Cornell University School of Hotel Administration The Scholarly Commons Articles and Chapters School of Hotel Administration Collection 2012 The aM rket for Real Estate Presales: A Theoretical Approach Robert Edelstein University of California, Berkeley Peng Liu Cornell University School of Hotel Administration,
[email protected] Fang Wu Citadel Asset Management Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/articles Part of the Real Estate Commons Recommended Citation Edelstein, R., Liu, P., & Wu, F. (2012). The market for real estate presales: A theoretical approach [Electronic version]. Retrieved [insert date], from Cornell University, School of Hotel Administration site: http://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/articles/1007/ This Article or Chapter is brought to you for free and open access by the School of Hotel Administration Collection at The choS larly Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Articles and Chapters by an authorized administrator of The choS larly Commons. For more information, please contact
[email protected]. The aM rket for Real Estate Presales: A Theoretical Approach Abstract Presale agreements have become a pervasive worldwide practice for residential sales, especially in many Asian markets. Although there is a burgeoning empirical literature on presales agreements, only a few papers actually address their theoretical foundations. We create a set of interrelated theoretical models for explaining how and why developers and buyers engage in presale contracts for non-completed residential dwellings. Given heterogeneous consumer beliefs about future market prices, developers and buyers enter into presale agreements to mitigate, two intertwined, fundamental risks: those of real estate market valuation and default. Our analyses are consistent with prior empirical findings and provide additional theoretical insights for understanding the market for presales.