The Case for a Gaian Bottleneck: the Biology of Habitability
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See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/291334824 The Case for a Gaian Bottleneck: The Biology of Habitability Article in Astrobiology · January 2016 DOI: 10.1089/ast.2015.1387 CITATIONS READS 33 1,009 2 authors: Aditya Chopra Charley Lineweaver Australian National University Australian National University 13 PUBLICATIONS 109 CITATIONS 198 PUBLICATIONS 7,652 CITATIONS SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Entropy View project Atavistic model of cancer View project All content following this page was uploaded by Charley Lineweaver on 25 January 2016. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. ASTROBIOLOGY Volume 16, Number 1, 2016 ª Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. DOI: 10.1089/ast.2015.1387 The Case for a Gaian Bottleneck: The Biology of Habitability Aditya Chopra and Charles H. Lineweaver Abstract The prerequisites and ingredients for life seem to be abundantly available in the Universe. However, the Universe does not seem to be teeming with life. The most common explanation for this is a low probability for the emergence of life (an emergence bottleneck), notionally due to the intricacies of the molecular recipe. Here, we present an alternative Gaian bottleneck explanation: If life emerges on a planet, it only rarely evolves quickly enough to regulate greenhouse gases and albedo, thereby maintaining surface temperatures compatible with liquid water and habitability. Such a Gaian bottleneck suggests that (i) extinction is the cosmic default for most life that has ever emerged on the surfaces of wet rocky planets in the Universe and (ii) rocky planets need to be inhabited to remain habitable. In the Gaian bottleneck model, the maintenance of planetary habitability is a property more associated with an unusually rapid evolution of biological regulation of surface volatiles than with the luminosity and distance to the host star. Key Words: Life—Habitability—Gaia—Abiogenesis habitable zone (AHZ)—Circumstellar habitable zone (CHZ). Astrobiology 16, 7–22. 1. Fermi’s Paradox, Hanson’s Great Filter, our galaxy is because life’s emergence is difficult and rare. In and Bostrom’s Bottlenecks this case, humanity has already survived the biggest threat to its continued existence; the biggest bottleneck is behind us, e see no evidence that our galaxy has been colonized and we can relax. However, if we find life on Mars that has Wby an advanced technological civilization. Archae- evolved independently of life on Earth, this would be strong ological excavations have not unearthed alien spaceships, and evidence that there is no emergence bottleneck. If we find the optical and radio searches for extraterrestrial intelligence such life, Bostrom argues that the biggest bottleneck—the have not been successful (Tarter, 2001). If one assumes that self-destruction bottleneck—would then be in front of us. This once life emerges it evolves toward intelligence and techno- would be ‘‘by far the worst news ever printed on a newspaper logical civilizations, we are faced with Fermi’s paradox: cover.’’ As a plausible alternative to such catastrophic logic, Where is everybody? [Webb (2002), C´ irkovic´ (2009); but also we introduce the concept of a Gaian bottleneck, a bottleneck see Gray (2015) and Ward and Brownlee’s (2000) Rare Earth that life on Earth has already passed through. If such a bot- hypothesis]. To put this information in context, Hanson (1998) tleneck exists, the discovery of extant independently evolved introduced the concept of a Great Filter, describing the pos- martian life might be bad news, but the discovery of extinct sible bottlenecks in the assumed progression from molecular independently evolved martian life would not be. chemistry to life, from life to intelligence, and from intelli- In the standard view, the decrease in bombardment rate from gence to galactic colonization. If the emergence of life is a rare *4.5 to *3.8 Gya is associated with making Earth more and difficult process, then an emergence bottleneck could re- clement and thus enabling life to emerge and persist (Maher solve Fermi’s paradox. However, if technological civilizations and Stevenson, 1988). In contrast to this view, we postulate a inevitably destroy themselves, this self-destruction bottleneck Gaian bottleneck model in which early life (on Earth and could also resolve Fermi’s paradox. elsewhere) is not just a passive passenger but comes under Bostrom (2008) argued that the Great Filter is a valuable strong selection pressure to actively modify and regulate its tool for assessing existential risks to humanity. If the biggest environment. The emergence of life’s abilities to modify its barrier in the Great Filter is the emergence bottleneck, then environment and regulate initially abiotic feedback mecha- we will find no independently evolved life on Mars, and the nisms (what we call Gaian regulation) could be the most sig- apparent absence of advanced technological civilizations in nificant factor responsible for life’s persistence on Earth. Planetary Science Institute, Research School of Earth Sciences, Research School of Astronomy and Astrophysics, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia. 7 8 CHOPRA AND LINEWEAVER This highlights an important difference between physics- observations suggest that this sequence—the formation of based estimates of habitability and the more unpredictable terrestrial planets—is not a rare occurrence that needs special patterns of biological evolution on the highly unstable sur- initial conditions. There seems to be no rocky-planet-in-the- face environments of young terrestrial planets. For example, CHZ bottleneck responsible for reducing the probability for bombardment rates inevitably decrease in the circumstellar the emergence of life. habitable zones (CHZs) of stars, but the timescales for the evolution of Gaian regulation are probably unpredictable 2.2. No elemental or molecular ingredient bottleneck. and would not inevitably evolve rapidly (or at all). Thus, if Life on Earth is made of hydrogen, oxygen, carbon, ni- there is anything special about what happened on Earth to trogen, sulfur, and phosphorus: ‘‘HOCNSP’’ (Chopra et al., allow life to persist here, it might have less to do with the 2010). HOCNSP are among the most abundant atoms in the decreasing bombardment rate in the Hadean, or special Universe (Pace, 2001; Lodders et al., 2009; Lineweaver and chemical ingredients, or sources of free energy, or even a Chopra, 2012b). Since the elemental ingredients for life are rare recipe for the emergence of life. The existence of life on the most common elements in the Universe, it is not surprising Earth today might have more to do with the unusually rapid that the molecular ingredients of life are also common. biological evolution of effective niche construction and Of the elements in the Universe that form molecules, water Gaian regulation in the first billion years. Habitability and (H O) is the combination of the first and second most abun- habitable zones would then not only be a passive abiotic 2 dant elements. Water should be a common feature of rocky property of stellar and planetary physics and chemistry planets (Raymond et al., 2004, 2007; Elkins-Tanton, 2012). (such as stellar luminosity, initial water content, and de- Radial mixing during the epoch of oligarchic growth ensures creasing bombardment rate) but would also be a result of that some water-rich materials from beyond the snowline are early life’s ability to influence initially abiotic geochemical injected into the more water-poor material of the feeding cycles and turn them into the life-mediated biogeochemical zones of rocky planets in the CHZ. Thus, it is likely that Mars cycles that we are familiar with on the current Earth (Len- and Venus both started out, like Earth, hot from accretional ton, 1998; Lenton et al., 2004; Schneider, 2004; Falkowski energy and impacts and wet from impacts of large hydrous (5– et al., 2008; Kump et al., 2009). Without rapid evolution of 20% water) asteroids from the outer asteroid belt (Morbidelli Gaian regulation, early extinction would be the most com- et al., 2000, 2012) and other ‘‘wet’’ accretionary material mon fate of planetary life. Even if the emergence of life is a (Drake and Righter, 2002; Drake, 2005). Terrestrial planets in common feature of wet rocky planets throughout the Uni- other planetary systems are also likely to start with variable, verse, the Gaian bottleneck model suggests that inhabited non-negligible amounts of water. Earth-like planets would be rare. Current terrestrial life is built of monomers such as amino acids, fatty acids, sugars, and nitrogenous bases. Amino acids 2. If There Is an Emergence Bottleneck, link together to form proteins; fatty acids link to form lipids; It Is Probably ‘‘Recipe-Based’’ sugars link to form carbohydrates; and nitrogenous bases 2.1. No stellar bottleneck. No wet-rocky-planet combine with sugar and phosphate to make nucleotide mono- bottleneck. Sun-like stars and Earth-like mers, which link to form RNA/DNA (Lineweaver and Chopra, planets are common. 2012b). Thus, life on Earth emerged when available monomers linked together to make polymers. Amino acids and other or- If our Sun were the most uranium-rich star in the Galaxy, ganic monomers fall from the skies in carbonaceous chondrites. and if life on Earth were uranium-based (instead of carbon- We have no reason to believe that the availability of these based), then we would have good reason to believe that life monomers is somehow unique to Earth or the Solar System. (either its emergence or persistence, or both) requires a rare The flux of such organics was particularly high during the first kind of uranium-rich host star. However, we have been billion years of the formation of Earth, and we have no reason to unable to identify any significant differences between the believe that this will not be the case during the formation of Sun and other stars that could plausibly be connected with terrestrial planets in other planetary systems.