Chinese Engagement in Africa Drivers, Reactions, and Implications for U.S
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This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non-commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND electronic documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND electronic documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This report is part of the RAND Corporation research report series. RAND reports present research findings and objective analysis that ad- dress the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND reports undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for re- search quality and objectivity. Chinese Engagement in Africa Drivers, Reactions, and Implications for U.S. Policy Larry Hanauer, Lyle J. Morris C O R P O R A T I O N NATIONAL SECURITY RESEARCH DIVISION Chinese Engagement in Africa Drivers, Reactions, and Implications for U.S. Policy Larry Hanauer, Lyle J. Morris Approved for public release; distribution unlimited This research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the Unified Combatant Commands, the Navy, the Marine Corps, the defense agencies, and the defense Intelligence Community. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 9780-0-8330-8411-8 The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND—make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute.html R® is a registered trademark. Cover image: China’s President Xi Jinping (left) walks with his Tanzanian counterpart Jakaya Kikwete upon his arrival in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, March 2013 (Reuters/Thomas Mukoya). © Copyright 2014 RAND Corporation This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see the RAND permissions page (www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.html). RAND OFFICES SANTA MONICA, CA • WASHINGTON, DC PITTSBURGH, PA • NEW ORLEANS, LA • JACKSON, MS • BOSTON, MA DOHA, QA • CAMBRIDGE, UK • BRUSSELS, BE www.rand.org Preface Most analyses of Chinese engagement with African nations focus on what China gets out of these partnerships—primarily natural resources and export markets to fuel its burgeoning economy, and agricultural products to feed its increasingly urbanized population. Some studies have described the impacts—both positive and negative— that China’s aid and investment policies have had on African countries. However, few analyses have approached Sino-African relations as a vibrant, two-way dynamic in which both sides adjust to policy initiatives and popular perceptions emanating from each other. In an effort to characterize the dynamic nature of Chinese-African relations, RAND comprehensively examined Chinese and African objectives in the political and economic spheres and the means by which they work to achieve their goals. RAND then examined the reactions of both African governments and populations to Chinese engagement and assessed the ways in which China adjusted its policies to accommo- date these often-hostile responses. RAND also considered whether the United States and China are competing for influence, access, and resources in Africa and whether opportunities might exist for the two powers to cooperate in ways that advance their mutual interests, as well as those of their African partners. This report should be of interest to analysts and policymakers concerned with U.S. policy in Africa, as well as those interested in understanding the ways in which China formulates its foreign policy. This research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Defense Research Insti- tute, a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the Office of the Secretary of Defense, the Joint Staff, the Unified Combatant Commands, the Navy, the Marine Corps, the defense agencies, and the defense Intelligence Community. For more information on the International Security and Defense Policy Center, see http://www.rand.org/nsrd/ndri/centers/isdp.html or contact the director (contact information is provided on web page). iii Contents Preface ................................................................................................. iii Figures and Table .................................................................................... ix Summary .............................................................................................. xi Acknowledgments ...................................................................................xv Abbreviations ....................................................................................... xvii CHaptER ONE Introduction ...........................................................................................1 Scope of This Research ................................................................................1 Organization of This Report ..........................................................................2 CHaptER TWO Intertwined Interests of China and Africa .......................................................5 What China Wants from Africa ......................................................................5 Natural Resources and Chinese Exports ..........................................................6 International Legitimacy ............................................................................6 Security ................................................................................................8 What Africa Wants from China ......................................................................9 Political Stature .................................................................................... 10 Investment .......................................................................................... 10 Trade ................................................................................................ 15 Human Development ............................................................................. 16 Security Assistance ................................................................................. 16 CHaptER THREE How China-Africa Relations Have Developed ................................................ 19 A Brief History ....................................................................................... 19 Political Engagement ................................................................................ 21 Text Box: Chinese Government Agencies Involved in China’s Africa Policy ................. 24 Economic Engagement .............................................................................. 26 Trade ................................................................................................ 26 v vi Chinese Engagement in Africa: Drivers, Reactions, and Implications for U.S. Policy Chinese Investment ................................................................................ 32 Chinese Infrastructure Financing ................................................................ 34 Chinese Development Aid and Loans ........................................................... 35 Special Economic Zones and the China-Africa Development Fund ........................ 39 Security Engagement ................................................................................ 41 Arms Sales .......................................................................................... 41 Military Ties ........................................................................................ 42 UN Peacekeeping Operations .................................................................... 44 CHaptER FOUR The Impact of Chinese Engagement on African Countries ...............................