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Final NH Election Poll In-Depth Analysis

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Final NH Election Poll In-Depth Analysis Presidential Election Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH F by Gender Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 o. Select Candidates to Display Presidential Election by Gender Multiple values Filter by Demographics Hillary Clinton, Female Donald Trump, Female Gary Johnson, Female Select Demographic Field Hillary Clinton, Male Donald Trump, Male Gary Johnson, Male Sex Select Demographic 60% All 59% Filter by Engagement 54% and Interest 50% Decided on Presidential Vote All 42% 40% 43% Frequency discussing election 38% 37% All 34% 34% Interest in 2016 general 30% All Vote in NH Primary All 20% Filter by Support for Other Candidates 10% 9% 10% Ayotte vs. Hassan w/leaners All 4% 0% 2% Sununu vs. Van Ostern w/leaners Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 All Clinton continues to hold a large advantage among women, leading Trump by 25%. Trump's lead among men grew significantly in the middle of the polling Guinta vs. Shea-Porter vs. period, but returned to only 5% by its conclusion. Gary Johnson draws most of his support from men, garnering 10% of the male vote but only 2% of O'Connor w/leaners females. All Lawrence vs. Kuster w/leaners All Presidential Election Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH F by Gender Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 o. Select Candidates to Display Clinton Support by Primary Vote Hillary Clinton Filter by Demographics Bernie Sanders John Kasich Select Demographic Field Donald Trump Marco Rubio All Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Select Demographic 100% 99% 99% All Filter by Engagement and Interest 80% Decided on Presidential Vote 76% All 69% Frequency discussing election All 60% 61% Interest in 2016 general All 40% Vote in NH Primary Multiple values 29% 28% Filter by Support for Other Candidates 20% Ayotte vs. Hassan w/leaners All 8% 4% 7% 0% 2% 5% Guinta vs. Shea-Porter vs. O'Connor w/leaners Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 All Hillary Clinton earns the votes of nearly all of those who supported her in the New Hampshire presidential primary in February 2016 and more than Lawrence vs. Kuster w/leaners three-quarters of those who voted for Bernie Sanders, an increase of 7% from the beginning of the polling period. Clinton's support among those who voted All for John Kasich, who finished second in the Republican primary, has more than doubled since the beginning of the polling period. Sununu vs. Van Ostern w/leaners All Presidential Election Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH F by Gender Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 o. Select Candidates to Display Trump Support by Primary Vote Donald Trump Filter by Demographics Bernie Sanders John Kasich Select Demographic Field Donald Trump Marco Rubio All Hillary Clinton Ted Cruz Select Demographic All 100% 95% Filter by Engagement 90% and Interest 84% Decided on Presidential Vote 80% 78% All Frequency discussing election 70% All 60% 57% Interest in 2016 general All 40% Vote in NH Primary Multiple values 30% Filter by Support for Other Candidates 20% 22% Ayotte vs. Hassan w/leaners 11% 10% All 1% 1% 0% Guinta vs. Shea-Porter vs. Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 O'Connor w/leaners All Donald Trump has the support of virtually all of those who voted for him in the Republican presidential primary and large percentages of those who supported many of his former rivals. However, Trump's support among Marco Rubio supporters has declined and is now below 60%, and fewer than a Lawrence vs. Kuster w/leaners quarter of John Kasich supporters plan to vote for Trump. Ten percent of those who voted for Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary now plan to vote for All Trump in the general election. Sununu vs. Van Ostern w/leaners All Presidential Election Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH F by Gender Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 o. Select Values to Display Filter by Demographics Presidential Non-College Educated Select Type Dont Know, Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein with Leaners Age Races All Gary Johnson, Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein with Leaners Hillary Clinton, Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein with Leaners Questions Congressional District Donald Trump, Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson vs. Stein with Leaners Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johns.. All 60% Select Values to Display County Multiple values 55% All 50% Filter by Other Questions Education All 44% Decided on Pres. Vote 40% 40% All Marital status All Decided on Senate Vote All Marital Status/Sex 30% 28% All Decided on Governor All Sex 20% All Filter by Support for Othe.. Education/Sex 10% 8% Multiple values Vote in NH Primary 7% 7% All 6% Region of State 0% All Vote for President Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 All Party ID Donald Trump at the outset of the polling period held a large lead among New Hampshire likely voters without a college degree, All Vote for US Senate but the gap has closed considerably to only 4%, while Clinton's larger lead those with a college degree has remained steady. All Registration All Vote for Governor All Party Base All P Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH Four Major Races, NH r. Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 CD2 . Select Candidates to Display Presidential Race by Senate Vote Multiple values Filter by Demographics Maggie Hassan, Hillary Clinton Kelly Ayotte, Hillary Clinton Select Demographic Field Maggie Hassan, Donald Trump Kelly Ayotte, Donald Trump Age 90% Select Demographic 87% 86% All 80% 77% Filter by Engagement 76% and Interest 70% Decided on Presidential Vote All 60% Frequency discussing election All 50% Interest in 2016 general All 40% Vote in NH Primary 30% All Filter by Support for 20% Other Candidates Ayotte vs. Hassan w/leaners 10% 10% Multiple values 7% 6% 4% 0% Sununu vs. Van Ostern w/leaners Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 All Hillary Clinton has secured a greater amount of those who plan to vote for Democrat Maggie Hassan for Senate than Donald Trump garners among those Guinta vs. Shea-Porter vs. who plan to vote for Republican Kelly Ayotte. 10% of those who support Ayotte for Senate support Clinton for President, while only 4% of those who O'Connor w/leaners support Hassan for Senate support Trump for President. All Lawrence vs. Kuster w/leaners All P Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH Four Major Races, NH r. Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 CD2 . Select Candidates to Display Presidential Race by Congressional District Multiple values Filter by Demographics Hillary Clinton, First Cong. District Donald Trump, First Cong. District Gary Johnson, First Cong. District Select Demographic Field Hillary Clinton, Second Cong. District Donald Trump, Second Cong. District Gary Johnson, Second Cong. District Congressional District 52% Select Demographic 50% All 47% 46% Filter by Engagement 44% and Interest 41% 42% 40% Decided on Presidential Vote All 35% 35% Frequency discussing election All 30% Interest in 2016 general All 20% Vote in NH Primary All Filter by Support for Other Candidates 10% 7% 6% Ayotte vs. Hassan w/leaners 6% All 6% 0% Sununu vs. Van Ostern w/leaners Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 All Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in the race for President by a substantial margin in New Hampshire's 2nd Congressional District and holds a narrow lead Guinta vs. Shea-Porter vs. in the 1st District. O'Connor w/leaners All Lawrence vs. Kuster w/leaners All P Clinton Support by Trump Support by Presidential Presidential Race by Presidential Race by Four Major Races, NH Four Major Races, NH r. Primary Vote Primary Vote Non-College Educated Senate Vote Congressional District CD1 CD2 . Select Values to Display Filter by Demographics Four Major Races, NH CD1 Races Age Gary Johnson Carol Shea-Porter Donald Trump Kelly Ayotte Multiple values All Shawn O'Connor Colin Van Ostern Maggie Hassan Select Group Frank Guinta Chris Sununu Hillary Clinton Congressional District All First Cong. District 50% 49% Select Candidates to Display 48% County 47% Multiple values All 44% 46% 43% 45% 42% 42% Education 40% 41% 42% Filter by Other Questions 40% 40% All 37% Decided on Pres. Vote All Marital status 33% 33% All 30% Decided on Senate Vote Marital Status/Sex All All 20% Decided on Governor Sex All 16% All 15% Filter by Support for Education/Sex 10% Other Candidates 7% All 6% Vote in NH Primary Region of State 0% All All Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Nov 4 Nov 5 Nov 6 Nov 7 Vote for President Party ID In New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District, support is nearly evenly split for Republicans and Democrats.
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