STANLEY BLACK & DECKER
Investor Overview
Version: 7.8.13 Cautionary Statements
This presentation contains “forward looking statements,” that is, statements that address future, not past events. In this context, forward-looking statements often address our expected future business and financial performance and financial condition, and often contain words such as: “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” “seek,” or “will.” Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. These statements are based on assumptions of future events that may not prove accurate. They are also based on our current plans and strategy and such plans and strategy could change in the future. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in any forward- looking statements. Please refer to our most recent SEC filings, including our 2012 Annual Report on Form 10-K, subsequently filed Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, as well as our other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, for detailed information regarding factors that could cause or contribute to actual results differing materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.
This presentation also contains non-GAAP financial information, including CFROI. CFROI is defined as cash flow from operations less capital and software expenditures* divided by year end capital (debt plus equity* less cash). CFROI is considered important as it is a cash based measure of value creation that ties our strategic focus to returns. Reconciliations of other non-GAAP measures are provided in our quarterly press releases announcing financial results, and may be found in the accompanying appendix. We use this information in our internal analysis of results and believe that this information may be informative to investors.
*Excluding M&A Charges/Payments Investor Overview 2 Contents
SWK Overview Pages 4 – 16
CDIY Pages 17 – 20
Industrial Pages 21 – 27
Security Pages 28 – 31
Emerging Markets Pages 32 – 34
Acquisitions & Integrations Pages 35 – 38
Stanley Fulfillment System Pages 39 – 43
Financial Highlights Pages 44 – 50
Current Results & Outlook Pages 51 – 55
Appendix Pages 56 – 61
Investor Overview 3 A Diversified Global Leader
Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK) 2012 Revenue: ~$10.2B Market Cap: $12.8B Cash Dividend Yield: 2.5%
Dividend Paid Consecutively For 136 Years; Increased For 45 Consecutive Years
Security $2.4B • Convergent Security • Mechanical Access Security • Healthcare CDIY $5.2B CDIY • Professional Power Tools Industrial • Hand Tools & Storage • Consumer Products Group Industrial $2.6B • Fastening & Accessories • Industrial & Automotive Repair • Engineered Fastening • Infrastructure
Building World Class Branded Franchises With Sustainable Strategic Characteristics That Create Exceptional Shareholder Value
Market Cap & Dividend Yield Are As Of Market Close 7/5/13 $79.07 Investor Overview 4 Expanding Geographic Reach
Nearly Half Of Our Revenues Still Generated In The U.S.
Stanley Black & Decker Segments
Canada 6% 10% CDIY Security Industrial Australia 2% 10% 4% Japan 2% 15% 7% 13% 19% 16% 48% 44% 27% 19% 44% 45% 52% 27%
U.S. Europe Emerging ROW Markets
Emerging Markets ~16% Of Revenue With Inclusion Of Infastech Goal Of 20%+ By 2016/2017
Global Emerging Markets Represent A Significant Opportunity For Organic Growth
Investor Overview 5 Global Brand Power
A Powerful Portfolio Of Well Managed Brands
Unveiled Refreshed Stanley Logo June 2013… Gradual Rollout Planned
Investor Overview 6 Global Brand Support
125 Billion 36 Million +19% 2 Billion Brand Impressions Website Visits Stanley Awareness Impressions From (+21% vs. 2011) (+27% vs. 2011) Since 2009 Social Media Sites
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL PROFESSIONAL BULL RIDING NASCAR
• More Attendance Than NBA, NHL & NFL Combined • 40M+ Fans, Most Not MLB Or NASCAR Fans • Our Car Will Race In All 36 Sprint Cup Events In Front • Signage In 40% Of All Games • Fastest Growing Sport Of 80M Fans • 10 Premiere Stadiums With TV Visible Signage • 60 US And Brazil Televised Events In 2012 • Marcos Ambrose: 2nd Career Victory In DEWALT And • Silvano Alves: Back To Back PBR Titles In 2011 & 2012 Stanley Branded Car At Watkins Glen International Race
EUROPEAN FOOTBALL PARTNERSHIPS MOTO GP
• Worlds Biggest Sport, Watched Weekly By 650M • Official Tool Provider Of Walt Disney World • World’s Premier Motorcycle Racing Series People Around The World • Over 200 Branded Signs In 40 Disney Properties • Airs In Over 200 Countries • 45% Of Brand Impressions In Asia Or Latin America Forbes Ranked Stanley Black & Decker As The 17th Most Reputable American Company In 2013
Investor Overview 7 Strategic Framework
Continue Portfolio Transition Momentum • Accelerate Organic Growth • Mix Into Higher Growth, Higher Margin Businesses • Increase Relative Weighting Of Emerging Markets (Goal = 20%+ By 2016/2017) Be Selective And Operate In Markets Where: • Brand Is Meaningful • Value Proposition Is Definable And Sustainable Through Innovation • Global Cost Leadership Is Achievable Pursue Acquisitive Growth On Multiple Fronts: • Opportunistically Consolidate Tool Industry And Strengthen The Core • Build On Existing Growth Platforms (Security And Engineered Fastening) • Develop Infrastructure Growth Platform Accelerate Progress Via Stanley Fulfillment System
Focused On Building Long-Term Shareholder Value
Investor Overview 8 Exceeding Financial Objectives
Strong Performance Against Long-Term Financial Objectives…
Results 2009 – 2013E
22% CAGR • ~10-12% Total Avg. Org. Growth Sales Growth (1%) Including 2009 • 4-6% Organic Last 3 Years 4% Excluding 2009 SWK 4.3% • Mid-Teens % EPS Growth 13% CAGR Peers 4.9% GDP 3.3% Financial Performance • FCF ≥ Net Income >125% Avg. Conversion • CFROI In 12-15% Range Approaching 11% In 2012
Up 53% • Continued Growth Dividend Increased Every Year
S&P: A Credit Rating • Strong Investment Grade Moody’s: Baa1 Fitch: A-
…Except For Organic Growth, Which Is Now The Focus
Investor Overview 9 Stock Price Performance vs. S&P 500
SWK Has Outperformed The Market Over The Long Term…
1 Year Price Performance 13.4% 3 Year Price Performance 43.6%
9.4% 27.9%
5 Year Price Performance 52.6% 10 Year Price Performance 113.9%
S&P 500 -2.9% 62.1% SWK Charted To 12/31/12 …Plus, Strong Dividend Growth Has Enhanced Total Return
Investor Overview 10 2016/2017 Vision
Continued Journey To Building A Global Industrial Leader
Revenues: $15B 20%+ From Emerging Markets 10 Working Capital Turns 15%+ Operating Margin 12-15% CFROI
Security $3.5B – $4B
Tools Engineered Fastening >$2B $7B – $8B Infrastructure $1B – $2B
Building World Class Branded Franchises With Sustainable Strategic Characteristics That Create Exceptional Shareholder Value
Investor Overview 11 Road Map To 2016/2017 Revenue Target
Achieving $15B Revenue Target By 2016/2017 Will Require Growth From M&A
Mid-Decade Sales Of $15.0B SWK Market Opportunity
Acquired Revenue Necessary $1.6B $35B Tools To Reach Target $2.3B $35B Security $13.4B $12.7B $11.0B 5% Organic Growth $100B Industrial
20132013 Sales Sales 2016 2017 By Segment
Portion of Cumulative FCF Spent On M&A To Reach Target(1)
Cumulative FCF(1) / Portion Spent On M&A(2) $3.6B / 63% $5.0B / 33%
(1) Cumulative From 2014 Through Respective Year. (2) Assumes Revenue Acquired At 1.0x Multiple. Investor Overview 12 Average Three Year Organic Growth Versus Peers & Economy
Organic Growth Has Been In Middle Of The Pack…
12.3%
8.9%
7.1% 7.2% 6.5% 6.0% 5.0% Peer Average: 4.9% 4.3% 3.2% 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 1.2%
TYC MAS SPW UTX ASSA NWL SI SWK IR HON ITW DHR SNA ETN DOV
…And Not Good Enough To Generate Outperformance
Peer group: Assa Abloy, Danaher, Dover, Eaton, Honeywell, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll Rand, Masco, Newell Rubbermaid, Siemens, Snap-on, SPX Corp., Tyco, United Technologies Investor Overview 13 Growth Rate Sources: Analyst Research, Company Filings / Global GDP Source: Bloomberg, CIA Estimate Revving Up Organic Growth
A Major Initiative Is Well Underway Which Yields 3 Pts Of Incremental Growth…
Emerging Markets $350M Business Units For MPP Hand Tools / Power Tools / Commercial Hardware Advanced Industrial Solutions $100M “Smart” Tools & Storage Vertical Penetration Yields 3 Pts $150M Incremental Healthcare / Security Revenue US Government Growth $100M (Annualized) Healthcare / Security / Industrial Offshore Oil & Gas Pipeline Services $100M Spool Bases / Coating Tech. / Inspection Incremental Impact Continuing To Capture BDK Integration Revenue Synergies $50M ‘13 ’14 ‘15 Total: $850M +1pt +2pt +3pt
…Drives $200M+ OM & Enables Strong Performance Against Target
Investor Overview 14 Long-Term Capital Allocation Strategy
Maintain A Hybrid Model…
Long-Term Capital Allocation Objectives
• Target Strong Investment Grade Credit Rating
‒ Current Adjusted Debt/Capital Ratio: 30%
‒ Current Debt/EBITDA: 2.3x • Invest Approximately 50% In Acquisitions Dividends & Acquisitions Share Repurchases • Return Approximately 50% To Shareholders In The Form Of Dividends And Share Repurchases
• Since 2003, SWK Has Returned 56% Of Its FCF (GAAP) & 45% Of Normalized FCF To Shareholders
• Committed To Continued Dividend Growth
• These Allocations Do Not Imply A Rigid Annual Formula
…A Growth Company That Returns Approximately 50% Of Its Free Cash Flow To Shareholders
Investor Overview 15 Compelling Acquisitive Growth Opportunities
Addressable Growth Five Acquisitive Growth Areas Market Size Characteristics
Tool Consolidation $35B 3-5%
Security $35B 4-6%
Engineered Fastening $15B 6-8%
Infrastructure $85B 6-8%
Emerging Markets $15B 10-20%
Acquisition Capital Focused On Driving Growth In Both Core And New Platforms
Investor Overview 16 CDIY CDIY 2012 Revenues: $5.2B
Professional Power Tools Hand Tools & Storage Consumer Products Group Fastening & Accessories ~$2B $1B+ $1B+ $1B+
Current Business (2012) Since Merger – YE2009 Revenue By Region • 14.7% Operating Margin* In 2012 • ~$1B Overall Growth • Broadest & Deepest Geographic • $800M Organic Growth 10% Footprint 52% • Revenue Synergies Of 19% • Only Company With Scale In Both $300M, 2010-2012 Power Tools & Hand Tools • New Product Revenue: • Organic Growth ‒ +$500M Annually 19% ‒ Professional Power Tools +8% ‒ +$2B To Date ‒ Consumer Products Group +6% • Operating Margin* +570 Bps United States Europe • WCT +75% Emerging Markets ROW
30-40% Of Business Tied To New/Existing US Residential Construction 13% Tied To US Commercial Construction
*Excludes M&A Charges/Payments Investor Overview 18 CDIY Market Share
2012 Hand Tools: 2012 Power Tools: CDIY Global Served Global Market $4B Global Market $12B Market Share $26B
25% 30% 22%
20% 25% 21%
15% 20% 20%
15% 10% 19%
10% 18% 5% 5% 17%
0%
0%
P/L 16%
Irwin
Klein
TTI
Lufkin
Hilti
Toro
Estwing
Bosch
2009 2010 2011 2012
Makita
Hitatchi
Craftsman
Channellock
Craftsman Husqvarna
Source: 2012, 3rd Party Research, Global Shipments; CDIY Includes Pneumatics $1B & Outdoor $2B Investor Overview 19 CDIY Driving Growth: Continued Innovation
35% New Product Vitality
2,500 New Products… 250 World’s Firsts Over Next Three Years
Investor Overview 20 Industrial Industrial & Automotive Repair Engineered Fastening Infrastructure Industrial & Automotive Repair 2012 Revenues: $1.2B
The IAR Platform Represents The Unification Of 14 Globally Recognized Premium Brands Within The Industrial & Automotive Repair Industry
Revenue Mix & Markets 3 Year Scorecard Revenue By Region Mix Revenue Growth Operating Margin Hand Tools 3% 69% 18% Engineered +12% CAGR +550 BPS 54% Storage 18% +6% Organic +32% CAGR 13% Power Tools & Diagnostics
Markets 25% WCT Emerging Markets Industrial 62% Tools 18% Of Revenues In Government / 27% Other +53% Emerging Markets North America Europe Up From 3% 11% Automotive Emerging Markets ANZ Aftermarket An Attractive Industrial Platform With Compelling Organic Growth Opportunities
Investor Overview 22 Industrial & Automotive Repair Global Addressable Market Greater Than $19B
Each Category Has Its Niche Competitors…
Government & Oil & Gas Mining Marine Energy Distribution Aviation Transit Agri. Manufacturing Military Industrial $10B
Maintain Repair Operate Produce RTLS/RFID Smart $4B Tools & Systems
Engines Recreational Passenger Truck & Bus Fleet Heavy Trans Trains
Power-Train Body-Chassis Electrical Fluid Automotive $5B Repair
…But We Have A Unique Value Proposition Across All Categories
Investor Overview 23 Engineered Fastening 2012 Revenues: $930M ($1.5B Pro Forma With Infastech)
14 Consecutive Quarters Well Established Position Global Customer Base Of Organic Growth In Emerging Markets
Business Model 3 Year Scorecard Value Proposition
• Focus On Highly Engineered • Design And Provide Engineered Solutions Revenue Growth Operating Margin Fastening Solutions For Global ‒ Design The Application Manufacturers That: ‒ Spec In Our Fasteners ‒ Increase Productivity ‒ Capture Recurring Revenue 37% CAGR +$200M ‒ Reduce Assembly Costs Stream 10%+ Organic +1000 Bps ‒ Improve Quality And Reliability • Globalize Products, Technology And ‒ Lower Energy Usage Applications At Every Opportunity ‒ Promote “Green” Initiatives ‒ Enhance Safety WCT Emerging Markets
+8x +66% 25% Of Revenues
World-Class Value Proposition Drives Market Share Gains
Investor Overview 24 Infastech & Global Platform Revenue
Infastech Global Engineered Fastening Platform
• Global Provider Of Engineered Fastening 2009 2012 Pro Forma Solutions For Automotive, Electronics And General Industry OEM’s • Comprehensive Product Portfolio 26% 27% ‒ Long-standing, Recognizable Brands 34% Americas 40% ‒ Broad Product Depth In Blind Fasteners Revenue Europe ‒ Micro-fastener Technology For Electronic By Region 40% Asia 33% • Retained Key Infastech Leaders • Immediately Accretive To EPS*: $0.20/Share In Y1, $0.40/Share By Y3
• ~$25M Of Cost Synergies By Year 3 ‒ 60% COGS/40% SG&A 33% Automotive 34% ‒ Sales, Marketing & Customer Service Consolidation Revenue 51% 3% 64% Electronics ‒ Raw Material Savings, Product Rationalization & By Market Industrial 15% Operations Consolidation ‒ Migration To Shared Services
Acquisition Of Infastech Enhances A Premier Global Engineered Fastening Franchise
* Excluding $30M In Costs To Achieve Synergies, Which Will Largely Be Incurred In 2013 Pro Forma To Include Infastech Investor Overview 25 Global Fastener Market & Competitive Landscape
Highly Fragmented With Numerous Attractive Niche Markets
Global Fastener Market - $65B Competition
Fasteners 29% 45%
5% Tools 14% 7%
General Industry Electronics $15B Tools & Fasteners Automotive Construction Addressable Aerospace M&A Market
We Have The Broadest Range Of Engineered Solutions
Source: Freedonia Group Investor Overview 26 Infrastructure 2012 Revenues: $390M
Oil & Gas Hydraulics $250M $140M
Current Business Oil & Gas Hydraulics
• Specialized Tools, Equipment & • A Niche Market Leader In Oil & Gas • In Recycling, Demolition & Water Maintenance… Services For Installation, Repair Infrastructure Business More Work. Less Effort. & Maintenance Of Infrastructure • A Leading Provider Of Essential Equipment To In Areas Like Oil & Gas, Road & Transmission Pipeline Construction Industry Markets Rail, Water & Sewer, And • Global Platform Power Systems • Comprehensive Product Offerings With 22% Proprietary Technology 40% Utility • Business Mix: 75% Onshore, 25% Offshore Concrete Demolition 19% Railroad 19% Recycling New V Weld Laser Vision External Welding Machine Developed Specifically For Offshore Stanley Concrete Demolition: 24 Hour Pace On The Doyle Bridge Approach Project For The Golden Gate Bridge
Goal: Grow Infrastructure Platform To $1B - $2B In Revenue By 2016/2017
Investor Overview 27 Security Stanley Security 2012 Revenues: $2.4B
Convergent Mechanical Healthcare $1.6B $600M $170M
Revenue By Business Highlights Revenue By Region Convergent • #2 Commercial Electronic Security Company 7% 4% Install 54% • Only Player With Meaningful Positions In Product 45% Recurring All Three Segments 45% 1% ‒ Electronic Services 44% ‒ Mechanical Mechanical ‒ Electro-Mechanical • Best Coordinated Global Footprint 61% Automatic Doors 39% Commercial • Differentiated Technology: RTLS | Iris United States Europe Hardware Identification Emerging Markets ROW
Bundled Solutions & Key Market Verticals Represent Growth Opportunity
Investor Overview 29 Stanley Security Value Proposition
Global Design, Install, And Service
Intrusion And Fire Monitoring Commercial Hardware
Healthcare Security Mechanical Access
Systems Integration Automatic Doors Electronic Access
Investor Overview 30 Healthcare 2012 Revenues: $170M Platform Objective
To Be Recognized By Our Hospital And Long-Term Care Customers As The Leading Provider Of Innovative Solutions That Enhance Quality, Safety, And Efficiency To Improve The Outcome Of Patient Care
Patient Safety, Asset Management & Workflow Efficiency AeroScout/RTLS
. #1 Player In The Emerging Healthcare Real Time Location Systems (RTLS) Solutions Marketplace . Provides Core Technology Platform For • Modular Casework • Wander Management: • Hugs/Kisses Infant Delivery Of SHS Value Proposition • Mobile Procedure Carts Turnkey Solutions Protection System: • Web-Based Inventory Management Including Call Buttons Protects Newborn Infants . Delivers State Of The Art Wi-Fi-Based RTLS Technology With Solid IP Protection • RFID Supply Management • Emergency Call: From Abduction & Mother / • Wireless Locking Technology Wireless Solution For Infant Mismatch . Facilitates Delivery Of Efficient Solutions In Skilled Nurse Call • Pedz: Healthcare Clinical & Acute Care Settings • Fall Monitoring: Pediatric Protection System . Offers Substantial Cross-Selling Electronic Monitors Opportunities With Other SBD Strategic Segments: Primarily Industrial & Security Near Term Organic Growth Focus: Leverage AeroScout RTLS Capability
Investor Overview 31 Emerging Markets How We Will Win In Emerging Markets
Regional Center Of Gravity | Speed | Agility STRUCTURE Strong Business Linkage Breaking Down Barriers
Design And Develop MPP Products PRODUCT IN The Market, FOR The Market
SIGNIFICANT EXPANSION Of Commercial Resources COMMERCIAL RESOURCES To Establish CRITICAL MASS
& Supply Chain Performance Will Be A OPERATIONS Competitive Differentiator
Local MPP Critical Channel BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT Brands Products Mass Access
Our Single Largest Opportunity For Organic Growth
Investor Overview 33 Global Emerging Markets Organic Growth
Emerging Markets ~16% Of 2012 Revenue… Goal Of 20%+ By 2016/2017
2012 - 2015 Russia, Turkey, MEA, India Latin America 12% CAGR Asia 11% CAGR Before Growth Initiatives 19% CAGR Before Growth Initiatives Before Growth Initiatives
Plus An… INCREMENTAL $350M …Organic Revenue From Growth Initiatives
Investor Overview 34 Acquisitions & Integrations Final Chapter Of The Black & Decker Merger
March 2013 Marked The Three Year Anniversary Of The Merger With Black & Decker…
• Cost Synergy Overachievement ‒ By The End Of 2013 We Will Have Achieved $500M In Cost Synergies; Exceeding Original $350M Target By 43% ‒ 2012 CDIY OM Of $760M, Excluding M&A Charges, Exceeded Entire 2009 OM Of Legacy SWK & BDK Combined • Revenue Synergy Projects Yielding Strong Results ‒ Already Surpassed $300M In Revenue Synergies Vs. Goal Of $300 - $400M By YE’13 ‒ Example: Stanley Hand Tools Up $25M In Latin America Since Merger • Two Cultures Of World Class Innovation Combined ‒ 1,500+ New Products Since Merger ‒ $800M+ Of CDIY Organic Growth • Stanley Fulfillment System Fully Embraced ‒ Working Capital Turns Of 7.5 In 2012, Up From 5.9 Pro Forma Pre-Merger Levels ‒ 2012 CDIY Working Capital Was 50% Of 2009 Pre-Merger Levels
…Which, By All Measures, Continues To Be A Resounding Success
Investor Overview 36 Portfolio Transformation
Over $5.6B Has Been Invested In Acquisitions Since 2002 To Advance Growth Opportunities
Security Tools
Year Company Purchase Price ($M) Year Company Purchase Price ($M) 2002 Best Access $315 2006 Facom (IAR) $480 2004 Blick & Frisco Bay $215 2011 / 2012 CribMaster / Lista N.A. (IAR) $120 2005 National $170 2012 Powers (CDIY) $220 2007 HSM $545 2008 Sonitrol $280 Industrial 2008 GdP $170 Year Company Purchase Price ($M) 2010 GMT $60 2010 CRC-Evans (Infrastructure) $445 Solutions De Sécurité 2010 $10 (Formerly ADT France) 2013 Infastech (Engineered Fastening) $850 2011 Niscayah $1,200 2012 AeroScout $250 Global Emerging Markets 2012 HHI Divestiture $1,400 Year Companies Purchase Price ($M) 2012 / 2013 Tong Lung, Bajaj, GQ ~$100
Investor Overview 37 Acquisition Integration
Historical Acquisition OM% Accretion Post-SWK Integration
1,800 Bps
1,300 Financial Acquisition Hurdles Bps 1,100 Bps 800 CFROI Bps 700 Bps Time Horizon Years 3-5 300 Strategic Platform 12-15% Bps Bolt-Ons 17%+
Best Access facom GdP BDK ADT France Niscayah
(Fmr. ADT France)
Proven SWK Integration Process Yields 1,000 Bps Margin Improvement On Average
Investor Overview 38 Stanley Fulfillment System SFS – A Customer First Approach
SFS • The Stanley Fulfillment System (SFS) Is Our Way Of Business • SFS Is A Mindset, Innovating How All Work Gets Done To Deliver Value To Our Customer • SFS Is More Than Manufacturing Or Operational Efficiency
Breakthrough Customer SFS Is Our Competitive Advantage Value • SFS Propagates A Business Culture To Achieve World Class Excellence In Customer Satisfaction • SFS Supports This Culture With World Class Processes And Systems • SFS Provides The Necessary Tools To Achieve Our Business Objective Through The Involvement Of All Employees
Creating Breakthrough Customer Value
Investor Overview 40 How SFS Works
S&OP Operational Lean
• Demand And S1R1 Supply Synchronization • Capacity Planning And Decisions
Order-To-Cash Complexity Reduction Excellence • SKU Efficiency • Receivables Management • Product Platforms Global Supply Management • Strong Supplier Relationships • Social And Environmental Responsibility
Investor Overview 41 SFS Track Record: Proven Results
Working Capital Turns
Five Year WCT CAGR: 7% 10.0 8.6 7.9 7.2 7.5 5.9 5.9 5.3
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2016/17 Goal
*Excludes Niscayah/Acquisitions Investor Overview 42 SFS Track Record: Working Capital Peer Comparison
The Stanley Fulfillment System Is A Competitive Advantage…
2010 WCT 2011 WCT 2012 WCT
Legacy 8.6 SWK 7.5 7.2 Total 5.9 5.9 5.9 Co. 5.7 5.1 5.3 5.2
SWK Industrial Security SWK Industrial Security SWK Industrial Security …That Continues To Yield Market-Leading Results For Shareholders & Customers
Industrial/Tools Peers Include Danaher, Eaton, Illinois Tool Works, Ingersoll Rand, Masco, Newell Rubbermaid, Snap-On, Sherwin Williams - Security Peers Include Assa Abloy, Checkpoint, Diebold, Investor Overview 43 Honeywell, Siemens, Tyco, United Technologies Financial Highlights Revenue & EPS: Historical & Projected Performance
Merger With Black & Decker Drove Step Function Increase In Size
Five Year Revenue Five Year EPS $5.40 - $5.65 CAGR: 22% ~$11.0 CAGR: 13% $10.2 $4.61 $4.67 $9.4
$7.5 $3.53 $2.84
$3.5
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E
Revenue ($B) EPS* Solid EPS Growth Track Record… $5.40 – $5.65 EPS Guided For 2013
Reflects Continuing Operations Only Investor Overview 45 *Excludes M&A Charges & Payments Free Cash Flow: Historical & Projected Performance
Achievement Of $1B In FCF After First Full Year As Combined Company…
Five Year FCF $1.1B $1.0B $1.0B CAGR: 19% $936
Decline Due To HHI Divestiture
$443
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E Free Cash Flow ($M)*
…Far Outpacing Original Goals
*Excludes M&A Charges & Payments Investor Overview 46 FCF Conversion Vs. Peers
Free Cash Flow Conversion Outperformance Versus Our Peers…
2010 2011 2012
151% 121% 115% 106% 97% 95%
SWK Peers SWK Peers SWK Peers
Peers: DHR, DOV, ETN, EMR, GWW, ITW, IR, JAH, MAS, NWL, PH, SHW, SPX, TXT, TYC, WHR
…Driven By Execution Focus
FCF Conversion Defined As (Cash– CapEx)/Net Income NI & Cash From Operations Are Adjusted For M&A Charges/Payments / SWK 2012 NI Excludes Gain On Investor Overview 47 Sale Of HHI Source: Company Filings, FactSet, Deutsche Bank A New Approach To Returns: CFROI
Why CFROI? SWK CFROI Trend
Definition: (Cash From Operations – CapEx) Year End Capital (Debt + Equity – Cash) 12 – 15% Target • ROCE Does Not Illustrate Full Cash Flow Power Of The Company 10.7% ‒ Diluted By Large Amount Of Intangible Amortization (~$1.00 EPS) 10.2% 10.2% • Cash Based Measure Of Value Creation • Ties Our Strategic Focus To Returns ‒ SFS & Organic Growth ‒ Structured Targets For Acquisition 2010 2011 2012
Focused on Building Long-Term Shareholder Value
Excludes M&A Charges/Payments Investor Overview 48 CFROI Segment View
Successful Completion Of BDK Integration Translates Into CDIY & Industrial Returns…
2012
14% 14% 2pt Acquisition Impact
8% Legacy CSS & MAS Delivering Double Digit Returns
CDIY Industrial Security
…While Opportunity Remains To Fully Leverage Niscayah & Healthcare Investments
2013 Investor Day 49 Balance Sheet
Modest Deleveraging Is Expected In 2013…
2011 Actual 2012 Actual
Free Cash Flow ($M)* $1,004 $1,059 SWK CREDIT RATING: S&P: A Debt/EBITDA 2.5x 2.3x Moody’s: Baa1 Adjusted Debt/Capital 31% 30% Fitch: A-
Debt To EBITDA Goal = Between 2.0X – 2.25X
…With The Goal Of Maintaining Strong Investment Grade Credit Rating From All Three Agencies
*Excluding M&A Charges/Payments Adjusted Debt To Capital Includes Rating Agency Equity Credit For Debt Investor Overview 50 Current Results & Outlook Stanley Black & Decker 2013 Outlook
16-21% EPS Growth On 2-3% Increase In Organic Sales
The Company Expects 2013 EPS To Be In The Range Of $5.40–5.65* Based On The Following Assumptions • Organic Net Sales To Increase 2-3% From 2012 Driving $0.00 - $0.15 Of EPS The Following Additional Changes Offset Accretion Each Other For A Neutral Impact: ‒ Core Business Expected To Grow 1-2% ($0.15 - $0.30) ‒ Organic Growth Initiatives To Yield 1 Point Of Growth But Will Be ~ $0.15 Dilutive To EPS • YOY Changes In Interest/Other-Net Will • $50M In Final BDK Cost Synergies ~$0.23 & Carryover From 2012 Cost Reduction Approximate A $0.05 Headwind, Down From $0.10. ‒ Other-Net To Be Flat To 2012 (~$250M) Actions With Pre-tax Benefits Totaling ~$30M ($0.15) ‒ Interest Expense Is Still Expected To Be $145M, $10M Higher VPY • ~$0.20 Of EPS Accretion From Infastech Acquisition • The Tax Rate Will Be Low End Of The Previously • ~$0.37 Benefit From $850M In Share Repurchases Connected To HHI Divestiture Anticipated Range Of 23-24%, Creating A $0.20- $0.25 Headwind When Compared To The 2012 • The Combination Of Any FX Impact (At Current Rates), Price/Inflation, Negative Rate Of 19.8%. (Vs. Original Headwind Range Of Carryover Business Mix Impact And The Small Acquisitions From 2012 Will Be $0.20 - $0.30) Neutral • Average Share Count For 2013 To Be 158.5 From • Niscayah Cost Synergies To Be $50M, $15M Increase Offsets Volume & Rate The Original Estimate Of 155.9 Million Shares. Pressure In CSS
Free Cash Flow To Approximate $1.0B*
*Excludes M&A Charges/Payments Investor Overview 52 Stanley Black & Decker 2013 Segment Outlook
Growth In CDIY Likely To Outpace That Of Security & Industrial… CDIY Security Industrial
• Mid Single-Digit Organic Revenue Growth • Flat To Low Single-Digit Organic Revenue • Flat To Low Single-Digit Organic Revenue Expected For 2013 Growth Expected For 2013; Modest Growth Expected For 2013; Growth In Growth In North America Expected to North America Expected to • OM% To Increase YOY Due To Cost Mostly/Completely Offset Continued Low- Mostly/Completely Offset Continued Low- Synergies; Investments In Growth To-Mid Single Digit Declines In Europe To-Mid Single Digit Declines In Europe Initiatives To Offset Most Of Incremental Profit Driven By Volume • OM% To Increase Slightly YOY Due To • OM% Expected To Decrease Slightly YOY Niscayah Cost Synergies & Carryover Due To Slightly Lower Than Line Average Benefit Of Cost Containment Actions Infastech Margins & Investments In Growth Initiatives
Key Guidance Items
Due To Investments In Growth Initiatives & Belief Volume Will Accelerate As Year Progresses, 2H’13 EPS Will Be ~60% Of Full Year, Slightly Higher Than 56-58% 2H Norm. Majority Of Annual $0.15 EPS Dilution From Organic Growth Initiatives Occurs In 1H’13 Vs. Neutral Impact In 2H’13
One-Time Costs To Approximate $200M Before Tax; Management Focused On These Decreasing Materially In 2014 Absent Any New M&A
…As Growth In Residential End Markets Is Outpacing That Of Commercial & Industrial
*Excludes M&A Charges/Payments Investor Overview 53 Stanley Black & Decker Summary
A Company That Has Built World Class, Global Franchises #2 In Commercial #1 In Tools & Storage #2 In Engineered Fastening Electronic Security • Organic Growth Initiative Continues To Gain Traction & We Remain On Track To Achieve Our Goals Of $850M In Revenue And $200M In Operating Profit By 2015
• Stanley Black & Decker Possesses Tested And Proven Management Depth And Breadth Combined With A World-Class Approach To Successful, Profitable Growth In The Emerging Markets
• The Stanley Fulfillment System Has Been And Will Continue To Be A Competitive Advantage For The Company On Our Journey To 10 WCT By 2016/2017
• Innovation And World Class Brands Are Core To The Company; Competitive Advantages Are Clear And Best In Class NPD As Well As Go-To-Market Strategy Drive Market Share Gains
• Capital Allocation Strategy Represents An Attractive Hybrid Value Proposition: A Growth Company That Returns A Large Percentage Of Cash To Shareholders Mission: Building World Class Branded Franchises With Sustainable Strategic Characteristics That Create Exceptional Shareholder Value
Investor Overview 54 2016/2017 Vision
Continued Journey To Building A Global Industrial Leader
Revenues: $15B 20%+ From Emerging Markets 10 Working Capital Turns 15%+ Operating Margin 12-15% CFROI
Security $3.5B – $4B
Tools Engineered Fastening >$2B $7B – $8B Infrastructure $1B – $2B
Building World Class Branded Franchises With Sustainable Strategic Characteristics That Create Exceptional Shareholder Value
Investor Overview 55 Appendix End Markets
Estimates Based On 2012 Revenues, Ex-HHI (Pro Forma To Include Infastech) End Market Security Industrial CDIY SWK Existing Residential / Repair / DIY 3% 0% 40% 20% New Residential Construction 0% 0% 29% 14% Non-Resi. / Commercial Construction 22% 1% 24% 17% Industrial / Electronics 8% 47% 3% 16% Retail 16% 0% 2% 5% Automotive Production 1% 28% 0% 8% Automotive Aftermarket 0% 9% 1% 3% Healthcare 15% 0% 0% 3% Government 9% 2% 1% 3% Infrastructure 5% 10% 0% 4% Financial / Banking 12% 0% 0% 3% Education 6% 0% 0% 1% Other 4% 1% 0% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
~20% Exposure To U.S. Residential Construction (~½ New, ~½ Existing/Repair/DIY) ~9% Exposure To U.S. Commercial Construction
Other Comm. Const. Includes Non-Retail, Office Buildings, Arenas/Stadiums, Hotels, Resorts, Cinemas, Etc. Industrial Includes Manufacturing, Utilities, Distribution, Power, Rail, Oil & Gas, Etc. Infrastructure Includes Pipe Construction And Services & Equipment Investor Overview 57 Other Includes Logistics & Transportation, Hospitality Material Spend
Direct Material Spend Components Finished Goods
2012 ($M) Security Motors Finished Goods 1,600 40% Machining Electronics Stampings Components 1,700 42% Industrial
Resin / Plastic 280 7% Castings Batteries Steel 250 6% CDIY Base Metals 90 2% Mechanical
Packaging 105 3%
Total 4,025
Top Three Raw Material Exposures (Finished Goods + Direct + Components) 1.Steel 2. Resin 3. Base Metals
For Directional Analysis Only Investor Overview 58 Reconciliation Of FCF And EBITDA To GAAP Measures
Free Cash Flow EBITDA
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008(A) 2012 2011
Net cash provided by $1,323 $1,217 $1,121 $539 $517 Net earnings from continuing 450 $598 operating activities operations
Interest Income (10) (27) Less: capital expenditures (264) (214) (186) (73) (95) Interest Expense 144 140
Income Taxes 79 50 Less: capitalized software - - - (20) (46) Depreciation and amortization 445 410
Add: taxes paid on - - - - 46 CST/berger divestiture EBITDA from continuing 1,108 $1,171 included in operating cash operations flow
Free cash flow $1,059 $1,003 $935 $446 $422
(A) For 2008, Free Cash Flow Excludes Income Taxes Paid On The Gain From The CST/Berger Divestiture Due To The Fact The Taxes Are Non-Recurring And The Directly Related Gross Cash Proceeds Are Classified In Investing Cash Flows
Investor Overview 59 Liquidity
Near Term Liquidity Sources Debt Maturities
Combined Debt Maturities ($M) $800 December 2012 $750
$633 Cash Position $0.72B $421 $400 $300 Revolving Credit Facilities $2.2B O/S $150 Total Near-Term Liquidity $2.9B Notes/Bonds
2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 … 2021 2022 … 2028 … 2040 2052
1 YEAR 1 YEAR 4
Revolving CreditFacility
Adequate Liquidity To Meet The Needs Of The Company
Investor Overview 60 Stanley Black & Decker 2013 Outlook – GAAP
Including All Charges, The Company Expects EPS To Approximate $4.46 - $4.71 In 2013
The Company Estimates The Charges To Be As Follows:
• Total One-Time Charges In 2013 To Be ~$200 Million, Before Tax, Consisting Of Restructuring And Related Costs Associated With Severance Of Employees And Facility Closures, Certain Compensation Charges And Advisory And Consulting Fees
Corporate Overhead To Be $440M Of D&A ($200M A, $240M D) ~$165M For The Full Year Cash EPS Of ~$6.37 - $6.62 (Excludes A)
Investor Overview 61 Investor Overview