Handbook of Waterfowl Behavior: Tribe Anserini (Swans and True Geese)
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Black Swans, Or the Limits of Statistical Modelling
Black swans, or the limits of statistical modelling Eric Marsden <[email protected]> Do I follow indicators that could tell me when my models may be wrong? On the 1001st day, a little before Thanksgiving, the turkey has a surprise. A turkey is fed for 1000 days. Each passing day confirms to its statistics department that the human race cares about its welfare “with increased statistical significance”. 2 / 58 A turkey is fed for 1000 days. Each passing day confirms to its statistics department that the human race cares about its welfare “with increased statistical significance”. On the 1001st day, a little before Thanksgiving, the turkey has a surprise. 2 / 58 Things that have never happened before, happen all the time. — Scott D. Sagan, The Limits of Safety: Organizations, ‘‘ Accidents, And Nuclear Weapons, 1993 In risk analysis, these are called “unexampled events” or “outliers” or “black swans”. 3 / 58 The term “black swan” was used in16th century discussions of impossibility (all swans known to Europeans were white). Explorers arriving in Australia discovered a species of swan that is black. The term is now used to refer to events that occur though they had been thought to be impossible. 4 / 58 Black swans ▷ Characteristics of a black swan event: • an outlier • lies outside the realm of regular expectations • nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility • carries an extreme impact ▷ Note that: • in spite of its outlier status, it is often easy to produce an explanation for the event after the fact • a black swan event may be a surprise for some, but not for others; it’s a subjective, knowledge-dependent notion • warnings about the event may have been ignored because of strong personal and organizational resistance to changing beliefs and procedures Source: The Black Swan: the Impact of the Highly Improbable, N. -
Bird Report 1999
YELLOWSTONE BIRD REPORT 1999 Terry McEneaney Yellowstone Center for Resources National Park Service Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming YCR–NR–2000–02 Suggested citation: McEneaney, T. 2000. Yellowstone Bird Report, 1999. National Park Service, Yellowstone Center for Resources, Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming, YCR–NR–2000–02. Cover: Special thanks to my wife, Karen McEneaney, for the stunning pencil drawing of a Golden Eagle (Aquila chrysaetos) talon. The Golden Eagle is one of Yellowstone’s most formidable avian predators. When viewing Golden Eagle talons up close, one soon realizes why the bird is a force to be reckoned with in the natural world. Title page: Great Horned Owlet. The photographs in this report are courtesy of Terry McEneaney. ii CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ..................................................................... 5 Bird Impression .............................................................. 20 Weather Patterns and Summary ....................................... 5 National Geographic Field Guide .................................... 21 THREATENED AND ENDANGERED SPECIES .............................. 7 Retirement of Yellowstone Pilot Dave Stradley .............. 21 Peregrine Falcon ............................................................... 7 Yellowstone Birds: Their Ecology and Distribution ....... 21 Bald Eagle ........................................................................ 7 Computerized Database ................................................. 21 Whooping Crane ............................................................. -
Genetic Structure of Taiga Bean Goose in Central Scandinavia
Bird Conservation International, page 1 of 14. © BirdLife International, 2018 doi:10.1017/S0959270918000205 Birds of different feather flock together - genetic structure of Taiga Bean Goose in Central Scandinavia ADRIAAN DE JONG, ODDMUND KLEVEN, JAN EIVIND ØSTNES, ROLF TERJE KROGLUND, ISAK VAHLSTRÖM, JAN NILSSON and GÖRAN SPONG Summary During their flightless summer moult, Taiga Bean Geese Anser fabalis fabalis gather at commu- nal moulting sites. Individuals from the Nord-Trøndelag breeding area in Norway have been observed to join with local individuals on moulting sites in Vilhelmina Municipality, Sweden. These two groups show distinct features in breeding habitat and migratory behaviour, but are they also genetically distinct? We used 12 microsatellite loci for genotyping 109 blood, feather and faecal samples from three sampling areas (Røyrvik in Norway and Stalon and Nästansjö in Sweden) to examine genetic diversity and structure. Clustering and Principal Coordinate analyses of all samples unveiled at least two distinct clusters, which were unevenly distributed over the sampling sites. Grouped by sampling sites, AMOVA and FST analyses showed that samples from the three sites differed genetically. These differences were larger between Røyrvik and Nästansjö than between Stalon and the other two. Relatedness was high among the Røyrvik samples. From our results we conclude that one of the clusters describes the Røyrvik breeding subpopulation, while the other(s) breed mainly in Sweden. Although these subpopulations simultaneously use the same moulting area in Vilhelmina, they appear to be ecologically, behaviourally and genetically distinct, in particular the Røyrvik sub-population. For goose conservation and management, we suggest that the Nord-Trøndelag (Røyrvik) subpopulation is considered a separate flyway man- agement unit. -
Whooper Swan)
Cygnus cygnus (Whooper Swan) European Red List of Birds Supplementary Material The European Union (EU27) Red List assessments were based principally on the official data reported by EU Member States to the European Commission under Article 12 of the Birds Directive in 2013-14. For the European Red List assessments, similar data were sourced from BirdLife Partners and other collaborating experts in other European countries and territories. For more information, see BirdLife International (2015). Contents Reported national population sizes and trends p. 2 Trend maps of reported national population data p. 5 Sources of reported national population data p. 8 Species factsheet bibliography p. 13 Recommended citation BirdLife International (2015) European Red List of Birds. Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. Further information http://www.birdlife.org/datazone/info/euroredlist http://www.birdlife.org/europe-and-central-asia/european-red-list-birds-0 http://www.iucnredlist.org/initiatives/europe http://ec.europa.eu/environment/nature/conservation/species/redlist/ Data requests and feedback To request access to these data in electronic format, provide new information, correct any errors or provide feedback, please email [email protected]. THE IUCN RED LIST OF THREATENED SPECIES™ BirdLife International (2015) European Red List of Birds Cygnus cygnus (Whooper Swan) Table 1. Reported national breeding population size and trends in Europe1. Country (or Population estimate Short-term population trend4 Long-term -
Captive Wild Animal Farm License Application
Mail to: Department of Natural Resources Captive Wild Animal Farm Captive Wildlife - CS/1 License Application PO Box 7924 Madison, WI 53707-7924 dnr.wi.gov Consult the attached instructions before completing Notice: Pursuant to ch. 169, Wis. Stats., and ch. NR 16, Wis. Adm. Code, Fees: completion of this form is required to apply for a captive wild animal farm license. Class A Captive Wild Animal Farm Operation of a captive wild animal farm without a license may result in forfeitures (Annual sales of $10,000 or more) of up to $500 in addition to suspension of eligibility for future licenses. A social $200 Initial license $100 Annual renewal security number or federal employer identification number is REQUIRED when applying for licenses according to ss. 169.34 and 169.35, Wis. Stats., but it may Class B Captive Wild Animal Farm not be disclosed by the Department of Natural Resources (DNR) to anyone (Annual sales less than $10,000) except the Departments of Children and Families, Workforce Development or the $50 Initial license $ 25 Annual renewal Department of Revenue. Personal information collected may be used for participation in surveys, eligibility for approvals, law enforcement and other $ 0 Sport Club or 4-H member under age 14. secondary purposes and may be provided to requesters to the extent required by Attach proof of current membership Wisconsin's Open Records laws (ss. 19.31-19.39, Wis. Stats.). + $20 Late fee if application filed after license expiration date. A. Applicant Information Last Name First MI DNR Customer ID Current License # (if renewal) Address Date of Birth (mm/dd/yyyy) SSN OR FEIN City State ZIP Code Daytime Phone (incl. -
Air Speeds of Migrating Birds Observed by Ornithodolite and Compared with Predictions from Flight Theory Rsif.Royalsocietypublishing.Org C
Air speeds of migrating birds observed by ornithodolite and compared with predictions from flight theory rsif.royalsocietypublishing.org C. J. Pennycuick1, Susanne A˚kesson2 and Anders Hedenstro¨m2 1School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1UG, UK 2Department of Biology, Centre for Animal Movement Research, Lund University, Ecology Building, 223 62 Lund, Sweden Research We measured the air speeds of 31 bird species, for which we had body mass Cite this article: Pennycuick CJ, A˚kesson S, and wing measurements, migrating along the east coast of Sweden in Hedenstro¨m A. 2013 Air speeds of migrating autumn, using a Vectronix Vector 21 ornithodolite and a Gill WindSonic anem- ometer. We expected each species’ average air speed to exceed its calculated birds observed by ornithodolite and compared minimum-power speed (Vmp), and to fall below its maximum-range speed with predictions from flight theory. J R Soc (Vmr), but found some exceptions to both limits. To resolve these discrepancies, Interface 10: 20130419. we first reduced the assumed induced power factor for all species from 1.2 to http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2013.0419 0.9, attributing this to splayed and up-turned primary feathers, and then assigned body drag coefficients for different species down to 0.060 for small waders, and up to 0.12 for the mute swan, in the Reynolds number range 25 000–250 000. These results will be used to amend the default values in exist- Received: 8 May 2013 ing software that estimates fuel consumption in migration, energy heights on Accepted: 31 May 2013 arrival and other aspects of flight performance, using classical aeronautical theory. -
Free Download! the Trumpeter Swan
G3647 The Trumpeter Swan by Sumner Matteson, Scott Craven and Donna Compton Snow-white Trumpeter Swans present a truly spectac- Swans of the Midwest ular sight. With a wingspan of more than 7 feet and a rumpeter Swans, along with ducks and geese, belong height of about 4 feet, the Trumpeter Swan (Cygnus buc- to the avian Order Anseriformes, Family Anatidae. cinator) ranks as the largest native waterfowl species in T Trumpeters have broad, flat bills with fine tooth-like North America. serrations along the edges which allow them to strain Because the Trumpeter Swan disappeared as a breed- aquatic plants and water. The birds’ long necks and ing bird in the Midwest, several states have launched strong feet allow them to uproot plants in water up to 4 restoration programs to reintroduce it to the region. This feet deep. publication will provide you with background informa- Most Trumpeter Swans weigh 21–30 pounds, tion on the Trumpeter Swan’s status and life history, and although some males exceed the average weight. The on restoration efforts being conducted in the upper male is called a cob; the female is called a pen; and a swan Midwest. in its first year is called a cygnet or juve- nile. The Trumpeter is often con- fused with the far more common Tundra Swan (formerly Whistling Swan, Cygnus columbianus), the only other native swan found routinely in North America. Tundra Swans can be seen in the upper Trumpeter Swan Midwest only during spring and fall migration. You can distinguish between the two native species most accurately by listening to their calls. -
Wild Geese in Captivity by Bob Elgas Big Timber, Montana
Wild Geese in Captivity by Bob Elgas Big Timber, Montana Man has always been fascinated by, Wild geese were frequently depicted exists, and wild geese have become and has had a close association with, on ancient structures. Indeed, the increasingly popular with avicul wild geese. As a result of their ten- Swan goose of China, and the Greylag turists. dency to vocalize an objection to of Europe were domesticated eons Throughout the world there are nocturnal disturbances, the early ago, long before the dawn of written some 15 species of wild geese, with Romans utilized them as watchdogs.. history. Even today the fascination numerous sub-species, all of which are native to the northern hemi sphere. Interestingly, there are no true geese in the southern hemisphere. South America is represented by a specialized group known as sheld geese, while Africa and Australia are represented by a number of birds with goose-like characteristics. Sheld geese are actually modified ducks which, through the evolutionary process, have assumed goose-like similarities. One of the more obvious differences is the dimorphism of sexes characterized by sheldgeese males being of completely different plumage than females. In true geese, both sexes are alike. Although the birds from the southern hemisphere are interesting in their own right, the differences are so great that they can not be classified with the true geese. The geese of the northern hemi sphere are divided into two groups the genus Anset; which is representa tive of the true geese, and the genus A representative ofthe genus Anser is thispair ofEmperorgeese (Anser canagicus). -
C35-Echevarria-Et-Al
Cotinga 35 Nesting biology of Coscoroba Swan Coscoroba coscoroba at La Angostura Dam, Tafí del Valle, Tucumán, Argentina Ada Lilian Echevarria, María Constanza Cocimano, José María Chani and Claudia Fabiana Marano Received 6 July 2011; final revision accepted 27 June 2012 Cotinga 35 (2013): 13–16 El Cisne Coscoroba Coscoroba coscoroba nidifica en latitudes mayores a 33ºS desde Buenos Aires (Argentina) y Chiloé (Chile) hasta Isla Grande en Tierra del Fuego y, ocasionalmente, en las islas Malvinas. Mostramos el primer registro de nidificación a 26º55’06”S 65º41’36”O y 2.000 msnm. Nuestro objetivo fue estudiar la nidificación de C. coscoroba para contribuir con información sobre la reproducción de esta especie. Llevamos a cabo nuestro estudio desde agosto de 2004 a noviembre de 2005 en el dique La Angostura, Argentina. Registramos 26 individuos e identificamos ocho nidos, cinco de los cuales mostraron actividad, con un total de cinco puestas. One of two species of swans in South America9, designated by a number. We visited each nest once Coscoroba Swan Coscoroba coscoroba inhabits per week and recorded data on materials and nest shallow brackish lagoons with abundant fringing and egg measurements. In addition, we recorded vegetation3. Documented nesting records outside nest activity (adults in the environs of nests and the main breeding area are scarce8. It nests at nest stage) during each visit. We spent 30 minutes latitudes above 33ºS from Buenos Aires (Argentina) observing each nest during each weekly visit p.a., and Chiloé (Chile) to Isla Grande in Tierra del with a total of 1,140 minutes of observation. -
Tinamiformes – Falconiformes
LIST OF THE 2,008 BIRD SPECIES (WITH SCIENTIFIC AND ENGLISH NAMES) KNOWN FROM THE A.O.U. CHECK-LIST AREA. Notes: "(A)" = accidental/casualin A.O.U. area; "(H)" -- recordedin A.O.U. area only from Hawaii; "(I)" = introducedinto A.O.U. area; "(N)" = has not bred in A.O.U. area but occursregularly as nonbreedingvisitor; "?" precedingname = extinct. TINAMIFORMES TINAMIDAE Tinamus major Great Tinamou. Nothocercusbonapartei Highland Tinamou. Crypturellus soui Little Tinamou. Crypturelluscinnamomeus Thicket Tinamou. Crypturellusboucardi Slaty-breastedTinamou. Crypturellus kerriae Choco Tinamou. GAVIIFORMES GAVIIDAE Gavia stellata Red-throated Loon. Gavia arctica Arctic Loon. Gavia pacifica Pacific Loon. Gavia immer Common Loon. Gavia adamsii Yellow-billed Loon. PODICIPEDIFORMES PODICIPEDIDAE Tachybaptusdominicus Least Grebe. Podilymbuspodiceps Pied-billed Grebe. ?Podilymbusgigas Atitlan Grebe. Podicepsauritus Horned Grebe. Podicepsgrisegena Red-neckedGrebe. Podicepsnigricollis Eared Grebe. Aechmophorusoccidentalis Western Grebe. Aechmophorusclarkii Clark's Grebe. PROCELLARIIFORMES DIOMEDEIDAE Thalassarchechlororhynchos Yellow-nosed Albatross. (A) Thalassarchecauta Shy Albatross.(A) Thalassarchemelanophris Black-browed Albatross. (A) Phoebetriapalpebrata Light-mantled Albatross. (A) Diomedea exulans WanderingAlbatross. (A) Phoebastriaimmutabilis Laysan Albatross. Phoebastrianigripes Black-lootedAlbatross. Phoebastriaalbatrus Short-tailedAlbatross. (N) PROCELLARIIDAE Fulmarus glacialis Northern Fulmar. Pterodroma neglecta KermadecPetrel. (A) Pterodroma -
A 2010 Supplement to Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World
University of Nebraska - Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World by Paul A. Johnsgard Papers in the Biological Sciences 2010 The World’s Waterfowl in the 21st Century: A 2010 Supplement to Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World Paul A. Johnsgard University of Nebraska-Lincoln, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/biosciducksgeeseswans Part of the Ornithology Commons Johnsgard, Paul A., "The World’s Waterfowl in the 21st Century: A 2010 Supplement to Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World" (2010). Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World by Paul A. Johnsgard. 20. https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/biosciducksgeeseswans/20 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Papers in the Biological Sciences at DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. It has been accepted for inclusion in Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World by Paul A. Johnsgard by an authorized administrator of DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska - Lincoln. The World’s Waterfowl in the 21st Century: A 200 Supplement to Ducks, Geese, and Swans of the World Paul A. Johnsgard Pages xvii–xxiii: recent taxonomic changes, I have revised sev- Introduction to the Family Anatidae eral of the range maps to conform with more current information. For these updates I have Since the 978 publication of my Ducks, Geese relied largely on Kear (2005). and Swans of the World hundreds if not thou- Other important waterfowl books published sands of publications on the Anatidae have since 978 and covering the entire waterfowl appeared, making a comprehensive literature family include an identification guide to the supplement and text updating impossible. -
ON 23(4) 555-567.Pdf
ORNITOLOGIA NEOTROPICAL 23: 555–567, 2012 © The Neotropical Ornithological Society REPRODUCTIVE BIOLOGY AND PAIR BEHAVIOR DURING INCUBATION OF THE BLACK-NECKED SWAN (CYGNUS MELANOCORYPHUS) Carmen Paz Silva1, Roberto Pablo Schlatter2 & Mauricio Soto-Gamboa1 1Instituto de Ciencias Ambientales y Evolutivas, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile. E-mail: [email protected] 2Instituto de Ciencias Marinas y Limnológicas, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile. Resumen. – Biología reproductiva y comportamiento del Cisne de Cuello Negro (Cygnus melano- coryphus). – El cisne de cuello negro (Cygnus melanocoryphus) es la única especie del género Cygnus que habita en Sudamérica. Si bien, el resto de las especies del género han sido extensamente estudia- das, para C. melanocoryphus aún no se ha descrito la mayor parte de su biología reproductiva. En este estudio evaluamos el comienzo y extensión de la temporada reproductiva, y el tamaño de nidada utili- zando datos recolectados en el Santuario Carlos Anwandter (SCA), Valdivia, Chile; correspondientes a 18 temporadas reproductivas. Por otro lado, estudiamos el comportamiento de las parejas durante el periodo de incubación, durante una temporada reproductiva. Se estimó el presupuesto de tiempo y dis- tancia con respecto al nido en seis parejas nidificantes. El periodo de nidificación se puede extender desde junio a enero y está influenciado por el tamaño de la población reproductiva y las condiciones cli- máticas. El tamaño de nidada se mantiene constante con una moda de tres huevos (promedio 3.13 ± 0.017; n = 5897). Ambos miembros de la pareja desarrollan actividades de vigilancia y mantención del nido, sin embargo, la incubación es una tarea exclusiva de la hembra, mientras que la defensa activa del nido es realizada por el macho.