South East Bristol and Whitchurch Transport Package Options Assessment Report
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South East Bristol and Whitchurch Transport Package Options Assessment Report October 2018 i South East Bristol and Whitchurch Transport Package Options Assessment Report Table of contents Chapter Pages Executive summary vii Context vii Issues identification, objective setting and sifting viii Orbital Highway Link xii A37 Corridor Public Transport xiv Orbital Multi-modal Corridor xvi Active Travel xviii Phasing xix Next steps xix 1. Introduction 1-1 1.1. Purpose of this report 1-1 1.2. Strategic Context 1-1 1.3. Relationship with Transport Topic Paper 1-3 1.4. Approach to Options Assessment Reports 1-3 1.5. Structure of this report 1-4 2. Understanding the current situation 2-1 2.1. Description of the study area 2-1 2.2. Current travel demand and levels of service 2-8 2.3. Existing transport problems 2-19 2.4. Summary of current situation and issues 2-27 3. Understanding the future situation 3-1 3.1. Future land uses and policies 3-1 3.2. Future changes to the transport system 3-5 3.3. Future travel demand and problems 3-8 4. Transport Package Objectives 4-1 4.1. Summary of current and future problems, impacts and outcomes 4-1 4.2. Scheme objectives and outcomes 4-2 4.3. Measures for success 4-3 5. Generating and sifting options 5-1 5.1. Approach to option generation 5-1 5.2. Approach to option sifting 5-1 5.3. Results of option generation and sifting 5-5 5.4. Shortlisted scheme options for further assessment 5-28 6. Orbital Highway Scheme 6-1 6.1. Introduction 6-1 6.2. Option development 6-2 6.3. Option assessment 6-9 6.4. Conclusions 6-29 7. A37 Public Transport Corridor 7-1 7.1. Introduction 7-1 7.2. Option development 7-2 7.3. Option assessment 7-10 7.4. Conclusions 7-24 8. Orbital Multi-Modal Corridor 8-1 8.1. Introduction 8-1 8.2. Option development 8-2 Bath & North East Somerset Council OAR - South East Bristol and Whitchurch Package | Version 5.0 | October 2018 | 5161507 ii South East Bristol and Whitchurch Transport Package Options Assessment Report 8.3. Option assessment 8-6 8.4. Conclusions 8-17 9. Active Travel 9-1 9.1. Introduction 9-1 9.2. Option discussion 9-2 Tables Table 1 Summary of plans for SDLs in corridor .................................................................................... viii Table 2 – Phasing of Schemes ........................................................................................................................ xix Table 1-1 JLTP3 Objectives .................................................................................................................... 1-3 Table 1-2 Structure of this report ............................................................................................................ 1-4 Table 2-1 Bus Frequency on the A37 Corridor ..................................................................................... 2-17 Table 2-2 Bus Frequency on the Orbital Corridor ................................................................................. 2-17 Table 2-3 Breakdown of Rail Patronage at Keynsham Station for 2016/17 ......................................... 2-18 Table 2-4 Bus Journey Time on the A37 Corridor ................................................................................ 2-19 Table 3-1 The four authorities’ plans for non-JSP planned growth ........................................................ 3-1 Table 3-2 Summary of SDLs in the area ................................................................................................. 3-3 Table 3-3 Car journey times for selected routes during the morning peak hour (08:00 - 09:00) .......... 3-12 Table 3-4 Car journey times for selected routes during the evening peak hour (17:00 - 18:00) .......... 3-13 Table 4-1 Summary of key problems and impacts ................................................................................. 4-1 Table 4-2 Package key issues ................................................................................................................ 4-2 Table 4-3 Objectives mapped against key issues .................................................................................. 4-2 Table 4-4 Objectives' Measure of Success ............................................................................................. 4-3 Table 5-1 The role and purpose of the business cases .......................................................................... 5-2 Table 5-2 Pass / Fail Criteria and Drivers ............................................................................................... 5-3 Table 5-3 Orbital route - A4-A37 Link Options Sifting Summary ............................................................ 5-8 Table 5-4 Orbital Route - West of A37 Link Options Sifting Summary ................................................. 5-11 Table 5-5 Hicks Gate Junction Options Sifting Summary ..................................................................... 5-13 Table 5-6 MetroBus/Strategic cycle route standards ............................................................................ 5-14 Table 5-7 Orbital Service Options Sifting Summary ............................................................................. 5-16 Table 5-8 Whitchurch Railway Path and Cycle Route Options Sifting Summary ................................. 5-19 Table 5-9 A37 Public Transport Options Sifting Summary ................................................................... 5-19 Table 5-10 Whitchurch Railway Path Cycle Route Option Sifting Summary .......................................... 5-21 Table 5-11 Hicks Gate Park & Ride Options Sifting Summary ............................................................... 5-24 Table 5-12 Whitchurch Park & Ride Options Sifting Summary............................................................... 5-26 Table 6-1 Highway scheme concept design evaluation .......................................................................... 6-7 Table 6-2 Contribution to package objectives ....................................................................................... 6-10 Table 6-3 Contribution to JLTP Objectives ........................................................................................... 6-11 Table 6-4 Modelled impacts (network statistics) ................................................................................... 6-14 Table 6-5 Headline scheme benefits summary, PV, £million (A4-A37 Link, West of A37, Hicks Gate)6-17 Table 6-6 Social impacts (A4-A37 Link, West of A37, Hicks Gate) ...................................................... 6-19 Table 6-7 Summary of environmental impacts and mitigation considerations (highway scheme options) 6-21 Table 6-8 Scheme capital costs ............................................................................................................ 6-25 Table 6-9 Highway scheme option programme .................................................................................... 6-26 Table 6-10 Deliverability and acceptability assessment – highway schemes ........................................ 6-27 Table 6-11 Key risks – highway schemes ............................................................................................... 6-28 Table 6-12 Commercial assessment – highway schemes ...................................................................... 6-29 Table 6-13 Summary performance against the five cases ..................................................................... 6-30 Table 7-1 A37 Route option journey times (minutes) ............................................................................. 7-3 Table 7-2 Concept design evaluation ..................................................................................................... 7-7 Table 7-3 A37 Bus and Park & Ride service revenue per boarder ......................................................... 7-8 Table 7-4 Public transport service performance ..................................................................................... 7-8 Table 7-5 Contribution to package objectives ....................................................................................... 7-10 Table 7-6 Contribution to JLTP objectives ............................................................................................ 7-11 Table 7-7 Modelled impacts (network statistics) ................................................................................... 7-12 Table 7-8 Headline scheme benefits summary PV, 2010 prices £million (A37 Public Transport) ...... 7-14 Bath & North East Somerset Council OAR - South East Bristol and Whitchurch Package | Version 5.0 | October 2018 | 5161507 iii South East Bristol and Whitchurch Transport Package Options Assessment Report Table 7-9 Scheme benefits summary – indicative sensitivity test ........................................................ 7-15 Table 7-10 Further scheme benefits to be assessed in subsequent stages .......................................... 7-16 Table 7-11 Social impacts for A37 public transport options .................................................................... 7-16 Table 7-12 Environmental impacts (Whitchurch P&R Options) .............................................................. 7-18 Table 7-13 Capital Costs ......................................................................................................................... 7-21 Table 7-14 A37 corridor options programme .......................................................................................... 7-22 Table 7-15 Deliverability and acceptability assessment – A37 schemes ..............................................