Plan and Market, Part I
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Paper to be presented to the international workshop on Economic Democracy and the European Left in the age of Globalisation, Stockholm, June 2003. Organized by: CMS and Transform What Economic Democracy should not be about - The dead end of centrally planned economies* Johan Ehrenberg, chief editor, ETC, [email protected] Sten Ljunggren, assistant professor, Business studies, Uppsala University, [email protected] Abstract Economic democracy might hopefully once more be on the political agenda. But one trait of these thoughts must be ruled out at the outset of a new discussion. And that is the notion connected with managing the socialist economy as a centrally planned firm. This form – the centrally planned econ- omy – is a distinct historic phenomenon. It tries to abolish markets as far as possible and replace them with a single common enterprise, where as much as possible is planned beforehand. The aim of this paper is to show that this solution is not a viable alternative for a socialistic vision. Obviously they were worsened by Soviet being a dictatorship, but there were other problems, such as bad adaptability, hierarchic inertia, absents of horizontal relations, no unexpected renewal and primi- tive growth. We criticize two proposals to reform the traditional centrally planned economy (the Soviet type). The first one is the suggestion that a democratically managed centrally planned economy is workable. The second proposal we criticize is the notion of a centrally planning being based on advanced mathemati- cal planning techniques. Our conclusion is that the whole idea of a centrally planned economy is a dead end. Centrally planned economies are one of the historical failures of mankind. We will not go anywhere by continue to cling to them, in one form or another. We conclude with a short discussion of a viable socialist vision and states that 1) markets and capi- talism are two totally different things, 2) a socialist vision must be based not on just accepting mar- kets, but on embracing them, 3) the private ownership of the means of production must be replaced with non-owned and self-managed firms, 4) for any markets too work well, there is a need for a con- siderable degree of governmental involvement and equality of opportunity, income and wealth and finally 5) the question of economic democracy is in a globalised world perhaps a question of the sur- vival of political democracy. *Part of this article was published in an earlier version in the magazine Röda Rummet. Ola Inghe translated it for manifest.se. 2 Introduction introduction of a centrally planned economy on the agenda. In order to discuss the centrally planned economy it is necessary to qualify the concept One may call the centrally planned economy somewhat. Centrally planned economy is not a form of a planned economy and of a strategi- equal to planned economy or to a strategically cally planned economy. But this does not im- planned economy. ply that a strategically planned economy, or a planned economy, is a centrally planned econ- Most economies are more or less planned. omy (Figure 1). Those in power put up some targets, which they subsequently try to meet by various meth- Figure 1. Planned economy, strategically ods. Since 1980, governments around the planned economy and centrally planned econ- world have weakened trade unions, forced omy through a huge increase in income and prop- erty gaps, and substituted public service for private service. Surely, no one can deny that Planned economy this is a result of planned changes – that politi- cal goals are able to steer the economy in a thoroughgoing way. Within the framework of the EMU there has been a co-ordinated, Strategically planned economy planned and very deliberate change of the European economies. We have got lowered interest rate, less inflation, smaller budget defi- Centrally cits and a smaller public sector, higher un- planned economy employment, increased income gaps. Thus, even with traditional monetary and fiscal poli- cies, big changes have been implemented in capitalist countries in a planned way. Centrally planned economy is not equal to strategically planned economy, or planned Before 1980 there are examples of a more in- economy. terventionist planning. Many capitalist coun- tries had a large sector of state-owned compa- nies. Public procurement was important in Strategically planned economy is a broader governing and influencing the business sector. concept than centrally planned economy and Some countries went even further. India had 5- when we talk about planned economy the con- year plans for industrial development and cept is broader still. When discussing centrally France had a framework planning for industry. planned economy, strategically planned econ- The Ministry for Industry and technology omy or planned economy, it is a problem that (MIT) in Japan had a strong position as a plan- nearly all non-capitalist countries in the last ning authority. century were centrally planned economy. During the Second World War many coun- Yugoslavia was an exception, being neither a tries, including USA, had an economic system centrally planned economy nor a strategically best described as a strategically planned econ- planned economy (in some periods it was omy. The whole economy was redirected to- hardly a planned economy at all). China today wards a single purpose – winning the war. maybe could be called a strategically planned After WW II we had in Sweden the so-called economy. planhushållning debate*. The social democrats However, the important point here is that a presented proposals on far-reaching state direc- centrally planned economy (henceforth abbre- tion of the business sector. But! Neither during viated CPE) is a distinct historic phenomenon the war nor in the social democratic proposals in managing the economy. It is something to- for a strategically planned economy, was an tally different from the concept of a “socialist planned economy”, and even from a “socialist strategically planned economy”. A CPE try to * We use strategically planned economy as a trans- abolish markets as far as possible and replace lation of the Swedish planhushållning. 3 them with a single common enterprise, where cles and the stockpiles of the red bicycles dis- as much as possible is planned beforehand. appear. The aim of this paper is to show that this so- This, to adjust prices but not production, was lution is not a viable alternative for a socialistic the main content in the efforts to reform the vision. CPE:s from the middle of the 60:s to the final debacle in the early 90:s. First we discuss the problems in the tradi- tional CPE. Obviously they were worsened by There has been no lack of ideas to create Soviet being a dictatorship, but there were some form of adjustment allowing peoples other problems, such as bad adaptability, hier- demands to direct what is produced in a CPE. archic inertia, absents of horizontal relations, One is to use market studies – asking people no unexpected renewal and primitive growth. what goods they want to buy. These market studies should then be the base for the planning Secondly we criticize two proposals to re- for consumer goods. form the CPE. The first one is the suggestion of a democratically managed CPE (Benny But! The capitalist large companies globally Åsman in Röda Rummet No 1/2001). The sec- invest billions in market studies, and then they ond proposal we criticize is the notion of a invest hundreds of billions in advertising to CPE based on advanced mathematical plan- convince us that what they produce is what we ning techniques (Cockshott & Cottrell in To- want to buy. Yet time and again it appears that wards a new socialism). there are products that people do not want to buy. One of the beautiful things is that peo- ple’s behaviour cannot be planned or pre- Bad adaptability dicted. Assume that the central planning authority decides that during the coming five-year pe- Hierarchic inertia riod, a certain amount of red and blue bicycles will be produced. When the bicycles reach the Another solution for the dilemma of unpre- shops it turns out that people want much more dictable people is to let the plans adapt to what blue bicycles than produced, and fewer red. people wants to buy. If shortage occurs for an item production should increase, if surplus As a result, queues emerge for obtaining a occurs it should decrease. A socialist CPE blue bicycle, while the stocks of unsold red could be based on planning agencies who plan bicycles grow. The endlessly repeated short- production of consumer goods based on market ages of certain goods create special consumer studies and who, when imbalances neverthe- behaviour. When an attractive product emerges less occur, adjust these by subsequently chang- in the shops, it is bought not in the amount one ing the production of some items. needs but as much as one affords. Subse- quently, it is sold or bartered away, or hoarded One reason that this was never implemented for future private consumption. Because people and never can be implemented is that the very buy as much as possible, shortages are aggra- construction of the CPE makes every change vated and the queues grow. Hoarding makes it very complicated. There are no possibilities of virtually impossible for the planners to get rid linking different parts of the economy – other of the queues by increasing the production. than by higher-level administrative decisions. Every decision must be forwarded upwards in Traditional CPE lacks a mechanism allowing the system. peoples demand – their tastes and preferences – to influence the direction of the production. Assume that the bicycle factory really wants From the early 60:s this was a constant prob- to adjust its production to consumer demands.