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Housing Implementation Strategy January 2017

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Housing Implementation Strategy January 2017 HOUSING IMPLEMENTATION STRATEGY JANUARY 2017 This document is up to date as of the end of 2016. However, the monitoring data is from the 2015/16 year. A further update of the HIS will be required following the end of the 2016/17 monitoring to take into account the latest delivery and trajectory information. Appendix 1 – at end of paper Appendix 2 – detailed trajectory workbook Appendix 3 – lapse rate and windfall workbooks Appendix 4 – affordable housing workbook 1 Introduction In accordance with paragraph 47 of the NPPF, local authorities are required to set out a housing trajectory and housing implementation strategy describing how the delivery of a five year supply of housing land will be maintained. This document describes the JCS authorities’ approach to quantifying the amount of housing delivery expected from various sources of supply across the area over the plan period, the anticipated trajectory for housing delivery and the five year housing supply expected at the point of adoption of the plan. The deliverability of the supply is summarised within this strategy, together with the actions the authorities have committed to taking to ensure that the identified supply is deliverable over the plan period. The strategy finally comments on the proposed framework for monitoring and reviewing housing delivery and includes an assessment of risks to delivery and some of the ways in which the authorities may manage and mitigate the identified risks. This housing implementation strategy has been prepared to support the Proposed Modifications to the Submission JCS. It draws on the Inspector’s notes to the JCS authorities and preliminary findings and interim report. The document is based on deliverability information correct to the publication date and as such represents the land supply position as at the end of 2016. The strategy will be updated and revised as necessary through the continued examination process and will form a key part of the monitoring reporting framework from the adoption of the plan. Through the examination process, the objectively assessed need for housing (OAN) for the JCS area has been established as 33,495 dwellings. In paragraph 23 of her Interim Report of May 2016, the JCS Inspector found that this OAN should be subjected to an uplift of 5% to aid the delivery of affordable housing. The housing requirement for the JCS area on which this paper is based is therefore 35,175 dwellings over the plan period from 2011 to 2031. Figure 1 sets out the individual housing requirement for each authority. Figure 1: Housing Requirements for the JCS Area JCS Individual Authority Housing Annual Housing Requirement Authority Requirement Requirement Gloucester City 718 14359 35,175 Cheltenham Borough 546 10917 Tewkesbury Borough 495 9899 National Policy for Housing Land Supply The government requires local authorities to establish the level of development to be planned for in their areas. The core planning principles set out in the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) at paragraph 17 requires planning to ‘proactively drive and support sustainable economic development to deliver the homes, businesses and industrial units that the country needs’ and that ‘every effort should be made objectively to identify and then meet the housing, business and other development needs of the area.’ The NPPF goes on to state at paragraph 47 that in order to ‘boost significantly the supply of housing, local planning authorities should: . use their evidence base to ensure that their Local Plan meets the full, objectively assessed needs for market and affordable housing in the housing market area, as far as is consistent with the policies set out in this Framework, including identifying key sites which are critical to the delivery of the housing strategy over the plan period; . identify and update annually a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide five years’ worth of housing against their housing requirements with an additional buffer of 5% (moved forward from later in the plan period) to ensure choice and competition in the market for land. Where there 2 has been a record of persistent under delivery of housing, local planning authorities should increase the buffer to 20% (moved forward from later in the plan period) to provide a realistic prospect of achieving the planned supply and to ensure choice and competition in the market for land; . identify a supply of specific, developable sites or broad locations for growth, for years 6-10 and, where possible, for years 11-15; . for market and affordable housing, illustrate the expected rate of housing delivery through a housing trajectory for the plan period and set out a housing implementation strategy for the full range of housing describing how they will maintain delivery of a five-year supply of housing land to meet their housing target; and set out their own approach to housing density to reflect local circumstances.’ Sources of Supply Having established the overall level of housing need though the examination process, the JCS authorities have worked together to identify sources of future housing land supply. A number of sources of supply have been identified including: . strategic allocations; . district level plan potential; . commitments; . existing allocations (within adopted local plans); and . windfall development. These sources of housing supply are discussed in more detail below. 3 Strategic Allocations The proposed JCS strategic allocations will be the focus for a significant proportion of the residential development proposed by the JCS. A continued dialogue with the development industry regarding achievable build out rates has led to a trajectory for the strategic allocations that is considered fully achievable. The trajectory is shown in Figure 2. The table in Figure 3 outlines the current position of each site within the planning process. Figure 2: Strategic Allocation Trajectory Site Name District Net Site JCS 2016-2017-2018- 2019- 2020- 2021- 2022- 2023- 2024- 2025- 2026- 2027- 2028-2029-2030- Capacity Period 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Delivery Land at West Cheltenham Cheltenham Borough 1100 1100 25 50 50 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 North West Cheltenham - CBC Cheltenham Borough 2225 2225 60 60 60 60 60 60 185 280 280 280 280 280 280 A5 North West Cheltenham - TBC Tewkesbury Borough 2060 2060 75 255 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 130 0 0 0 Innsworth Tewkesbury Borough 1300 1300 25 50 50 125 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Twigworth Tewkesbury Borough 995 995 25 50 50 125 150 150 150 150 145 South Churchdown Tewkesbury Borough 1100 1100 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50 North Brockworth Tewkesbury Borough 1500 1500 75 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 75 Winnycroft Gloucester City 620 620 50 100 100 100 75 50 50 50 45 Mitton (Phase One) Wychavon District 500 500 25 125 125 125 100 Total Delivery 11400 0 150 590 810 885 985 1060 960 1085 1180 1175 980 630 480 430 4 Figure 3: Planning Permission Update for JCS Strategic Allocations. Site Site Anticipated Planning Permission Update Capacity Plan Period Delivery Land at 1100 1100 It is envisaged that the proposal to allocate land previously safe guarded at West Cheltenham will allow West the delivery of approximately 1,100 dwellings within the plan period. Cheltenham A statement of common ground reflecting the revisions to the extent of the current odour control zone is shown in Exam 198. The decision to bring forward this site during the plan period would need to form part of a main modifications consultation for the JCS. North West 4285 4285 This strategic allocation has been the subject of extensive pre-application work with both authorities Cheltenham who have entered into a PPA to ensure the decision is issued with 6 months. An outline application for the allocation together with detailed application for Phase 1 development has now been submitted. Phases 1, 2 & 3 of the SA, predominantly within Tewkesbury Borough are expected to deliver first. Phase 4 of the SA, predominantly within Cheltenham Borough, to the east of the Swillgate river, cannot be delivered until the key crossing is in place. It is expected that this area will be delivered towards the end of the plan period. The trajectory demonstrates that the whole SA can deliver within the plan period prior to 2031. There is some scope for enhanced delivery of Phase 4 should the completion of the river crossing be achieved earlier within the development. Innsworth 1300 1300 An outline application for 1300 dwellings and 8.3ha of employment land has been submitted to Tewkesbury Borough (15/00749/OUT). The site is now subject to an appeal on the grounds of non- determination. The appeal will be inquiry which is scheduled to begin on 20th June 2017. This will be a joint inquiry to also consider an application for development at Twigworth (see below). The application seeks to deliver 1300 dwellings, local neighbourhood centre, employment land and a primary school. First delivery at the site is still considered to be achievable in the monitoring year 2018/19. Twigworth 995 995 Part of the site was subject to an outline application (15/01149/OUT) for 725 dwellings which was refused by Tewkesbury Borough Council in January 2016. The application is now subject to an appeal against this decision. The appeal will be an inquiry which is scheduled to begin on 20th June 2017. This will be a joint inquiry to also consider an application for development at Innsworth (see below). The application seeks to deliver 725 dwellings, local neighbourhood centre and a primary school. First delivery at the site is considered to be achievable in the monitoring year 2019/20.
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