Monitoring and Evaluation - IF K Great Stoke
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Monitoring and Evaluation - IF K Great Stoke A sum of £30k has been included in the scheme costs to funs the evaluation activity once the construction project has closed. The post-project evaluation activity is the responsibility of the Project Sponsor, and is expected to be reported to the funding authority, WECA, at prescribed intervals. The monitoring and evaluation plan is set out in the following section. 1. Scheme background and context This highway improvement scheme has been proposed to increase capacity at the Great Stoke roundabout and alleviate the traffic flow issues with the junction and subsequent local highway network. The proposal looks to include enhanced pedestrian and cyclist crossing facilities, resulting in a reduction in congestion within the area. It will also contribute to relieving the current constraints to the comprehensive sustainability transport package for the Filton Enterprise Area and Cribbs/Pathway New Neighbourhood (CPNN). Doing so will enable housing and job development plans in the adjoined areas, promote connectivity between these locations and key trip attractors and expand the economic hub that is the North Fringe of Bristol. Milestone completion dates Baseline month/year Actual completion Outline business case Approval January 2019 January 2019 Submission of full business case July 2019 July 2019 Full Business Case Approval October 2019 Programme Start Q3 2019/20 Programme Scheme Completion Q3 2020/21 Handover, Closure & Final Q2 2021/22 Accounts Summarise based on material already in Strategic Case 2. Logic Model Logic Model Context and Rationale Economic growth and housing delivery within the West of England is partly being inhibited by a lack of improvements to transport infrastructure. Cribbs / Patchway New Neighbourhood (CPNN) has been identified within South Gloucestershire Council’s Core Strategy as being a significant development site, contributing an approximate 7,500 dwellings to the regions housing targets. Further, Filton Enterprise Area (FEA) has been highlighted within the West of England’s Spatial Plan as being a fundamental employment generating site. The ‘Unlocking Our Potential: The Economic Benefits of transport Investment in the West of England’ study undertaken found that without significant improvements to transport infrastructure only a small proportion of the economic impacts forecasted at FEA could materialise. Great Stoke Roundabout is a critical junction linking both residential and employment areas with each other, as well as to both strategic and local road networks. The Roundabout currently experiences delays to traffic with forecasts illustrating this to worsen as local developments materialise. Improvements to this roundabout are part of a wider range of complementary transport measures that will support growth at FEA/CPNN. These improvements cannot be funded solely through the private sector, public sector investment is required as well. This is because the scheme will benefit individuals using all modes of travel that are seeking to access the local region, rather than just connecting individuals to a particular development site. Thus, public funding is being sought. Objectives Resources/ Input Activities Outputs Direct & Indirect Outcomes Impact The aims/ objectives of the scheme are: In order to achieve the set of activities to In order to address the aims and objectives We expect that, once accomplished these We expect that if accomplished these We expect that if accomplished these (Ensure that all aims/objectives are fulfil these aims/ objectives we need the we will accomplish the following activities: activities will produce the following outputs will lead to the following change activities will lead to the following changes SMART) following: (What will the money be used for? e.g. deliverables: e.g. new products or services, skills, in service, organisation or community: (Resources should not be limited to money construction, project management, (Provide measurable outputs e.g. length of behaviour, new business/contracts, etc: (quantitative economic impacts e.g. e.g. grant, match funding, in-kind, project equipment/fit out, etc): new road/cycle path, m2 of space (Ensure that all outcomes are SMART and indirect jobs and/or GVA to be cross- team, specialist support, etc. The inputs constructed/refurbished, number of relevant to the aims/objectives to allow for referenced with FBC as appropriate) define the scope of the project being businesses supported, learners engaged, attribution; distinguish between direct and considered in the logic model ) etc) indirect outcomes) In comparison with ‘do nothing’ and • Feasibility Support (and M&E Plan) - • Design • Improved cycle / pedestrian facilities • Reduced emissions • Highway journey time savings of taking account of future growth: • Construction Costs including inflation – • Utilities through the introduction of 4 Toucan • Reduced conflict between cyclists and £9.9m (over 60 years) • Consultant support - • Construction including inflation – crossings motorised users within the • Increase in active mode, through • Reduce the congestion expected at a • Scheme funding • Project Management • Increase from two to three lanes on roundabout increased pedestrian and cyclists key junction in the local highway • Project team (e.g. design and • Environmental mitigation the circulatory and all approaches • Reduced MetroBus delays in the • Land Value Uplift estimated at £6.2m network by increasing capacity engineering) • M&E through widening and amendments to vicinity of the roundabout by 5 seconds for housing and £0.56m for • Improve transport network resilience • Stakeholder and public support road markings. (southbound) and 58 seconds employment land and journey time reliability • Provision of lane markings within the (northbound) by 2036, within the • Gross Value Added estimated at • Increase accessibility and circulatory to guide traffic flows; vicinity of the roundabout compared to £9.6m (2015 prices) attractiveness of sustainable travel • Provision of a maintenance lay-by near a do nothing approach. • Support MetroBus routes by choices though enhancing crossing the Toucan crossing on both arms of • Reduced mean network delay of improving reliability facilities Winterbourne road; and around 30 seconds, and reduced • Additional indirect job provision • Reduced vehicular emissions • Relocation of cycle access ramp on vehicle delay hours of approximately associated with construction of the Great Stoke Way 100 hours by 2036 (AM peak) and 70 scheme hours (PM Peak) • Improved air quality • 108 gross new dwellings enabled across CPNN/FEA • Gross mixed use 3,059 sq m of commercial floorspace enabled 3. Evaluation design and methodologies Evaluation Questions The evaluation undertaken will be a combination of process evaluation and an outcome based evaluation. The process evaluation will focus on the delivery of the project as well as elements of the project management. The process evaluation will seek to address the following key questions: 1. Was the project delivered on the budget allocated? 2. Was the construction of the roundabout on time, as per the details in the schedule? 3. What are the lessons learnt surrounding programme delivery, taking into account feedback from key stakeholders? The remaining questions will relate to the outcomes of the project. The questions designed are as follows: 1. Were the proposed outputs delivered? 2. To what level did the estimated impacts materialise? 3. Can the impacts generated be attributable to Great Stoke Roundabout improvement? Audience The monitoring and evaluation plan generated for the Great Stoke Roundabout scheme will be of interest to the following: • West of England Local Enterprise Partnership Board – baseline report, Year 1 and Year 3 evaluation reports • Stakeholders within South Gloucestershire Council – baseline report, summary of the Year 1 and 3 reports • Wider public sector bodies – baseline report, summary of the year 1 and 3 reports • Stakeholders at CPNN/FEA – baseline report, summary of the year 1 and 3 reports 4. Data requirements 4.1 For schemes fully or part-funded via the Local Growth Fund only N/A 4.2 Data collection methods Construction and Project Management Information around the budget and time frame taken to complete the construction activities will be obtained from the relevant departments within South Gloucestershire Council, primarily from supplier invoices, PM input and yearly grant claims. This data will be collected throughout the construction stage, until the completion of the scheme. Benefit realisation will be monitored at year 3 after the scheme opening. Transport Economic Impacts To assess the transport economic impacts in Year 3, it is proposed that the impact of the roundabout improvements on journeys times is monitored. This will be done using TomTom travel time data and mobile phone GPS data. Doc v22 Last updated Aug 2017 To assess the reliability of the MetroBus service, it is proposed that Real Time Information is obtained from MetroBus operator. Analysis of this data will be used to determine whether the scheme aided with a reduction in time savings for the MetroBus compared with the likely journey times in future if the scheme was not undertaken. Automatic Traffic Count or Manual Classified Counts and queue length surveys, combined with the journey time data these surveys will provide an indication of changes in congestion, network resilience and reliability. These will also be conducted in Year 3 to update the traffic