Grupa-Azoty---Investor-Presentation
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INVESTOR PRESENTATION September 2014 GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE NO. 1 IN FERTILIZERS, ONE OF MAJOR POLYAMIDE, NO. 2 IN NO. 3 IN GROWTH IN EUROPEAN OXO PRODUCTS MINERAL COMPOUND SCALE CHEMICAL MELAMINE, FERTILIZERS IN FERTILIZERS IN THROUGH M&A PRODUCER TITANIUM THE EU THE EU ACTIVITY WHITE IN POLAND CONTINUED PRESENCE IN LISTED ON THE RESPECT BALANCED STABLE EXPERIENCED WARSAW STOCK INDEX GEOGRAPHICAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT EXCHANGE PRESENCE POSITION TEAM SINCE 2008 PRESENCE IN THE MSCI INDICES GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 2 GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE CORE BUSINESS ONE OF THE BIGGEST Fosfory EMPLOYERS IN BBM THE REGION – Grupa Azoty ZMPP • NPK, P LEVEL OF • Terminal • Port EMPLOYMENT AT POLICE Navitrans • Urea THE END OF • Logistics 2013: 13,879 • NPK, NP, NS PEOPLE • Ammonia • TiO2 Grupa Azoty PUŁAWY • AN, UAN, Grupa Azoty ATT AfriG S.A. • Urea Polymers • Melamine • Phosphorites • PA 6 • CPL Grupa Azoty Grupa Azoty ZAK Siarkopol S.A. • Sulphur • AN, CAN Z.A. Chorzów • Urea S.A. • OXO Alcohols • NPK, N, P, K Grupa Azoty S.A. • Plasticizers Grupa Azoty • AN, CAN Compounding • ASN, AS Sp. z o.o. • CPL, PA 6, POM • Compounding Logistics Grupa Azoty „Folie” Sp. z o.o. Production GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 3 GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE WIDE PORTFOLIO – 2013 REVENUES AN,CAN, NPK, AS, ASN FERTILIZERS– AGRO UREA UAN, AMMONIA 57% MINING : SULPHUR, PHOSPHATES PLASTICS POLYAMIDE 15% CAPROLACTAM CHEMICALS OXO PRODUCTS MELAMINE 24% UREA TECHNICAL GRADE ENERGY ELECTRICITY AND HEAT 3% OTHERS LABORATORY SERVICES 1% CATALYSTS, OTHER ACTIVITY GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 4 GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE STRUCTURE OF GRUPA AZOTY Grupa Azoty S.A. 66% 85% 93.48% Grupa Azoty POLICE Grupa Azoty 100% Siarkopol S.A. Grupa Azoty ATT Grupa Azoty ZAK S.A. Polymers GmbH 63.27% 100% 100% 100% Grupa Azoty 95.98% Grupa Azoty PKCh KOLTAR Sp. z o.o. Sp. z o.o. Grupa Azoty Grupa Azoty Grupa Azoty ‘’Folie’’ Sp. z o.o. Compounding Sp. z o.o. PUŁAWY ING OFE TFI PZU S.A. State Treasury; (Pension (Investment EBRD; Norica Holding S.à.r.l.; Others; 33,00% Fund); Fund); 5,75% 20,00% 22,53% 9,96% 8,76% SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 5 STRONG INTERNATIONAL POSITION Almost 90% of revenues derived from sales to EU markets % % 3 Other North America 7 European 6 1% Union1 5 Asia +0.1% 32% Non-EU -5% countries Asia 1% 5% -1% +2% 33 32 1 EU Africa 1% -1% Poland South America 56% 3% +5% -0,2% 56 58 Poland 20122 2013 2013 H1 2014 1 Excluding Poland 2 Data for 2012 excluding G.A. Puławy, Siarkopol from October 31st 2013 GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 6 KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN H1 2014 VALUE CREATION MODEL BASED ON THE STRATEGY FOR 2014−2020 GRUPA AZOTY REPRESENTED ON GOVERNING BODIES OF IFA APPOINTMENT OF DIRECTOR GENERAL AT GRUPA AZOTY S.A. START OF KEY INVESTMENT PROJECTS: • POLYAMIDE 6 PLANT WITH ANNUAL PRODUCTION CAPACITY OF 80 THOUSAND TONNES • GRANULATION PLANT II DIVIDEND PAYMENT OF PLN 19,839,096.80 (PLN 0.20 PER SHARE) GRUPA AZOTY PLACED ON THE LIST OF STRATEGIC ENTERPRISES THE EQUITY MARKET CHAMPION TITLE GOLDEN WEBSITE AWARD GRUPA AZOTY AT A GLANCE 7 BUSINESS GRUPA AZOTY IS AN IMPORTANT PRODUCER IN THE REGION FERTILIZERS PLASTICS, OXO, PIGMENTS, MELAMINE • No. 1 in compound fertilizers¹ • No. 1 in Polyamide • No. 1 in mineral fertilizers² • No. 1 in OXO Alcohols and Plasticizers • No. 1 in fertilizers containing sulphur • No. 1 in Titanium White • No. 1 in nitrogen fertilizers • No. 1 in Melamine FERTILIZERS PLASTICS, OXO, MELAMINE • No. 3 in compound fertilizers • No. 5 in Plasticizers • No. 2 in mineral fertilizers • No. 7 in OXO Alcohols • No. 5 in Polyamide 6³ • No. 2 in Melamine MAIN CHEMICAL COMPANIES IN POLAND 9.8 5.4 3.3 3.5 Anwil Ciech Synthos Consolidated revenues in 2013 (PLN bn) Notes: ¹ Compound fertilizers in total (AP, NPK, PK); ² Compound fertilizers + nitrogen fertilizers; ³ Among integrated producers BUSINESS 9 H1 2014 factors GEOPOLITICAL FACTORS BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT Grupa Azoty placed on the list of strategic enterprises Lower prices of key raw materials (phosphate rock, Conflict in Ukraine: potassium chloride, sulfur) • Military hostilities and high gas prices affect Longer fertilizer application season fertilizers output Decrease in prices of almost all products, including • Sanctions fertilizers Pending revision of anti-dumping duties on AN by Russia Depressed demand for titanium white, plastics and (EUR +47.07/tonne), to be completed in October 2014 melamine Further decline of demand for DEHP, with DEHT Continued negotiations on Transatlantic Trade and becoming a substitute Investment Partnership (TTIP) COMPETITION GRUPA AZOTY Fertilizer sales of key European competitor down on H1 2014 fertilizer sales up on H1 2013 H1 2013 Intensified work on export fertilizer markets, new Overhauls and production constraints affecting caprolactam output framework export agreements signed Production of PA6 limited in China to 65%–80%, in Development of strategic partnership with fertilizer Taiwan to 75%–80% distributors Changes in DEHT production capacities Other, e.g. failures at ammonia units Multibranding BUSINESS 10 FEEDSTOCK: GAS AND ELECTRICITY HISTORICAL COST DISADVANTAGE MAIN RAW MATERIALS VS. NEIGHBOURING EU MARKETS 100% ELECTRICITY PRICES (PLN/MWH) Other 200 90% 100 Electricity 80% 189 174 183 172 162 151 164 148 166 183 0 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 4Q 2012 1Q 2013 2Q 2013 3Q 2013 4Q 2013 1Q 2014 2Q 2014 70% Coal Average-weighted index BASE for RDN 60% Phenol 12 NATURAL GAS PRICES(USD/MBTU) 50% Potassium salt 40% 10 Phosphate 30% 20% Propylene 8 10% Natural gas 6 0% 2012 2013 PGNiG Tariff Data proforma, including the PUŁAWY Group's and Siarkopol's Average natural gas price paid by the Group purchases from January 2012. Heren TTF Source: ICIS. BUSINESS 11 GAS – SOURCES OF SUPPLY GAS DIVERSIFICATION NATURAL GAS DEMAND TOTAL 2.191 BN M3 OFF-TAKE FROM OUTSIDE THE SYSTEM: • 20% - 30% IN 2013 • CIRCA 30% IN H1 2014 • CLOSE TO 50% IN FUTURE AMMONIA Total production capacity: 2.24 mt, inclusive of captive use - about 90% PRODUCTION SURPLUS – GA POLICE I GA ZAK S.A. PRODUCTION DEFICIENCY - TARNÓW TOTAL DEMAND OF TARNÓW COVERED WITH SUPPLIES WITHIN GRUPA AZOTY THE REMAINING SURPLUS OF AMMONIA SOLD IN THE EXTERNAL MARKET methane-rich natural gas (E), high nitrogen natural gas (Lw), (Ls) transit gas pipeline local sources BUSINESS 12 FERTILIZERS REVENUES EXTENSIVE PORTFOLIO OF FERTILIZERS 2013: 57% AP/NP MANUFACTURER AS UREA AN CAN ASN UAN K/ MIX ACHEMA AZOMURES BASF EUROCHEM H1 2014: 56% FERTIBERIA CAPACITIES (JAN 2014) YARA GRUPA AZOTY (GK) Grupa Azoty GPN (GK) Borealis (GK) FERTIBERIA Poland GROWHOW UK JSC Grodno Azot 1 NITROGENMUVEK ACHEMA AZOMURES EU OCI NITROGEN Eurochem (Antwerpen) 2 INA PETROKEMIJA SKW PIESTERITZ OCI Nitrogen YARA [tt] 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 Source: Fertilizer Europe BUSINESS 13 PLASTICS REVENUES • Polyamide 6 (PA6) • Polyacetal (POM) H1 2014: 14% • Caprolactam • Cykloheksanon 2013: 15% POLYAMIDE 6 KEY SEGMENT APPLICATION BASF DOMO (Xentrys) Other Kubyshevazot Togliatti DSM Eng. Plastics Household appliances Lanxess Radici Fibers SpA Consumer goods Grupa Azot Poland Electrical and electronic JSC Grodno Khimvolokno 1 applications Aquafil SpA Arco Beaulieu-Nylon Machine building JSC Kursk Khim. Europe Julon Films and coatings 5* JSC Khimvol. Amtel Kuzbas Shchekino JSC Khim Automotive Others % 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 [tt] 0 50 100 150 200 250 * Integrated Source: CMAI, 2012 BUSINESS 14 CHEMICALS Melamine REVENUES OCI Melamine Poland 2013: 24% Grupa Azoty 1 Borealis Agrolinz Melamine Deutschland GmbH BASF SE Borealis Agrolinz H1 2014: 26% Melamine GmbH EU 2 Azomures S.A. [tt] 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Plasticizers * OXO** Exxon Mobil BASF BASF Poland Poland Evonik 1 OXEA 1 Polynt Grupa Azoty Oxochimie (j.v. Arkema i INEOS) OXEA Perstorp Oltchim EU EU Perstorp Grupa Azoty 5 5 DEZA Oltchim INEOS … [tt] 0 100 200 300 400 500 [tt] 0 100 200 300 400 500 * Production capacities of phthalate plasticisers and terephthlate plasticisers ** Production capacities of 2-EH, N-butanol, isobutanol Source: Plasticizers Alkohols 2013 i Plasticizers (UE) 2013 BUSINESS 15 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 2013 EXPENSES INCURRED IN 2013 Liquid and solid fertilizers based on UREA and AS – Puławy FERTILIZERS Ammonia – new ammonia storage facility (Puławy) and 243 upgrade of reactors (Tarnów, Police) Sulphuric acid – upgrade PLASTICS C-none – capacity increase and cost reduction – Tarnów 80 Oxo products – terephthalate (Kędzierzyn) CHEMICALS and fat processing plant (Chorzów) 66 OTHER Energy – flue gas desulphurisation units in Puławy and Police 277 ACTIVITIES (ammonia scrubbing – AS by-product) PLNm BUSINESS 16 MARKET OUTLOOK • Stable demand for nitrate fertilizers (ammonium nitrate and calcium ammonium nitrate) in Europe FERTILIZERS • Stronger demand for urea following output reductions in Africa, Ukraine, Qatar and Trinidad • Farmers' solid purchasing power despite price corrections on grains market (high crop yields) • Demand for and price of engineering plastics expected to rise following end of summer PLASTICS season, positive readings from target markets (automotive industry and household appliances) • Average margins on OXO alcohols and plasticizers expected to increase • Demand for titanium white to go up in 2015 (improved situation in the construction CHEMICALS industry) • Minor shifts in melamine prices Market outlook • Fluctuations in benzene and phenol prices RAW • Prices of phosphate rock, sulfur and potassium chloride expected to increase slightly MATERIALS • Increased supply of propylene and stable demand • Natural gas prices expected to decline owing to further diversification of gas supplies BUSINESS 17 STRATEGY REMITS OF THE GRUPA AZOTY MANAGEMENT BOARD MEMBERS President of the Vice-President of Vice-President of Vice-President of Vice-President of Vice-President of Member of Management the Management the Management the Management the Management the Management the Management Board Board Board Board Board Board Board P.