Area Substation Reliability Evaluation
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BNL-72166-2004 Formal Report Electrical Substation Reliability Evaluation with Emphasis on Evolving Interdependence On Communication Infrastructure (Non-Proprietary Version) M. A. Azarm and R. A. Bari Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton, NY 11973-5000 and Z. Musicki Consultant to Brookhaven National Laboratory January 15, 2004 Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton, New York 11973-5000 Electrical Substation Reliability Evaluation with Emphasis on Evolving Interdependence On Communication Infrastructure (Non-Proprietary Version) M. A. Azarm and R. A. Bari Brookhaven National Laboratory Upton, NY 11973-5000 and Z. Musicki Consultant to Brookhaven National Laboratory January 15, 2004 Energy Sciences and Technology Department Brookhaven National Laboratory P.O. Box 5000 Upton, NY 11973-5000 www.bnl.gov Managed by Brookhaven Science Associates, LLC for the United States Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-98CH10886 *This work was performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy. DISCLAIMER This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government. Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, nor any of their contractors, subcontractors or their employees, make any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or any third party’s use or the results of such use of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof or its contractors or subcontractors. The views and opinions of author’s expresses herein do not necessarily state to reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof. *This work was performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy. ABSTRACT The objective of this study is to develop a methodology for a probabilistic assessment of the reliability and security of electrical energy distribution networks. This includes consideration of the future grid system, which will rely heavily on the existing digitally based communication infrastructure for monitoring and protection. Another important objective of this study is to provide information and insights from this research to Consolidated Edison Company (Con Edison) that could be useful in the design of the new network segment to be installed in the area of the World Trade Center in lower Manhattan. Our method is microscopic in nature and relies heavily on the specific design of the portion of the grid being analyzed. It extensively models the types of faults that a grid could potentially experience, the response of the grid, and the specific design of the protection schemes. We demonstrate that the existing technology can be extended and applied to the electrical grid and to the supporting communication network. A small subsection of a hypothetical grid based on the existing New York City electrical grid system of Con Edison is used to demonstrate the methods. Sensitivity studies show that in the current design the frequency for the loss of the main station is sensitive to the communication network reliability. The reliability of the communication network could become a more important contributor to the electrical grid reliability as the utilization of the communication network significantly increases in the near future to support “smart” transmission and/or distributed generation. The identification of potential failure modes and their likelihood can support decisions on potential modifications to the network including hardware, monitoring instrumentation, and protection systems. v vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract........................................................................................................................................................iii Executive Summary....................................................................................................................................vii Acknowledgments........................................................................................................................................ ix 1. Introduction and Objectives............................................................................................................. 1 2. Con Edison Electrical Network ....................................................................................................... 5 2.1 Reliance on Communication Technology........................................................................... 5 2.2 Con Edison Reliability Guide ............................................................................................. 5 3. Example Electrical Network .......................................................................................................... 7 3.1 Area Connections................................................................................................................ 7 3.2 Primary and Backup Fault Protection Scheme ................................................................... 8 3.3 Audio Tone Transfer Trip (ATTT)..................................................................................... 9 4. Approach and Methods for Reliability Prediction ......................................................................... 11 5. Demonstration of Approach........................................................................................................... 13 5.1 Electrical Network Reliability (An Overview) ................................................................. 13 5.2 Simplified Event Tree....................................................................................................... 14 5.3 System Modeling and Quantification ............................................................................... 16 5.4 Major Assumptions and Uncertainties.............................................................................. 18 5.5 Communication Network Reliability................................................................................ 19 5.5.1 Communication Network Reliability - An Overview.......................................... 19 5.5.2 Communication Network Reliability - Minimal Reliability Guidelines.............. 20 6. Results and Concluding Remarks .................................................................................................. 24 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Acceptable Methods for Isolating the Transmission Feeders ........................................................ 6 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1: Top Level Diagram of the Example Connections ......................................................................... 7 Figure 2: A Simplified Diagram of ATTT Transmission through Verizon’s Network .............................. 10 Figure 3: Simplified Event Tree for Transformer Fault.............................................................................. 15 Figure 4: The Example Fault Tree for the Sync Bus Protection Breakers.................................................. 17 Figure 5: Sensitivity Analysis of Loss of Main-Station as a Function of the Unavailability of Communication Network................................................................................. 26 viii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The objective of this study is to develop a methodology for a probabilistic assessment of the reliability and security of electrical energy distribution networks including the future grid system, which will rely much more heavily on the still developing digitally based communication infrastructure for monitoring and protection. The identification of potential failure modes and their likelihood will support decisions on potential modifications to the network including hardware, monitoring instrumentation, and protection systems. In particular, the U. S. Department of Energy noted that an important objective of this study is to provide information and insights from this research to Con Edison that could be useful in the design of the new network segment to be installed in the area of the World Trade Center in lower Manhattan. The traditional approach to electrical grid reliability is based on deterministic analyses for congestion and transient response under normal conditions or a condition that satisfies “a single failure criterion.” Such methods have been shown to be effective and have resulted in sound designs, which are robust to major single failures. Con Edison’s network and supporting transmission and substation design is unique and exceeds this “single failure” criterion in many respects. Nevertheless, past events have shown that multiple cascading failures under unfavorable conditions have been the major contributor to losses of electrical distribution systems, in general, and even in the case of Con Edison’s unique design. Another factor in the evolution of the electrical grid systems is their recently increasing reliance on the newer digital communication infrastructures for protection and monitoring which are not easily amenable to traditional deterministic analysis. This reliance is expected to greatly increase to provide anticipated communication architectures that would be required to deal with coordination and control of remote “smart” transmission (self-healing grid) and/or a