5. ATLANTIC HURRICANES Tures from 700-Nib
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Climate Change and Human Health: Risks and Responses
Climate change and human health RISKS AND RESPONSES Editors A.J. McMichael The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia D.H. Campbell-Lendrum London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom C.F. Corvalán World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland K.L. Ebi World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe, European Centre for Environment and Health, Rome, Italy A.K. Githeko Kenya Medical Research Institute, Kisumu, Kenya J.D. Scheraga US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA A. Woodward University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION GENEVA 2003 WHO Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data Climate change and human health : risks and responses / editors : A. J. McMichael . [et al.] 1.Climate 2.Greenhouse effect 3.Natural disasters 4.Disease transmission 5.Ultraviolet rays—adverse effects 6.Risk assessment I.McMichael, Anthony J. ISBN 92 4 156248 X (NLM classification: WA 30) ©World Health Organization 2003 All rights reserved. Publications of the World Health Organization can be obtained from Marketing and Dis- semination, World Health Organization, 20 Avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland (tel: +41 22 791 2476; fax: +41 22 791 4857; email: [email protected]). Requests for permission to reproduce or translate WHO publications—whether for sale or for noncommercial distribution—should be addressed to Publications, at the above address (fax: +41 22 791 4806; email: [email protected]). The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the World Health Organization concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. -
Weathering US–Cuba Political Storms: José Rubiera Phd Cuba’S Chief Weather Forecaster
Interview Weathering US–Cuba Political Storms: José Rubiera PhD Cuba’s Chief Weather Forecaster Gail Reed MS E. Añé Full disclosure: chief weather forecaster is not his of cial title, but rather one affectionally con- ferred on Dr Rubiera by the Cuban people, who look to him not only in times of peril, but also to learn about the science of meteorology. Any- one who has taken a taxi in Cuba during hur- ricane season (June 1 to November 30), and bothered to ask the driver, will receive a clear explanation about how hurricanes are formed, what the Saf r-Simpson scale is all about, and how the season is shaping up—all courtesy of Dr Rubiera’s talent for communication during nightly weather forecasts and special broad- casts. It’s no exaggeration to say that he is something of an icon in Cuba, a man people trust. Now, he is retired as chief of forecasting at Cu- ba’s Meteorology Institute, but he stays on as an advisor, and since 1989 represents Cuba’s Meteorological Service as the Vice Chairper- son of the World Meteorological Organization’s Hurricane Finally, he has been a driving force in Cuba for collaboration Committee for Region IV (North America, Central America and with Miami’s National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other US the Caribbean). He also keeps a spot on nightly news and meteorologists (in fact, the Chairperson of the Region IV Com- hosts two TV shows of his own: Global Weather and Weather mittee is the head of the NHC). in the Caribbean. -
Remote Sensing-Based Flood Mapping and Flood Hazard Assessment in Haiti
www.dartmouth.edu/~floods/ csdms.colorado.edu Remote Sensing-based Flood Mapping and Flood Hazard Assessment in Haiti “Rebuilding for Resilience: How Science and Engineering Can Inform Haiti's Reconstruction, March 22 - March 23, 2010, University of Miami - Coral Gables, FL Prof. G. Robert Brakenridge Dartmouth Flood Observatory, Dartmouth College, and Visiting Scientist, Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System, University of Colorado Dr. Scott D. Peckham (Presenter) Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System, University of Colorado 1) Floods commonly produce catastrophic damage in Haiti 2) Not all such floods are from tropical cyclones On May 18-25, 2004, a low-pressure system originating from Central America brought exceptionally heavy showers and thunderstorms to Haiti and the Dominican Republic. Rainfall amounts exceeded 500 mm (19.7 inches) across the border areas of Haiti and the Dominican Republic At the town of Jimani, DR, 250 mm (10 inches) of rain fell in just 24 hours. NASA Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data. Lethal Major Floods in the Dominican Republic / Haiti are a Near-Annual Event The Dartmouth Flood Observatory data archive dates back to 1985. Between 1986 and early 2004 (prior to Hurricane Jeanne in November), at least, fourteen lethal events impacted the island, including: Year Month Casualties 1986 early June >39 1986 late October 40 1988 early September - Hurricane Gilbert 237 1993 late May 20 1994 early November – Hurricane Gordon >1000 1996 mid November 18 1998 Late August – Hurricane Gustaf >22 1998 late September - Hurricane Georges >400 1999 late October - Hurricane Jose 4 2001 mid-May 15 2002 late May 30 2003 early December - Tropical Storm Odette 8 2003 mid-November 10 2004 late May >2000 NASA’s two MODIS sensors, Aqua and Terra, are an important flood mapping tool: • Visible and near IR spectral bands provide excellent land/water discrimination over wide areas. -
FACF 0394 Bluebook.Pdf
c / NSF/NOAA ATM-8419116 I ~ ' q'-/- A c ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES ON HURRICANE I NTENSI Fl CATION BY ROBERT T. MERRI LL COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY P. L WILLIAM M. GRAY ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES ON HURRICANE INTENSIFICATION By Robert T. Merrill Deparbnent of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado 80523 December, 1985 Atmospheric Science Paper No. 394 ABSTRACT Though qualitatively similar in structure. different hurricanes can attain different peak intensities during their lifetimes. Forecasters and empiricists relate the intensity to the sea surface temperature and the "effectiveness" of the upper troPospheric outflow. but offer no clear explanation of how the latter operates. Numerical modelers usually ignore the surrounding flow and emphasize interaction between the convective and vortex scales exclusively. This paper examines more closely the observed upper-tropospheric environmental flow differences between hurricanes which intensify and those which fail to do so. and combines them with previously published empirical and modeling results into a general conceptual model of environmental influences on hurricane intensification. Upper troPospheric wind observations (from satellite cloud tracking. aircraft reports, and rawinsondes) are canposited for 28 hurricanes according to intensity tendency. A rotated coordinate system based on the outflow jet location is used so that the asymmetric flow structure is preserved. Little difference is observed in total outflow on the synoptic scale. However, intensifying hurricanes have a less constricted outflow with evidence or lateral connections with the surrounding flow. The asymmetric flow consists of a wave thought to be associated with barotropic instability or the anticyclonic flow above the hurricane and the juxtaposition of surrounding Clow Ceatures. -
Hurricanes and Climate Change
Special Report: Hurricanes and Climate Change Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network Version 2 4 September 2019 Contact information: Judith Curry, President Climate Forecast Applications Network Reno, NV 89519 404 803 2012 [email protected] http://www.cfanclimate.net 1 Hurricanes and Climate Change Judith Curry Climate Forecast Applications Network Executive summary . 4 1. Introduction . 5 2. Hurricane terminology, structure and mechanisms . 6 2.1 Hurricane processes 2.2 Factors contributing to landfall impacts 2.2.1 Wind damage 2.2.2 Storm surge 2.2.3 Rainfall 3. Historical variability and trends . 12 3.1 Global 3.2 Atlantic 3.3 Pacific 3.4 Conclusions 4. Detection and attribution . 26 4.1 Detection 4.2 Sources of variability and change 4.3 Natural multi-decadal climate modes 4.4 Attribution – models 4.5 Attribution – physical understanding 4.6 Conclusions 5. Landfalling hurricanes . 43 5.1 Continental U.S. 5.2 Caribbean 5.3 Global 5.4 Water – rainfall and storm surge 5.5 Hurricane size 5.6 Damage and losses 5.7 Conclusions 6. Attribution: recent U.S. landfalling hurricanes . 58 6.1 Detection and attribution of extreme weather events 6.2 Sandy 6.3 Harvey 6.4 Irma 6.5 Florence 6.6 Michael 6.7. Conclusions 2 7. 21st century projections . 66 7.1 Climate model projections 7.2 2100 – manmade climate change 7.3 2050 – decadal variability 7.3 Landfall impacts 8. Conclusions . 78 References . 80 3 Executive summary This Report assesses the scientific basis for projections of future hurricane activity. The Report evaluates the assessments and projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and recent national assessments regarding hurricanes. -
08-Cuba-Between-Hurricanes.Pdf
DOI 10.15517/dre.v22i2.46955 CUBA BETWEEN HURRICANES:COMMODITY FRONTIERS AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES Jean Stubbs Abstract In 2017, Hurricane Irma made landfall in Caibarién, in north-central Cuba. Images of a devastated forgotten coastal town catapulted to international prominence a once-thriving port for the export of sugar and sponges, left in the shadows of international tourism on the nearby keys. In 2019, a collaboration between the Commodities of Empire British Academy Research Project, the Antonio Núñez Jiménez Foundation for Nature and Humanity, and the Cuban Film Institute led to filming a documentary in Cuba whose point of departure was Caibarién. The aim was to combine an environmental and commodity frontiers approach to visualize historical junctures and contemporary challenges in the context of global market inequalities and accentuating climate change. Archival research underpinned local testimonies and expert interviews, along with clips from newsreels, documentaries, and feature films, to produce Cuba: Living Between Hurricanes. This article charts the project to film the documentary; homes in on the paradoxes of living first with international tourism, Cuba’s most recent commodity frontier, and then without, due to the Covid-19 perfect storm of a pandemic, likened to a category 5 hurricane; and concludes reflecting on documentary as a tool for raising awareness during the pandemic. Keywords: history, climate, tourism, documentary filmmaking, social inequality, tertiary economy. Fecha de recepción: 9 de mayo de 2021 • Fecha de aceptación: 10 de junio de 2021 Jean Stubbs • Investigadora adjunta, Centre for Latin American and Caribbean Studies (CLACS), Escuela de Estudios Avanzados, Universidad de Londres, Londres, Inglaterra. -
P3.4 the Distribution of Precipitation Over the Northeast Accompanying Landfalling and Transitioning Tropical Cyclones
20th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting Seattle, WA, 11–15 January 2004 P3.4 The Distribution of Precipitation over the Northeast Accompanying Landfalling and Transitioning Tropical Cyclones David P. DeLuca*, Lance F. Bosart, Daniel Keyser University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York and David R. Vallee National Weather Service Forecast Office, Taunton, Massachusetts 1. INTRODUCTION United States. Approximately 3500 surface stations were analyzed for each storm period (currently: 1950– Landfalling and transitioning tropical cyclones 1991) by Ron Horwood of NWS WFO Taunton, MA. pose a significant heavy precipitation forecast challenge Obvious erroneous data were removed to obtain the most over the northeastern United States. The forecast accurate analyses possible. challenge is heightened because the heavy rainfall distribution associated with these tropical cyclones can A subset of eight storms (Fig. 1) where the be modulated significantly when the poleward-moving precipitation distribution is possibly influenced by storms interact with mobile midlatitude upper-level coastal frontogenesis was chosen from well–documented troughs and coastal fronts over regions of complex or famous cases. Detailed analyses were conducted terrain. The purpose of this paper is to document the using the four times daily (0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 large spatial and temporal variability of heavy UTC) NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset (Kalnay et al. precipitation that accompanies landfalling and 1996; Kistler et al. 2001) and archived DIFAX surface transitioning tropical cyclones, and to determine the charts in an attempt to elucidate both synoptic and physical basis for the observed rainfall distribution. mesoscale processes. 2. METHODOLOGY 3. RESULTS A 38-storm dataset (Fig. -
Hurricanes and Nor'easters: Hurricane Katrina
HURRICANES AND nor’easTERS: The Big Winds HURRICANE KATRINA: A Case Study of the Costliest Disaster in U.S. History National Weather Service photo. About Natural Hazards and Disasters: 2006 Updated Edition: In their book, Donald and David Hyndman focus on Earth and atmospheric hazards that appear rapidly, often without significant warning. With each topic they emphasize the interrelationships between hazards, such as the fact that building dams on rivers often leads to greater coastal erosion, and wildfires generally make slopes more susceptible to floods, landslides, and mudflows. By learning about the dynamic Earth processes that affect our lives, the reader should be able to make educated choices about where to live, and where to build houses, business offices or engineering projects. People do not often make poor choices willfully but through their lack of awareness of natural processes. Hyndman 0495153214 Page 1.indd 1 3/29/06 12:40:31 PM Hurricanes and Nor’easters: The Big Winds Hurricane Katrina: A Case Study of the Costliest Disaster in U. S. History Executive Editors: Pro d uction/Man ufacturin g Rights an d Permissio ns Michele Baird, Maureen Staudt & Michael Supervisor: Specialists: Stranz Donna M. Brown Kalina Hintz and Bahman Naraghi Project Development Manager: Pre-Media Services Su pervisor: Cover Image: Linda de Stefano Dan Plofchan Getty Images* Marketing Coordi nators: Lindsay Annett and Sara Mercurio © 2007 Thomson Brooks/Cole, a part of ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this The Adaptable Courseware Program the Thomson Corporation. Thomson, the work covered by the copyright hereon consists of products and additions to Star logo, and Brooks/Cole are may be reproduced or used in any form or existing Brooks/Cole products that are trademarks used herein under license. -
Paloma Brings 2008 Hurricane Season to a Close; Damages Exceed $10
Vol. 16, No. 11 December 2008 www.cubanews.com In the News Paloma brings 2008 hurricane season to a close; damages exceed $10 billion Killer storms nothing new BY OUR HAVANA CORRESPONDENT Since 1800, Cuba has been hit directly by neighboring Haiti, where Gustav, Hanna and he 2008 hurricane season, which officially Ike left hundreds dead. In Cuba, only seven peo- over 120 hurricanes ......................Page 2 ended Nov. 30, has been one of the most ple lost their lives — all from Ike — thanks to T destructive in Cuba’s history. the regime’s mandatory evacuation procedures USCC: End the embargo The season produced 16 cyclones — eight that kick in every time a hurricane threatens. President Raúl Castro mentioned the $10 bil- Chamber of Commerce, other groups ask tropical storms and eight hurricanes — making it the busiest Atlantic season since 2005, which lion figure during a Nov. 12 visit to Camagüey Obama to scrap past policies .......Page 4 spawned 28 named storms including Tropical province, where officials said 8,000 homes were Storm Zeta, which formed Dec. 30 and lasted damaged when Paloma struck the province’s Guayabal damaged into January 2006. south coast at Santa Cruz del Sur. Of the year’s eight hurricanes, three pum- Raúl, dressed in military fatigues, went to Despite storm destruction, port is still a meled Cuba, leaving combined losses in excess Camagüey a day after Paloma spun itself out top priority for Cuba ......................Page 6 of $10 billion. That’s roughly twice the damage over Cuba. The lengthy TV report showed him caused by all major hurricanes from 1985 to talking with storm victims and promising to 2007, and represents 17% of Cuba’s 2007 GDP. -
Assessment of the Economic Impacts of Hurricane Gilbert on Coastal and Marine Resources in Jamaica
UNITED NATIONS ENVIRONMENT PROGRAMME Assessment of the economic impacts of HiGilbert on coastal and. UNEP Regwnal Seas Reports and Studies No. 110 UNEP 1989 PREFACE In 1974, at the request of several Caribbean Governments, preparations were initiated by Decision (8)11 of the Second Session of the Governing Council of UNEP for the formulation of an Action Plan for sound environmental management in the Wider Caribbean region. The geographic coverage of the Wider Caribbean region was drawn to include all of the insular and coastal States and Territories of the Caribbean Sea, the Gulf of Mexico and their adjacent waters from the U.S. Gulf coast states and the islands of the Bahamian chain, south to the French Department of Guiana. This Action Plan was prepared in close consultation with the Governments of the region and with the support and assistance of the United Nations Environment Programne (UNEP), the Economic Comnission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) and other international and regional organizations such as the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (Unesco) , the Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (UWOIESA), the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) of the World Health Organization (MHO) and the World Conservation Union (IUCN). At the Intergovernmental Meeting on the Action Plan for the Caribbean Environment Programme held in Montego Bay, Jamaica in April 1981, tuenty-two States and Territories adopted the Action Plan and identified a programme of priorities for its implementation. -
Cuba Between Hurricanes:Commodity Frontiers and Environmental Challenges
DOI 10.15517/dre.v22i2.46955 CUBA BETWEEN HURRICANES:COMMODITY FRONTIERS AND ENVIRONMENTAL CHALLENGES Jean Stubbs Abstract In 2017, Hurricane Irma made landfall in Caibarién, in north-central Cuba. Images of a devastated forgotten coastal town catapulted to international prominence a once-thriving port for the export of sugar and sponges, left in the shadows of international tourism on the nearby keys. In 2019, a collaboration between the Commodities of Empire British Academy Research Project, the Antonio Núñez Jiménez Foundation for Nature and Humanity, and the Cuban Film Institute led to filming a documentary in Cuba whose point of departure was Caibarién. The aim was to combine an environmental and commodity frontiers approach to visualize historical junctures and contemporary challenges in the context of global market inequalities and accentuating climate change. Archival research underpinned local testimonies and expert interviews, along with clips from newsreels, documentaries, and feature films, to produce Cuba: Living Between Hurricanes. This article charts the project to film the documentary; homes in on the paradoxes of living first with international tourism, Cuba’s most recent commodity frontier, and then without, due to the Covid-19 perfect storm of a pandemic, likened to a category 5 hurricane; and concludes reflecting on documentary as a tool for raising awareness during the pandemic. Keywords: history, climate, tourism, documentary filmmaking, social inequality, tertiary economy. Fecha de recepción: 9 de mayo de 2021 • Fecha de aceptación: 10 de junio de 2021 Jean Stubbs • Investigadora adjunta, Centre for Latin American and Caribbean Studies (CLACS), Escuela de Estudios Avanzados, Universidad de Londres, Londres, Inglaterra. -
City of Newport Comprehensive Harbor Management Plan
Updated 1/13/10 hk Version 4.4 City of Newport Comprehensive Harbor Management Plan The Newport Waterfront Commission Prepared by the Harbor Management Plan Committee (A subcommittee of the Newport Waterfront Commission) Version 1 “November 2001” -Is the original HMP as presented by the HMP Committee Version 2 “January 2003” -Is the original HMP after review by the Newport . Waterfront Commission with the inclusion of their Appendix K - Additions/Subtractions/Corrections and first CRMC Recommended Additions/Subtractions/Corrections (inclusion of App. K not 100% complete) -This copy adopted by the Newport City Council -This copy received first “Consistency” review by CRMC Version 3.0 “April 2005” -This copy is being reworked for clerical errors, discrepancies, and responses to CRMC‟s review 3.1 -Proofreading – done through page 100 (NG) - Inclusion of NWC Appendix K – completely done (NG) -Inclusion of CRMC comments at Appendix K- only “Boardwalks” not done (NG) 3.2 -Work in progress per CRMC‟s “Consistency . Determination Checklist” : From 10/03/05 meeting with K. Cute : From 12/13/05 meeting with K. Cute 3.3 -Updated Approx. J. – Hurricane Preparedness as recommend by K. Cute (HK Feb 06) 1/27/07 3.4 - Made changes from 3.3 : -Comments and suggestions from Kevin Cute -Corrects a few format errors -This version is eliminates correction notations -1 Dec 07 Hank Kniskern 3.5 -2 March 08 revisions made by Hank Kniskern and suggested Kevin Cute of CRMC. Full concurrence. -Only appendix charts and DEM water quality need update. Added Natural