The European Stability Mechanism Articles
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THE EUROPEAN STABILITY MECHANISM ARTICLES The global fi nancial crisis has exposed major weaknesses in the design and implementation The European of the existing economic governance framework of the EU, and of the euro area in particular. Stability Mechanism The fi scal rules (laid down in the Stability and Growth Pact) have been weakened over time, and procedures and measures put in place to enforce economic policy coordination have not been implemented. The European Council of 24-25 March 2011 adopted a comprehensive package of measures to respond to the ongoing crisis, as well as to guard against such crises materialising in the future. The main features of this package relate to the strengthening of the preventive and corrective mechanisms to address internal and external imbalances, in particular fi scal imbalances and competitiveness problems of individual Member States, well before they might pose systemic threats. In addition, the package includes the establishment of a permanent crisis management mechanism as an ultima ratio safeguard against imbalances in individual countries. It is foreseen that the new European Stability Mechanism (ESM) will enter into force on 1 July 2013, following an amendment to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (the Treaty) and the signing of an ESM Treaty by the euro area countries. This article outlines the underlying rationale for the establishment of the ESM and looks at its salient features.1 From the ECB´s perspective, it is crucial that the existence, design and activities of the ESM do not create moral hazard, but rather strengthen the incentives for prudent fi scal and economic policies in all euro area countries. For this reason, it is essential that any fi nancial assistance will be subject to very strict macroeconomic policy conditionality and be granted on non-concessional terms. Financial assistance must not act as a fi scal transfer, but only as a liquidity bridge that allows euro area countries in distress to “buy time” to take the necessary measures to restore fi scal sustainability and competitiveness in the medium term. The ESM would be activated if indispensable to safeguard fi nancial stability in the euro area as a whole. It is therefore of the utmost importance that the range of measures focusing on crisis prevention and policy surveillance are well-designed and implemented in full so as to avoid the need to use the ESM. 1 WHY IS A PERMANENT CRISIS MANAGEMENT time reduces the net benefi ts of EMU and poses MECHANISM HELPFUL? the risk of adverse cross-country spillovers. The Treaty contains two key provisions aimed The institutional framework of Economic and at avoiding excessive debt accumulation at the Monetary Union (EMU) is unique.2 EMU is a national level and protecting the independence monetary union without a fully fl edged political of the ECB: the “no-bailout” clause (Article 125) union. It is characterised by a single monetary and the monetary fi nancing prohibition policy set at supranational level (i.e. the (Article 123). These provisions preclude euro area), a common market, and largely transfers and monetisation of government debt decentralised fi scal policies, which remain in the event of a debt crisis in a Member State. within the area of competence of the individual They will remain cornerstones after the reform EU Member States but which are subject to of EU economic governance. rules-based coordination procedures, such as the Stability and Growth Pact. 1 At the time of writing, the Treaty establishing the European The smooth functioning of EMU requires that Stability Mechanism (ESM Treaty) is still in the process of national governments ensure the sustainability of fi nalisation. 2 For a more detailed discussion of the institutional arrangements, their own public fi nances, the competitiveness of see the article entitled “One monetary policy and many their national economies and the stability of their fi scal policies: ensuring a smooth functioning of EMU”, Monthly Bulletin, ECB, July 2008 and the article entitled fi nancial systems. Failure to meet one or more “The relationship between monetary policy and fi scal policies in of these conditions over a sustained period of the euro area”, Monthly Bulletin, ECB, February 2003. ECB Monthly Bulletin July 2011 71 At the same time, the fi nancial crisis has stage. In addition to these EU-wide proposals at revealed major weaknesses and gaps in the the legislative level, a separate “Euro Plus Pact” existing governance framework. The fi scal rules has been devised among euro area countries, (laid down in the Stability and Growth Pact) have with an opt-in for non-euro area EU Member been weakened over time, and procedures and States, in order to improve competitiveness, measures put in place to enforce economic policy foster employment, increase the sustainability coordination have not been implemented. If of public fi nances and reinforce fi nancial these weaknesses and gaps were left unaddressed, stability. These measures complement the the fi nancial stability of the euro area as a whole strengthening of the supervisory architecture could be put at risk. EMU is characterised for the fi nancial system that came into force at by a high degree of economic and fi nancial the beginning of 2011 with the establishment of integration among its members, which in normal the European Systemic Risk Board (the new EU times is benefi cial to all members. In times of body in charge of macro-prudential oversight) crisis, however, close fi nancial integration means and the three new European Supervisory that unsustainable developments in one member Agencies – the European Banking Authority, country can easily spread to others perceived as the European Securities and Markets Authority vulnerable by the market. and the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority. Once fully operational, Strengthened fi scal, macroeconomic and macro- these measures should strengthen the economic prudential surveillance is essential to guard pillar of EMU. against destabilising cross-country spillovers which might stem from a loss of confi dence in Strict observance of the Stability and Growth the sustainability of national policies. Pact, close surveillance of macroeconomic The failure of the EU’s economic governance to imbalances and effective economic policy prevent and correct unsustainable national coordination should provide a safeguard against policies that contributed to the build-up of major crises of confi dence of the type and magnitude imbalances in euro area countries has made that have been experienced in the recent past. the defi ciencies of the overall governance However, to the extent that unforeseen external framework all too apparent. This applies in shocks can occur, the risk of crises can never particular to the weak implementation of policy be fully eliminated, in spite of strengthened recommendations, the inadequacy of enforcement fi scal and macroeconomic surveillance. measures taken to discourage or correct For this reason, and in order to ensure the infringements, and the insuffi cient recognition stability of the euro area as a whole, it was by national policy-makers of the need to ensure decided to also establish a framework which consistency between national policies in a could provide temporary fi nancial support to monetary union, especially with regard to euro area countries, with the aim of providing competitiveness developments.3 bridge funding for the period of time needed to implement a deep adjustment programme to The European Council, at its meeting on correct imbalances and regain market access. 24-25 March 2011, agreed on a number of Any fi nancing under the ESM needs to be important steps to reinforce the EU economic subject to very strong policy conditionality. governance framework. The Stability and Growth Pact will be reformed to enhance the The purpose of such a crisis management surveillance of fi scal policies and to foster the framework is to give euro area countries in early application of enforcement measures. distress the time necessary to implement measures A new macroeconomic surveillance framework, including an enforcement mechanism, will be 3 See the article entitled “The reform of economic governance established in order to deal with internal and in the euro area: essential elements”, Monthly Bulletin, ECB, external macroeconomic imbalances at an early March 2011. ECB Monthly Bulletin 72 July 2011 ARTICLES to restore fi scal sustainability, competitiveness market fi nancing. For example, an exogenous The European and fi nancial stability in the medium term. shock of unprecedented magnitude might Stability Mechanism Financial assistance will only be granted if the hit one euro area country asymmetrically, country in question implements an adjustment with profound implications for the country’s programme capable of redressing the situation. domestic economic outlook. Given the greater Such an adjustment programme will in general propensity towards cross-country spillovers in a include fi scal consolidation measures and monetary union, and the lack of a central fi scal structural reforms that address labour and authority, such a shock could have the potential product market rigidities, thereby improving to destabilise the euro area as a whole (in the the growth potential of the economy. While absence of a fi nancial fi rewall). The potential for such measures will have some impact in the negative (and mutually reinforcing) feedback short term, their full effect often unfolds over loops between the fi scal and fi nancial sectors the medium term. In this context, the fi nancial could be signifi cant and both amplify and assistance will serve as a liquidity bridge until propagate the shock. the country in question regains market access. At the same time, fi nancial assistance must be Second, there also remains the possibility of granted on non-concessional (i.e. suffi ciently market failures in the fi nancial sector, including unattractive) terms to increase the incentive for self-fulfi lling trend dynamics in the pricing the country to return to market fi nancing as soon of sovereign risk.