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Investment Daily(HK) Investment Daily(HK) Daily(H K). HK Research Department May 25, 2009 HK Market 1. p.1 Close CHG % Market Outlook .................................................... HSI 17,063 (137) (0.80) Hong Kong stock market recorded a drop last Friday. Wall Street HS-Finance 25,189 (235) (0.93) HS-Utilities 35,622 (113) (0.32) shares ’ weakness dragged Hong Kong stocks. Hang Seng Index HS-Properties 21,771 316 1.47 (HSI) fell 136.97 points or 0.8 per cent to close at 17062.52 points. HS-Com & Ind 9,399 (119) (1.25) HSCCI 3,614 (40) (1.10) HSI dropped below the gate of 17,000 once in intraday, following HSCEI 9,791 (136) (1.37) by recovery. HSI may test the support of 20-day moving average GEM 548 9 1.60 at 16500 point level. Supported by liquidity driven, we expect Market Turnover HSI will rebound and get new high next month. (HK$MN) Turnover CHG % Main board 64,355 3,415 5.6 HSI 22,389 3,506 18.6 Hang Seng China Enterprise Index (HSCEI) lost 136.49 points or HSCEI 16,146 1,313 8.9 GEM 766 96 14.3 1.37 per cent to close at 9790.79 points. HSCEI failed to stand above the gate of 10000 points level in the morning trading Index Futures Over/Under Close CHG session and taking-profit trade makes the index drop. HSI MAY 09 3 17,066 43 HSI JUNE 09 (81) 16,982 38 HSCEI MAY 09 24 9,815 (6) 2. Market Information / Update .................................. p2 HSCEI JUNE 09 (66) 9,725 (12) Market Watch: According to liquidity driven, we expect HSI will Composite Index Close CHG % rebound and get new high next month. Large Cap 1,366 (3) (0.21) Mid Cap 3,416 (27) (0.77) Small Cap 1,608 (24) (1.46) 3. Industry Update ................................................. p.3-6 Composite Industry Index Close CHG % PetroChina (0857.HK): PetroChina to pay HK$7.88 billion for Energy 9,945 (231) (2.27) Materials 7,859 (231) (2.86) 45.51% stakes in SPC; Industrial Goods 1,078 (8) (0.72) Huiyuan Juice (1886.HK): Private equity firms seek to buy into Consumer Good 3,351 (44) (1.31) Services 2,521 (47) (1.82) Huiyuan Juice Telecom 1,526 (9) (0.58) Utilities 4,593 29 0.63 Financials 2,622 (27) (1.01) Prop and Constr 2,426 (6) (0.25) Info Tech 1,460 (22) (1.48) 4. Stock Recommendation ............................................ p. Conglomerate 1,688 (2) (0.12) Foreign Markets Close CHG % 5. Price Information ................................................ p.7-9 Shanghai A 2,726 (14) (0.50) Shenzhen A 922 (2) (0.18) ADR price of major HK stocks, Hang Seng H-Financial Index, China Nikkei 225 9,246 20 0.22 telecom sector, A-H stock comparisons, and Taiwan related stock. Taiwan(TWSE) 6,737 18 0.28 DJIA 8,277 (15) (0.18) Nasdaq 1,692 (3) (0.19) S&P 500 887 (1) (0.15) Please refer the analysts and company disclosure, and disclaimers in the final page. 1 Investment Daily(HK) dailyljlkjlkjkljlkjl Daily Market Information / Update HIS HSCEI 100 140 18000 90 11000 120 80 16000 70 100 9000 60 80 14000 50 7000 60 40 12000 30 wew 40 20 5000 10000 20 10 0 8000 0 3000 #N/A 9/3/09 23/3/09 6/4/09 22/4/09 7/5/09 21/5/09 #N/A 9/3/09 23/3/09 6/4/09 22/4/09 7/5/09 21/5/09 Requesting Requesting Data... Data... Source: Bloomberg. CSC Securities. (HK) Market Watch Supported by liquidity driven, we expect HS I will rebound and get new high next month. Hong Kong stock market recorded a drop last Friday. Wall Street shares’ weakness dragged Hong Kong stocks . Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell 136.97 points or 0.8 per cent t o close at 17062.52 points. HSI dropped below the gate of 17,000 once in intraday , following by recovery. Turnover rose to HK$ 64.35 billion. Property sector outperformed with a gain of 1.47 per cent. SHK Property (16.HK) and New World Development (17.HK) rallied 5.01 and 3.73 per cent, respectively. Other property stocks showed resilience. The foreign brokerage house upgraded property shares’ target price as economy passed through the worst time. Those were the common reasons that foreign brokerage analysts’ common action when they didn’t know why share price rebound so much. HS I recovery the jumping gap between 17062 and 17376 points and fell below the 5-day and 10-day moving average. HSI may test the support of 20-day moving average at 16500 point level. Supported by liquidity driven, we expect HSI will rebound and get new high next month. Hang Seng China Enterprise Index (HSCEI) lost 136.49 points or 1.37 per cent to close at 9790.79 points. HSCEI failed to stand above the gate of 10000 points level in t he morning trading session and taking-profit trade makes the index drop. Steel, coals mining, petrochemical and china financial sectors dragged index plunge. Investment Daily(HK) dailyljlkjlkjkljlkjl Daily Industry/Company Update PetroChina PetroChina to pay HK$7.88 billion for 45.51% stakes in SPC (0857 ；；；HK$8.39) PetroChina, the mainland's largest oil producer, has agreed to buy 45.51 per cent of Singapore-listed Singapore Petroleum Co (SPC) for HK$7.88 billion and plans to buy out other shareholders of the company in a major move to expand abroad. The purchase, if successful, will be PetroChina's first cross-broader acquisition in a listed company, according to South China Morning Post’s report. The acquisition will be PetroChina's second overseas purchase in two months after it agreed last month to buy a 50 per cent stake in Mangistaumunaigas, an unlisted oil and gas producer in Kazakhstan. It is believed that a successful buyout would also make it the biggest takeover in Asia's refining industry. Singapore Petroleum will become a new pla tform for the implementation of their international strategy and will provide a broader foundation and stable path for development, according to PetroChina’s statement. Moreover, PetroChina said it planned to make an offer to buy out other Singapore Petroleum shareholders and delist the company. PetroChina will buy 234.5 million SPC shares from Keppel Oil and Gas Services at S$6.25 (HK$33.61) each in cash. Singapore government investment flagship Temasek Holdings indirectly controls Keppel Oil through Singapore-listed Keppel Corp. The offer price represents a 24 per cent premium on Singapore Petroleum's closing price of S$5.04 on Friday and 14 times the company's earnings per share for FY2008. Singapore Petroleum reported a net profit of S$230 million last year on revenue of S$11.1 billion. Singapore Petroleum has a 50 per cent stake in Singapore Refining, which owns a 285,000 barrels per day refinery and is one of the three major refiners in the city state. On the other hand, PetroChina and Keppel Co rp plan to explore opportunities in the offshore oil industry. The deal will enhance the refining capacity of PetroChina and comes after Beijing introduced a new system a few months ago to adjust state-controlled selling prices to enable refiners to make a profit. PetroChina produced 73.97 million tonnes of refined products, Investment Daily(HK) dailyljlkjlkjkljlkjl Daily including petrol, kerosene and diesel last year, up only 3.2 per cent. China Petroleum & Chemical Corp made 105.86 million tonnes by comparison, up 9.4 per cent. It is expected tha t PetroChina will gain some production and refining assets from the deal but it's nothing to get excited about. In terms of size, it's a drop in the bucket. The deal comes as Beijing is encouraging companies to expand overseas, especially in acquiring r esources as prices have dropped amid the global financial turmoil, to provide stable supply for the country's growing needs. China plans to set up 10 million tonnes of state fuel reserves by 2011, or about two weeks' worth of current consumption of petr ol, diesel and kerosene combined, according to Reuters. (Source: SCMP) Huiyuan Juice Private equity firms seek to buy into Huiyuan Juice (1886 ；；；HK$5.43) China Huiyuan Juice Group had attracted interest from several major private equity funds looking at taking a minority stake, according to local media. However, a high asking price and the fu nds' lack of operating experience in the juice market would make it difficult to pull off a deal. Blackstone Group, Carlyle Group and TPG are among the global funds said to be looking at the company. The funds declined to comment. Huiyuan chairman and pr esident Zhu Xinli said on April 15 the company had been approached by several interested parties. Coca-Cola had tried to take over Huiyuan in a HK$19.65 billion buyout announced in September last year, but the Ministry of Commerce blocked the takeover in March, citing a new anti-monopoly law. The move was widely seen as an attempt to keep large domestic brands in local hands. Coca-Cola offered what was considered an ultra-rich HK$12.20 a share to buy the stakes held by Mr Zhu, French drinks maker Group Da none and US private equity firm Warburg Pincus. The bid was almost three times the HK$4.14 at which the stock was trading at the time. Market said last month that Coca-Cola had re-engaged Huiyuan in talks that could lead to a minority stake sale.
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