SEPTEMBER 2018

THE NAME’S Bond...

Welcome to the Autumn edition of The Beauty) to now where we send out tips to Horses Mouth, and what a busy three months over 70,000 subscribers daily. we have in store with plenty to look forward Were you with us when we first started out? we to including Doncaster’s St Leger Meeting, would love to hear from you! pop an email over Dewhurst Day at Newmarket, Champions Day at to [email protected] Royal Ascot, the end of the turf flat season and the start of proper jumping at Cheltenham plus The latest addition to the FRT experience is the over in France the Arc De Triomphe where there Free Racing Tips V.I.P Lounge which is FREE to is the prospect of an exciting clash between the all subscribers of the Premium Tip, Lucky 15, young pretenders Sea Of Class and Lah Ti Dar Daily Patent, FRT Max and FRT Weekender. and the fabulous older generation of Enable and VIP Lounge members get access to regular Cracksman. bonus tips and we are planning a series of And … amongst all of that on 17th September it competitions and events. is Free Racing Tips 10th Anniversary, that’s right If you haven’t joined us in the Lounge yet look “10 YEARS OF TIPS”, we have gone from humble out for your invite code on the regular daily beginnings in 2008 when we sent out just the emails. Premium Tip and the Little Earner (now the Little

Follow me on Twitter: @frtgold WRITTEN BY Email: [email protected] Keith Bond

The Horse’s Mouth Weekender ITV Races this Autumn St. Leger Your essential guide to upcoming races on ITV Stakes

12 Year Trends In association with

Doncaster 15th September 3.35pm (ITV)

1m6½f (1m6f115y) William Hill (Group 1) () (Colts & Fillies) (Class 1) (3yo)

This Autumn ITV bring us a fabulous selection of quality racing and each and every race on any of the ITV channels will also be covered by the FRT Weekender Service. Established in 1776, the St Leger is the oldest of Britain’s fiveClassics . It is the last of the five to be run each year, and its distance is longer than any of the other four. The Weekender was launched in January this year and to date it has had 5 winning months from the 8 up to the end of August and a healthy 47.79 points profit to level 1 point stakes win or 0.5 points each way as In recent years it has been rare for the best horses to turn up for the race as they tend to target the advised, a return on investment of 113%. Prix D’Arc De Triomphe instead.

SEPTEMBER Statistics since 2006 Sat 8 - Haydock Park, Ascot and Kempton - ITV Age – This race is for 3yo’s only. Thu 13 - Doncaster - ITV4 Sex – 11 of the last 12 winners have been colts. Fri 14 - Doncaster (Day 2) - ITV4 Starting Price – Only 4 of the last 12 winners have been favourites and 7 of the 12 were sent off at SP’s of 15/2 or Sat 15 - Doncaster (Day 3) and Chester - ITV higher. Sat 22 - Ayr & Newbury - ITV4 Last Run – 7 of the 12 winners won on their last run before the St Leger, 11 of the winners finished in the first 3 last Fri 28 - Newmarket - ITV4 time, 9 of the 12 winners had their last run within 65 days. Sat 29 - Newmarket (Day 2) and Haydock Park - ITV4 Previous Form – 10 of the last 12 winners had at least 5 previous flat runs, all 12 winners had at least 2 previous flat wins. OCTOBER Official Rating – 9 out of the 12 winners were rated 110 or higher. Group Wins – 9 of the 12 winners had a least 1 previous win in a group race Sat 6 - Ascot, Newmarket and Redcar - ITV4 Current Season Form – All 12 winners had at least 3 runs that season, 9 of those winners had at least 4 runs that Fri 12 - Newmarket & York - ITV4 season, 11 of the 12 winners had at least 1 win that season, 8 of them had at least 2 wins that season Sat 13 - Newmarket (Day 2) and York (Day 2) - ITV Sat 20 - Ascot: - ITV Verdict Sat 27 - Cheltenham, Newbury and Doncaster - ITV4 Not the best of races for the fancied horses with just 4 favourites prevailing in 12 years so it is a good race to look for a bit of value, I have always been sweet on Derby second Dee Ex Bee who will be a revelation stepped up to this trip and NOVEMBER will likely be a regular in the Cup races next season if kept in training but the lack of a win this year puts me off for this race so my idea of the race winner and one that fits the profile is Aiden O’Brien’s Irish St Leger Trial Winner FLAG OF Sat 3 - Ascot & Wetherby - ITV4 HONOUR who hasn’t but a foot wrong since finishing down the field in France having won a Group 2 and a Group 3 at the Curragh since both at the St Leger distance. Sat 10 - Wincanton, Doncaster and Aintree - ITV4 Fri 16 - Cheltenham - ITV4 Selection Sat 17 - Cheltenham (Day 2) and Lingfield - ITV FLAG OF HONOUR 20/1 each way Sun 18 - Cheltenham (Day 3) and Fontwell - ITV4 Sat 24 - Haydock Park & Ascot - ITV The St Leger Stakes is just one of the featured races on ITV during St Leger week from Doncaster, we have a fabulous 3 days of televised racing to get our teeth into, get a tip for every one of the ITV races via our Weekender Service Fri 30 - Newbury - ITV4 www.freeracingtips.co.uk/frt-weekender/ *All fixtures are subject to change and cancellation Full details about the FRT Weekender service can be found here www.freeracingtips.co.uk/frt-weekender/ Free Racing Tips Focus on Champion’s Day The 90 Minute

British Champion’s Day held at in October each year since 2011, Strategy it is as the end of season highlight fixture of Britishflat racing and the richest day in Hey – Rob here from Form Ratings. British racing, with more than £4 million in prize money. This year Champion’s Day is As you know the Free Racing Tips guys focus on the previews and tips side of things. on Saturday 20th October. What you may not know, is that I look after a sister site called Form Ratings which provides bespoke racecards and a community dedicated to racing systems and strategies.

The 90 minute strategy is just one such example (there are literally 1000’s of possibilities..) of how you can identify some solid bets each day based on preset criteria.

Finding an edge at this meeting has proved notoriously difficult over the years, the 22 Group 1 races run since 2011 have been The Strategy... contested by 244 runners (9%). No trainer has dominated the meeting Aiden O’Brien and John Pick the horse with the shorter forecast odds from the top two rated on the first 5 racecards that have a maximum of 10 runners. Gosden top the trainer leader board with 3 wins apiece but strike rates of 11% and 14% respectively are not inspiring so how can we Then check the odds. narrow it down? If the horse has odds of Well if you concentrate solely on runners with a starting price of 16/1 1.01 > 1.99 = 3 points or less who ran in a group race (1 – 3) on their last run, aged 3, 4 or 2.00 > 2.99 = 2 points 5, drawn 12 or less, and last run between 35 and 182 days ago we 3.00 > 4.00 = 1 point get 19 winners from 87 runners a strike rate of 22% which is much better and will give a short list to narrow down the fields. A nice little edge is also revealed Tom Queally has only had 5 qualifying rides and 3 of them have won an impressive 60% strike Summary Whilst it’s great for me to share strategies I’m looking at, the fact is there are plenty of people within the Form Ratings community who rate, not a statistic for the mortgage money from such a small have been in the game MUCH longer. They know a thing or two Over the 10 day period in which I wrote this article the strategy about racing and better still, they’re willing to share their ideas. After sample but certainly something to bear in mind. made +5.39 points. all, we all have the same goal! Not spectacular but we’re keeping it real here! Here’s a letter I received from a member in response to that And, to try it out you only need access to the first 5 racecards (which strategy idea; you can get for free..) CADMIUM - A Chaser to Follow Dear Rob, www.formratings.co.uk/free5 I try and eliminate the gamble element as much as possible out of the equation so I do not bet on 2YO races-still babies and 5F races as they This is in theory better than just backing all - but the way you filter While this edition of The Horses Mouth has been can be lost at the start, I also ignore races with 10 or more horses if I am down could be definitely be improved. looking for a winner and not E/W, Cavalry charges may not allow a true run focused on the Flat by the end of this quarter we will to the best horse. be firmly in National Hunt territory, so it makes sense Positives I then look for a horse who is not odds on but is clear favourite and has a of make a start on who to follow in the jumping game healthy lead in the form ratings. although there will be a lot more of that in the Winter Speedy Solid logic - top two rated “generally” have best form edition due out in December. I know that this does not leave me much as the 5 races you give are Staking reflects chances of horse winning the early ones which tend to include a lot of 2YO races. However, I am A chaser I am really looking forward to in the coming Not too many selections (max 5 a day) satisfied that I am keeping to the right side of our bookie friends so far though not ending up with many choices. season is the Willie Mullins trained Cadmium whose Negatives best run to date came when winning a valuable hand- If perchance I finish with 2 choices on a particular day I double those. icap at the Cheltenham Punchestown Festival and he Not been tested for long enough (yet..) I might add that I will of course apply extra minor points if the trainer and followed that up with a comfortable win at Roscommon Could narrow down a LOT more (eliminate some riskier jockey will add to the horses prospects or if the horse has particularly before disappointing at Galway in a stamina test on race types) good form at a particular course. soft going over 2 miles 2 furlongs. As with all strategies it’s advisable to remember to track your Nice to know there is someone like you guys still looking to improve any bets so you can identify trends which will enable you to refine systems which might prove fruitful to the punting faithful. The key to this horse is speed so I expect Mullins to concentrate on 2 mile races going forward and a your selection process as you go along. reproduction of that Punchestown form will see him notch up a few wins with the ultimate aim being Regards-Jim Furey Cheltenham in March. CADMIUM is currently available at 25/1 (Hills) to win any race at the Cheltenham Festival.

*Whilst our tips are fully researched and provided in good faith, no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. World Cup 2018 in Numbers

Footy News With Lee Bradshaw from Free Footy Tips

• 169 goals scored • A record 11 own goals • Average 2.64 goals per game • 11 Juventus players playing, despite Italy not qualifying We ask the important questions, first up.... Who Are Ya?! • 16 players from Manchester City • 736 players overall Hiya, sins, manage my local junior football in my spare time. • 34km/hr - Fastest players, Portugal’s Ronaldo & Croatia’s It’s great to see the development of the children and is Ante Rebic. I’m Lee and have recently joined the team here at Free very rewarding - even at 9am on a cold & wet Sunday Footy Tips. morning! • 95 fouls committed - Russia

I love football, It all started when I was about six years You’ve probably seen me joining in the banter in our old. My family had recently moved from Derbyshire to massive Facebook group I also provide all the tips for the • 6’ 7” Tallest Player - Croatia’s goalkeeper Lovre Kalinic Manchester, and the Manchester Evening News printed a Free Footy Tips site, which has been on FIRE lately... • 5’ 4” Smallest Player - Saudia Arabia’s Yahya Al-Shehri team poster of both Man City & Man Utd just before the +21 points to 1 point level stakes in August! season started. • 4 players who were born in the 1970s were at Russia 2018 If you’re not in my VIP Club - join here today ​ -- Essam El-Hadary (Egypt), Rafael Márquez (Mexico), Sergei My Dad was a Derby County fan, but I wanted to follow a www.freefootytips.co.uk/vip Ignasevich (Russia), Tim Cahill (Australia) Manchester team. With my favourite colour being blue, I chose Man City. Cheers, • 140% rise in sales of TV’s at John Lewis • 30m extra pints of beer drank up until the Semi Finals My first ever football match was at Maine Road against Lee Huddersfield on Easter Monday in April 1984.

City lost 3-2 and that was my allegiance to City over. I tore up my City poster and became a Red from that day on - given recent results, I might switch back! • 35% increase in waistcoat sales at M&S As well as a United fan, I follow PSG, Barcelona and • 19.64 million watched England play Sweden Benfica. Massive England fan too and was lucky • £1.2M - Cost to kill the stray dogs in the host cities before enough to go out to Germany in 2006 for the World Cup - the World Cup absolutely brilliant. • 12 new stadiums built in Russia I try and follow as many games as I can and for my • 1800 miles between the most westerly venue - Kaliningrad and the most easterly - Ekaterinburg • £1.12 billion - Rumoured cost to build the Krestovsky Stadium in St Petersburg. • The most expensive football stadium in the world! Visit www.freefootytips.co.uk for all the tips you need for the footy

*Whilst our tips are fully researched and provided in good faith, no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. BEEP - BOOP! WE CRUNCH THE NUMBERS SO YOU DON’T HAVE TO...

*Full disclosure: We don’t have a sentient robot who can predict the future!

Okay, so we haven’t got an all-seeing Mystic Meg super computer but what we have got is an amazing hand-crafted algorithm created especially for picking winners which monitors thousands of factors and rates every horse in every race across the UK including the big races like St Leger.

This information puts you ahead of the competition and even the bookies, it helps you identify horses’ form and potential on-the-day.

How To Get Involved If you’d like to unlock access to EVERY single racecard for the St Leger Festival I have some good news… You can do so for just £5! Not only will you get the St Leger racecards though... You’ll also get every racecard for all UK & Irish racing for the next 30 days. AND, access to the private members group where you can check out the many systems and strategies Form Ratings members use day in, day out.

Racecards for EVERY race at The St Leger Festival for just £5!

If you’re a bit of a statto and like to take a more systematic approach to your betting, it’s well worth a look. For details simply visit www.formratings.co.uk/st-leger-festival