecedents and support for Using Synthetic Data secession Christian Arnold1, Marcel Neunhoeffer2, Marc Guinjoan1, Toni Rodon2 Sebastian Sternberg2 1Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain. 1Cardiff University, United Kingdom. 2London School of Economics, United Kingdom 2University of Mannheim, Germany

1208: Varying Dimensionalities in Spatial University of Zurich, Switzerland Representations of Public Opinion 445: Does Issue Ownership Theory Apply to Garret Binding Individuals with Depressive Symptoms? Institute for Political Science, Zürich, Evidence from Self-Reported Depression and Switzerland Political Perceptions in Spain Luca Bernardi, Eva Anduiza, Guillem Rico Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain CP3 1216: Neural nonpartisans Comparative Politics Darren Schreiber Time: 11:20 - 13:10 University of Exeter, United Kingdom Date: 20th June 2019 166: Individuating versus Group-Related Location: PFC/0G/024 Components of the Self Concept: Implications for Party Polarization CP03 - Authoritarian Politics Emily West1, Shanto Iyengar2 Chair 1University of Pittsburgh, USA. 2Stanford Daniela Donno - University of Cyprus, Cyprus University, USA Discussant Alexander Baturo - Dublin City University, Ireland 153: Taking It Personal?: Investigating PE17 Personalism as an Autocratic Survival Strategy Political Economy Alexander Taaning Grundholm Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Aarhus University, Denmark Date: 20th June 2019 359: Why do incumbents invite electoral Location: MAPTC/0G/006 observation missions? Nasos Roussias1, Ruben Ruiz-Rufino2 PE17 - Protectionism 1University of Sheffield, United Kingdom. Chair 2King's College London, United Kingdom Erica Owen - University of Pittsburgh, USA 1146: The Value of Popular Input for Discussant Unelected Local Leaders: Evidence from China Amy Pond - Texas A&M University, USA Yue Guan, Christian Göbel 192: Exporting Protection: Geographical University of Vienna, Austria Indications in EU Trade Agreements 1264: Strategies of dissent and electoral Martijn Huysmans processes in autocracies Utrecht University, Netherlands Roman-Gabriel Olar 977: Backward-Engineering Trade Protection: Trinity College Dublin, Ireland EstimatingWorldwide Industry-Level Trade Barriers Marco Martini EPSA Council Meeting Princeton University, USA Time: 12:00 - 13:10 251: Trade Policy in a “GVC World”: Date: 20th June 2019 Multinational Corporations and Trade Location: Senate Room Liberalization 1 1 2 Christina Anderer , Andreas Dür , Lisa Lechner EL31 1University of Salzburg, Austria. 2University of Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Innsbruck, Austria Time: 13:20 - 15:10 266: Worth fighting for? The selection of Date: 20th June 2019 Foreign Trade Barriers for WTO litigation Location: LAN/0G/074 Sven Van Kerckhoven Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium EL31 - Frontiers in Political Psychology 1215: Social preferences for margins of trade Chair Santiago López-Cariboni Christine Sylvester - Binghamton University, USA Universidad Católica del Uruguay, Uruguay Discussant Beth Leech - Rutgers University, USA 619: The role of candidates' personality in PC3 elections: evidence from a varying conjoint Political Communication and Media experiment Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Alberto López Ortega Date: 20th June 2019

Location: MAPTC/0G/017 571: Incumbency Advantage in Open versus Closed list: Evidence from Colombia PC03 - Digital media, disinformation, and denial Leandro De Magalhaes1, Dominik Hangartner2, of service: contentious politics in cyberspace Salomo Hirvonen1, Nelson A. Ruiz3, Janne Chair Tukiainen4 Ayşenur Dal - Bilkent University, Turkey 1University of Bristol, United Kingdom. 2ETH Discussant Zurich, Switzerland. 3University of Oxford, Ayşenur Dal - Bilkent University, Turkey. Chengli United Kingdom. 4LSE, United Kingdom Wang - Shanghai University of Finance and 576: Competent Candidates in Opposing Party Economics, China Strongholds: Effect of Past Party Performance 222: The Effect of the Internet of Contentious for RDD Estimates of Incumbency Advantage Politics in Authoritarian Regimes Salomo Hirvonen Nadiya Kostyuk, Yuri Zhukov University of Bristol, United Kingdom University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA 1039: Challenger Quality as a Moderator of 229: The Use of Twitter Bots in Russian the Incumbency Advantage in Personalized PR Political Communication Systems Denis Stukal1, Sergey Sanovich2, Richard Michael Jankowski1, Stefan Müller2 Bonneau1, Joshua Tucker1 1University of Oldenburg, Germany. 2University 1New York University, USA. 2Stanford of Zurich, Switzerland University, USA 837: Do Mayors Hurt Their Party? Local 423: Strategic use and disuse of social media Incumbency and Performance in General in the Syrian conflict Elections Anita Gohdes1, Zachary Steinert-Threlkeld2 Ozge Kemahlioglu 1Hertie School of Governance, Germany. Sabanci University, Turkey 2UCLA, USA 323: Hot Topics: Cyberattacks on News Websites in Competitive Autocracies PE3 Philipp M. Lutscher Political Economy University of Konstanz, Germany Time: 13:20 - 15:10 475: Political Astroturfing in Electoral Date: 20th June 2019 Campaigns: a comparison between the South Location: PFC/02/018 Korean and the US presidential election Chair: TBC Franziska Keller1, David Schoch2, Sebastian Discussant: TBC 3 4 Stier , JungHwan Yang 1Hong Kong University of Science and PE03 - Experiments and Quasi-Experiments in Technology, Hong Kong. 2University of Political Economy Manchester, United Kingdom. 3GESIS, Chair Germany. 4Univeristy of Illinois at Urbana- Vera Troeger - University of Warwick, United Champaign, USA Kingdom Discussant Elias Dinas - European University Institute, Italy EL3 151: Strategic uncertainty and group bias Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Dominik Duell1, Catherine Hafer2, Dimitri Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Landa2 Date: 20th June 2019 1University of Essex, United Kingdom. 2New Location: PFC/02/017 York University, USA 265: The Democrat Disaster: Natural Hazard EL03 - Incumbency Advantage Exposure, Risk Aversion and Insurance Chair Demand Stefan Muller - Zurich, Switzerland RALUCA PAHONTU Discussant UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD, United Kingdom Suthan Krishnarajan - Aarhus, Denmark 380: Does platforming extremists fuel 1056: The Incumbency Advantage vs. the extremist views? Winner Advantage: Examining the behavior of Diane Bolet1, Elizabeth Morrow2, Florian Foos2 the runners-up 1London School of Economics and Political Leandro De Magalhaes, Salomo Hirvonen Science, United Kingdom. 2King's College University of Bristol, United Kingdom London, United Kingdom

315: Political Repercussions of Open Borders EU3 - The European Parliament Dalston Ward, Andreas Beerli, Dominik Chair Hangartner Katjana Gattermann - University of Amsterdam, ETH Zurich, Switzerland Netherlands 806: Public finances and fiscal windfalls: A Discussant quasi-experimental study on fiscal behaviors Fabio Franchino - Università degli Studi di Milano, Simon Berset, Mark Schelker Italy University of Fribourg, Switzerland 509: Why Do Women Speak Less? Disentangling Gender Differences in European Parliament Speechmaking LE3 Verena Kunz, Britt Bolin Legislative Studies and Party Politics University of Mannheim, Germany Time: 13:20 - 15:10 1007: Out of the dark: voting behaviour in Date: 20th June 2019 roll-call votes in European Parliament Location: PFC/02/025 committees Lukas Obholzer LE03 - Gender and Legislatures II Free University of Berlin, Germany Chair 520: What is in the "bag"? Parliamentary David Fortunato - Texas A&M, USA questions of MEPs as a Proxy of Constituency Discussant Focus: Effect of Electoral Institutions and Tiffany D. Barnes - University of Kentucky, USA Career Ambitions 418: Can s/he do the job? A study showing Aleksandra Khokhlova how German representatives control male University of Mannheim, Germany and female ministers 598: Personalized legislative behaviour? The Corinna Kroeber1, Sarah C. Dingler2 case of the European Union 1University of Greifswald, Germany. 2University Katjana Gattermann of Salzburg, Austria University of Amsterdam, Netherlands 1027: Media and Gender Politics in East Asia: 504: Committee Bias, Policy Complexity and A Text Analysis of Newspaper Articles on Legislative Efficiency Legislative Activities Steffen Hurka1, Constantin Kaplaner2, Jaemin Shim1, Elena Koreshenko2 Maximilian Haag3 1German Institute of Global and Area Studies, 1LMU Munich, Germany. 2University of Germany. 2Free University Berlin, Germany Konstanz, Germany. 3University of Mannheim, 496: Gender in government: a comparative Germany analysis of the effects of gender on ministerial stability. Conor Little LE20 University of Limerick, Ireland Legislative Studies and Party Politics 518: Women's representation in Time: 13:20 - 15:10 parliamentary parties: A comparative analysis Date: 20th June 2019 Pamela Pansardi1, Luca Pinto2 Location: PFC/03/005 1 2 University of Pavia, Italy. University of Bologna, Italy LE20 - New Directions in Institutional Change 633: The Effects of Sibling Gender and Order Chair on Political Aspirations Sarah Engler - University of Zurich, Switzerland Rasmus T. Pedersen1, Jens Olav Dahlgaard2 Discussant 1The Danish Center for Social Science Research, Lucas Leeman - University of Zurich, Switzerland Denmark. 2Copenhagen Business School, 1091: Solving the Babylon problem – The Denmark formation of transnational political groups in international parliaments Siyana Timcheva EU3 University of Zurich, Switzerland EU Politics 62: Reforming to Survive: The Bolshevik Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Origins of the Welfare State Date: 20th June 2019 Magnus Bergli Rasmussen1, Carl Henrik Location: PFC/02/026 Knutsen2

1Institute for Social Research, Norway. Christian Arnold - Cardiff University, United 2University of Oslo, Norway Kingdom 131: Divided Governments and Corruption: 85: An Examination of How the United States Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Reports on Refugee Crises Over Time Design in American State Governments Thorin Wright, Rebecca Cordell Elisabeth de Vega Alavedra Arizona State University, USA Durham University, United Kingdom 1130: What Drives Expenditure Allocation in IOs? Problem Pressure, Donor Interests, and Bureaucratic Resource Mobilization in the CP4 UNHCR and IOM Comparative Politics Svanhildur Thorvaldsdottir, Ronny Patz, Klaus Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Goetz Date: 20th June 2019 LMU Munich, Germany Location: PFC/03/006A 169: Complexity and Compliance in the Inter- American Human Rights System CP04 - Political Economy of Hybrid Regimes Cristiane Lucena Carneiro1, Simone Wegmann2 Chair 1University of Sao Paulo, Brazil. 2University of Amy (Yunyu) Chiang - University of Pittsburgh, USA Bremen, Germany Discussant 282: Raising issues of fairness and harm: Francesc Amat - IPERG-University of Barcelona Individual opinions in the European Court of 578: Miami Vice: The Effect of Anti-Corruption Human Rights Campaigns on Money Laundering Zoltan Fazekas1, Øyvind Stiansen2 David Szakonyi 1Copenhagen Business School, Denmark. GWU and Higher School of Economics, USA 2University of Oslo, Norway 605: Controlled Confusion: Manipulation of Public Attribution of Responsibility in Autocracies CF3 Georgiy Syunyaev International and Domestic Conflict Columbia University, USA Time: 13:20 - 15:10 690: Why So Insecure? The Benefits to Date: 20th June 2019 Autocrats from Popular Approval Location: PFC/03/011 Noah Buckley NYU Abu Dhabi, Higher School of Economics, CF03 - Migration and conflict UAE Chair 746: Three worlds of hierarchy: Empirical Seraina Ruegger - ETH Zurich, Switzerland variations in international influence from Discussant theoretical variations in state structure Mascha Rauschenbach - German Institute for Yuval Weber1, Theocharis Grigoriadis2 Development Evaluation (DEval), Germany 1Daniel Morgan Graduate School, USA. 2Free 206: Parochialism, Social Norms, and University, Germany Discrimination Against Immigrants 699: Presidents, parliaments, and incentives Mathias Poertner1, Donghyun Danny Choi2, for public investments during elections Nicholas Sambanis2 Haakon Gjerløw 1University of California, Berkeley, USA. University of Oslo, Norway 2University of Pennsylvania, USA 334: Natural Hazards, Migratory Flows and Conflict Risk IR3 Kristina Petrova International Relations Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Uppsala University, Sweden Date: 20th June 2019 448: Violence, Generosity and Location: PFC/03/006B Politics: Evidence from IDP Hosting during the Syrian Crisis IR03 - Refugees and Human Rights Alexandra Hartman1, Benjamin Morse2, Sigrid Chair Weber1 Gurur Polat - University of Freiburg, Germany 1UCL, United Kingdom. 2MIT, USA Discussant

790: LOOK WHO PERPETRATES VIOLENCE: Explaining The Variation in Forced Migration ME02 - Beyond the Null Hypothesis Oguzhan Turkoglu Chair Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Max Goplerud - Harvard University, USA 833: REBEL TERRITORY CONTROL AND Discussant FORCED MIGRATION Kevin Clarke - University of Rochester, USA Oguzhan Turkoglu 320: A Bayesian method for aggregating Trinity College Dublin, Ireland evidence from diverse statistical models Lion Behrens1, Rebecca M. Kuiper2 1 University of Mannheim, Germany. EL17 2University of Utrecht, Netherlands Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 378: Estimating the Probability of an Effect: Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Why Bayesian Posteriors Are Practically More Date: 20th June 2019 Informative than p-Values Location: PFC/03/017 Akisato Suzuki University College Dublin, Ireland EL17 - Religion and Electoral Politics 1161: Hypothesis Testing with Compositional Chair Dependent Variables in Cross-Section and Alexandra Cirone - Cornell University, USA Time-Series in Political Science Discussant Natalia de Paula Moreira Marc Guinjoan - Uni Autonoma de Barcelona, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil Spain 689: On Estimating Predicted Probabilities in 567: God and the Ballot Box: Evidence from Binary Outcome Panel Models Victorian Britain Casey Crisman-Cox Samuel Mellish Texas A&M, USA Durham University, United Kingdom 701: THE LONG SHADOW OF THE CROSS: RELIGION AND VOTING DURING FRANCE’S CP5 THIRD REPUBLIC Comparative Politics Christophe Lévêque1, Carles Boix2, Filip Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Kostelka3 Date: 20th June 2019 1Toulouse School of Economics, France. Location: PFC/0G/024 2 3 Princeton University, USA. Essex University, United Kingdom CP05 - Populism 718: How Voter and Candidate Religiosity Chair Affect Vote Choices: Experimental Evidence Shane Reynolds - University of Limerick, Ireland from Turkey Discussant Yusuf Magiya1, M. Tahir Kilavuz2 Daria Kazarinova - RUDN University, Russian 1Columbia University, USA. 2University of Notre Federation Dame, USA 43: Populist Roots: Variation in Grassroots 737: Religiosity and political participation - Success of the Five Star Movements some evidence from Poland Hadas Aron1, Chiara Superti2, Filippo Teoldi2 Jan Fałkowski, Przemysław Kurek 1New York University, USA. 2Columbia University of Warsaw, Poland University , USA 1244: The Conceptualization and 156: Populism from Within: Putin & the rise of Measurement of Religion in Public Opinion Russian populism Research Pauline Jones, Anil Menon Lyman Kellstedt1, James Guth2, Corwin Smidt3 University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA 1Wheaton College (Emeritus), USA. 2Furman 1052: What’s in a Buzzword? Populism and its University, USA. 3Calvin College, USA Host Ideologies in Political Science Research Fred Paxton, Sophia Hunger European University Institute, Italy ME2 432: The context of the relationship between Political Methodology right-wing Eurosceptic vote and anti- Time: 13:20 - 15:10 globalization attitudes Date: 20th June 2019 Josep Maria Comellas, Mariano Torcal Location: PFC/0G/007 Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Spain

444: Knowledge vs. Numbers - Electoral Competition with Differently Informed Voters EL32 Benoit Crutzen, Dana Sisak, Otto Swank Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands Time: 15:20 - 17:00 489: Optimal Checks and Balances under Date: 20th June 2019 Policy Uncertainty Location: LAN/0G/074 Gabriele Gratton1, Massimo Morelli2 1 2 UNSW Sydney, Australia. Bocconi University, EL32 - Voter prejudice Italy Chair Alberta Ortega - University of Zurich, Switzerland Discussant PC4 Luca Bernardi - University Autonoma de Barcelona, Political Communication and Media Spain Time: 15:20 - 17:00 716: Not Competent, not Warm or just not Date: 20th June 2019 Citizen Enough? Explaining Voter Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Discrimination against Immigrant-Origin Candidates PC04 - Mixed Methods for Studying Political Lea Portmann Discourse on Twitter University of Lucerne, Switzerland Chair 230: Race, Racism and the 2016 Presidential Olga Eisele - University of Vienna, Austria Election Discussant Mark Stinson Olga Eisele - University of Vienna, Austria. Akitaka University of Texas at El Paso, USA Matsuo - LSE, United Kingdom 298: Do Threats Galvanize Authoritarians or 712: Constructing a rhetorical framework for Mobilize Non-Authoritarians? Experimental analysing Twitter users' attitudes towards Tests from 19 European Societies social media blocklists (submitted for the Christopher Claassen1, Lauren McLaren2 proposed panel examining the application of 1University of Glasgow, United Kingdom. a mixed set of quantitative and qualitative 2University of Leicester, United Kingdom methods for the study of mediated political 680: Effect of Dual Citizenship on Electoral discourse on Twitter) Viability Dawn Wheatley1, Eirik Vatnoey2 Yiqian (Alice) Wang 1Dublin City University, Ireland. 2University of Stanford University, USA Oslo, Norway 628: Contextualising hashtag-based publics for political discourse analysis on Twitter PE18 (submitted for the proposed panel examining Political Economy the application of a mixed set of quantitative Time: 15:20 - 17:00 and qualitative methods for the study of Date: 20th June 2019 mediated political discourse on Twitter) Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Dónal Mulligan Dublin City University, Ireland PE18 - Advances in Formal Theory 673: A Theoretical Foundation and Practical Chair Methodology for Situating Political Benjamin Ogden - Texas A&M, USA Participation in Mediated Public Discourse Discussant (submitted for the proposed panel examining Livio Di Lonardo - Bocconi University, Italy the application of a mixed set of quantitative 1021: Leaders, Factions and Party Unity and qualitative methods for the study of Benoit Crutzen1, Sabine Flamand2 mediated political discourse on Twitter) 1Erasmus University, Netherlands. 2Roviri I J. Clark Powers Virgili University, Spain Dublin City University, Ireland 413: The Effects of Communication on the 740: Monitoring cross platform flows and Occurrence of the Tyranny of the Majority strategic manipulation of political discourse under Voting by Veto regarding #Irexit (submitted for the proposed Jan Sauermann, Paul Beckmann panel examining the application of a mixed University of Cologne, Germany set of quantitative and qualitative methods

for the study of mediated political discourse 1120: Ideology and Donations to the UN on Twitter) System Niamh Kirk Svanhildur Thorvaldsdottir Dublin City University, Ireland LMU Munich, Germany 1150: Digital Style and Political Realism soenke ehret EL4 Nuffield College, United Kingdom Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Date: 20th June 2019 LE4 Location: PFC/02/017 Legislative Studies and Party Politics Time: 15:20 - 17:00 EL04 - Turnout Date: 20th June 2019 Chair Location: PFC/02/025 Salomo Hirvonen - Bristol, United Kingdom Discussant LE04 - Legislative Speech II Michael Jankowski - Oldenburg, Germany Chair 594: Childbirth, Early Voting, and Turnout Kenneth Benoit - London School of Economics and Sirus Dehdari, Sven Oskarsson, Karl-Oskar Political Science, United Kingdom Lindgren Discussant Uppsala University, Sweden Sven-Oliver Proksch - University of Cologne, 670: The Dynamics of Turnout Over Two Germany. Kenneth Benoit - London School of Elections Using ‘Bigger’ Data Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom Jack Vowles, Matthew Gibbons 792: The electoral connection in Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand parliamentary debates: how legislative speeches and direct communication to the public interact. PE4 Daniela Giannetti, Claudia Roberta Combei, Political Economy Matteo Farnè, Luca Pinto Time: 15:20 - 17:00 University of Bologna, Italy Date: 20th June 2019 965: Legislative Speeches and Domestic Location: PFC/02/018 Conflict: The Case of the Philippines Chair: TBC Jonathan Lewis1, Naoko Matsumura2, Kazuhiro Discussant: TBC Obayashi3, Aya Watanabe4 1 2 Hitotsubashi University, Japan. Kobe PE04 - Political economy of political ideology University, Japan. 3University of Oxford, United Chair Kingdom. 4Waseda University, Japan Dominik Duell - University of Essex, United 831: Patterns of Legislative Speeches in the Kingdom Parliament of Canada Discussant Jean-Francois Godbout1, Christopher Christina Schneider - UC San Diego, USA Cochrane2, Florence Vallee-Dubois1 171: A Model of Ideology in Authoritarian 1University of Montreal, Canada. 2University of Regimes Toronto, Canada Tinghua Yu 425: Tracking personalization in British London School of Economics, United Kingdom Maiden Speeches from 1945-2017 177: Class or Economic Voting? Evidence from Marie Kaldahl Nielsen Social Mobility in Victorian England Aarhus University, Denmark Torun Dewan1, Jaakko Meriläinen2, Janne 172: Exploring Female Legislators’ Policy Tukiainen1 Agenda Using a Dynamic Topic Model 1London School of Economics and Political Gail McElroy1, Miriam Sorace2, Constantine Science, United Kingdom. 2Stockholm Boussalis1 University, Sweden 1Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland. 2London 570: Politician Quality, Ideology and Fiscal School of Economics, United Kingdom Policy Jaakko Meriläinen IIES, Stockholm University, Sweden EU4 EU Politics

Time: 15:20 - 17:00 1221: Political Extremism and Legal Date: 20th June 2019 Revolution Location: PFC/02/026 Benjamin Schupmann Duke Kunshan University, China EU4 - Interest Groups & Lobbying in the EU and 144: Political privilege and democratic theory Beyond Aris Trantidis Chair University of Lincoln, United Kingdom Adriana Bunea - University of Bergen, Norway 658: Discursive representation: a compelling Discussant opportunity for local democracy Heike Kluever - Humboldt University of Berlin, Vanessa Liston Germany Dublin City University, Ireland 1125: Politicized Senior Staffing and Work Attitudes: Evidence from European Countries Hyunjung Kim PA2 Korea University, Korea, Republic of Public Policy and Public Administration 1031: Regulating Supranational Lobbying Time: 15:20 - 17:00 through Voluntary Transparency Clubs: a Date: 20th June 2019 Gold-Member perspective. Location: PFC/03/006A 1 2 Adriana Bunea , Vlad Gross 1University of Southampton, United Kingdom. PA02 - Influences on policy outcomes 2University of Antwerp, Belgium Chair 743: Defining and Measuring Policy Linna Martén - Uppsala University, Sweden Complexity: Evidence from EU Rules Discussant Roman Senninger John Witte - University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA Aarhus University, Denmark 738: Interest Group Access to the 1061: Interest group policy position-taking: A Government: Who Gets It? tale of dimensional salience and party policy? Tom Paskhalis Vibeke Wøien Hansen London School of Economics, United Kingdom University of Oslo, Norway 637: It’s All About the Money: Scaling 1078: A Tale of Asymmetry? Explaining Environmental NGOs and their Donors Coalitions between Political Parties and Adam Ramey1, Lawrence Rothenberg2 Interest Groups 1NYU Abu Dhabi, UAE. 2University of Elin Haugsgjerd Allern1, Vibeke Wøien Hansen1, Rochester, USA David Marshall2, Simon Otjes3 584: Status-quo bias in comparative 1University of Oslo, Norway. 2University of perspective: Agenda-setting by interest Reading, United Kingdom. 3Groeningen groups and political parties in the United University , Netherlands States, the United Kingdom, Germany and The Netherlands 1 1 Joost Berkhout , Patrick Statsch , Patrick PT2 Bernhagen2, Beth Leech3, Amy McKay4, Adam Political Theory Chalmers5 Chair: TBC 1University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. Time: 15:20 - 17:00 2University of Stuttgart, Germany. 3Rutgers Date: 20th June 2019 University, USA. 4Exeter University, United Location: PFC/03/005 Kingdom. 5Kings College, United Kingdom 1049: Bureaucrats as Legislators: The PT02 - Democratic Theory Influence of Independent Regulators on the Chair Liberalisation of the Railways in Europe Keith Sutherland - University of Exeter, United Luca Bellodi Kingdom University College London, United Kingdom Discussant 1222: Explaining Variation in the Architecture Alexander Motchoulski - University of Arizona, USA of Social Policy Portfolios: The Interplay of 517: Random Assemblies as Guardians of Political Parties and Institutions Democracy Xavier Fernández-i-Marín, Christoph Knill Peter Stone1, Anthoula Malkopoulou2 LMU Munich, Germany 1Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 2Uppsala University , Sweden

IR4 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. International Relations 2University of Essex, United Kingdom. 3Hertie Time: 15:20 - 17:00 School of Governance, Germany Date: 20th June 2019 410: Transnational Terrorism and Restrictive Location: PFC/03/006B Immigration Policies 1 2 Marc Helbling , Daniel Meierrieks IR04 - International Organizations in Times of 1University of Bamberg, Germany. 2WZB Berlin Conflict and Withdrawals Social Science Center, Germany Chair 442: Racist Substitution? Impact of Jihadist Daniel Finke - Aarhus University, Denmark attacks on the perception of discrimination Discussant among Muslims Daniel Finke - Aarhus University, Denmark Marco Giani 81: The Rise and Fall of International King's College London, United Kingdom Organizations 148: Electoral Incentives and Violence against Julia Gray Refugees University of Pennsylvania, USA Kerstin Fisk1, Burcu Savun2 263: The Costs of Membership Withdrawal 1Loyola Marymount University, USA. from Intergovernmental Organizations 2University of Pittsburgh, USA Inken von Borzyskowski1, Felicity Vabulas2 1 2 Florida State University, USA. Pepperdine University, USA EL18 300: International Organizations and the Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Reassertion of National Sovereignty Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Gisela Hirschmann Date: 20th June 2019 Leiden University, Netherlands Location: PFC/03/017 865: Referendums on International Cooperation: Between Integration and EL18 - Immigration and attitudes Disintegration Chair Catherine de Vries1, Sara Hobolt2, Stefanie Samuel Mellish - Durham University, United Walter3 Kingdom 1Free University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. Discussant 2LSE, United Kingdom. 3University of Zurich, Christopher Leveque - Toulouse School of Switzerland Economics, France 777: Attitudes toward immigration and the effectiveness of state institutions CF4 Federico Vegetti, Paolo Segatti International and Domestic Conflict University of Milan, Italy Time: 15:20 - 17:00 963: Party influences and educational effects Date: 20th June 2019 on public opinion about immigration Location: PFC/03/011 Alina Vrânceanu European University Institute, Italy CF04 - Terrorism and Migration 436: Local Immigration and Support for Anti- Chair Immigration Parties: A Meta-Analysis Oguzhan Turkoglu - Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Sara Cools, Henning Finseraas Discussant Institute for Social Research, Norway Seraina Ruegger - ETH Zurich, Switzerland 1129: Do Integration Programs Improve Social 318: How Migration Policies Moderate the Integration? Diffusion of Terrorism Johannes Bergh1, Jeremy Ferwerda2, Henning Vincenzo Bove1, Tobias Bohmelt2 Finseraas1 1University of Warwick, United Kingdom. 1Institute for Social Research, Norway. 2University of Essex, United Kingdom 2Dartmouth, USA 325: Refugees and terrorism: the conditioning effect of migration policies Sergi Pardos-Prado1, Sara Polo2, Julian ME3 Wucherpfennig3 Political Methodology Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Date: 20th June 2019

Location: PFC/0G/007 Developing and Developed Democracies over the Past 5 Decades ME03 - Measurement Constantin Manuel Bosancianu Chair Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sebastian Juhl - University of Mannheim, Germany Sozialforschung, Germany Discussant 1142: The Relative Impact of Wealth Max Goplerud - Harvard University, USA Inequality on Social and Political Trust: A 330: Discriminating between Issue Voting Global Analysis Rules in Multiparty Elections Using Finite Wahideh Achbari, Bertjan Doosje Mixture Modeling University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Kirill Zhirkov 382: Divine Taxes: How Does Religion Shape University of Michigan, USA Redistributive Preferences in the Muslim 295: A Bayesian approach to modeling public World? opinion trends (applied to the Ahmed Ezzeldin Mohamed Eurobarometer) Columbia University, USA Jørgen Bølstad University of Oslo, Norway 393: Systematic measurement error in "soft EL33 systems" Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Kevin Clarke Time: 17:10 - 18:50 University of Rochester, USA Date: 20th June 2019 461: A Mixture Framework for Scaling with Location: LAN/0G/074 Anchoring Items Juraj Medzihorsky EL33 - Dynasties, personal vote University of Gothenburg, Sweden Chair 1011: Estimating preferences of European Lia Portmann - University of Lucerne, Switzerland Union legislators: A dynamic scaling model for Discussant comparable positions in the Council and the Marc Stinson - University of Texas, USA Parliament 532: Political Dynasties and Bicameralism: Philipp Broniecki Aristocracy Creation and Democratization University College London, United Kingdom Brenda Van Coppenolle Leiden University, Netherlands 907: SURE I VOTED FOR HIS FATHER: CP6 DYNASTICAL ADVANTAGE IN ELECTIONS - Comparative Politics EVIDENCE FROM IRELAND Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Kelsi Power-Spirlet1, Oguzhan Turkoglu2 Date: 20th June 2019 1Independent Researcher, USA. 2Trinity College Location: PFC/0G/024 Dublin, Ireland 384: Partisanship and the Effectiveness of CP06 - Inequality and Attitudes Personal Vote-Seeking Chair Thomas Fleming Christian Houle - Michigan State University, United University of Oxford, United Kingdom Kingdom 411: The construction of a Personal Vote and Discussant Political Particularism. Highlights from the Anthony McGann - University of Strathclyde, Italian Chamber of Deputies. United Kingdom Silvia Decadri 360: Economic Growth, Income Inequality, Trinity College Dublin, TCD, Ireland and Anti-establishment Attitudes Asli Cansunar, Spyros Kosmidis University of Oxford, United Kingdom PE19 514: Unequal We Feel - Heterogeneous Effects Political Economy of Local Development in Africa Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Tabea Palmtag Date: 20th June 2019 University of Zurich, Switzerland Location: MAPTC/0G/006 906: Socio-Economic Biases in Ideological Congruence and Participatory Disparities: PE19 - Political Economy of Franchise Extension Chair

Isabella Mares - Yale University, USA 1USC, USA. 2UCL, United Kingdom. 3Waseda Discussant University, Japan Patrick Kuhn - University of Durham, United 280: How Perceptions of Information Gap Kingdom Shapes Censorship Tolerance: Experimental 464: Ballots instead of rocks? The impact of Evidence in China the Voting Rights Act on political violence Chengli Wang1, Xiaoyu Pu2 Jean Lacroix 1Shanghai University of Finance and Université libre de Bruxelles, Belgium Economics, China. 2University of Nevada, Reno, 706: Democratizing from Within: British Elites USA and the Expansion of the Franchise 742: Social-Psychological Dynamics of Online Chitralekha Basu1, Carles Boix2, Sonia Political Contention in High-Risk Contexts: A Giurumescu1, Paulo Serôdio1 Survey Experiment in Russia 1University of Barcelona, Spain. 2Princeton Aysenur Dal1, Erik Nisbet2, Olga Kamenchuk2 University, USA 1Bilkent University, Turkey. 2Ohio State 659: Extension of the franchise and University, USA government expenditure on public goods: evidence from nineteenth century England Jonathan Chapman EL5 New York University Abu Dhabi, UAE Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 502: Democracy As You Like It? - Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Disentangling the Effect of Preferences from Date: 20th June 2019 Institutional Impact Location: PFC/02/017 Selina Hofstetter London School of Economics and Political EL05 - Liars and Cheats Science, United Kingdom Chair 987: Right or Left: the Political Legacy of Sirus Dehdari - Uppsala, Sweden Female Suffrage Discussant Toni Rodon Sirus Dehdari - Uppsala, Sweden London School of Economics and Political 247: When does cheating matter? Electoral Science, United Kingdom malpractice and political trust in democracies and autocracies Marlene Mauk PC5 GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Political Communication and Media Germany Time: 17:10 - 18:50 723: Vote buying as a signaling game and its Date: 20th June 2019 experimental evidence Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Sergio Ascencio, Han Il Chang New York University-Abu Dhabi, UAE PC05 - Political communication in authoritarian 1095: Political Lie Detection systems Jonathan Woon Chair University of Pittsburgh, USA Anita Gohdes - Hertie School of Governance, 1037: Detecting electoral manipulation in a Germany consolidated democracy: RDD evidence from Discussant Spanish local elections Anita Gohdes - Hertie School of Governance, Albert Falcó-Gimeno, Pilar Sorribas-Navarro, Germany. Denis Stukal - New York University, USA Jordi Muñoz 105: Dimensions of Electronic Political University of Barcelona, Spain Engagement: New Media, Old Media, and Public Opinion in Russia’s Contested Election Season of 2011-12 PE5 Hannah Chapman1, Theodore Gerber2 Political Economy 1Miami University, USA. 2University of Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Wisconsin-Madison, USA Date: 20th June 2019 187: Independent Media in Autocracies Location: PFC/02/018 1 2 Bryn Rosenfeld , Katerina Tertytchnaya , Kohei Watanabe3 PE05 - Austerity and Economic Adjustment Chair

Vera Troeger - University of Warwick, United 202: Beyond text as data: Computer vision in Kingdom political research Discussant Dominic Nyhuis1, Lion Behrens2, Thomas Yotam Margalit - Tel Aviv University, Israel Gschwend2, Tobias Ringwald3, Saquib Sarfraz3, 168: Who’s to blame? How financial crises Rainer Stiefelhagen3 and technocrats change (or not) the welfare 1Leibniz University Hannover, Germany. state in Europe 2University of Mannheim, Germany. 3Karlsruhe Despina Alexiadou Institute of Technology, Germany University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom 250: Does Austerity Cause Polarization? Evelyne Hübscher1, Thomas Sattler2, Markus EU5 Wagner3 EU Politics 1Central European University, Hungary. Time: 17:10 - 18:50 2University of Geneva, Switzerland. 3University Date: 20th June 2019 of Vienna, Austria Location: PFC/02/026 433: Popular Austerity Timothy Hicks, Lucy Barnes EU5 - Inter-Institutional Relations University College London, United Kingdom Chair 476: We’d rather pay than changeThe politics Anastasia Ershova - London School of Economics, of German non-adjustment in the Eurocrisis United Kingdom Nils Redeker, Stefanie Walter Discussant University of Zurich, Switzerland Bjørn Høyland - University of Oslo, Norway 1098: What Do Citizens Think About Fiscal 401: Beyond policy positions and power: An Austerity? A Cross-Country Analysis analysis of the procedural impact of trilogue Karsten Mause negotiations on the quality of EU legislation University of Muenster, Germany Alexander Hoppe Utrecht University, Netherlands 375: Legal Instrument Choice in the European LE5 Union Legislative Studies and Party Politics Yves Steinebach, Steffen Hurka Time: 17:10 - 18:50 LMU Munich, Germany Date: 20th June 2019 771: When parties collide: The impact of Location: PFC/02/025 intra-EP dynamics on the on delegation choice in the EU. LE05 - Non-verbal data in legislative studies Sebastian Popa1, Anastasia Ershova2 Chair 1Newcastle University , United Kingdom. 2The Rebecca Glazier - University of Arkansas at Little London School Of Economics and Political Rock, USA Science, United Kingdom Discussant 242: Institutional Evolution in the EU: The Nolan McCarty - Princeton University, USA emerging balance of powers 459: If you’re happy and you know it, clap Amie Kreppel your hands: measuring the coalition mood University of Florida, USA using nonverbal communication in the legislature Michael Imre1, Alejandro Ecker2, Thomas CP17 Meyer3, Wolfgang C. Müller3 Comparative Politics 1University of Mannheim, Germany. 2MZES, Time: 17:10 - 18:50 University of Mannheim, Germany. 3University Date: 20th June 2019 of Vienna, Austria Location: PFC/03/005 1231: Facing the Electorate: Computational Approaches to the Study of Nonverbal CP17 - Electoral and party system origins Communication and Voter Impression Chair Formation Damien Bol - King’s College London, United Constantine Boussalis1, Travis Coan2 Kingdom 1Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 2University of Discussant Exeter, United Kingdom Damien Bol - King's College London, United Kingdom

1157: Broadening the Scope: Process, IR5 Negative Cases, and Short-Term Factors in the International Relations Study of Electoral Reform Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Ricardo Carvalho Date: 20th June 2019 Universidade Europeia, Portugal Location: PFC/03/006B 80: A Socialist Threat? Radical Party Entry, the Formation of Electoral Alliances, and the IR05 - Norms and Rules in International Introduction of Proportional Representation Organizations André Walter Chair University of St. Gallen, Switzerland Gisela Hirschmann - Leiden University, 549: How much does fairness matter to Netherlands voters? Discussant Shaun Bowler 1, Daniel Biggers2 Inken von Borzyskowski - Florida State University, 1UC Riverside , USA. 2UC Riverside, USA USA 490: Dynamic Party System Fragmentation 305: Networks in international organizations: José Antonio Cheibub1, Thiago Moreira1, Gisela how governance principles influence the rise, Sin2, Keigo Tanabe1 orientation, and evolution of World Bank 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2University of trust funds Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA Simone Dietrich1, Bernhard Reinsberg2, Martin 880: Labor market Organization and the Steinwand3 Introduction of Proportional Representation 1University of Geneva, Switzerland. 2University Magnus Rasmussen, Haakon Gjerløw of Glasgow, United Kingdom. 3University of University of Oslo, Norway Essex, United Kingdom 63: Organization Works: Hours of Work and the International Labor Organization PE29 Magnus Bergli Rasmussen Political Economy Institute for social research, Norway Time: 17:10 - 18:50 457: Explaining Diplomatic Deliberative Date: 20th June 2019 Practices in International Organizations Location: PFC/03/006A Gurur Polat University of Freiburg, Germany PE29 - New Directions in Inequality 914: Minimal Participation Criteria in Chair International Treaties: Explaining Their Impact Jonas Markgraf - University of Oxford, United on Multilateral Cooperation Kingdom Christian Arnold1, Doug Atkinson1, Carsten Discussant Schulz2 Christine Lipsmeyer - Texas A&M, USA 1Cardiff University, United Kingdom. 2Pontifica 22: The Political Effects of Wealth Universidad Catolica, Chile Inequality:Evidence from a Danish Land 245: Time for Discussions? The Institutional Reform Design of International Organizations Lasse Aaskoven between Diplomatic Deliberation and Speedy University of Essex, Department of Decision-Making Government, United Kingdom Franziska Hohlstein, Diana Panke 374: Is skewed unfair? Influence of the University of Freiburg, Germany structure and the level of income inequalities on redistributive behavior. Davy-Kim Lascombes, Ursa Bernardic CF5 University of Geneva, Switzerland International and Domestic Conflict 1210: Upward Representation Bias: How Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Voters Sustain Political Inequality Date: 20th June 2019 Sveinung Arnesen1, Dominik Duell2, Mikael Location: PFC/03/011 3 3 Johannesson , Yvette Peters 1NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Norway. CF05 - Climate and conflict 2University of Essex, United Kingdom. Chair 3University of Bergen, Norway David Marshall - University of Reading, United Kingdom Discussant

Defne Günay - Yasar University, Turkey 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. 306: Modeling the Subnational Risk of Acute 2University Carlos III of Madrid, Spain Malnutrition in Conflict-Affected Settings 1 2 1 Ravi Bhavnani , Karsten Donnay , Mirko Reul 1Graduate Institute Geneva, Switzerland. ME4 2University of Konstanz, Germany Political Methodology 729: Environmental migration, urbanization, Time: 17:10 - 18:50 and conflict Date: 20th June 2019 Vally Koubi1, Quynh Nguyen2, Gabriele Spilker3, Location: PFC/0G/007 4 Tobias Böhmelt 1ETH Zurich, Switzerland. 2Princeton University, ME04 - Space: the Final Frontier USA. 3University of Salzburg, Austria. Chair 4University of Essex, United Kingdom Thomas Pluemper - Vienna University of 1073: Crops, Shocks, and Conflict in Sub- Economics, Austria Saharan Africa: Beyond Opportunity-Based Discussant Explanations of Local Political Violence Thomas Pluemper - Vienna University of Yannick Pengl Economics, Austria. Akisato Suzuki - University ETH Zurich, Switzerland College Dublin, Ireland 1174: The dark side of renewable energy in 434: Testing for Spillover Effects in Cross- Kenya and Ethiopia: a sub-national analysis Sectional Studies: A Cautionary Tale exploring the climate variability, hydropower Sebastian Juhl and pastoral violence nexus University of Mannheim, Germany Alfonso Sanchez1, Alvaro Fernandez-Bremer2 1123: The Unequal Reach of Transnational 1Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Spain. 2ETH, Legal Institutions: Mapping, Predicting and Switzerland Explaining Spatial Disparities in EU Law Use Arthur Dyevre, Nicolas Lampach KU Leuven, Belgium EL19 1155: What to do when your neighbors are Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour missing: Missing data and imputation in Time: 17:10 - 18:50 spatial models Date: 20th June 2019 Brett Bessen, Srinivas Parinandi, Andrew Location: PFC/03/017 Philips University of Colorado Boulder, USA EL19 - New Directions in Research on Populism Chair Federico Vegetti - University of Milan, Italy CP7 Discussant Comparative Politics Alina Vranceau - EUI, Italy Time: 17:10 - 18:50 46: Nationalistic attitudes and solidarity in the Date: 20th June 2019 welfare state Location: PFC/0G/024 1 2 Carolin Rapp , Robert Klemmensen 1University of Copenhagen, Denmark. CP0 - (Mostly) Experimental Evidence on 2University of Southern Denmark, Denmark Immigration Politics 395: Rural Deprivation, Local Government Chair Efficiency, and Populist Radical Right Party Dalston Ward - ETH Zurich, Switzerland Support Discussant Conrad Ziller Max Schaub - WZB Berlin, Germany University of Cologne, Germany 133: Immigrant Sentiment and Labour Market 679: Mount Isa to Mainstream: The saliency Vulnerability: Economic Perceptions of of populism in post-Howard Australia Immigration in Dualized Labour Markets Luke Oldfield Anthony Kevins1, Naomi Lightman2 University of Auckland, New Zealand 1School of Governance, Utrecht University, 1006: Cordon Sanitaire or Uneasy Alliance? Netherlands. 2Department of Sociology, The Electoral Consequences of Populist University of Calgary, Canada Participation in Goverment Marco Pastor Mayo1, Pedro Riera2

687: Effect of Immigrant Enfranchisement on EL34 - Executive accountability Naturalization Rates: Evidence from Chair Switzerland Thomas Robinson - University of Oxford, United Yiqian (Alice) Wang Kingdom Stanford University, USA Discussant 925: What Makes an Immigrant “Illegal”? Kaisa Nalewajko - EUI, Italy. Mary Stegmaier - Experimental Evidence from Europe and the University of Missouri, USA US 477: On the Perils of Presidential Autonomy Miranda Simon1, Cassilde Schwartz2, David for the Institutionalization of European Party Hudson3, Jennifer Hudson1 Systems (1848-2014) 1University College London, United Kingdom. Fernando Casal Bértoa1, Till Weber2 2Royal Holloway University of London, United 1University of Nottingham, United Kingdom. Kingdom. 3University of Birmingham, United 2City University of New York, USA Kingdom 78: Potent Executives: The Electoral Strength 1055: The salience and politicization of of Prime Ministers in Central Eastern Europe. immigration during the refugee crisis in Jan Berz Germany, Austria and Switzerland Leuphana University Lüneburg, Germany Theresa Gessler, Sophia Hunger 356: Indirect presidential elections: A new European University Institute, Italy classification and global summary, 1945-2018 1259: Foreigners in hostile hinterlands: Local Philipp Köker exposure to refugees and right-wing support Leibniz University Hannover, Germany in Eastern Germany after the 2015 refugee 324: Political Corruption and Economic crisis Growth Max Schaub1, Johanna Gereke2, Delia Robert Grafstein, Rongbin Han Baldassarri3 University of Georgia, USA 1WZB, Germany. 2MZES, Germany. 3NYU, USA 727: Efficient but Crooked? Dilemmas and the Punishment of Corrupt Politicians Sofia Breitenstein, Enrique Hernández AGM Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain Time: 19:00 - 19:15 Date: 20th June 2019 Location: PFC/0G/007 PE20 EPSA AGM Political Economy Time: 9:30 - 11:10 President's Address Date: 21st June 2019 Time: 19:15 - 19:45 Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Date: 20th June 2019 Location: PFC/0G/007 PE20 - New Applications in Formal Theory EPSA AGM Chair Massimo Morelli - Bocconi University, Italy President's Reception Discussant Time: 20:00 - 21:30 Otto Swank - Erasmus School of Economics, Date: 20th June 2019 Netherlands Location: Whitla Hall 431: No Need for Democracy: inter-elite conflict and independence in the Andes Diversity Caucus Breakfast Raul Aldaz Time: 8:30 - 9:30 Queen Mary University of London, United Date: 21st June 2019 Kingdom Location: Great Hall 956: Overvaluing Deterrence in Counterterrorism EL34 Livio Di Lonardo Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Bocconi University, Italy Time: 9:30 - 11:10 127: Information Disclosure in Elections with Date: 21st June 2019 Sequential Costly Participation Location: LAN/0G/074 Dmitriy Vorobyev CERGE-EI, Czech Republic

1013: Compensational Voting PC6 and Perceptions of Power Sharing Among Political Communication and Media Voters Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Wolfgang C. Müller1, Hanna Bäck2, Daniel Date: 21st June 2019 Strobl1, Mariyana Angelova1 Location: MAPTC/0G/017 1University of Vienna, Austria. 2Lund University, Sweden PC06 - #EUsocialmedia 1252: Making and Breaking Coalitions: The Chair Influence of Prosociality and Rationality Dawn Wheatley - Dublin City University, Ireland Jan Sauermann1, Manuel Schwaninger2, Discussant Bernhard Kittel2 Dawn Wheatley - Dublin City University, Ireland. 1University of Cologne, Germany. 2University of Niamh Kirk - Dublin City University, Ireland Vienna, Austria 928: Politicians Tweets and Citizens’ Responses in Brexit Referendum Akitaka Matsuo, Kenneth Benoit PE6 LSE, United Kingdom Political Economy 624: Parties' use of online political Time: 9:30 - 11:10 microtargeting: evidence from 10,000 tailored Date: 21st June 2019 advertisements gathered during national Location: PFC/02/018 elections in Austria, Germany, Italy and Sweden PE06 - What to ask and how to ask about Alberto López Ortega preferences for redistribution University of Zurich, Switzerland Chair 87: Learning from likes: Party responsiveness Toni Rodon - London School of Economics and to social media reactions Political Science, United Kingdom Anita Bodlos, Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik, Discussant Christina Gahn, Martin Haselmayer Andreas Wiedemann - University of Oxford, United University of Vienna, Austria Kingdom 398: How Feedback on Twitter Incentivizes 246: Political preferences in social Politicians to Conform to Gender Stereotypes interactions Aina Gallego1, Gaël Le Mens2, Nikolas Schöll2 Paul Marx 1Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Internacionals, University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany Spain. 2Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain 629: Higher benefits, but at what cost? Introducing different trade-offs in the measurement of social policy preferences EL6 Macarena Ares, Matthias Enggist, Silja Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Häusermann, Michael Pinggera Time: 9:30 - 11:10 University of Zurich, Switzerland Date: 21st June 2019 826: Is international solidarity a question of Location: PFC/02/017 economic or cultural left-right ideology? A conjoint experiment on public support for EL06 - Coalition Politics European unemployment insurance in 13 EU Chair member states Bastiaan Bruinsma - Scula Normale Superiore, Italy Theresa Kuhm, Francesco Nicoli, Frank Discussant Vandenbroucke Kostas Gemenis - Max Plank, Germany University of Amsterdam, Netherlands 254: The Effect of Leaders on Coalition 581: (Unequal) responses to inequality: The Governments: Evidence from a Conjoint structure and origins of redistributive Experiment preferences across advanced democracies Alba Huidobro Steven Van Hauwaert1, Xavier Romero2 Institut de Barcelona d'Estudis de Barcelona 1Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, (IBEI), Spain Germany. 2Leuphana University in Lüneburg, Germany

LE6 341: One Union, different futures? Cross- Legislative Studies and Party Politics national variation in public preferences for Time: 9:30 - 11:10 the EU’s future and their explanations. Date: 21st June 2019 Andreas Goldberg, Erika van Elsas, Claes de Location: PFC/02/025 Vreese University of Amsterdam, Netherlands LE06 - Roll-call Voting Chair Monika Mühlböck - University of Vienna, Austria PT3 Discussant Political Theory Gregory Koger - University of Miami, USA Time: 9:30 - 11:10 836: Competing Logics of Roll Call Request in Date: 21st June 2019 the European Parliament Location: PFC/03/005 1 2 Bjørn Høyland , Simon Hug 1University of Oslo, Norway. 2University of PT03 - Liberalism and the Social Contract Geneva, Switzerland Chair 569: Party competition, election manifestos Peter Stone - Trinity College Dublin, Ireland and roll call votes in the formation process of Discussant a parliamentary democracy: Evidence from Aris Trantidis - University of Lincoln, United Weimar Germany Kingdom Marc Debus1, Martin Ejnar Hansen2 213: Preferences For Flexibility and Social 1University of Mannheim, Germany. 2Brunel Contracts University London, United Kingdom Carlo Ludovico Cordasco 874: The sanction that isn’t imposed? Roll-call University of Sheffield, United Kingdom voting loyalty and demotion in European 180: The Constitutional Point of View Parliament elections Nick Cowen Mihail Chiru1, Thomas Däubler2, Silje Synnøve New York University School of Law, USA Lyder Hermansen3 500: Contracting with(out) Children: The 1UCLouvain, Belgium. 2Mannheim Centre for Limits of the Social Contract European Social Research, Germany. Alexandra Oprea 3University of Oslo, Norway UNC Chapel Hill, USA 67: A Simple Model of the Difference Principle Takashi Suzuki EU6 MeijiGakuin University, Japan EU Politics Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Date: 21st June 2019 PE30 Location: PFC/02/026 Political Economy Time: 9:30 - 11:10 EU6 - Public And Elite Attitudes to Europe Date: 21st June 2019 Discussant Location: PFC/03/006A Jack Blumenau - University College, London, United Kingdom PE30 - The best policies and votes money can buy 588: The Public Legitimacy of the European Chair Union Noah Buckley - NYU Abu Dhabi, UAE Christopher Wratil1, Jens Wäckerle2 Discussant 1Harvard University, USA. 2University of Miriam Golden - UCLA, USA Cologne, Germany 1168: "Unintended Consequences: EU Funds, 1121: Elites' attitudes on European Political Corruption, and Power integration and solidarity Consolidation" Francesco Visconti, Alessandro Pellegata Albana Shehaj University of Milan, Italy University of Michigan, USA 733: Loved and feared: Citizens' attitudinal 548: Political Alignment of Firms and ambivalence towards free movement in the Employees: the Role of Asset Specificity European Union Jan Stuckatz Philipp Lutz London School of Economics and Political University of Bern, Switzerland Science, United Kingdom

339: Party Identification, the Policy Space, 840: Power in the Post-Conflict Period: The and Business Donations to Political Parties Effect of Armed Conflict on Women’s Political Iain McMenamin Leadership Positions Dublin City University, Ireland Britt Bolin, Cosima Meyer 564: What Do Parties’ Statements of Account University of Mannheim, Germany Tell? A Spatial Approach to Study Party 310: The Elasticity of Identity in Rwanda and Finance Structures Burundi Marc S. Jacob Ravi Bhavnani1, Kanish Debnath2 University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom 1Graduate Institute, Switzerland. 2FLAME 551: Are anti-corruption audits effective? University, India Evidence from Brazilian municipal employees 426: The Political Consequences of Wartime Romain Ferrali1, Galileu Kim2 Sexual Violence: Evidence from a List 1NYU, UAE. 2Princeton University, USA Experiment Belen Gonzalez1, Richard Traunmueller2 1 2 GIGA, Germany. University of Mannheim, IR6 Germany International Relations 135: Lip Service or Lasting Protection: The Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Effect of Transitional Justice Mechanisms on Date: 21st June 2019 Minority Rights Location: PFC/03/006B Claire Greenstein1, Katharine Aha2 1 Georgia Institute of Technology, USA. IR06 - The UN and global coordination 2Middlebury College, USA Chair Timon Forster - Freie Universität Berlin, Germany Discussant EL20 Anna Knaps - EUI, Italy Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 126: Convergence and Competition in Global Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Governance: Discourse Analysis of the Major Date: 21st June 2019 Powers’ Value Perceptions in the United Location: PFC/03/017 Nations General Assembly Debates Yuan Zhou, Kaoru Kurusu EL20 - Campaigning, more or less Kobe University, Japan Chair 290: Regime Type and Multilateral Marc Brazzil - Waseda University, Japan Cooperation in the UN General Assembly Discussant Daniel Finke Marc Brazzil - Waseda University, Japan Aarhus University, Denmark 563: The Economic Geography Behind 986: Talk and Action in the United Nations Challenger Parties Success. General Assembly - Vote-buying and the Francesco Colombo power to induce states to vote against their European University Institute, Italy own preferences 763: Do election campaigns tighten the Dennis Hammerschmidt margin of victory? A cross-country University of Mannheim, Germany comparison of the dynamics of vote margins Julia Partheymueller University of Vienna, Austria CF6 752: Campaigns, learning, and political International and Domestic Conflict knowledge Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Noam Lupu1, Luis Schiumerini2 Date: 21st June 2019 1Vanderbilt University, USA. 2University of Location: PFC/03/011 Notre Dame, USA

CF06 - Gender, identity, and conflict Chair ME5 Brandon Prins - University of Tennessee, USA Political Methodology Discussant Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Brandon Prins - University of Tennessee. Claire Date: 21st June 2019 Greenstein - Georgia Institute of Technology, USA Location: PFC/0G/007

ME05 - Complex Solutions to Complex Problems 50: Cannot Go Further without Consensus: Chair Assessing the Effects of Three Modes of Martin Steinwand - University of Essex, United Transitions on Democratic Survival Kingdom Huangting Yan Discussant University of Essex, United Kingdom Kristopher Ramsay - Princeton University, USA 649: Undemocratic Regime Types and 204: Modelling Heterogeneity Using Complex Immunization Against Extremism Sparsity Catarina Leão Max Goplerud University of Oxford, United Kingdom Harvard University, USA 198: A New Algorithm for Flexible Multiple Imputation: Generative Adversarial EL35 Imputation Nets to Impute Missing Values Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Marcel Neunhoeffer Time: 11:20 - 13:10 University of Mannheim, Germany Date: 21st June 2019 363: Estimating a Counter-Factual with Location: LAN/0G/074 Uncertainty through Gaussian Process Projection EL35 - The Female Factor in Candidates and David Carlson Legislators Koç University, Turkey Chair 776: Profiling Compliers and Non-compliers Till Weber - City University of New York, USA for Instrumental Variable Estimation Discussant Moritz Marbach, Dominik Hangartner William Daniel - Francis Marion University, USA ETH Zurich, Switzerland 608: Electorates’ Mind is for the Male Candidate; Negative Perception Towards Women Leadership Hindering the CP8 Performance of women Parliamentary Comparative Politics Candidates in Malawi. Time: 9:30 - 11:10 Samantha Soyiyo Date: 21st June 2019 University of Malawi, Chancellor College, Location: PFC/0G/024 Malawi 23: Gender and Political Suitability in the Irish CP0 - Transitions to Democracy Dáil. - A Goldberg Paradigm Experiment on Chair the Perception of Legislators’ Suitability for Alexander Baturo - Dublin City University, Ireland Office Discussant Marta Antonetti Sebastian Ziaja - German Development Institute, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Germany 184: How Gender Matters: Voters' Attitudes 154: Does Public Support Help Democracy about Men and Women in the 2016 U.S. Survive? Presidential Primary Christopher Claassen Meri Long1, Elizabeth Suhay2, Ryan Dawe3 University of Glasgow, United Kingdom 1University of Pittsburgh, USA. 2American 530: Democratization and Representative University, USA. 3Ohio State University, USA Bureaucracy---An Analysis of Promotion 215: Does Gender Stereotyping Affect Women Patterns in Indonesia's Civil Service, 1980- at the Ballot Box? Evidence from Local 2015 Elections in California, 1995-2016 Jan Pierskalla1, Adam Lauretig1, Drew Sarah Anzia1, Rachel Bernhard2 Rosenberg1, Audrey Sacks2 1University of California, Berkeley, USA. 1The Ohio State University, USA. 2The World 2Nuffield College, University of Oxford, United Bank, USA Kingdom 595: Changing patterns and relationships in 118: Do Gender Quotas Enhance Countries' the study of democratization International Reputations? Gudmund Horn Hermansen1, Carl Henrik Sarah Bush1, Pär Zetterberg2 Knutsen2, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård3 1Yale University, USA. 2Uppsala University, 1Norwegian Business School, BI, Norway. Sweden 2University of Oslo, Norway. 3PRIO, Norway

PE21 University of East Anglia, United Kingdom Political Economy 1097: Mobilizing Hate: Moral Emotional Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Content and Popular Support for Violence in Date: 21st June 2019 Online Media Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Jeffrey Javed1, Blake Miller2 1 2 University of Michigan, USA. Dartmouth PE21 - Peddling Influence College, USA Chair 1105: Mapping drivers of political interaction Jonathan Woon - University of Pittsburgh, USA on Twitter Discussant Ayjeren Rozyjumayeva Benoit Crutzen - Erasmus University, Netherlands University of Cologne, Germany 160: Buying Words: How Campaign Donations Influence the Congressional Economic Agenda Nathan Kelly1, Jana Morgan1, Chris Witko2, EL8 Peter Enns3 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 1University of Tennessee, USA. 2Penn State, Time: 11:20 - 13:10 USA. 3Cornell, USA Date: 21st June 2019 1265: Kickbacks and Limits on Campaign Location: PFC/02/017 Donations Nelson Ruiz1, Miguel Rueda2, Saad Gulzar3 EL08 - Emotions and Voting 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. 2Emory Chair University, USA. 3Standford, USA Alba Huidobro - Barcelona, Spain 676: Kompromat Discussant Ryan Hubert1, Andrew Little2 Romain Ferrali - New York University, UAE 1University of California, Davis, USA. 335: Feeling for War? How Anger and Fear 2University of California, Berkeley, USA Regulate Casualty Responsiveness 556: Are Goodwill Ambassadors Good for Casper Sakstrup1, Kristina Jessen Hansen2 Business? The Impact of Celebrities on IO 1Aarhus University, Denmark. 2Aalborg Fundraising University, Denmark Rabia Malik1, Svanhildur Thorvaldsdottir2 447: Is It Really that Bad? Depression, 1New York University Abu Dhabi, UAE. 2LMU Negativity Bias, and Political Evaluations Munich, Germany Luca Bernardi1, Robert Johns2 1Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain. 2 University of Essex, United Kingdom PC7 469: The dark side of the dark side - effects of Political Communication and Media narcissism on support for radical right parties Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Sabrina Mayer1, Carl Berning2, David Johann3 Date: 21st June 2019 1University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany. Location: MAPTC/0G/017 2University of Mainz, Germany. 3University of Zurich, Switzerland PC07 - Emotions in political communication 863: What if Citizens Have Too Much 449: A Survey Experiment on the Effects of Compassion or an Empathy Deficit? Explaining Emotional News Frames on Public Attitude Political Attitudes and Behavior with towards Climate Change Empathic Ability Gizem Arikan1, Defne Gunay2, Gizem Melek2 Florian S. Schaffner 1Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 2Yasar University of Oxford, United Kingdom University, Turkey 488: Negativity Biases in Responsiveness to Media Content and Political Ideology Across PE7 17 Countries Political Economy Patrick Fournier1, Stuart Soroka2, Lilach Nir3 Time: 11:20 - 13:10 1Universite de Montreal, Canada. 2University of Date: 21st June 2019 Michigan, USA. 3Hebrew University, Israel Location: PFC/02/018 663: Reporting on Trump: Do Trump tweets embedded in news articles influence public PE07 - Austerity and Policy opinion? Chair Delia Dumitrescu, Andrew Ross Silke Goubin - KU Leuven, Belgium

Discussant 367: Patterns of intra-coalition bargaining: Lucy Barnes - University College London, United Tracing the strategic use of legislative Kingdom amendments to shape the substance of policy 480: The Economic Consequences of Populists choices in Power Lion Behrens1, Dominic Nyhuis2, Thomas Brett Meyer, Jordan Kyle Gschwend1 Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, United 1University of Mannheim, Germany. 2Leibniz Kingdom University Hannover, Germany 79: Direct Democracy and Government 799: Talk Dirty to Me: Coalition Signals Spending throughout the Electoral Cycle André Walter1, Patrick Emmenegger1, Lucas Anna Adendorf Leemann2 Universität Mannheim, Germany 1University of St. Gallen, Switzerland. 2 University of Zurich, Switzerland 1243: Designing Policy Responses to Financial EU7 Crises: The Mass Politics of Austerity EU Politics Kirk Bansak1, Michael M. Bechtel2, Yotam Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Margalit3 Date: 21st June 2019 1Stanford University, USA. 2Washington Location: PFC/02/026 3 University in St. Louis, USA. Tel-Aviv University, Israel EU7 - Bargaining and resource allocation 692: Global Financial Crisis, Inequality, and Chair Politics of Taxation in OECD countries Christophe Crombez - KU Leuven, Belgium Hyeon Seok Park Discussant Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Adriana Bunea - University of Bergen, Norway Technology, Korea, Republic of 1140: The antidumping procedure as an outlet for protectionism in European Union trade policy LE7 Christophe Crombez1, Pieterjan Vangerven2 Legislative Studies and Party Politics 1Stanford University, USA. 2KU Leuven, Belgium Time: 11:20 - 13:10 967: Populist United: A Theory of Intra-Party Date: 21st June 2019 Bargaining under Policy Constraints Location: PFC/02/025 Konstantinos Matakos1, Nikitas Konstantinidis2 1 2 King's College London, United Kingdom. IE LE07 - Coalition Negotiations University Madrid, Spain Chair 201: Comparing EU member states’ human Raimondas Ibenskas - University of Bergen, and administrative resources with their Norway bargaining satisfaction in the Council Discussant Clément Perarnaud, Javier Arregui Zac Greene - University of Strathclyde, United University Pompeu Fabra, Spain Kingdom 451: The politics of State aid in the European 368: Who gets their way in coalition policy? Union: explaining variation in aid allocation Alessio Albarello among Member States University of Rochester, USA Marco Schito 400: Fitting the Odd Parties In—Parties’ Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Representational Claims and Their 186: Bargaining Outcomes and Success in Implications for Coalition Formation. Fiscal Governance Reforms (1997-2013) Alona O. Dolinsky Fabio Franchino1, Camilla Mariotto2 Johns Hopkins University , USA 1Università degli studi di Milano, Italy. 1152: Are All Coalition Parties Treated the 2Universität Innsbruck, Austria Same? The Costs of Being a Coalition Member in Presidential and Parliamentary Systems Andrea Junqueira1, Thiago Nascimento da EL43 Silva2, Guy Whitten1 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2Universität Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Mannheim, Germany Date: 21st June 2019 Location: PFC/03/005

1200: Welfare State Design and Satisfaction EL43 - Accountability with Democracy in France Chair Bilal Hassan Hans Noel - Georgetown University, USA Sciences Po Paris, France Discussant 344: Information, reflection, and successful Seonghui Lee - Essex University, United Kingdom job search. A nudging experiment. 1227: Institutional Sources of Executive and Monika Mühlböck1, Fabian Kalleitner1, Nadia Legislative Accountability Steiber2, Bernhard Kittel1 Constanza Schibber 1University of Vienna, Austria. 2Insitute for Michigan State University, USA Advanced Studies, Austria 1191: Holding mayors accountable? Police brutality and mayoral approval in American cities IR7 Min Hee Go International Relations Ewha Womans University, Korea, Republic of Time: 11:20 - 13:10 274: Open Up or Shut Down? Media Scrutiny Date: 21st June 2019 and Government Responsiveness During Location: PFC/03/006B Scandals Daniel Berliner1, Aaron Erlich2, Brian Palmer- IR07 - Theoretically... Rubin3, Benjamin Bagozzi4 Chair 1London School of Economics, United Kingdom. Franziska Hohlstein - University of Freiburg, 2McGill University, Canada. 3Marquette Germany University, USA. 4University of Delaware, USA Discussant 474: Political Fiascos and the Evaluation of Gisela Hirschmann - Leiden University, Politicians: Quasi-experimental evidence Netherlands Macarena Ares1, Enrique Hernández2 1110: The Origins and Evolution of Liberal 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2Universitat Interventionism: A Typology Proposed. Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain Thomas Walker Grand Valley State University, USA 527: From the Outside In: Fear, Security PA3 Agencies, and the Corrosion of Parliamentary Public Policy and Public Administration Democracy. Findings from the Garrison State Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Project Date: 21st June 2019 David Sylvan, Ashley Thornton, Juliette Ganne, Location: PFC/03/006A Laura Schenker Graduate Institute of International and PA03 - Policy Experiments Development Studies, Switzerland Chair 921: Why Interdisciplinary Approaches Markus Tepe, University of Oldenburg between International Law and International Discussant Relations are still possible and necessary TBC Anna Knaps 868: Frames vs. Facts: A field experiment on European University Institute EUI, Italy members of the european parliament 980: International Organization Death Leire Rincón García Loriana Crasnic, Tabea Palmtag University of Barcelona, Spain University of Zurich, Switzerland 647: Who Supports Equal Employment Polices 736: Security Semiosis and the Securitization in the Public Service? Experimental Evidence of Asylum in Sweden (2010-2018) on the Effect of Public Service Motivation, Mary Lynn De Silva Political Ideology and Public Sector Affiliation The University of Western Australia, Australia Markus Tepe, Christine Prokop, Michael Jankowski University of Oldenburg, Germany CF7 1005: Reputation of Public Agencies in the International and Domestic Conflict Space of Democracy Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Eva-Maria Pirker Date: 21st June 2019 Bocconi University, Italy Location: PFC/03/011

CF07 - Peace agreements 774: The electoral repercussions of liberal Chair labor market access for immigrants: Evidence Felix Haass - German Institute of Global and Area from Germany Studies, Hamburg, Germany Moritz Marbach Discussant ETH Zurich, Switzerland Edward Morgan-Jones - University of Kent, United 348: How national and ethnic identifications Kingdom affect anti-immigrant and anti-majority 29: Principled Pragmatism and the ‘Inclusion sentiment among immigrant voters in Project’: Implementing a Gender Perspective Germany in Peace Agreements Hayfat Hamidou, Sabrina Jasmin Mayer Christine Bell, Kevin McNicholl University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany University of Ediburgh, United Kingdom 7: All We Need Is Contact: The Effect of 788: Identity concessions in peace Asylum Seekers on the Vote Share of the Far agreements Right in Germany Lesley-Ann Daniels Nourhan Elsayed, Roxanne Schuster Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Internacionals University of Mannheim, Germany (IBEI), Spain 870: What can we learn from peace agreement texts? Presenting the PA-X Corpus ME6 Sanja Badanjak Political Methodology University of Edinburgh , United Kingdom Time: 11:20 - 13:10 877: Peace agreement effectiveness and Date: 21st June 2019 quality of post-war elections Location: PFC/0G/007 Sanja Badanjak University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom ME06 - Text Appeal 1023: Exploring Duration of Peace Using Text Chair Analysis Mariken van der Velden - Vrije Universiteit Altaf Ali1, Tatjana Stankovic2 Amsterdam, Netherlands 1University College London, United Kingdom. Discussant 2University of Oslo, Norway Tom Paskhalis - London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom. Blake Miller - London School of Political Science and Economics, EL21 United Kingdom Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 141: Classifying Newspaper Articles with Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Supervised Machine Learning: A New Date: 21st June 2019 Approach with Tests on Hungarian Media Location: PFC/03/017 Corpora 1 2 Miklos Sebok , Zoltan Kacsuk , Evelin EL21 - Electoral Consequences of Immigration Meszaros1 Chair 1Centre for Social Sciences, Hungary. 2Centre Fracesco Colombo - EUI, Italy for Social Sciences, Hungarian Academy of Discussant Sciences, Hungary Anna Kulkova - 493: A Computer Assisted Search Strategy for 505: Migration and Election Outcomes: Digital Text Archives Stored on Remote Evidence from London Servers Elena Pupaza, Joachim Wehner Gidon Cohen, Gary Hutchison, Patrick Kuhn London School of Economics and Political Durham University, United Kingdom Science, United Kingdom 908: Sentiment Analysis: what is great and 922: Immigration as ‘flash issue’: How the what sucks? refugee crisis has altered electoral behavior in Wouter van Atteveldt1, Mariken van der Europe Velden1, Mark Boukes2 Christian Schnaudt1, Christian Stecker2 1Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands. 1GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social 2Universiteit van Amsterdam, Netherlands Sciences, Germany. 2Mannheim Centre for 1103: Active Learning Approaches for Labeling European Social Research (MZES), Germany Text: Review and Assessment of the Performance of Active Learning Approaches Blake Miller1, Fridolin Linder2, Walter Mebane3

1Dartmouth College, USA. 2New York Location: Senate Room 3 University, USA. University of Michigan, USA 399: “I Do Not Think It Means What You Think EL36 It Means”: Evaluating the Validity of Coding Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Open-Ended Survey Responses Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Rebecca Glazier1, Amber Boydstun2, Jessica Date: 21st June 2019 Feezell3 Location: LAN/0G/074 1 University of Arkansas, Little Rock, USA. 2University of California, Davis, USA. EL36 - Sociological and demographic influences 3University of New Mexico, USA on voting Chair Rachel Bernhard - Nuffield College Oxford, United CP10 Kingdom Comparative Politics Discussant Time: 11:20 - 13:10 Alexandra Cirone - Cornell University, USA Date: 21st June 2019 884: Becoming a Democratic Citizen. Quasi- Location: PFC/0G/024 Experimental Evidence on the Effects of Coming of Voting Age CP10 - Judicial Politics Thorsten Faas1, Arndt Leininger1, Sigrid Chair Roßteutscher2, Armin Schäfer3 Joan-Josep Vallbe - University of Barcelona, Spain 1Freie Universität Berlin, Germany. 2Johann Discussant Wolfgang Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Jean Lacroix - Université libre de Bruxelles, Main, Germany. 3Westfälische Wilhelms- Belgium Universität Münster, Germany 346: Judicial Positions on Political Reform: 1270: Veterans and political change Designing common policy scores from judicial Steven Wilkinson1, Saumthira Jha2 text 1Yale University, USA. 2Stanford University, Benjamin G. Engst, Thomas Gschwend USA University of Mannheim, Germany 429: Who continues to vote for the left? The 839: Representative Democracy, effect of intra- and intergenerational social Countermajoritarian Rulings and Attitudes mobility on support for social-democratic toward Constitutional Courts - Experimental parties in the UK, Germany, and Switzerland evidence on the effects of Court rulings in Macarena Ares1, Mathilde van Ditmars2 France 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2University Patrick Le Bihan1, Sylvain Brouard1, Christoph of Luzern, Switzerland Hönnige2 317: Self-interest or socialization? A panel 1Sciences Po, France. 2Leibinz University study of the mechanisms connecting class and Hanover, Germany support for redistribution. 847: Policy vs. Personal Risk: A New Model Peter Egge Langsæther1, Geoffrey Evans2, Tom and Causal Analysis of the Insurance Theory O'Grady3 of Judicial Independence 1University of Oslo, Norway. 2University of Brad Epperly, Yuleng Zeng Oxford, United Kingdom. 3University College University of South Carolina, USA London, United Kingdom 58: Do Voters Punish Noncompliance with High Court Rulings? A Cross-National Analysis Jay Krehbiel PE22 West Virginia University, USA Political Economy 810: How to Forecast Constitutional Court Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Decisions? Legal Context and Political Context Date: 21st June 2019 in a Machine LearningFramework. Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Sebastian Sternberg University of Mannheim, Germany PE22 - Political Economy of Immigration Chair Florian Foos - King's College London, United PSRM Editorial Board Meeting Kingdom Time: 12:00 - 13:10 Discussant Date: 21st June 2019 Gizem Arikan - Trinity College, Dublin, Ireland

362: Between Business and Nativism: How 1111: Digital Inequality among Political mainstream right party strategies affect their Representatives: The role of personal skills electorate in post-industrial societies and constituency characteristics Tarik Abou-Chadi1, Markus Wagner2 Trajche Panov 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2University University of Bergen, Norway of Vienna, Austria 816: Defeating Gender Inequalities? Exploring 185: The Fiscal Politics of Immigration: the Impact of #metoo in the News Media Evidence of Mechanisms from Survey Discourse in Australia Experiments in Japan Elena Escalante Block1, Olga Eisele2, Hajo Seiki Tanaka1, Frances Rosenbluth2, Rieko Boomgaarden2 Kage3 1Sciences Po, France. 2University of Vienna, 1University of Leeds, United Kingdom. 2Yale Austria University, USA. 3University of Tokyo, Japan 893: Winning Hearts and Minds: The Role of Cultural, Economic and Security EL7 Considerations on the Successful Integration Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour of Syrian Refugees in Turkey Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Anna Getmansky1, Konstantinos Matakos2, Date: 21st June 2019 Tolga Sinmazdemir1 Location: PFC/02/017 1 London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom. 2King's College EL07 - Breaks It London, United Kingdom Chair 1279: Can Local Governments Increase Rob Johns - Essex, United Kingdom Naturalization Rates? Evidence from a Large- Discussant Scale Informational Campaign Nick Vivian - Dominik Hangartner1, Joelle Pianzola2, Dalston 34: Breaking Point?: Examining the Impact of Ward2 Immigration on the Brexit Vote 1ETH Zurich and London School of Economics, Shannon Schumacher1, Narayani Lasala- Switzerland. 2ETH Zurich, Switzerland Blanco2, Shahana Chattaraj3 1University of California, Santa Barbara, USA. 2 3 Arizona State University , USA. Centre for PC8 Policy Research , India Political Communication and Media 75: Places matter: the importance of local Time: 13:20 - 15:10 attachment on Brexit support Date: 21st June 2019 Diane Bolet Location: MAPTC/0G/017 London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom PC08 - Information technology and digital politics 312: Emotional reactions to referendums and Chair domestic vote choice Delia Dumitrescu - University of East Anglia, Sofia Vasilopoulou1, Markus Wagner2 United Kingdom 1University of York, United Kingdom. Discussant 2University of Vienna, Austria Delia Dumitrescu - University of East Anglia, 385: Forgive or Forget? Deservingness After United Kingdom. Dónal Mulligan - Dublin City Brexit University, Ireland Sara Hobolt 842: Biased representation of politicians in LSE, United Kingdom search results 1046: United Kingdom and United Europe: Franziska Pradel The implications of Brexit for continued unity University of Cologne, Germany Maurits van der Veen 1236: Recovering the French Party Space from William & Mary, USA Twitter Data 1 2 François Briatte , Ewen Gallic 1ESPOL, Catholic University of Lille, France. PE8 2Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France Political Economy Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Date: 21st June 2019 Location: PFC/02/018

711: What Policies to Emphasise? Partisan PE08 - Corruption and Crime Welfare Politics in Advanced Capitalism Chair Michael Pinggera Jonathan Woon - University of Pittsburgh, USA University of Zurich, Switzerland Discussant Romain Ferrali - New York University, Abu Dhabi, UAE EU8 849: Expert vs. Popular Perceptions of the EU Politics Rule of Law and Corruption Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Brad Epperly1, Jennifer Noveck2 Date: 21st June 2019 1University of South Carolina, USA. 2Western Location: PFC/02/026 Washington University, USA 677: The Persistence of Mafias EU8 - EU Institutions at Work Ryan Hubert, Omar García-Ponce Chair University of California, Davis, USA Philipp Broniecki - University College London, 1218: Prohibition, Theft, and Violence United Kingdom Brendan Cooley1, Kristopher Ramsay1, Colin Discussant Krainin2 Katjana Gattermann - University of Amsterdam, 1Princeton University, USA. 2Private sector, Netherlands USA 143: The Early Warning System and Voting 1133: The Business Model of Mexican Cartels Behavior in the Council of the EU Nicola Mastrorocco1, John Marshall2 Philippe van Gruisen1, Martijn Huysmans2 1Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 2Columbia 1Leiden University, Netherlands. 2Utrecht University, USA University, Netherlands 953: The Political Economy of Collusion: How 191: Co-issuance of Reasoned Opinions under Organized Crime Captures Political the Early Warning System Institutions Martijn Huysmans1, Philippe Van Gruisen2 Livio Di Lonardo1, Nicola Mastrorocco2 1Utrecht University, Netherlands. 2Leiden 1Bocconi University, Italy. 2Trinity College University, Netherlands Dublin, Ireland 286: Turf Wars in Government Administration: Interdepartmental Coordination in the European Commission LE8 Daniel Finke Legislative Studies and Party Politics Aarhus University, Denmark Time: 13:20 - 15:10 77: Does European Integration Increase Sub- Date: 21st June 2019 National Power? Evidence from a Times- Location: PFC/02/025 Series Cross-Sectional Analysis 1 2 Jana Katharina Müller , Abelardo Gómez Díaz LE08 - Issue Emphasis 1Deutscher Bundestag, Germany. 2Universitat Chair Pompeu Fabra, Spain Till Weber - City University of New York, USA 1020: Strategic Rapporteur Selection in Discussant Informal Inter-Institutional EU Negotitions Christoffer Green-Pedersen - Aarhus University, Philipp Broniecki Denmark University College London, United Kingdom 396: The influence of problems on political parties’ issue emphasis henrik seeberg PT4 aarhus university, Denmark Political Theory 240: Discreet Inequality: How Issue Agendas Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Embrace Privileged Interests Date: 21st June 2019 Till Weber Location: PFC/03/005 City University of New York, USA 446: What's the Talk in Brussels? A Dynamic PT04 - Global Problems in the Digital Age Measure of Issue Attention at the EU Level Chair Michal Ovadek, Nicolas Lampach Benjamin Schupmann - Duke Kunshan University, KU Leuven, Belgium China Discussant

Alexandra Oprea - UNC Chapel Hill, USA Time: 13:20 - 15:10 44: Hannah Arendt and Modernity: Revisting Date: 21st June 2019 the work 'The Human Condition' Location: PFC/03/006B Anil Kumar Vaddiraju Institute for Social and Economic Change, IR08 - Finance, Sanctions, and IPE Bangalore, India Chair 747: Private Information and the Public Need Adrian Shin - University of Colorado Boulder, USA to Know Discussant Arno Stirnimann Elena McLean - SUNY Buffalo, USA University of Zurich, Switzerland 55: A price worth paying? Side-effects of the 1158: The (Post-)Political Agency of the Digital liberal sanction regime, 1989 to 2015 Tech: Google in Focus Gerald Schneider1, Paulina Pospieszna2 Jurate Kavaliauskaite 1University of Konstanz, Germany. 2University Vilnius University, Lithuania of Poznan, Poland 377: Political theory of migration: new 30: Surveillance Games: The International subject areas Political Economy of Combatting Financial Daria Kazarinova Crime RUDN University, Russian Federation Miles Kellerman University of Oxford, United Kingdom 686: The political determinants of transfer PA4 pricing regulations in developing countries Public Policy and Public Administration Mi Jeong Shin Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Date: 21st June 2019 China Location: PFC/03/006A 1048: The Financialization of Foreign Policy: Targeted Financial Sanctions and Government PA04 - Policy and Information Retaliation Chair Caileigh Glenn Denise Laroze - Universidad de Santiago, Chile University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA Discussant 878: Sanctioned or Stoned: The Strategic Monika Mühlböck - University of Vienna, Austria Imposition of Drug-Related Sanctions 1163: Gender Differences in Education in Patrick Weber OECD Countries University of Konstanz, Germany John Witte University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA 892: Paying for what you get:Does CF8 information on cost implications affect public International and Domestic Conflict support for government policies to promote Time: 13:20 - 15:10 emission-reducing technologies? Date: 21st June 2019 Gracia Brückmann, Thomas Bernauer Location: PFC/03/011 ETH Zurich, Switzerland 116: Simplifying pension decisions CF08 - Funding civil wars Denise Laroze1, Raymond Duch2, Ximena Chair Quintanilla3, Paulina Granados3, Mauricio Megan Stewart - American University, USA Lopez1, Mirian Ormeño3 Discussant 1Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Chile. Carl Müller-Crepon - ETH Zurich, Switzerland 2University of Oxford, United Kingdom. 31: Pacifying or Provoking: The Role of Access 3Superintendencia de Pensiones, Chile to Financial Institutions in Violent Conflicts 114: Input from Whom? Public Opinion, Tax Babak RezaeeDaryakenari1, Cameron G. Thies2 Reform, and Representation 1Sabanci University, Turkey. 2Arizona State Anthony Kevins University, USA School of Governance, Utrecht University, 352: Central Banks and Civil War Termination Netherlands Ana Carolina Garriga University of Essex, United Kingdom 779: The Impact of War and Security on IR8 Financial Development International Relations Matthew DiGiuseppe

Leiden University, Netherlands ME7 811: Globalisation and conflicts: the good, the Political Methodology bad, and the ugly of corporations in Africa Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Tommaso Sonno Date: 21st June 2019 University of Bologna, Italy Location: PFC/0G/007 337: The road to Discord: Social Conflict, Oil and Local Institutions ME07 - Qualitative Methods Plus Mario Krauser, Tim Wegenast Chair University of Konstanz, Germany Damien Bol - King's College London, United Kingdom Discussant EL22 Macartan Humphreys - Wissenschaftszentrum Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Berlin fur Sozialforschung, Germany Time: 13:20 - 15:10 941: PhD Training and Gender Differences in Date: 21st June 2019 Political Methodology in Europe Location: PFC/03/017 Malu Gatto1, Anita Gohdes2, Denise Traber3, 4 Mariken van der Velden EL22 - Contextual factors in explaining opinion on 1University College London, United Kingdom. immigration policy 2University of Zurich, Switzerland. 3University of Lucerne, Switzerland. 4Vrije Universiteit Chair Amsterdam, Netherlands Christian Schnaudt - GESIS, Germany 14: A Phantom Menace: Random Data, Model Discussant Specification and Causal Inference in Niklas Harder - German Center for Integration and Qualitative Comparative Analysis Migration Research (DeZIM), Germany Alrik Thiem, Lusine Mkrtchyan 350: Why are people more negative about University of Lucerne, Switzerland immigration in places where there are few 283: (Re-)Building the Social Contract in immigrants? Fragile States: Designing a Qualitative Oliver Heath, Ivica Petrikova, Matthew Polacko Metaketa Royal Holloway, United Kingdom Florian Kern1, Alexandra Hartman2 935: The Effect of Local Context on Citizens’ 1University of Essex, United Kingdom. Attitudes toward Immigration Policy 2University College London, United Kingdom Simon Ellerbrock Mannheim Centre for European Social Research - University of Mannheim, Germany CP9 1204: Attitudes towards Immigration across Comparative Politics Age Cohorts: Assessing Compositional, Time: 13:20 - 15:10 Behavioral, and Value-based Explanations Date: 21st June 2019 Anne-Marie Jeannet, Lenka Dražanová Location: PFC/0G/024 European University Institute, Italy 566: No country for asylum seekers? How CP09 - Left and Right in Comparative Perspective short-term exposure to refugees influences Chair attitudes and voting behavior in Hungary Michael Laver - New York University, USA Theresa Gessler1, Gergő Tóth2, Johannes Discussant Wachs3 Kenneth Benoit - London School of Economics and 1European University Institute, Italy. Political Science, United Kingdom 2Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Hungary. 1113: Comparability of voters’ left-right 3Central European University, Hungary placements across countries: an investigation 147: Diversity, Socialization, and the Rise of using anchoring vignettes Positive Perceptions of Immigration in the UK Seonghui Lee1, Nick Lin2, Randolph Stevenson3 Lauren McLaren1, Anja Neundorf2, Ian Paterson 1University of Essex, United Kingdom. 3 2Academia Sinica, Taiwan. 3Rice University, 1University of Leicester, United Kingdom. USA 2University of Nottingham, United Kingdom. 3University of Glasgow, United Kingdom

1041: How Stable are "Left" and "Right"? 1University of Kent, United Kingdom. Evidence from Two Waves of Open-Ended 2University of Birmingham, United Kingdom Survey Questions 1 2 Michael Jankowski , Sebastian Schneider , Markus Tepe1 PE23 1University of Oldenburg, Germany. 2DEval, Political Economy Germany Time: 15:20 - 17:00 923: Equality as the Criterion Separating Left Date: 21st June 2019 from Right? Eastern and Western Europe Location: MAPTC/0G/006 2002-2016 Jesper Lindqvist PE23 - Political Economy of Electoral Systems University College Dublin, Ireland Chair 545: Patterns of Cross-National Similarity in Jan Sauermann - University of Cologne, Germany Voter Preferences Discussant David Fortunato1, Laron Williams2 Dana Sisak - Erasmus University Rotterdam, 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2University of Netherlands Missouri, USA 1101: Communication and the Fairness of Majority Voting Jonathan Woon EL37 University of Pittsburgh, USA Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 1084: On information processing Time: 15:20 - 17:00 and preference aggregation Date: 21st June 2019 Benoit Crutzen, Vladimir Karamychev Location: LAN/0G/074 Erasmus University, Netherlands 887: Pride and Shame in Voting: A Social EL37 - Electoral Consequences of Terror and Image Theory of Opinion Forming and Voting Violence Otto Swank Chair Erasmus School of Economcis, Netherlands Arndt Leininger - Frei University Berlin, Germany 946: Dynamics of Policy Making: Productivity Discussant and Reversals Steven Wilkinson - Yale University, USA Asli Unan 121: The long-term consequences of religious King's College London, United Kingdom violence 1025: Like-Minded Voters: An Endogenous Isabela Mares1, Ahmed Mohammed2 Foundation for Electoral Factions and Groups 1Yale University , USA. 2Columbia University , Timothy Feddersen1, Benjamin Ogden2 USA 1Northwestern University - Kellogg School of 1118: Bullets and ballots: Exposure to Management, USA. 2Texas A&M University, terrorism and support for the incumbent USA Albert Falcó-Gimeno1, Jordi Muñoz1, Roberto 2 Pannico 1University of Barcelona, Spain. 2University of PC9 Lisbon, Portugal Political Communication and Media 1248: The legacy of violence on political Time: 15:20 - 17:00 behavior: the case of the Spanish civil war in Date: 21st June 2019 the Basque Country Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Sergi Martínez European University Institute, Italy PC09 - Social media interactions: Bridging or 269: Public Opinion Following Terrorist constructing boundaries? Attacks Chair Mariaelisa Epifanio1, Marco Giani2 Andreas Jungherr - University of Konstanz, 1University of Liverpool, United Kingdom. Germany 2King's College London, United Kingdom Discussant 955: Do Terrorist Attacks Feed Populist Andreas Jungherr - University of Konstanz, Eurosceptics? Evidence from Two Germany. Jeffrey Javed - University of Michigan, Comparative Quasi-Experiments USA Erik Gahner Larsen1, David Cutts2, Matthew Goodwin1

905: Gender Bias in Media Coverage of Election Campaigns PE9 Fabrizio Gilardi Political Economy University of Zurich, Switzerland Time: 15:20 - 17:00 714: Analysis of Facebook political Date: 21st June 2019 communities in 2016 Taiwanese General Location: PFC/02/018 Election Xiaodong Zhang PE09 - Political economy of foreign aid Hitotsubashi University, Japan Chair 769: Polarization across Linguistic Boundaries: Cassilde Schwartz - Royal Holloway, University of Online Debate about Japanese Whaling London, United Kingdom Jonathan Lewis Discussant Hitotsubashi University, Japan Christian Houle - Michigan State University, USA 76: ‘Fighting Fascists in 280 Characters or Less’ 188: Rules of Aid:A survey experiment on the – The Unite the Right Rally and the Twitter logic of aid allocation in post-conflict Response countries Asif Hameed Susanna Campbell1, Gabriele Spilker2 Carleton University, Canada 1American University, USA. 2University of Salzburg, Austria 682: Foreign determinants of the Shadow EL9 Economy: The effect of Loans and Foreign Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Aid. Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Jonas Bunte, Les Stanaland Date: 21st June 2019 University of Texas at Dallas, USA Location: PFC/02/017 678: Foreign aid and domestic taxation systems EL09 - Female Recruitment and Representation Jonas Bunte, John Taden Chair University of Texas at Dallas, USA Sofia Vasilopoulou- York, United Kingdom 1042: Politics and the Marketplace of Ideas: Discussant When Does Aid Fragmentation Help or Hinder Sergio Ascencio - the Achievement of Development Goals? 657: Voters’ perceptions of female Ruth Carlitz1, Sebastian Ziaja2 representation within political parties 1University of Gothenburg, Sweden. 2University Jens Wäckerle of Konstanz, Germany University of Cologne, Germany 1082: Does Foreign Aid Volatility Hinder 397: Making Politics Male Again? Inclusion, Institutional Development in Recipient Exclusion, and Political Ambition Countries? Amanda Clayton1, Diana O'Brien2, Jennifer Alice Iannantuoni Piscopo3 University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1Vanderbilt University , USA. 2Texas A&M Italy University , USA. 3Occidental College , USA 753: Gender, Candidate Nomination, and Voter Support LE9 Denis Cohen1, Jochen Rehmert2 Legislative Studies and Party Politics 1University of Mannheim, Germany. Time: 15:20 - 17:00 2Humboldt University of Berlin, Germany Date: 21st June 2019 789: How do Gender and Disability Intersect Location: PFC/02/025 in Candidate Evaluations? Shan-Jan Sarah Liu1, Stefanie Reher2 LE09 - Intra Party Politics & Competition 1Newcastle University, United Kingdom. Chair 2University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom Gregory Kroger - University of Miami, USA 1153: Party Nominations and Female Electoral Discussant Performance: Evidence from Germany Or Tuttnauer - Universität Mannheim, Germany Hanno Hilbig1, Pia Raffler1, Thomas Fujiwara2 1201: Inter-Party and Intra-Party Threats to 1Harvard University, USA. 2Princeton Prime Ministerial Survival University, USA Roni Lehrer University of Mannheim, Germany

765: Contested Campaigns? Intra-Party 1Centre for Social Sciences, Hungarian Dissent through Dimensional Dalliance Academy of Sciences, Hungary. 2National Bank Zachary Greene1, Sebastian Popa2, Zoltan of Hungary, Hungary Fazekas3 825: Everybody else is doing it, so why can’t 1University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom. we? Text similarities and the diffusion of 2Newcastle University, United Kingdom. party policies 3Copenhagen Business School, Denmark Nils Düpont1, Martin Rachuj2 1179: Using Social Media Networks of 1University of Bremen, Germany. 2University Candidates to Study Intra and Inter-Party ofGreifswald, Germany Competition in Finland Iulia Cioroianu, Hilde Coffe University of Bath, United Kingdom EL44 957: Lucky Strike: The Effect of Being a Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Governing-party MP on Individual Electoral Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Success and Survival Date: 21st June 2019 Elias Dinas1, Konstantinos Matakos2 Location: PFC/03/005 1 2 European University Institute, Italy. King's College London, United Kingdom EL44 - Party Origins 45: Party Factions and Legislative Discussant Performance: New Conservatives, Amending Constanza Schibber - Michigan State, USA. Strategy, and Party Loyalty Constanza Schibber - Michigan State, USA Chris Den Hartog1, Timothy Nokken2 709: Revisiting the Origins of the British 1Cal Poly, USA. 2Texas Tech University, USA Labour Party Chitralekha Basu1, Carles Boix2, Sonia 1 1 Giurumescu , Jordi Muñoz LE12 1University of Barcelona, Spain. 2Princeton Legislative Studies and Party Politics University, USA Time: 15:20 - 17:00 195: How Parties Organize from the Grounds: Date: 21st June 2019 The Genesis of the Movimento 5 Stelle Location: PFC/02/026 Thomas Kurer1, Daniel Bischof2 1 2 Harvard University, USA. University of Zurich, LE12 - Committees and Legislation Switzerland Chair 322: The Workers’ Party in Brazil: empirical Nolan McCarty - Princeton University, USA implications of elite incentives toward the Discussant “unbalanced” nationalization of support Jean Francois Godbout - Université de Montréal, Kazuma Mizukoshi Canada University College London, United Kingdom 700: Correlated signals in legislative 767: WHO VOTED FOR SOCIALISM? THE RISE committees: The effect of correlation neglect OF THE SAP IN SWEDISH LOCAL ELECTIONS, on committee decision making 1910-18 Samuel David Mueller Zsuzsanna Magyar1, Carles Boix2 University of Mannheim, Germany 1University of Barcelona, Spain. 2Princeton 1076: Congressional Committee University, USA Newsworthiness: An Indirect Gauge of 942: A change of heart? Partisanship and Significance policy preferences in the context of party Gisela Sin, Brian Gaines formation University of Illinois, USA Giorgio Malet1, Philipp Dreyer2 812: Legislative Significance: In the Eye of the 1European University Institute, Italy. 2London Beholder School of Economics, United Kingdom David Doyle, Abhishek Dasgupta, Radoslaw Zubek University of Oxford, United Kingdom CP18 150: Powerful Legislature or Rubber Stamper? Comparative Politics A Text Reuse Analysis of Hungarian Bills and Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Laws Date: 21st June 2019 Miklós Sebők1, Tamás Berki2, Csaba Molnár1 Location: PFC/03/006A

CP18 - Technocrats, bureaucrats, and judges 607: Multilateral aid to the rescue? Sectoral Chair fragmentation of bilateral development aid Michael Jankowski - Oldenburg University, and the role of the World Bank Germany Martin Steinwand Discussant University of Essex, United Kingdom Annabelle Wittels - University College, London, 6: The Catalytic Effect of IMF Lending: United Kingdom. Michael Jankowski - Oldenburg Evidence from Sectoral FDI Data University, Germany Michael Breen1, Patrick Egan2 173: In and Out Bürger: A field experiment 1Dublin City University, Ireland. 2Tulane testing behavioural interventions to increase University, USA engagement of bureaucrats with information 991: Topics of Interest: Speech Patterns in the from and about citizens IMF's Executive Board Annabelle Wittels Timon Forster1, Alexander Kentikelenis2 University College London, United Kingdom 1Freie Universität Berlin, Germany. 2Bocconi 342: How Familiarity Improves Judicial University, Italy Deliberation: Evidence from the German Federal Court Tilko Swalve CF9 University of Mannheim, Germany International and Domestic Conflict 1002: Political Bias in Judicial Pre-Trial Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Decisions on Domestic Violence: A Natural Date: 21st June 2019 Experiment Location: PFC/03/011 Joan-Josep Vallbé University of Barcelona, Spain CF18 - Self-determination and secessionism 656: Limits to Bureaucratic Oversight? Chair Evidence from a Laboratory- and Survey- Sabine Carey - University of Mannheim, Germany Experiment Discussant Markus Tepe1, Susumu Shikano2, Michael Akisato Suzuki - University College Dublin, Ireland Jankowski1, Maximilian Lutz1 257: A New Data Set on Territorial Self- 1University of Oldenburg, Germany. 2University Governance with an Application to Self- of Konstanz, Germany Determination Conflicts Livia Rohrbach University of Copenhagen, Denmark IR9 1160: Flag it up: The Counter-Effect of International Relations Secessionist Nationalism Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Elias Dinas, Sergi Martinez, Vicente Valentim Date: 21st June 2019 European University Institute, Italy Location: PFC/03/006B 886: The causes of irredentist claims Seraina Ruegger, Lars-Erik Cederman, Guy IR09 - Aid and Bretton Woods Schvitz Chair ETH Zurich, Switzerland Gerald Schneider - University of Konstanz, 881: Dangerous precedents? Border change, Germany spillover and new territorial disputes. Discussant Guy Schvitz Caileigh Glenn - University of Wisconsin-Madison, ETH, Switzerland USA 1058: Into the Woods: Migration and the Bretton Woods Institutions EL23 Adrian Shin1, Merih Angin2, Albana Shehaj3 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 1University of Colorado Boulder, USA. 2Harvard Time: 15:20 - 17:00 University, USA. 3University of Michigan, Ann Date: 21st June 2019 Arbor, USA Location: PFC/03/017 483: Truly two Globalizers? How IMF and World Bank lending conditions differ over EL23 - (Mostly) Experiments in explaining opinion time on immigration policy Ben Cormier, Mark Manger Chair University of Toronto, Canada

Catherine de Vries - University of Essex, United 597: Does Nonviolent Civil Resistance Really Kingdom Work? Revisiting the Causal Effects of Discussant Nonviolent Protest Dominik Hangartner, ETH Zurich/LSE Sirianne Dahlum1, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch2, Mathew Polako - Royal Holloway, United Kingdom Carl Henrik Knutsen3, Tore Wig3 270: Migrant status, health systems, and 1PRIO, Norway. 2University of Essez, United welfare reciprocity Kingdom. 3University of Oslo, Norway Michael Donnelly1, Jeremy Ferwerda2 1062: Enemies Within: Labeling and 1University of Toronto, Canada. 2Dartmouth Collaboration with Rival Authorities University, USA Mirko Reul 978: Location Matters: Is the Immigration Graduate Institute Geneva, Switzerland Debate over Stocks or Flows? Yotam Margalit, Omer Solodoch Tel Aviv University, Israel CP11 1171: Does Competition over Public Services Comparative Politics Decrease Support for Residency Rights of Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Immigrants? Evidence From the United Date: 21st June 2019 Kingdom Location: PFC/0G/024 1 2 Catherine de Vries , Nicole Martin 1Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands. CP11 - Electoral Integrity and Violence 2University of Manchester, United Kingdom Chair 1202: The Structure of European Public Ferran Martinez i Coma - Griffith University, Preferences for Asylum and Refugee Policy:A Australia Cross National Conjoint Experiment Discussant Anne-Marie Jeannet1, Esther Ademmer2, Patrick Kuhn - University of Durham, United Martin Ruhs1, Tobias Stroehr2 Kingdom 1European University Institute, Italy. 2Kiel 1047: How Election Type Shapes the University, Germany Geography of Electoral Violence: Evidence 534: Economic Insecurity and Attitudes from Zimbabwe Towards Immigrants in Europe: Evidence from Ursula Daxecker1, Mascha Rauschenbach2 Panel Surveys 1University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. Florian Stoeckel1, Hanna Kleider2 2German Institute for Development Evaluation, 1University of Exeter, United Kingdom. 2King's Germany College London, United Kingdom 388: How Violence Hardens the Vote: Exposure to Election Violence and Political Attitudes CF15 Inken von Borzyskowski1, Ursula Daxecker2 International and Domestic Conflict 1Florida State University, USA. 2University of Time: 15:20 - 17:00 Amsterdam, Netherlands Date: 21st June 2019 441: Not All Elections Are Created Equal: Location: PFC/0G/007 Electoral Quality and Civil Conflict 1 2 2 Daniela Donno , Burcu Savun , Kelly Morrison CF15 - Social unrest and civil resistance 1University of Cyprus, Cyprus. 2University of Chair Pittsburgh, USA Livia Schubiger - Duke University, USA 785: The Causes and Consequences of Discussant Manipulation of Party Primaries Denisa Kostovicova - London School of Economics Michael Wahman1, Merete Bech Seeberg2 and Political Science, United Kingdom 1Michigan State University, USA. 2Aarhus 72: Rebellion in the UK: the impact of inner- University, Denmark city violence on public spending Gabriel Leon, Peter John KCL, United Kingdom EL38 524: Structural factors or contagion? The Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Swing riots and the drivers of social unrest. Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Gabriel Leon1, Toke Aidt2 Date: 21st June 2019 1Kings College London, United Kingdom. Location: LAN/0G/074 2 University of Cambridge, United Kingdom

EL38 - Direct Democracy: What could possibly go Date: 21st June 2019 wrong? Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Chair Isabella Mares - Yale University, USA PC10 - Selective exposure and information Discussant credibility Arndt Leininger - Freie Universität Berlin, Germany Chair 653: Direct democracy in representative Stuart Soroka - University of Michigan, USA systems: understanding breakdowns in Discussant responsiveness through ballot initiative Stuart Soroka - University of Michigan, USA. Simon success. Munzert - Hertie School of Governance, Germany Thomas Robinson 157: The Ocean of Possible Truth: Drivers and University of Oxford, United Kingdom Consequences of News Accuracy Judgements 638: Cosmopolitan backlash: nationalism, Online insecurity and reactant response to foreign Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg endorsements European University Institute, Italy Kasia Nalewajko1, Mark Kayser2 415: The Newsroom Dilemma. Media 1European University Institute, Italy. 2Hertie Competition, Speed and the Quality of School of Governance, Germany Journalism Ayush Pant, Federico Trombetta University of Warwick, United Kingdom PE24 553: An efficient method to identify sources Political Economy of false information on the internet Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Kohei Watanabe Date: 21st June 2019 Waseda University, Japan Location: MAPTC/0G/006 601: Determinants of news selection during European Parliament election campaigns: a PE24 - Central Banks and Regulatory Agencies conjoint analysis Chair Katjana Gattermann Nils Redeker - University of Zurich, Switzerland University of Amsterdam, Netherlands Discussant Despina Alexiadou - University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom EL10 237: Electoral Cycles in Bank Lending Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Explained Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Jonas Markgraf1, Till Stowasser2 Date: 21st June 2019 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Location: PFC/02/017 2 University of Stirling, United Kingdom 814: Talking the talk: Exploring conflict in EL10 - Leadership effects European Central Bank Governing Council Chair speeches using speaker-topic networks. Jens Wackerle - Cologne, Germany James Cross, Derek Greene Discussant University College Dublin, Ireland Stefanie Reher - Strathclyde, United Kingdom 1088: Political Independence and Agency 775: The electoral effects of a diplomatic Reform stand-off: Evidence from a natural experiment Amy Pond Bastiaan Bruinsma1, Kostas Gemenis2, Micha Texas A&M University, USA Germann3 1165: Motivated Reasoning and Political 1Scuola Normale Superiore, Italy. 2Max Planck Accountability Institute for the Study of Societies, Germany. Andrew Little1, Keith Schnakenberg2, Ian 3University of Bath, United Kingdom Turner3 802: Do Democracies Select More 1UC Berkeley, USA. 2Washington University in Experienced Leaders? A Latent-Variable St Louis, USA. 3Yale, USA Measurement Approach to Political Experience 1 2 Alexander Baturo , Johan Elkink PC10 1Dublin City University, Ireland. 2University Political Communication and Media College Dublin, Ireland Time: 17:10 - 18:50

1170: A Changing Agenda: The Impact of LE01 - Measuring the Supply-Side of Populism: Leadership Shifts on Party Manifestos Expert Surveys and Textual Approaches Christine Sylvester1, Julia Maynard2 Chair 1Binghamton University, USA. 2University of Anil Menon - University of Michigan, USA Michigan, USA Discussant 990: Reevaluating leader effects on vote Frederik Hjorth - University of Copenhagen, choice using quantitative textual analysis Denmark Annika Fredén1, Sverker Sikström2 217: Measuring Populism across Latin 1Karlstad University, Sweden. 2Lund University, America using Expert Surveys Sweden Nina Wiesehomeier1, Saskia Ruth-Lovell2 1IE School of Global and Public Affairs, Spain. 2 GIGA Hamburg, Germany PE10 239: Honourable people and evil elites? The Political Economy use of moralizing language in populist Time: 17:10 - 18:50 discourse in the European Parliament, 1999 – Date: 21st June 2019 2014 Location: PFC/02/018 Sophia Hunger European University Institute, Italy PE10 - Political Economy of Authoritarian Rule 272: Measuring Populist Discourse: The Chair Populist Discourse Dataset for Leaders Ahmed Mohamed - Columbia University, USA Bruno Castanho Silva1, Kirk Hawkins2 Discussant 1Cologne Center for Comparative Politics, Raúl Aldaz - Queen Mary, University of London, Germany. 2Brigham Young University, USA United Kingdom 292: Measuring Populism with Expert Surveys: 226: Ethno-Religious Diversity, Authoritarian The Political Parties and Populism Expert Rule, and Public Goods Provision: Evidence Survey (POPPA) from Ottoman Istanbul Maurits Meijers, Andrej Zaslove Asli Cansunar Radboud University, Netherlands University of Oxford, United Kingdom 857: The Conditional Economic Roots of Authoritarianism: The Role of Social LE15 Organizations Legislative Studies and Party Politics Francesc Amat, Alejandra Suarez Time: 17:10 - 18:50 IPERG-University of Barcelona, Spain Date: 21st June 2019 1035: Political Outsiders and Democratic Location: PFC/02/026 Backsliding James Hollyer1, Marko Klasnja2, Rocio Titiunik3 LE15 - Pork-Barrel Politics 1University of Minnesota, USA. 2Georgetown Chair University, USA. 3University of Michigan, USA Lawrence Rothenberg - University of Rochester, 89: FDI Restriction and Workers' and USA Capitalists' Contingent Support for Discussant Democratization James Alt - Harvard University, USA Jacque Gao 1205: Why Do Some Municipalities Receive University of Rochester, USA More Government Spending? Presidents 1197: Election Monitoring and Government influence and the Allocation of Central Performance: Theory and Experiment Government Grants in Taiwan Kazuto Ohtsuki Yen-Chieh Liao Waseda Institute for Advanced Study, Japan University of Essex , United Kingdom 1212: The Public Buildings Boom: Distributive and Partisan Politics in the Modernizing LE10 Congress Legislative Studies and Party Politics Charles Finocchiaro Time: 17:10 - 18:50 University of Oklahoma, USA Date: 21st June 2019 Location: PFC/02/025

49: Economic Geography, Industrialization, Date: 21st June 2019 and Redistribution: Malapportionment as Location: PFC/03/006A Compensation Melissa Rogers1, Pablo Beramendi2, Soomin CP19 - Protest and mobilization Oh2 Chair 1Claremont Graduate University, USA. 2Duke Katerina Tertytchnaya – University College London University, USA Discussant 875: The Political Effects of Local Economic David Marshall - University of Reading, United Investment Policies Kingdom 1 2 2 Guido Ropers , Nils Redeker , Daniel Bischof , 227: “This Rally Is Not Sanctioned”: Pre- 3 Moritz Marbach emptive Repression and Protests in 1 University of Mannheim, Germany. Autocracies 2 3 University of Zurich, Switzerland. ETH Zurich, Katerina Tertytchnaya Switzerland UCL, United Kingdom 297: Do protests matter? Examining the impact of anti-Iraq War protests on EL45 congressional voting Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Katharina Pfaff Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Vienna University of Economics and Business, Date: 21st June 2019 Austria Location: PFC/03/005 703: Creating Critical Citizens? The Causal Effect of Protests on Public EL45 - Information and elections Opinion Chair Vicente Valentim Jordi Muñoz Mendoza - Universitat de Barcelona, European University Institute, Italy Spain 721: Does social mobilisation matter? The Discussant impact of civic engagement with monitoring Sonia Giurumescan - University of Barcelona, Spain the 2015 presidential elections in Poland 589: An Ideological Turing Test: Delegates’ Jan Fałkowski, Przemysław Kurek understanding of their ideological opponents University of Warsaw, Poland Hans Noel Georgetown, USA

12: Learning From Polls IR10 1 2 Lucas Leemann , Richard Traunmüller , Lukas International Relations 1 Stoetzer Time: 17:10 - 18:50 1 2 University of Zürich, Switzerland. University Date: 21st June 2019 of Frankfurt, Germany Location: PFC/03/006B 355: Elections as information: evidence from

Google Trends IR10 - Foreign Direct Investment 1 2 1 Markus Wagner , Daniel Bischof , Martin Fenz Chair 1 2 University of Vienna, Austria. University of Gabriele Spilker - University of Salzburg, Austria Zurich, Switzerland Discussant 593: Does Message Distortion by Rival Parties Gabriele Spilker - University of Salzburg, Austria Affect Voters? 376: The Effect of Sanctions on Companies’ 1 2 Zeynep Somer-Topcu , Margit Tavits Foreign Direct Investment Decisions 1 University of Texas at Austin, USA. Elena McLean1, Jeheung Ryu2, Taehee Whang3 2 Washington University, St. Louis, USA 1SUNY Buffalo, USA. 2University of Rochester, 1203: Belief strength and updating policy USA. 3Yonsei University, USA positions 681: Are Chinese Loans “door-openers” for 1 2 Seonghui Lee , Carsten Jensen subsequent Chinese FDI? 1 2 University of Essex, United Kingdom. Aarhus Jonas Bunte University, Denmark University of Texas at Dallas, USA 919: Corporate political strategy: How firms adapt to different institutional environments CP19 David Marshall1, Patrick Bernhagen2, Mike Comparative Politics Seiferling3 Time: 17:10 - 18:50

1University of Reading, United Kingdom. 111: Allowed to turn down? The determinants 2University of Stuttgart, Germany. 3University of attitudes towards activation policies and College London, United Kingdom perceived levels of deservingness. Peter Grand, Marcel Fink, Guido Tiemann Institute for Advanced Studies, Austria CF10 1199: When Voters Favour the Social International and Domestic Conflict Investment Welfare State: Evidence from Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Survey Experiments in Japan Date: 21st June 2019 Mark Brazzill1, Hideko Magara1, Yuki Yanai2 Location: PFC/03/011 1Waseda University, Japan. 2Kochi University of Technology, Japan CF10 - Peacekeeping and dispute resolution 511: Public Attitudes toward Climate Security: Chair A Cross-Country Analysis Lesley-Ann Daniels - Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Gizem Arikan1, Defne Gunay2 Internacionals (IBEI), Spain 1Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 2Yasar Discussant University, Turkey Scott Gates - PRIO, Norway 450: What Shapes Citizens’ Preferences 98: Throwing in the Towel: Democracies and towards Climate Change Policies? Insights Lost Disputes from Choice Experiments Erik Gartzke, Matthew Millard, Patrick Hulme Adrian Rinscheid1, Silvia Pianta2, Elke Weber3 University of California, San Diego, USA 1University of St. Gallen, Switzerland. 2Bocconi 558: The Myth of Casualty Aversion: How Do University, Italy. 3Princeton University, USA Casualties Influence States’ Decision to Provide Personnel for UN Peacekeeping Missions? CF16 Felix Olsowski International and Domestic Conflict University of Mannheim, Germany Time: 17:10 - 18:50 13: The Uneven Burden of Peacekeeping: Date: 21st June 2019 Assessing Variation in Risk-Taking Propensity Location: PFC/0G/007 Across Troop Contributing Countries Brandon Prins1, Anup Phayal2 CF16 - Post-conflict reconstruction 1University of Tennessee, Knoxville, USA. Chair 2University of North Carolina Wilmington, USA Ravi Bhavnani - Graduate Institute, Switzerland 373: Under the Roof of Rebels: Civilian Discussant Targeting After Territorial Takeover in Sierra Kristin Bakke - University College London, United Leone Kingdom Melanie Sauter1, Christian Oswald2, Sigrid 218: Shades of peace: Perception of security Weber3, Rob Williams4 in Sri Lanka 1European University Institute, Switzerland. Sabine Carey, Christian Glaessel, Belén 2Trinity College Dublin, Ireland. 3University González College London, United Kingdom. 4University University of Mannheim, Germany of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, USA 734: Emotion Shift and Transitional Justice: A Micro- and Macro-level Effects in Justice Debates in the Balkans. EL24 Denisa Kostovicova, Ivor Sokolic, Tom Paskhalis Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour London School of Economics, United Kingdom Time: 17:10 - 18:50 759: Pulled Together or Torn Asunder? Date: 21st June 2019 Community Cohesion after Symmetric and Location: PFC/03/017 Asymmetric Civil War Krzysztof Krakowski EL24 - Origins of preferences for policy Collegio Carlo Alberto, Italy Chair 809: When Do States Apologize for Past Michael Donnelly - University of Toronto, Canada Atrocities? Explaining Interstate Apologies for Discussant War Crimes Omar Solodoch - Tel Aviv University, Israel Kerim Can Kavakli1, Mohammad Mohsin Hussain2

1 2 Bocconi University, Italy. University of Warwick, United Kingdom EL39 - Cool papers that fit poorly in other panels 1187: Security Sector Reform as Coup Chair Proofing Martin Schoovelde - UCD, Ireland Jessica Sun Discussant University of Michigan, USA Garret Binding - Inst. Pol. Sc. Zurich, Switzerland 1144: UnfAirbnb! The effect of short-term letting on electoral behaviour CP12 Toni Rodon Comparative Politics London School of Economics and Political Time: 17:10 - 18:50 Science, United Kingdom Date: 21st June 2019 1003: National Sporting Success and Regime Location: PFC/0G/024 Stability: Evidence from participation in the FIFA world cup CP12 - Women and the Vote Tore Wig, Haakon Gjerløw Chair University of Oslo, Norway Amanda Clayton - Vanderbilt University, USA 1167: Vote Switching and Racial Identity Discussant Change Amanda Clayton - Vanderbilt University, USA Alexander Agadjanian1, Dean Lacy2 492: The Long-term Effects of Demographic 1Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA. Shocks on the Female Political Participation: 2Dartmouth College, USA Evidence from the Transatlantic Slave Trade 93: When and how do governments Patrick Kuhn, Philippa Fernandes manipulate their economic statistics? Durham University, United Kingdom Roberto Barbosa de Andrade Aragão1, Lukas 901: Are women corruption cleansers or part Linsi2 of the problem? Evidence from 1University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. Afrobarometer rounds 5 and 6 2University of Groningen , Netherlands Natascha Neudorfer University of Birmingham, United Kingdom 1251: Do gender quotas improve political PE25 participation? Evidence from a natural Political Economy experiment in Delhi Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Tanushree Goyal Date: 22nd June 2019 University of Oxford, United Kingdom Location: MAPTC/0G/006 439: Mobilizing Women Voters: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan PE25 - Debt Zain Chaudhry1, Karrar Hussain2, Muhammad Chair Yasir Khan3 Thomas Sattler - University of Geneva, Switzerland 1Heidelberg University, Germany. 2LUMS, Discussant Pakistan. 3UC Berkeley, USA Jonas Bunte - University of Texas at Dallas, USA 155: The Financial Lives of Families. How Credit Regimes and Welfare States Shape EPSA Reception Household Indebtedness Time: 19:00 - 21:30 Andreas Wiedemann Date: 21st June 2019 Nuffield College, Oxford University, United Location: Belfast City Hall Kingdom 643: The politics of sovereign debt EUP Editorial Board Meeting management: A two-level agent-based model Time: 8:00 - 9:00 Alessandra Romani Date: 22nd June 2019 The Graduate Institute Geneva, Switzerland Location: Senate Room 1065: Constraining creditors: How governments generate demand for their own EL39 debt Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Timm Betz, Amy Pond Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Texas A&M University, USA Date: 22nd June 2019 Location: LAN/0G/074

408: Financial Crisis, Creditor-Debtor Conflict, 1University of Mannheim, Germany. Political Extremism 2University of Salzburg, Austria. 3ETH Zurich, Gyozo Gyongyosi1, Emil Verner2 Switzerland 1Kiel Institute for the World Economy, 1087: Voter Preferences for Candidates with Germany. 2MIT Sloan, USA Different Social Backgrounds and Programmatic Commitments Reto Wuest, Jonas Pontusson PC11 University of Geneva, Switzerland Political Communication and Media 575: Offensive or defensive coalitions? Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Coalition formation and voting systems in Date: 22nd June 2019 pre- and post-Arab Spring Morocco Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Romain Ferrali1, David Goeury2 1 2 New York University Abu Dhabi, UAE. Centre PC11 - Frame on You National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Chair France Gizem Melek - Yasar University, Turkey Discussant Gizem Melek - Yasar University, Turkey PE11 896: Public Representations of “Europe” Political Economy and Economic Policy-Making in Times of Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Crisis. A Lexical Assessment of News in Date: 22nd June 2019 France, Spain, and the UK (2008-2014)” Location: PFC/02/018 Sabina Monza Autonomous university of Barcelona (UAB), PE11 - Labour and Labour Markets Spain Chair 109: The F(r)ame of Terror: a Multimodal Tom O'Grady - University College London, United Analysis of Terrorism Discourse in BBC News Kingdom Media. Discussant Ana Alonso Curbelo Paul Marx - University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany University of Glasgow, United Kingdom 301: Insuring Altruism: Labor Market Risks 277: Semi-automated Content Analysis of and the Social Insurance Design Media Frames Verena Fetscher Johannes Gruber Oxford University, United Kingdom University of Glasgow, Germany 536: Striking a biased balance: mobilization, autonomy and change in the design of labor provisions in preferential trade agreements EL11 Rodrigo Cezar Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Graduate Institute of International and Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Development Studies (Geneva), Switzerland Date: 22nd June 2019 683: How Do Capital and Labor Split Economic Location: PFC/02/017 Gains? Globalization, Organized Labor, and Wage-Bargaining Institutions EL11 - Populism and the Right Rena Sung1, Erica Owen2, Quan Li1 Chair 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2University of Will Daniel - Francis Marion University, USA Pittsburgh, USA Discussant 684: Firms versus Workers? The Politics of Denise Laroze - Santiago, Chile Openness in the Era of Global Production and 391: Potential Electoral Support for the Automation Radical Right in Ireland Erica Owen Erik Tillman University of Pittsburgh, USA DePaul University, USA 568: The Performance of Populist Right Parties in Open and Closed Lists. Evidence LE11 from a survey experiment Legislative Studies and Party Politics Thomas Bräuninger1, Thomas Däubler1, Robert Time: 9:00 - 10:40 A. Huber2, Lukas Rudolph3 Date: 22nd June 2019 Location: PFC/02/025

1 Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany. LE11 - Representation 2Lund University, Sweden Chair 1254: Policy Monitoring in Presidential Miriam Sorace - London School of Economics, Multiparty Systems United Kingdom Thiago Nascimento da Silva Discussant Universität Mannheim, Germany Luca Bernardi - Universitat Autònoma de 340: Minority Governments and Legislative Barcelona, Spain Success 452: Do Voters Have to Choose Between Maria Thürk Political Competence and Descriptive Humboldt University Berlin, Germany Representation? 1 2 Jens Olav Dahlgaard , Rasmus Tue Pedersen 1Copenhagen Business School, Denmark. 2VIVE, EL46 Denmark Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 53: Dyadic Representation in the American Time: 9:00 - 10:40 North and South: The Case of Prohibition Date: 22nd June 2019 Michael Olson1, James Snyder2 Location: PFC/03/005 1 2 Havard University, USA. Harvard University, USA EL46 - Turnout and participation 952: The Politics of Representation and Health Chair Policy in 50 States and 7,383 Districts Jean LaCroix - Université libre de Bruxelles, Boris Shor Belgium University of Houston, USA Discussant 861: Are ideas present when people aren’t? – Matthew Lebo, Stony Brook University The relation of numerical and substantive 664: Cheap seats vs turnout: who prevails? representation of the poor in European Ferran Martinez i Coma1, Ignacio Lago Penas 2 parliaments 1Griffith University, Australia. 2Universitat Caroline Hahn Pompeu Fabra , Spain GESIS – Leibniz Institute for the Social Science, 1063: Employment and female turnout Germany Andreas Kotsadam Frisch, Norway 331: Institutional Determinants of Youth LE16 Political Participation in the European Union: Legislative Studies and Party Politics a Multilevel Analysis Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Magdelina Kitanova Date: 22nd June 2019 University of Southampton, United Kingdom Location: PFC/02/026 313: Term Limit Extension and Electoral Participation. Evidence from a Diff-in- LE16 - Coaliton politics Discontinuities Design at the local level in Chair Italy Elin Haugsgjerd Allern - University of Oslo, Norway Marco Alberto De Benedetto1, Maria De Paola2 Discussant 1Università degli Studi di Messina, Italy. Thomas Meyer - University of Vienna, Austria 2Università degli Studi della Calabria, Italy 697: Multidimensional measures of 945: Habitual Voting in Autocracies: Lessons government (in)stability from the Russian Case Yael Shomer1, Björn Erik Rasch2, Osnat Akirav3 Ksenia Northmore-Ball1, Katerina 1Tel-Aviv University, Israel. 2University Of Oslo, Tertytchnaya2 Norway. 3The Western Galilee College, Israel 1Queen Mary, University of London, United 820: Are Coalition Signals Cheap Talk for Kingdom. 2UCL, United Kingdom Voters? Oke Bahnsen University of Mannheim, Mannheim Centre for PE31 European Social Research (MZES), Germany Political Economy 248: Payoff allocation in coalition Time: 9:00 - 10:40 governments Date: 22nd June 2019 Heike Klüver1, Hanna Bäck2 Location: PFC/03/006A

PE31 - Support for costly policies 100: The Tyranny of Distance: Assessing and Chair Explaining the Decline in U.S. Military Michael Bechtel - Washington University in St Performance Louis, USA Erik Gartzke, Patrick Hulme Discussant UCSD, USA Federica Genovese - University of Essex, United 65: Populism and Conflict: Analyzing Populist Kingdom Foreign Policy 1115: Public Support for Costly Policy - Results Hadas Aron1, Emily Holland2 from a Cross-Country Conjoint Experiment on 1New York University, USA. 2United States Sustainable Food Policies Naval Academy , USA Lukas Fesenfeld1, Michael Wicki1, Yixian Sun2, 797: Winning Coalitions, Partisanship, and the Thomas Bernauer1 Strategic Calculus of Battlefield Casualties. 1ETH Zurich, Switzerland. 2Yale University, USA Douglas Atkinson , Kevin Fahey , Rene 614: The impact of environmental attitudes Lindstadt , Zach Warner on public support for domestic water charges Cardiff University, United Kingdom John Kenny University of Oxford, United Kingdom 252: Do citizens demand firm regulation? CF11 Voluntary responsible business measures by International and Domestic Conflict multinationals and public opinion on Time: 9:00 - 10:40 regulatory standards Date: 22nd June 2019 Dennis Kolcava, Lukas Rudolph, Thomas Location: PFC/03/011 Bernauer, Angélica Serrano ETH Zürich, Switzerland CF11 - Conflict and the survival of leaders 225: Who is High-Income, Anyway?: Social Chair Comparison, Subjective Group-Identification, Oren Barak - Hebrew University of Jerusalem, and Preferences over Progressive Taxation Israel Asli Cansunar Discussant University of Oxford, United Kingdom Ana Carolina Garriga - University of Essex, United 694: Public Support for Different Types of Kingdom Costly Climate Policies: Insights from a Cross- 244: What's a "Good Coup"? Examining Country Conjoint Experiment on International Support for Coups d'État Transportation Policies Franziska Hohlstein Michael Wicki, Lukas Fesenfeld, Thomas University of Freiburg, Germany Bernauer 515: Going, Going, Gone? Varieties of Dissent ETH Zürich, Switzerland and Leader Exit Marius Radean1, Kristian Gleditsch1, Roman 2 Olar IR11 1University of Essex, United Kingdom. 2Trinity International Relations College Dublin, Ireland Time: 9:00 - 10:40 713: Military Autonomy, Political Crisis, and Date: 22nd June 2019 Conflict: Lessons from the Middle East Location: PFC/03/006B Oren Barak, Dan Miodownik Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel IR11 - New Directions in IR Research 1018: Surviving the Aftermath: Understanding Chair How Military and Political Experience Affect Jazmin Sierra - University of Notre Dame, USA Post-War Political Leadership Survival Discussant Cosima Meyer Marc Helbling - University of Bamberg, Germany University of Mannheim, Germany 671: New Evidence and New Methods for Analyzing the Iranian Revolution as an Intelligence Failure EL25 Matt Connelly1, Raymond Hicks1, Robert Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Jervis1, Arthur Spirling2 Time: 9:00 - 10:40 1Columbia University, USA. 2New York Date: 22nd June 2019 University, USA Location: PFC/03/017

EL25 - Party membership 394: Surveillance Policies and Citizens’ Chair Political Trust Jason Casellas - University of Houston, USA Conrad Ziller1, Marc Helbling2 Discussant 1University of Cologne, Germany. 2WZB Berlin David Leal - University of Texas, USA and University of Bamberg, Germany 617: The change of motives to become and to 1086: Communication Technology and stay a party member: An empirical analysis of National Identity: Evidence from Sub-Saharan the membership of the German political Africa parties for the period 1998 to 2017 Benjamin Laughlin, Donghyun Danny Choi, Markus Klein1, Yvonne Lüdecke1, Frederik Anna Schultz Springer1, Philipp Becker1, Lisa Czeczinski2, University of Pennsylvania, USA Bastian Schmidt2 1209: Ownership of internet service providers 1Leibniz University of Hannover, Germany. and state control in Africa, 2000-2016 2University of Siegen, Germany Tina Freyburg, Lisa Garbe, Véronique Wavre 772: The threefold social selectivity of University of St.Gallen, Switzerland participation in political parties – an empirical analysis of the membership of the German political parties in 2017 PS1 Roundtable Frederik Springer1, Markus Klein1, Yvonne Political Science as a Discipline Lüdecke1, Philipp Becker1, Lisa Czeczinski2, Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Bastian Schmidt2 Date: 22nd June 2019 1Leibniz University Hannover, Germany. Location: Emeleus Lecture Theatre 2University of Siegen, Germany This roundtable brings together editors and former 430: Party Membership, Pre-Parliamentary editors of International Interactions, International Socialization and Party Cohesion Studies Quarterly, International Area Studies Jochen Rehmert Review, Foreign Policy Analysis, Political Science Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Germany Research & Methods, and Research and Politics to 139: Voters’ Reactions to Legislator Dissent discuss the elements of a successful journal across Electoral Systems: Personal Integrity submission. The panelists will offer insights into and Constituency Loyalty editorial processes and what authors can do to Helene Helboe Pedersen, Troels Bøggild improve their odds of obtaining useful reviews. Aarhus University, Denmark The roundtable provides s an informal and interactive setting for junior scholars to meet editors and discuss the publishing process. CP13 Participants include: Comparative Politics Brandon Prins, University of Tennessee, Lead Time: 9:00 - 10:40 Editor, International Studies Quarterly Date: 22nd June 2019 Scott Gates, University of Oslo, Lead Editor, Location: Bell Lecture Theatre International Area Studies Review Gerald Schneider, University of Konstanz, Lead CP13 - F**kin' Internet Editor, European Union Politics Chair Indridi Indridason, University of California- Constantine Boussalis - Trinity College, Dublin, Riverside, Editor, Research and Politics Ireland Paul Kellstedt, Texas A&M University, Associate Discussant Editor, Political Research and Methods Constantine Boussalis - Trinity College, Dublin, Debbie Lisle, Queens University Belfast, Lead Ireland. Tina Freyburg - University of St. Gallen, Editor, International Political Sociology Switzerland 309: Internet Use and Mobilization in Regime PS1 - Journal Publishing: Finding the Right Outlet Transitions: Competing Risks and Repeated for your Research and Avoiding Desk Rejections Events in Duration Models Chair Berna Öney1, Alejandro Quiroz Flores2 Brandon Prins - University of Tennessee-Knoxville, 1Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, USA Germany. 2University of Essex , United Discussant Kingdom Scott Gates - University of Oslo, Norway. Gerald Schneider - University of Konstanz, Germany

1281: Navigating an R&R Decision 1024: Risk Dynamics: Economic Trajectories Debbie Lisle and Political Reactions Queen's University Belfast, United Kingdom Denis Cohen1, Thomas Kurer2 1University of Mannheim, Germany. 2Harvard University, USA EL40 443: Globalisation and support for social- Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour democracy Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Rubén Ruiz-Rufino Date: 22nd June 2019 King's College London, United Kingdom Location: LAN/0G/074 216: Misattributed Blame? Attitudes Towards Globalization in the Age of Automation EL40 - Vote calculus Nicole Wu Chair University of Michigan, USA Toni Rodon - LSE, United Kingdom 949: Risks, Worries, and Preferences for Social Discussant Policy: Evidence from a Survey Tore Wig - Uni of Oslo, Norway Experiment 1219: Drain the Swamp? Constrained Political Seobin Han, Hyeok Yong Kwon Choice in Brazil Korea University, Korea, Republic of Matias Iaryczower1, Sergio Monteros2, Galileu 932: Preferences for Technological Kim1 Adjustment Policies 1Princeton University, USA. 2University of Jose Fernandez-Albertos1, Aina Gallego2, Rochester, USA Alexander Kuo3, Dulce Manzano4 674: Assessing Issue-Oriented Voting When 1IPP-CSIC, Spain. 2IBEI, Spain. 3University of Voters Have Nonseparable Preferences Oxford, United Kingdom. 4University of Dean Lacy Complutense, Spain Dartmouth College, USA 293: Expressive Political Choice Toni Rodon1, Sara Hobolt1, Hector Solaz2 PC12 1London School of Economics and Political Political Communication and Media Science, United Kingdom. 2Vrije Universiteit Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Amsterdam , Netherlands Date: 22nd June 2019 1232: Strategic voting in instant-runoff Location: MAPTC/0G/017 elections Andrew Eggers1, Tobias Nowacki2 PC12 - Polarization and (In)civility 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Chair 2Stanford University, USA Philip Habel - University of South Alabama, USA 1102: Vote Choice as a Two-Staged Process Discussant Thomas Willi Philip Habel - University of South Alabama, USA. University of Zurich, Switzerland Andrew Guess - Princeton University, USA 730: Detecting long-term media effects on affective polarization: Evidence from web- PE26 tracking and longitudinal surveys in three Political Economy countries Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Magdalena Wojcieszak1, Chankyung Pak2, Date: 22nd June 2019 Ericka Menchen-Trevino3, Andreu Casas4 Location: MAPTC/0G/006 1UC Davis, USA. 2University of Amsterdam, 3 4 Netherlands. American University, USA. NYU, PE26 - Globalisation, Automation, and Political USA Attitudes 871: Exposure to populist online Chair communication: A cross-country study Timothy Hicks - University College London, United combining web tracking and surveys Kingdom Nora Kirkizh1, Sebastian Stier1, Caterina Froio2, Discussant Ralph Schroeder3 Sergi Pardos-Prado - University of Oxford, United 1GESIS Leibniz Institute for Social Sciences, Kingdom Germany. 2SciencesPo, France. 3University of Oxford, United Kingdom

800: The Effect of Hate Speech Regulation on 939: 'Popular wisdom' or flimsy excuse? The Preference Falsification impact of representation gaps on populist Richard Traunmueller1, Simon Munzert2, Pablo party success Barbera3, Andy Guess4, JungHwan Yang5, Dani Miriam Sorace1, Christopher Wratil2 Stockmann2 1London School of Economics and Political 1University of Mannheim , Germany. 2Hertie Science, United Kingdom. 2Harvard University, School of Governance, Germany. 3LSE, United USA Kingdom. 4Princeton University, USA. 876: Puzzling populist surge? How populist 5University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, attitudes and sense of crisis condition political USA participation. 782: How Do We Evaluate the “Health of Benjamin Schürmann Conversations” on Social Media? Four Metrics WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Germany for Twitter 1 2 Rebekah Tromble , Patricia Rossini , Dirk Hovy3, Michael Meffert1, Nava Tintarev4, PE12 Jennifer Stromer-Galley2 Political Economy 1Leiden University, Netherlands. 2Syracuse Time: 10:50 - 12:40 University, USA. 3Boconni University, Italy. 4TU Date: 22nd June 2019 Delft, Netherlands Location: PFC/02/018 1253: Divide and conquer: Why politicians tolerate incivility and how polarization PE12 - Political Economy of Inequality widens their audience? Chair Spyros Kosmidis1, Yannis Theocharis2 Nathan Kelly - University of Tennessee, USA 1Oxford, United Kingdom. 2Bremen, Germany Discussant Guy Whitten - Texas A&M, USA 528: Do Economic Crises Fuel Income EL12 Inequality? Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Cristina Bodea, Christian Houle, Hyunwoo Kim Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Michigan State University, USA Date: 22nd June 2019 1245: Political consumption as a tool for social Location: PFC/02/017 justice. Differentiating between the political consumption of goods and services. EL12 - Origins of Populist Appeals Silke Goubin, Marc Hooghe Chair KU Leuven, Belgium Erik Tillman - DePaul University, USA 672: The Dynamic of Policy Response to Public Discussant Opinion: Institutions, Taxation and Inequality Tim Hellwig - Indiana University, USA Anthony McGann, Sebastian Dellepiane- 122: They are all the same: Populism and Avellaneda perception of mainstream parties University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom Zoltan Fazekas1, Federico Vegetti2 1136: Fiscal Redistribution and Economic 1Copenhagen Business School, Denmark. Voting: Evidence from Errors in the German 2University of Milan, Italy Census 134: Like Voters, Like Politicians: Descriptive Hanno Hilbig1, Anselm Rink2 Representation and the Rise of Polulist Parties 1Harvard University, USA. 2University of in Europe Konstanz, Germany Maria Carreri1, Emily West2 276: Circles of Solidarity: Redistribution and 1University of California, San Diego, USA. the National Contexts of Diversity in 2University of Pittsburgh, USA Developed Democracies 832: Voters of Populist Parties and Basic Alon Yakter Human Values. Reflections on the Tel Aviv University, Israel Consequences of Demand-Side Populism in Europe. Hugo Marcos-Marne CF17 University of St.Gallen, Switzerland International and Domestic Conflict Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Date: 22nd June 2019 Location: PFC/02/025

Graduate Institute of International and CF17 - Formal models of conflict Development Studies, Switzerland Chair 819: United we stand, divided we fall? Party Thomas Chadefaux - Trinity College Dublin, Ireland divisions in the perspective of the voters 688: Democracy, Reputation for Resolve, and Johannes Besch, Alberto Lopez-Ortega Civil Conflict University of Zurich, Switzerland Casey Crisman-Cox Texas A&M, USA 158: Explaining Militancy among Marginalized EL47 Minorities Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Saurabh Pant Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Institute for Advanced Study in Toulouse, Date: 22nd June 2019 France Location: PFC/03/005 583: Professional Soldiers, Conscripts, and Insurgents: The Role of Military Manpower EL47 - Evaluations of Democracy Procurement in Regime Politics Chair Nikitas Konstantinidis, Henry Pascoe Abraham Ritov - Hebrew University, Israel IE University, Spain Discussant 1010: Strategic information transmission in Kathrin Ackermann - Heidelberg University, civil wars: Conflict networks in the shadow of Germany mediation 236: What Do Humans Think About Altaf Ali1, Nils Metternich1, Tatjana Stankovic2 Democracy? 1University College London, United Kingdom. Chris Anderson1, Damien Bol2, Aurelia 2University of Oslo, Norway Nugroho2 1089: Street Level Autocrats: Private 1University of Warwick, United Kingdom. Preferences and the Logic of Nonviolent 2KIng's College London, United Kingdom Revolutions 372: Preferences for Consensus and Scott Gates1, Marianne Dahl2, Håvard Nygård2 Majoritarian Democracy: Winners, Losers and 1Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and Institutional Learning University of Oslo, Norway. 2PRIO, Norway Ferrin Monica1, Enrique Hernández2 1Collegio Carlo Alberto, Italy. 2Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain LE17 1178: The Meanings of Democracy Legislative Studies and Party Politics Kirby Goidel, Nicholas Davis, Yikai Zhao Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Texas A&M, USA Date: 22nd June 2019 427: How Ordinary Citizens Detect and Location: PFC/02/026 Evaluate Democratic Regression Suthan Krishnarajan LE17 - Divided and divisive parties Aarhus University, Denmark Chair Stefan Mueller - University of Zurich, Switzerland Discussant EL49 Shaun Bowler - University of California- Riverside, Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour USA Time: 10:50 - 12:40 316: Do Divisive Primaries Hurt Parties? Date: 22nd June 2019 Evidence from Mexico Location: PFC/03/006A Sergio Ascencio Bonfil New York University Abu Dhabi, UAE EL49 - Emotions and Voting II 754: Keeping it in the Family? Party Cohesion, Chair Disagreement and Voter Perception Magdelina Kitanova - University of Southampton, Zachary Greene United Kingdom University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom Discussant 1077: Can Interparty Contact Reduce Support Ferran M i Coma - Griffith, Australia for Election Violence? Evidence from a List 1234: Coping and the Political Behavior of Experiment in Turkey Low Socioeconomic Status Individuals Bugra Güngör Miquel Pellicer University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany

612: The Size of the Public Sector and Well 1034: The Impact of Political Instability on the Being: A Global Appaisal Emergence of Terrorism Alexander Pacek1, Benjamin Radcliff2, Mark Somya Chhabra Brockway2 Trinity College Dublin, Ireland 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2University of 552: State Capacity, Encirclement, and Ethnic Notre Dame, USA Insurgency: Theory and Evidence from China 1147: Engaged and Enraged? The Role of Anna Zhang Political Efficacy in Support for Populism Stanford University, USA Eva Anduiza, Marc Guinjoan, Guillem Rico 1206: Roads to Rule, Roads to Rebel: Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Spain Relational State Capacity and Conflict in Africa 999: Political Mistrust and Party Choice Philipp Hunziker1, Carl Müller-Crepon2, Lars- Constanza Sanhueza Petrarca, Heiko Giebler, Erik Cederman2 Bernhard Weßels 1Google, Switzerland. 2ETH Zurich, Switzerland WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Germany 853: Bringing Peace from Above? State Capacity, Civil War De-Escalation and the Composition of the Stock of Military IR12 Equiptment International Relations Tobias Korn1, Martin Gassebner1, Nauro Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Campos2 Date: 22nd June 2019 1Leibniz University Hannover, Germany. Location: PFC/03/006B 2Brunel University London, United Kingdom

IR12 - The International Politics of Trade Chair EL26 Raymond Hicks - Columbia University, USA Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Discussant Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Raymond Hicks - Columbia University, USA Date: 22nd June 2019 249: Trade as a Foreign Policy Issue: A Location: PFC/03/017 Bilateral Micro Perspective Thomas Sattler, Tanja Schweinberger EL26 - Sources of Far-Right Appeal University of Geneva, Switzerland Chair 572: The Nexus between the World Trade Tim Hellwig - Indiana University, USA Organization and Codex Alimentarius Discussant Sebastian Klotz Henrik Bech Seeberg - Aarhus University, Denmark World Trade Institute (WTI), University of Bern, 1224: Political outsiders: Can social extremism Switzerland and political incorrectness work as a signal of 1015: Overshadowed Liberalism: competence? Protectionism during Interstate Disputes Paul Seabright1, Jerome Gonnot2, Maleke Konstantin Bätz Fourati3 University of Konstanz, Germany 1Toulouse School of Economics, IAST, France. 2Toulouse School of Economics, France. 3 UNIGE, Switzerland CF12 74: The Janus-Faced Nature of Radical Voting: International and Domestic Conflict Status Anxiety at the Roots of Far-Right and Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Far-Left Support Date: 22nd June 2019 Diane Bolet Location: PFC/03/011 London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom CF02 - State Capacity and conflict 1066: Fringe Voters Calling. Undecided voters Chair at the extremes of the left-right dimension Frank-Borge Wietzke - IBEI, Spain and their influence on mainstream party 39: Statebuilding, Social Order and Violence: responsiveness Evidence from U.S. Reconstruction Werner Krause Megan Stewart1, Karin Kitchens2 WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Germany 1American University, USA. 2Virginia Tech, USA

1162: Socialists Turned into Nationalists: an 5. Vera Troeger: publishing in journals and the Issue Ownership Model of Nationalist Party editorial process: strategies for early career Entrance researchers Jaerin Kim Washington University in St. Louis, USA PS2 - Roundtable on diversity and career development in academia Chair CP14 Orit Kedar - The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Comparative Politics Israel Time: 10:50 - 12:40 Date: 22nd June 2019 Location: Bell Lecture Theatre EL41 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour CP14 - Clientelism Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Chair Date: 22nd June 2019 Benjamin Laughlin - University of Pennsylvania, Location: LAN/0G/074 USA Discussant EL41 - Partisanship Benjamin Laughlin - University of Pennsylvania, Chair USA Matias Iaryczomer - Princeton University, USA 1226: Citizen Evaluations of Patrons and Discussant Clients in Different Forms of Clientelism Dean Lacy - Dartmouth College, USA Miquel Pellicer1, Eva Wegner2 182: Motivated Reasoning or Motivated 1University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany. Guessing? Exploring the Partisan Factual Bias 2University College Dublin, Ireland Under Uncertainty 1233: The price of respect: The value of Vittorio Merola1, Benjamin Lyons2, Jason material vs. non-material benefits in Reifler2 clientelistic exchanges 1Stony Brook University, USA. 2University of Miquel Pellicer1, Eva Wegner2, Markus Bayer1 Exeter, United Kingdom 1University of Duisburg-Essen, Germany. 994: The broken link? Examining young 2University College Dublin, Ireland people’s partisan socialisation within the 64: How Electoral Cycles Shape the home. Implementation of Public Programs:Evidence Jonathan Mellon, Nicole Martin from India University of Manchester, United Kingdom Anjali Thomas Bohlken, Jonathan Darsey 481: Don't Forget the Independents: Modeling Georgia Institute of Technology, USA Macropartisanship as a Compositional Time Series 1 1 Spencer Goidel , Paul Kellstedt , Matthew PS2 Roundtable Lebo2 Political Science as a Discipline 1Texas A&M University, USA. 2Stony Brook Time: 10:50 - 12:40 University, USA Date: 22nd June 2019 1040: Issue opinion and the stability of Location: Emeleus Lecture Theatre political choices in mass publics Participants: Chris Hanretty1, Benjamin Lauderdale2, Nick 1. Orit Kedar: Introduction to and moderation of Vivyan3 the roundtable: Where has the profession gotten 1Royal Holloway, University of London, United to with respect to gender (and other?) diversity? Kingdom. 2University College London, United What are the challenges? Kingdom. 3Durham University, United Kingdom 2. Macartan Humphreys: How to get male 1083: Party Principles: Commitment to Group- colleagues involved and interested in the gender Specific Policy Proposals debate? Robert Lupton1, William Myers2, Judd 3. Sara Hageman: generating visibility and impact Thornton3 outside academia 1University of Connecticut, USA. 2University of 4. Gail McElroy: career development and Tampa, USA. 3Georgia State University, USA promotion – moving up the ranks

PE27 citizens’ responsibility attribution across five Political Economy policy areas. Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Anna Brosius, Andreas C. Goldberg, Claes H. de Date: 22nd June 2019 Vreese Location: MAPTC/0G/006 University of Amsterdam, Netherlands 455: Opinion Leadership on Instagram: How PE27 - Historical Institutionalism Political Leaders’ Posts Influence Followers’ Chair Views and Actions Asli Cansunar - University of Oxford, United John Parmelee, Nataliya Roman Kingdom University of North Florida, USA Discussant 1241: The Mechanisms of Protest Recruitment Jonathan Chapman - NYU Abu Dhabi, UAE through Social Media Networks 465: Ora et Guberna. The Economic Impact of Andreu Casas1, Joshua Tucker1, Leon Yin1, Benedict’s Rule in medieval England Jonathan Nagler1, Jennifer M. Larson2 Domenico Rossignoli1, Federico Trombetta2 1New York University, USA. 2Vanderbilt 1Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Milano, University, USA Italy. 2University of Warwick, United Kingdom 599: The Diffusion of Taxation, 1750-2015 Zbigniew Truchlewski1, Andrea Papadia2 EL13 1University of Geneva, Switzerland. 2European Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour University Institute, Italy Time: 12:50 - 14:40 525: The origin of effective formal Date: 22nd June 2019 institutions: theory and evidence from Location: PFC/02/017 medieval England. Gabriel Leon EL13 - Economic voting Kings College London, United Kingdom Chair 1269: From religious violence to political Erik Gahner Larsen - University of Kent, United compromise Kingdom Isabela Mares1, Ahmed Mohammed2 Discussant 1Yale University, USA. 2Columbia University, Raymond Duch, University of Oxford USA 243: Unemployment Experiences and Policy Preferences: Evidence from a Survey of Mayors PC13 Aina Gallego1, Alba Huidobro2 Political Communication and Media 1Institut Barcelona d'Estudis Internacionals, Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Spain. 2Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain Date: 22nd June 2019 856: Economic Shocks, Party Competition and Location: MAPTC/0G/017 Turnout 1 2 Francesc Amat , Pablo Beramendi , Alejandra PC13 - Comparing mass and social media effects Suarez1 Chair 1IPERG-University of Barcelona, Spain. 2Duke Michael Meffert - Leiden University, Netherlands University, USA Discussant 938: Retrospective Voting in Central And Michael Meffert - Leiden University, Netherlands. Eastern Europe: Hyper-Accountability, Iulia Cioroianu - University of Bath, United Corruption Or Social Inequality? Kingdom Mažvydas Jastramskis1, Vytautas Kuokštis2, 707: The Battle of the Public Perception: How Matas Baltrukevičius2 First- and Second-level Media-Agenda 1Kaunas Institute of Technology, Lithuania. affected the Public Perception of the EU 2Vilnius University, Institute of International Migration-crisis Relations and Political Science, Lithuania Karsten Vestergaard 859: Choosing Challengers: Economic University of Copenhagen, Denmark Performance, the Cost of Ruling, and 748: Policy responsibility in the multilevel EU Retrospective Voting structure – The effect of media reporting on Timothy Hellwig, Tonya Dodez Indiana University, USA

361: Does EMU affect clarity of responsibility Date: 22nd June 2019 in domestic economic voting? An Location: PFC/02/025 experimental analysis Roberto Pannico, Marina Costa Lobo, Virginia CF09 - Predicting conflict Ros Chair Instituto de Ciências Sociais - Universidade de Macartan Humphreys - Wissenschaftszentrum Lisboa, Portugal Berlin für Sozialforschung, Germany Discussant Sabine Carey - University of Mannheim, Germany PE13 508: Learning Conflict Duration: Insights from Political Economy Predictive Modelling Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Gokhan Ciflikli Date: 22nd June 2019 London School of Economics, United Kingdom Location: PFC/02/018 1166: Rocket Science? Forecasting Palestinian Attacks on Israel PE13 - Experiments and Redistribution Thomas Chadefaux Chair Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Miquel Pellicer - University of Duisburg-Essen, 1181: From Black Box to Building Blocks: Germany Integrating Machine Learning Algorithms into Discussant Probablistic Generative Model for Conflict Eva Wegner - University College Dublin, Ireland Prediction and Understanding 931: Fairness and Redistribution via Taxation: Michael Colaresi, Kevin Greene A Conjoint Experiment University of Pittsburgh, USA Nestor Castaneda1, David Doyle2, Cassilde 920: Identifying Changes in Protracted Schwartz3 Conflicts: A New Geographical Unit of Analysis 1University College London, United Kingdom. Annette Idler, Katerina Tkacova 2University of Oxford, United Kingdom. 3Royal University of Oxford, United Kingdom Holloway, University of London, United 1257: Conflict as an Identification Strategy Kingdom Jessica Sun1, Scott Tyson2 969: Group identification and redistribution in 1University of Michigan, USA. 2University of democracies: an experiment Rochester, USA Shaun Hargreaves-Heap1, Emma Manifold2, 1 3 Konstantinos Matakos , Dimitrios Xefteris 1King's College London, United Kingdom. LE18 2University of Leicester, United Kingdom. Legislative Studies and Party Politics 3University of Cyprus, Cyprus Time: 12:50 - 14:40 130: Bank Credit and Preferences for Date: 22nd June 2019 Redistribution: Experimental Evidence from Location: PFC/02/026 the UK Jonas Markgraf1, Guillermo Rosas2 LE18 - Legislator Behaviour 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. Chair 2Washington University in St. Louis, USA Rohan Alexander - Australian National University, 503: Self-interest or system justification? An Australia experimental assessment of the effect of Discussant income inequality on political attitudes Samuel David Mueller - University of Mannheim, Gizem Arikan Germany. Stefanie Bailer - University of Basel, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland Switzerland 891: Social status, inequality perceptions and 510: Does where you’re from affect what you support for redistributive policies among say in parliament? The impact of state of politicians origin on senators’ speeches in the Australian Luzia Helfer, Nathalie Giger Federal Parliament (1901 - 2018) University of Geneva, Switzerland Rohan Alexander, Patrick Leslie Australian National University, Australia 207: Changing Places in Parliament CF18 Stefanie Bailer1, Sarah Bütikofer2, Simon Hug3 International and Domestic Conflict Time: 12:50 - 14:40

1 2 University of Basel, Switzerland. University of Zurich, Switzerland. 3University of Geneva, CF13 Switzerland International and Domestic Conflict 370: Turning the Clock: Manipulation of Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Legislative Time as a Strategy in Bicameral Date: 22nd June 2019 Bargaining in Germany Location: PFC/03/011 1 2 Christoph Garwe , Benjamin Engst , Yannick Stawicki1, Christoph Hönnige1 CF13 - Recruitment and civilian support in civil 1Leibniz Universität Hannover, Germany. wars 2Universität Mannheim, Germany Chair 652: The Influence of the Electoral Cycle on Franziska Hohlstein - Albert-Ludwigs-Universität the MP Behaviour in Parliament Freiburg, Germany Jan Schwalbach Discussant University of Cologne, Germany Matthew DiGiuseppe - Leiden University, 110: Parliamentary Opposition Behavior and Netherlands Electoral Outcomes: Does it Matter? 21: The Composition of Secret Police Forces: Or Tuttnauer1, Simone Wegmann2 Evidence from Autocratic Argentina 1Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Adam Scharpf1, Christian Glaessel2 Sozialforschung, Germany. 2University of 1GIGA-German Institute of Global and Area Geneva, Switzerland Studies, Germany. 2University of Mannheim, Germany 1068: Poverty, Outside Options and EL48 Insurgency – Finland in 1918 Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Matti Mitrunen1, Jaakko Meriläinen1, Tuomo Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Virkola2 Date: 22nd June 2019 1IIES, Stockholm University, Sweden. 2EUI, Italy Location: PFC/03/005 1261: Legitimacy and Contested Governance: Evidence from Colombia EL48 - Influences on policy positions Livia Schubiger1, Michael Weintraub2, Erica de Chair Bruin3 Arndt Leininger - Free University of Berlin, 1Duke University, USA. 2Universidad de los Germany Andes, Colombia. 3Hamilton College, USA Discussant 579: Individual Logics of Civil Resistance: A Damien Bol - King's College London, United conjoint survey experiment Kingdom Tore Wig1, Sirianne Dahlum2 904: The Limited Ideological Convergence of 1University of Oslo, Norway. 2Peace Research Single-Winner Elections to the Median Voter: Institute Oslo, Norway Is Trump an Outlier? 916: Personalism and Technologies of Abraham Ritov Rebellion: Incentives for Coups and Leader The Hebrew University, Israel Assassinations 635: Illuminating a ‘Black Hole’. Radical Right Abel Escribà-Folch Parties‘ Indirect Effect on Immigration Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain Policies. Valentin Berger University of Bamberg, Germany EL27 592: Better change your mind? The effect of Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour refugee settlement on politicians' policy Time: 12:50 - 14:40 stances Date: 22nd June 2019 Ilona Lahdelma Location: PFC/03/017 University of Oxford, United Kingdom 926: Zoonotic Parties: How Niche Party EL27 - Social cleavages as political factors Electoral Success Runs through Mainstream Chair Party Contagion Helen Pederson - Aarhus University, Denmark Christopher Williams1, Sophia Hunger2 Discussant 1University of Arkansas at Little Rock, USA. Yvonne Ludecke - Leibniz Uni of Hannover, 2European University Institute, Italy Germany

818: From De-alignment to Re-alignment? The Michigan State University, USA Transformation of Social Cleavages in 537: The Precolonial Origins of Within-Ethnic Germany Group Inequality Martin Elff1, Sigrid Roßteutscher2 Christian Houle1, Paul Kenny2, Nicolas Bichay1 1Zeppelin University, Germany. 2Goethe 1Michigan State University, USA. 2Australian University Frankfurt, Germany National University, Australia 630: A new working class? Political 1137: Political Attitudes toward Affirmative preferences and behavior of production and Action Quotas in Public Sector Employment in service workers in post-industrial societies Brazil Macarena Ares Philip Habel1, Mathieu Turgeon2 University of Zurich, Switzerland 1University of South Alabama, USA. 2Western 1081: The New Rural-Urban Divide in Politics: University, Canada Evidence from Germany 1 1 Kathrin Ackermann , Sigrid Roßteutscher , Richard Traunmüller2 LE13 1Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany. Legislative Studies and Party Politics 2University of Mannheim, Germany Time: 12:50 - 14:40 543: The regio-cultural roots of voting for the Date: 22nd June 2019 radical right: How cultural "remoteness" Location: Emeleus Lecture Theatre affects voting behavior in Germany Daniel Ziblatt1, Hanno Hilbig1, Daniel Bischof2 LE13 - Legislative Careers 1Harvard University, USA. 2University of Zurich, Chair Switzerland Julia Gray - University of Pennsylvania, USA 61: Cultural cleavage and secularization: The Discussant changing polarization about traditionalism Brenda Van Coppenolle - Leiden University, and authoritarianism in Europe Netherlands Anna Kulkova, Paul Tromp, Dick Houtman 1014: Prior career as a source of policy KU Leuven, Belgium expertise: How former profession of British MPs shape their issue attention in the House of Commons CP15 Wang Leung Ting Comparative Politics London School of Economics and Political Time: 12:50 - 14:40 Science, United Kingdom Date: 22nd June 2019 440: How parties choose ministers: Party Location: Bell Lecture Theatre careers and ministerial portfolio salience in Austria, 1945 – 2018. CP16 - Politics of Ethnicity Matthias Kaltenegger Chair Department of Government, University of Emmy Lindstam - University of Mannheim, Vienna, Austria Germany 902: Parliaments Day by Day: the Discussant Parliamentary Careers in Comparison Core Frank-Borge Wietzke - IBEI, Spain. Yannick Pengl - Database University of Vienna, Austria Tomas Turner-Zwinkels1, Oliver Huwyler1, 981: The Rise of Majority-Ethnic Nationalism Elena Frech2, Philip Manow3, Stefanie Bailer1, and Cooperation among Marginalized Simon Hug2 Minorities 1University of Basel, Switzerland. 2University of Emmy Lindstam1, Shardul Vaidya2 Geneva, Switzerland. 3University of Bremen, 1University of Mannheim, Germany. 2CESS- Germany Nuffield-FLAME University, India 954: Political Dynasties in the European 1069: Colonial Cash Crops and Political Power Parliament in Sub-Saharan Africa Alexandra Cirone Yannick Pengl1, Philip Roessler2 Cornell University, USA 1ETH Zurich, Switzerland. 2College of William & 329: Running In Spite of Themselves: Mary, USA Assessing the Impact of Fringe MEP Careers 533: The Legacies of Colonial Partition on on National Political Party Successes in Ethnic Politics in Contemporary Africa Europe Jeffrey Conroy-Krutz, Christian Houle William Daniel

Francis Marion University, USA Nikitas Konstantinidis - IE University, Spain Discussant Laura Seelkopft - Ludwig Maximilians Universität, EL42 Germany Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 194: The political economy of Hybrid regimes Time: 14:50 - 16:30 of capital controls Date: 22nd June 2019 Pedro Silva Location: LAN/0G/074 Central European University, Hungary 1186: Eager Hearts and Indoctrinated Minds EL42 - Congruence and representation Todd Lehmann1, Jessica Sun1, Scott Tyson2 Chair 1University of Michigan, USA. 2University of Vittorio Merola - Stony Brook University, USA Rochester, USA Discussant 1213: Mapping Financial Networks in Europe: Nicole Martin - University of Manchester, United a Text-Reuse Approach Kingdom Scott James1, Stefano Pagliari2 90: Dynamic Responsiveness in Political 1King's College, London, United Kingdom. 2City, Rhetoric University of London, United Kingdom Martijn Schoonvelde1, Gijs Schumacher2, 899: A Spatial Analysis of Senate Seat Denise Traber3 Selection 1University College Dublin, Ireland. 2University Christopher Dann of Amsterdam, Netherlands. 3University of The London School of Economics and Political Luzern, Switzerland Science, United Kingdom 557: Multidimensional Representational (In)Congruence in Europe Garret Binding EL14 Institute for Political Science Zürich, Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour Switzerland Time: 14:50 - 16:30 422: Controlling the Share? Party Control and Date: 22nd June 2019 the Gap between Representative Ambition Location: PFC/02/017 and Distributional Outcomes in Germany, the Netherlands, and Switzerland EL14 - Media and Elections Elena Frech1, Philip Manow2, Tomas Turner Chair Zwinkels3 Francesc Amat - IPERG-University of Barcelona, 1University of Geneva, Switzerland. 2University Spain of Bremen, Germany. 3University of Basel, Discussant Switzerland Anna Gallego - Instit. Barcelona d'Estudis 392: Establishing Responsive Linkages Internationale, Spain between Politicians and Voters in Pakistan 822: The Economic Crisis News Cycle Miriam Golden1, Saad Gulzar2, Luke Sonnet 1 Raymond Duch1, Denise Laroze2, Iñaki 1University of California at Los Angeles, USA. Sagarzazu3 2Stanford University , USA 1University of Oxford, United Kingdom. 1001: Never Mind, I’ll Find Someone Like Me: 2Universidad de Santiago de Chile, Chile. 3Texas The Relationship between Perceived Tech University, USA Representation and Populist Attitudes 303: I can’t be wrong since everyone I follow Bruno Castanho Silva1, Christopher Wratil2 thinks like me: disentangling the relationship 1Cologne Center for Comparative Politics, between cognitive styles, media preferences, Germany. 2Harvard University, USA and attitudinal polarization Andrea De Angelis, Alexander H. Trechsel, Diego Garzia PE28 University of Lucerne, Switzerland Political Economy 997: US Congressional Candidates’ Twitter Time: 14:50 - 16:30 Campaign Strategies Date: 22nd June 2019 Constanza Sanhueza Petrarca1, Jeremy Location: MAPTC/0G/006 Gelman2, Steven Wilson2 1 WZB Berlin Social Science Center, Germany. PE28 - New Directions in Political Economy 2University of Nevada, Reno, USA Chair

1128: Media bias, social networks, and Asli Cansunar - University of Oxford, United correlation neglect Kingdom Philipp Denter, Martin Dumav, Boris Ginzburg 660: Changing levels of wellbeing inequality Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain and inter-group conflict in Africa. New sub- national evidence from the early 2000s Frank-Borge Wietzke PE14 IBEI, Spain Political Economy 720: Does Non-Violent Communication (NVC) Time: 14:50 - 16:30 Increase Demand for and Access to Customary Date: 22nd June 2019 Justice for Women? Experimental Evidence Location: PFC/02/018 from a UN Women's Program in South Central Somalia. PE14 - Political Consequences of Economic Crisis Nicholas Haas, Prabin Khadka Chair New York University, USA Melissa Ziegler Rogers - Claremont Graduate 1071: Military Manpower Systems and University, USA Economic Inequality Discussant Nikitas Konstantinidis1, Carmela Lutmar2, Nicole Rae Baerg - University of Essex, United Henry Pascoe1 Kingdom 1IE University, Spain. 2Haifa University, Israel 271: Labour market deregulation and anti- 92: The Reach of Radio: Ending Civil Conflict immigrant attitudes through Rebel Demobilization Sergi Pardos-Prado Paul Atwell1, Joseph Gomes2, Alex Armand2 University of Oxford, United Kingdom 1University of Michigan, USA. 2Universidad de 371: Affording Independence? Economic Navarra, Spain Crises and Support for Regionalism in Europe Friederike Luise Kelle Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin/ Berlin Social EL28 Science Center, Germany Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behaviour 744: Losing support in times of crisis: Cross- Time: 14:50 - 16:30 pressured voters and government approval Date: 22nd June 2019 Thomas Willi, Tabea Palmtag Location: PFC/03/017 University of Zurich, Switzerland 1064: The Impact of Structural Reforms on EL28 - Ethnicity and voting Electoral Outcomes: Using a New Database of Chair Regulatory Stances and Major Policy Changes Jerome Gonnot - Toulouse School of Economics, Davide Fucerci1, Ostry Jonathan1, Papgeorgiou France Chris1, Dennis Quinn2 Discussant 1IMF, USA. 2Georgetown University, USA Diane Bolet - LSE, United Kingdom 979: Misremembering Weimar: Experimental 1100: The Political Attitudes and Policy Views Evidence on the Roots of German Stability of Latino Republicans in the U.S. Culture Jason Casellas, Jeronimo Cortina Lukas Haffert1, Nils Redeker1, Tobias Rommel2 University of Houston, USA 1University of Zurich, Switzerland. 2Technical 321: Timeless Landscape or Diverse Urbanity? University of Munich, Germany How Partisanship and Ethnicity Refract National Attachment in the United States and England CF14 David Leal1, Eric Kaufmann2 International and Domestic Conflict 1University of Texas at Austin, USA. 2Birkbeck Time: 14:50 - 16:30 College, University of London, United Kingdom Date: 22nd June 2019 531: Does the Content of Ethnicity Matter? Location: PFC/03/011 Religion, Language, Race and Ethnic Voting Christian Houle CF14 - Inequality and Conflict Michigan State University , USA Chair Michael Colaresi - University of Pittsburgh, USA Discussant

766: Formal participation of immigrant voters Date: 22nd June 2019 in Germany: First results from the Immigrant Location: Emeleus Lecture Theatre German Election Study (IMGES) Dennis C. Spies1, Sabrina J. Mayer2, Achim LE14 - Dodgy Legislator Finances Goerres2 Chair 1University of Cologne, Germany. 2University of Miriam Golden - UCLA, USA Duisburg-Essen, Germany Discussant 1280: Party Systems and Ethnic Bias in UK Andy Eggers - Oxford University, United Kingdom Elections: A Regional Comparison 834: Policymaking and Financial Gains in the Mary Stegmaier1, Michael Lewis-Beck2, Kaat United Kingdom Parliament Smets3 Kevin Fahey 1University of Missouri, USA. 2University of Cardiff University, United Kingdom Iowa, USA. 3Royal Holloway, University of 927: A Property-Owning Democracy: Does London, United Kingdom being a Landlord Affect British MPs' Behaviour on Housing Policy? Tom O'Grady CP16 University College London, United Kingdom Comparative Politics 944: From ‘fighting corruption’ to ‘fighting the Time: 14:50 - 16:30 corrupt elite’? Politicizing corruption within Date: 22nd June 2019 and beyond the populist divide Location: Bell Lecture Theatre Sarah Engler University of Zurich (until Dec 18: University of CP15 - New Directions in the Study of Regimes Bern), Switzerland Chair 983: The Party Room: Donor Networks and Rachel McLellan - Princeton University, USA Leaders in Congress Discussant Jordan HSu Vanessa Alexandra Boese - Humboldt University, UW Madison, USA Germany. Brett Bessen - University of Colorado at Boulder, USA 1132: Patterns of authority over space and time Vanessa Alexandra Boese1, Scott Gates2, Carl Henrik Knutsen3, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård4, Håvard Strand2 1Humboldt-University, Germany. 2University of Oslo, PRIO, Norway. 3University of Oslo, Norway. 4PRIO, Norway 40: The Paradox of Repression : The Effects and Consequences of Repression on Dissent in Authoritarian Settings Amy (Yunyu) Chiang University of Pittsburgh, USA 311: The Politics of Data Production Dissemination in Non-Democracies Rachael McLellan1, Ruth Carlitz2 1Princeton University, USA. 2University of Gothenburg, Sweden 596: Geographical Coverage in Comparative Politics Research Matthew Charles Wilson1, Carl Henrik Knutsen2 1University of South Carolina, USA. 2University of Oslo, Norway

LE14 Legislative Studies and Party Politics Time: 14:50 - 16:30

The 9th Annual Conference thanks the following for their support: