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SPRING/SUMMER 2016 SPRING/SUMMER NATO WARSAW SUMMIT TIME TO ACT Anders Fogh Antoni Macierewicz Peter Brookes Rasmussen SECURITY IN A NEW NATO FOR A NATO FIT EUROPE - HOW A NEW AMERICAN FOR PURPOSE TO CHANGE THE ADMINISTRATION NEGATIVE TREND EDITORIAL Tomasz Poręba Tomasz Poręba is a Member of the European Parliament and President of New Direction – The Foundation for European Reform. NATO THE FOUNDATION OF EUROPEAN SECURITY ontrary to popular belief wave of migrants and refugees prevailing since the end towards Europe. Almost all of our of the Cold War, the end neighbourhood is touched by open of the military stand- or frozen conflict, unrest and civil Coff between NATO and Soviet war, whilst exposed to the threat of Union did not mark a new era terrorism. of peace and safety. Under the rule of Vladimir Putin, Russia is Both Europe and NATO face trying to once again assert itself unprecedented threats on many as a world power and regain lost different fronts. These range from influence and prestige by pursuing conventional warfare through an increasingly aggressive and the expansion of terrorist groups, revanchist policy. This coincides radicalisation of our own citizens with the fact that while doing so, to information warfare and the Kremlin is seeking to distract propaganda fuelled mainly by Russian citizens from the country’s the Russia regime. Therefore, the growing internal problems. Warsaw Summit is timely and Turmoil in the Middle East and should be used as an opportunity North Africa, civil war in Syria, to decisively respond to these new and conflicts in Yemen and Libya, forms of threats, which include has brought an unprecedented hybrid warfare and cyber attacks. THE “WEAPONISATION OF INFORMATION” BY THE KREMLIN IS A WELL-THOUGHT THROUGH AND WELL-FUNDED STRATEGY AND SHOULD BE REGARDED AS A THREAT EQUAL TO MORE TRADITIONAL ONES. Despite predictions by numerous that Moscow wanted to change NATO’s Eastern flank and to project the need to dismantle terrorist cells coming to Europe. NATO is aware of the problem and experts that future warfare the political configuration in stability beyond our borders. Today, operating in our own countries. its Stratcom Centre of Excellence in will predominantly belong to Europe and move towards separate not only Ukraine, but also Moldova Last but not least, we have recently Latvia does a great job at exposing special forces and not tanks and agreements between Russia and and Georgia are under threat. Another directly linked threat is the witnessed the revival of a threat Russian lies and manipulation. artillery, the situation in Eastern individual, chosen countries. spread of radicalisation amongst which has already been very Ukraine (and to some degree in However, Moscow’s vision of The second key challenge for the young people. Europe’s population creatively used by the Soviet Union In this publication, we have brought Syria) clearly shows that this is divide et impera rule was much security of NATO countries is is suffering from terrorist attacks before - information warfare together key decision makers and not the case, at least not yet. The broader than just diplomacy. terrorist groups such as Daesh or led by radicals and militants whom targeting both NATO and the EU. The security and defence experts, to threat posed by Russia is much What has followed – including the Al Qaeda. NATO should be ready have been either trained abroad strategic communications employed provide their views ahead of the bigger than it has been since the annexation of Crimea, aggression to militarily counter and fight or have been recruited by terrorist by Russia are not only undermining crucial Warsaw NATO Summit end of the Cold War. As Antoni against Ukraine and intervention terrorist groups which use partisan organisations in Europe and security on Europe’s Eastern border, in Warsaw. The importance Macierewicz, Polish Minister in Syria on the side of Assad regime tactics and often melt into civilian America. These individuals often it is also targeting our partners like of this Summit should not be of Defence, underlined when - clearly shows that the Kremlin is populations or use human shields have European citizenship and are Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova. The underestimated. Wales 2014, saw talking about preparation for determined to pursue its goal of on their own soil. This requires therefore much more difficult to “weaponisation of information” the Alliance change direction to face the NATO Summit in Warsaw, in working on different fronts and a completely different way of track. We also have to remember by the Kremlin is a well-thought a more dangerous world. Warsaw August 2009, one year after the using a variety of tools. Therefore thinking about warfare, especially that experienced radical Islamist through and well-funded strategy 2016 will decide if the needed level meticulously planned aggression the Warsaw Summit should be used in cities and densely populated fighters may - and almost certainly and should be regarded as a threat of support and commitment to this against Georgia, Putin had said as a key platform to strengthen areas. Another side of this coin is do - infiltrate the waves of refugees equal to more traditional ones. change is fully carried out. ■ TABLE OF CONTENTS 14 18 26 28 Antoni Macierewicz Geoffrey Van Orden MEP Anders Fogh Rasmussen Anna Fotyga MEP SECURITY IN EUROPE TIME FOR NATO TO A NATO FIT FOR PURPOSE INDIVISIBLE SECURITY – HOW TO CHANGE THE NEGATIVE TREND GET MORE SERIOUS NATO MEMBERS & PARTNERS 8 NATO WORKING STRUCTURES 10 10 THINGS YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT NATO 12 NATO ON DUTY 24 WORLD DEFENCE BUDGETS 2014 30 EXPENDITURE LEVELS IN NATO 31 NATO DEFENCE SPENDING AS GDP 36 NATO-RUSSIA RELATIONS - THE BACKGROUND 42 ALLIED LAND COMMAND IN EUROPE 46 RUSSIA’S TOP 5 MYTHS ABOUT NATO 53 32 44 48 Peter Brookes Dr Roberts Zile MEP Dr Przemysław Żurawski vel Grajewski A NEW NATO FOR A NEW WISHFUL THINKING RUSSIA AS AN EXPORTER OF INSTABILITY AMERICAN ADMINISTRATION VERSUS REALITY New Direction – The Foundation for European Reform, a non-for-profit organisation (ASBL/VZW) registered in Belgium and partly funded www.europeanreform.org follow us @europeanreform by the European Parliament. Registered Office: Rue Du Trône 4, Brussels, 1000, Belgium. Director General: Naweed Khan. The European Parliament and New Direction assume no responsibility for the opinions expressed in this publication. Sole liability lies with the author. NATO MEMBERS & PARTNERS NATO members Partnership for Peace partners Mediterranean Dialogue partners Istanbul Cooperation Initiative partners Partners across the globe HEADS OF STATE ALBANIA BELGIUM BULGARIA CANADA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC DENMARK ESTONIA FRANCE GERMANY GREECE HUNGARY ICELAND ITALY Bujar Nishani King Philippe Rosen Plevneliev Queen Elizabeth II Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović Miloš Zeman Queen Margrethe II Toomas Hendrik Ilves François Hollande Joachim Gauck Prokopis Pavlopoulos János Áder Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson Sergio Mattarella LATVIA LITHUANIA LUXEMBOURG NETHERLANDS NORWAY POLAND PORTUGAL ROMANIA SLOVAK REPUBLIC SLOVENIA SPAIN TURKEY UNITED KINGDOM USA Raimonds Vējonis Dalia Grybauskaitė le Grand-Duc Henri King Willem-Alexander King Harald V Andrzej Duda Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa Klaus Werner Iohannis Andrej Kiska Borut Pahor King Felipe VI Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Queen Elizabeth II Barack H. Obama 8 9 NATO WORKING STRUCTURES MEMBER COUNTRIES NATO DELEGATIONS MILITARY REPRESENTATIVES NUCLEAR NORTH PLANNING ATLANTIC GROUP COUNCIL MILITARY International COMMITTEE Military Staff SECRETARY GENERAL SUBORDINATE International Staff COMMITTEES ALLIED ALLIED COMMAND COMMAND AGENCIES OPERATIONS TRANSFORMATION Integrated Military Command Structure 10 11 NATO funding THINGS YOU NEED TO Member countries make direct and indirect contributions to the costs of running NATO and implementing its policies and activities. The greatest part of these contributions is indirect and comes through the Allies’ KNOW ABOUT NATO participation in NATO-led operations. Member countries incur the costs involved whenever they volunteer forces to participate in a NATO operation. For example the cost for providing a fighter jet lies with the nation 6 that makes it available. Direct contributions to NATO’s common budgets are made by members in accordance with an agreed cost-sharing formula based on relative Gross National Income. These contributions finance 10 the costs of NATO’s integrated structures, collectively-owned equipment or installations. An international Security Hub Deterrence In the five decades after World War II, the Alliance successfully prevented the Cold War from becoming The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is one of the world’s major international institutions. It is a “hot”. Under the security umbrella provided by NATO, the people of Europe, Canada, and the United States political and military Alliance of 28 member countries from Europe and North America. The Alliance takes enjoyed the benefits of democratic choice, the rule of law and substantial economic growth. The Alliance’s all its decisions by consensus. Every member country, no matter how large or small, has an equal say in deterrence is based on an appropriate mix of nuclear and conventional capabilities, which remain a core 7 1 discussions and decisions. Member states are committed to individual liberty, democracy, human rights and element of NATO’s strategy. This is matched by Allies’ commitment to arms control, disarmament and non- the rule of law. These values are at the heart of NATO’s transatlantic bond. proliferation. Collective Defence Crisis Management The greatest responsibility of the Alliance is to protect and defend NATO’s territory and populations. Article The Alliance has frequently acted to uphold international peace and security. In 1995, NATO helped to end 5 of NATO’s founding charter, the Washington Treaty, sets out the Alliance’s collective defence commitment. the war in Bosnia-Herzegovina and implemented the peace agreement. In 1999, NATO helped to stop mass It states that an attack on one shall be considered an attack on all.