Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39
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Field Crops Research
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Estimation of effective fallow availability for the prediction of yam productivity
at the regional scale using model-based multiple scenario analysis
a,∗ a,1 b,2 c,3
Amit Kumar Srivastava , Thomas Gaiser , Denis Cornet , Frank Ewert
a
University of Bonn, Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation, D-53115, Bonn, Germany
b
INRA Gouadeloupe, 97170 Petit Bourg, Guadeloupe
c
University of Bonn, Institute of Crop Science, Katzenburgweg 5, 53115 Bonn, Germany
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: Soil fertility restoration and crop performance in many developing countries with low input agriculture
Received 12 September 2011
strongly relies on fallow duration and management. More precise information about the availability of
Received in revised form 17 January 2012
fallow land may provide a way to improve the simulation of yam (Dioscorea spp.) yields at the regional
Accepted 17 January 2012
scale which has hardly been considered in prevailing approaches to model regional crop production. The
probable reason behind this is scarce availability of data on fallow duration and variation across the farms
Keywords:
in a region. Therefore, this study attempts to estimate effective fallow availability for yam production
Fallow availability
at the regional scale and to simulate the effect of fallow on regional yam yield. Yam growth and yield
Yam
were simulated with the EPIC model which was incorporated into a Spatial Decision Support System
Crop growth model
Up-scaling (SDSS) covering a typical catchment with variable land use intensity within the sub-humid savannah
West Africa zone of West Africa. Yam-fallow rotations were simulated within 1120 quasi-homogenous spatial units
(LUSAC = Land Use-Soil Association-Climate units) and aggregated to the 121 sub-basins and ten districts
within the catchment under three different scenarios of fallow availability: (S1) Total savannah area was
available as fallow land, (S2) 50% of the bush savannah was available as fallow land and (S3) 25% of the
bush savannah was available as fallow land. The aggregation procedure adopted in this study was based on
changes in the frequency of fallow-cropland classes within the sub-basins to render the SDSS sensitive
to changes in fallow availability. Comparison of the average simulated tuber yield with the observed
mean yield over the entire catchment showed that the simulations slightly overestimated the yields by
0.4% for scenario S1, whereas, underestimated by 14.2% and 36.8% in scenario S2 and S3 respectively.
When compared with the effective fallow availability to maize, it was concluded that, (1) due to farmers
preferences to plant yam mainly on virgin savanna land and as the first crop in the rotation after fallow,
the effectively available fallow area for yam is higher than for maize and (2) the applied approach is
suitable to derive effective fallow availability for yam production at the district scale.
© 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction twenty years mostly for the supply of urban markets (Scott et al.,
2000). Yam cultivation techniques use very few chemical inputs,
After cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz.) and sweet potato (Ipo- the labor is essentially manual and the cultivated varieties are
moea batatas L. Lam.), yam (Dioscorea spp.) is the third most mainly landraces (Scott et al., 2000). In most production systems,
important tropical root crop in West Africa, Central America, the yam is grown almost without external inputs following long term
Caribbean, Pacific Islands and Southeast Asia (Onyeka et al., 2006). fallow (Degras, 1993). This means that yam production depends
During the past 30 years, yam production increased threefold with on the availability of fallow land and expansion of yam production
an annual growth rate of 3.8%. A rate of 3% is expected for the next requires that more and more savanna land is cleared for cultiva-
tion. Slash and burn techniques remain the common practice for
land clearing but are used less extensively due to rapid popula-
tion growth, high pressure of cattle and changes in land tenure.
∗
Corresponding author. Tel.: +39 0332 783889; fax: +39 0332 783033. In the transitional forest-savannah agro-ecological zones of West
E-mail addresses: amit [email protected], [email protected]
Africa, fallow periods have decreased from 20 to 30 years in tra-
(A.K. Srivastava).
1 ditional farming to less than 5 years (Ouédraogo, 2004; Aihou,
Tel.: +49 228 732050; fax: +49 228 732870.
2 2003). Therefore, yam yields are reported to decline sharply when
Tel.: +33 590255975; fax: +590 590941663.
3
Tel.: +49 228 732871; fax: +49 228 732870. grown after short fallow of about 1–3 years duration (Watson
0378-4290/$ – see front matter © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.fcr.2012.01.012
A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39 33
Table 1
and Goldsworthy, 1964). Hence, fallow availability and its dura-
Comparison of observed and simulated mean tuber yield of yam, mean residual
tion is the main driver for yam production in West Africa (Zannou
error (ME), and mean absolute error (MR) after model calibration at the field scale
et al., 2004; Sullivan, 2010). Fallow duration and the ratio between
(Srivastava and Gaiser, 2010).
cropping and fallow period strongly influence soil properties, crop
−1 −1
Treatment Simulated (Mg ha ) Observed (Mg ha ) ME MR (%)
yields and cropping sustainability (Szott et al., 1999; Samake et al.,
−
2005; Diekmann et al., 2007). At the farm or regional scale, the Control 2.44 2.59 0.15 5.7
Fertilized 3.72 4.12 0.40 −9.7
relationship between fallow and cropland is reflected by the fallow-
Optimum 3.94 4.12 0.18 −4.3 cropland-ratio (Ruthenberg, 1980).
fertilization
Many regional assessments of crop production have been car-
ried out in developed countries or with crops which are usually
grown at moderate to high input intensities where the effect of fal- 2.2. Crop growth model
low on yield performance is negligible (Thomson et al., 2005, 2006;
Liu et al., 2007; Hartkamp et al., 2004; Soler et al., 2007; Challinor A single plant growth model is used in EPIC to simulate biomass
and Wheeler, 2008; Gaiser et al., 2008). Only few attempts have accumulation and crop yield of about 130 crops, each with a unique
been made to incorporate fallow effects into crop modeling at the set of growth parameters (e.g., radiation use efficiency, RUE; poten-
catchment or regional scale (Van Noordwijk, 2002). However, in tial harvest index, HI; optimal and minimum temperatures for
order to estimate the effect of fallowing at larger spatial scales, growth; maximum leaf area index, LAI; and stomatal resistance).
there is a need of new methods to quantify the ratio between the EPIC is capable of simulating growth for both annual and peren-
cropland area in a given geographic region and the fallow land area nial crops. Annual crops grow from planting date to harvest date or
which is available for the farmers to be integrated into their fallow- until the accumulated heat units during the simulation equal the
crop rotation (Gaiser et al., 2010b). Quantification of the cropland potential heat units for the crop (Williams, 1995). EPIC estimates
area in a given region is relatively easy when agricultural statis- crop yields by multiplying aboveground biomass at maturity by
tics are available. In addition, statistical information about cropland a harvest index. For non-stressed conditions, the harvest index is
area can also be cross-checked with the results of well established affected only by the heat unit index. The final HI is estimated based
land use classification approaches from remote sensing data. The on the potential HI, minimum harvest index, and water use ratio.
extent of un-cropped land which is potentially available as fallow The model estimates potential biomass based on the interception
land can be derived in the same way from remote sensing informa- of solar radiation and the RUE that is affected by vapor pressure
tion. However, the effective availability and usage of fallow land deficit and by atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. Water,
by the farmer within the fallow-crop rotation is much lower than nutrient, temperature, aeration, and radiation stresses restrict daily
the potential or apparent fallow area due to several factors like accumulation of biomass, root growth, and yield (Williams, 1995).
accessibility to the land (which is related to infrastructure facil- Stress factors are calculated daily and range from 0.0 to 1.0. For
ities), distance of the fallow land from the homesteads and land plant biomass, the stress used on a given day is the minimum of
rights (Brown, 2006). Given the importance of available fallow land the water, nutrient, temperature, and aeration stresses. For root
for yam production in low-input fallow systems in Benin Repub- growth, it is the minimum of the calculated soil strength, tempera-
lic, methods for estimating the effective fallow availability at the ture, and aluminum toxicity stresses. In addition, yield reductions
regional scale need to be improved. Therefore, the objective of this of grain crops are calculated through water stress-induced reduc-
paper is to estimate effective fallow availability for yam production tions of the HI. With the EPIC crop model, sensitivity of yam yield
at the regional scale by exploring different fallow scenarios and to to fallow duration relies mainly on mineral nutrition and organic
compare the results with the effective fallow availability for maize matter management.
as the dominant food crop. A prerequisite to use a field scale model at the regional scale
lies in the evaluation of the model performance at different areas
in the target region. The EPIC model version 3060 was earlier
2. Material and methods
calibrated for yam growth and yield at field scale in the Upper
Oueme catchment of Benin Republic (Srivastava and Gaiser, 2010).
The procedure to estimate the effective fallow availability is
This calibration referred to fertilized and unfertilized field trials
illustrated in Fig. 1. Spatial information about the location of climate
during 2005–2006. In 2005 and 2006, the mean simulated yields
stations, soils, cropland and potential fallow land are combined
agreed well with the observed means resulting in model errors
with assumptions regarding fallow availability into spatial simula-
ranging from 5.7 to 9.7% (Table 1). The model has been applied
tion units (LUSAC). The outcome of the scenario simulations at the
for yam (Srivastava and Gaiser, 2010), cassava, millets, sorghum
LUSAC level is aggregated to the district level and then compared to
(Adejuwon, 2004) and maize with reasonable accuracy except for
the observed yam yields in order to estimate effective fallow avail-
sites with highly acid soils (Gaiser et al., 2010a). In the present
ability for yam production in each district. The components and the
study, EPIC version 3060 has been used at the regional scale within
procedure are explained in this section.
the same catchment where calibration has been carried out (see
Section 2.3).
2.1. Model description
2.3. Study area and simulation units
The EPIC model consists of nine integrated sub-models: hydrol-
ogy, weather, erosion, carbon and nutrient cycling (N, P, and K), 2
The Upper Oueme catchment covers an area of 14,500 km
plant growth, soil temperature, tillage, economics, and plant envi-
within the Republic of Bénin. The climate is tropical sub-humid
◦
ronment control (Williams, 1995). In its current form, EPIC is well
with mean annual temperature of 26.8 C and mean annual precip-
suited for assessing the effects of soil erosion on crop productiv-
itation of 1150 mm (Mulindabigwi et al., 2008). According to the
ity, predicting the effects of management decisions on soil, water,
FAO soil classification (FAO, 2006), the predominant soils are Luvi-
nutrient, and pesticide movements, and tracing the allocation and
sols with variable depth and coarse fragment content. Soils with
turnover of C and N in soil. The model operates on a daily time step
plinthic layers occur frequently (Giertz and Hiepe, 2008). Soil tex-
and is capable of long-term simulations of up to 4000 years with
ture in most of the cases is sandy in the top layers and loamy to
soil profiles having up to 10 layers.
clayey in the subsoil. Soil pH is neutral to slightly acid.
34 A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39
Fig. 1. Flow chart illustrating the procedure to estimate effective fallow availability for yam production.
6000
official statistics 34 33 5000 own observations ) -1 109 4000
3000 89
2000 Yam dry matter (kg ha 1000
0 2001 2003 2003 2002/03
Tchaourou Sinende Glazoue Tchaourou
Fig. 2. Comparison of yield data provided by the official statistics with own observations from farm surveys and field experiments (number above bars is the number of own
observations).
All data which was necessary to delineate the spatial simula- and combining them with different fallow-crop rotations (Table 2).
tion units (Fig. 2) were gathered in the database of the spatial The fallow-crop rotations were distributed randomly on the crop-
decision support system SDSS PEDRO (Protection du sol Et Dura- land identified from satellite images by Judex (2008) depending
bilité des Ressources agricoles dans le bassin versant de l’Ouémé; on scenario assumptions. The resulting LUSAC units (LUSAC = Land
Enders et al., 2010), which combines the agro-ecosystem model Use-Soil Association-Climate units) had variable surface area and
EPIC with the hydrological model SWAT (Arnold et al., 1998). represented spatial units with similar climate conditions, soil char-
PEDRO provided representative soil profile data for the dominant acteristics and fallow-crop rotations. Thus, each sub-basin was
soil type of each of the 38 mapping units of the soil association finally composed of up to 15 LUSAC units of variable size which
map. Topographical information including average slope inclina- constituted the spatial simulation units.
tion and length were extracted from the DEM (Digital Elevation
Model) provided by the global SRTM (Satellite Radar Topographic
2.4. Simulation of tuber yield at LUSAC scale and up-scaling
Mission) (USGS, 2005). Based on the topographical information, method
the catchment was subdivided into 121 sub-basins. Then, a total
of 1120 simulation units were identified by overlaying information
The simulation of tuber yield and up-scaling of the simulation
of the location of the climate stations with the soil distribution map
results to obtain regional estimations of mean tuber yield for each
Table 2
Definition of regional fallow–crop classes according to their average fallow–cropland ratio.
Fallow–cropland class Cropland area (%) Fallow–cropland ratio Crop cycles without fallow Fallow–crop cycles
Area (%) Cropland (%) Area (%) Cropland (%)
1 17 4.9 0 100 100 17
2 25 3.0 10 100 90 17
3 38 1.6 25 100 75 17
450 1.0 40 100 60 17
5 67 0.5 60 100 40 17
683 0.2 80 100 20 17
7 100 0.0 100 100 0 17
A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39 35
Table 3
Proportion of land use classes and resulting fallow–cropland ratio within the Upper
Oueme catchment.
All sub-basins Sub-basins with cropland
2 2
Km % of total area Km % of total area
Cropland 1745 12.1 1745 19.8
Bush savanna 8403 58.2 5324 60.4
Tree savanna 4284 29.7 1752 19.9
Total 14432 100.0 8821 100.0
Average fallow–cropland 7.3 4.1
ratio
sub-basin was done according to the procedure described by Gaiser
et al. (2008). The procedure consists in the following steps (Fig. 2).
a. Preparation of EPIC input database file for each LUSAC unit.
Fig. 3. Workflow for the up-scaling of EPIC simulation results to the sub-basin and
b. Running the simulations for each LUSAC unit.
district level.
c. Extracting the output files and transfer it to the database.
d. Aggregation of the results at district level.
Each sub-basin was linked to the nearest climate station. A
In the next step, each of the 64 sub-basins were classified accord-
total of 14 rain gauging stations were available with daily rainfall
ing to their average fallow-cropland ratio in the three scenarios.
measurements from 1960 to 2005. Daily minimum and maxi-
Seven fallow-cropland classes were defined with average percent-
mum temperature for these 14 stations were generated by the
age of cropland between 17% (Fallow-cropland class 1) to 100%
REMO model which has been previously calibrated for the period
(Fallow-cropland class 7). In fallow-cropland class 1 the average
1960–2000 (Paeth and Thamm, 2007). For the calculation of the
fallow-cropland ratio is 4.9 (Table 2) which means that 4.9 ha of fal-
potential ET the approach given by Hargreaves and Samani (1985)
low are available against 1 ha of cropland, whereas in fallow-crop
was used. Cropping systems in the Upper Oueme catchment are
class 7 no fallow land is available and all land is used for cropping.
characterized by low-input agriculture. In case of yam no fertilizer
Thus, from class 1 to 7 the fallow-cropland ratio and hence fallow
is applied and soil fertility restoration depends exclusively on the
availability are decreasing. Each sub-basin was categorized into one
duration of the fallow period. Hence, the availability of fallow area,
of these seven classes.
which is reflecting the duration of the fallow period is crucial for
Crop management was defined in the simulations according
crop production.
to the prevailing, traditional field activities for long cycle vari-
eties of white yam (Dioscorea alata), which are dominant in the
2.5. Availability of fallow area and fallow distribution procedure
study region. The start and end of the growing season was set to
February and December, respectively. Plant density was set at 0.88
In order to assess the effective fallow availability per district, the −2 ◦
plants m . Potential heat units (PHU) were estimated as 1945 C
approach proposed by Gaiser et al. (2010b) was applied. In the first
using the average of 2-year growing degree days (GDD) accumu-
step, the total cropland in the year 2000 as well as the non-cropped
lation during the normal growing season for D. alata (Srivastava
area excluding settlements were estimated for each of the 121
and Gaiser, 2010). Switch grass (Panicum virgatum) was used as
sub-basins from satellite images (Judex, 2008). The cropland had
the fallow crop in the simulations. The start and end period of the
2
a proportion of 1745 km or 12.1% (Table 3). The non-cropped area
growing season of switch grass was set to March and February,
was classified into “Bush savannah” and “Tree savannah (including
respectively. Replanting was done every year to mimic the process
forest)” with a total proportion of 58.2% and 29.7%, respectively. −2
of re-growth after the dry season. Plant density was 10.0 plants m
The major part of the land use class “Tree savannah” belongs to ◦
with PHU of 5000 C. No mineral fertilizer was applied in the
protected forest areas, where cropping is prohibited. Therefore, in simulations.
a second step, the sub-basins which are located entirely or with a
major proportion within these protected areas were excluded from
the study, as well as sub-basins where the proportion of cropland
2.6. Data aggregation and statistical analysis
was lower than 5%. Then, for the remaining 64 sub-basins, different
scenarios of fallow availability were defined:
For the regional analysis, yield data were available at the dis-
trict (French: commune) level in Benin (INRAB, 2005). Data series
Scenario 1: Total savannah area is available as fallow land. from 1999 to 2004 were available from the National Agricultural
Scenario 2: 50% of the bush savannah is available as fallow. Research Organisation (INRAB). The yield information at the district
Scenario 3: 25% of the bush savannah is available as fallow. level provided by INRAB statistics is an average yield from randomly
2
selected farmer fields, where crops are harvested from 400 m
In the remaining sub-basins the percentage of cropland was on plots. Fig. 3 shows that the statistical information fits quite well our
average 19.8% (Table 3), which corresponds to a fallow-crop ratio own observations from three selected districts. The observations in
of 4:1 or a fallow-crop-cycle with 1 years cropping and 4 years of the district of Tchaourou were from predominantly degraded sites
fallow. However, in some sub-basins the proportion of cropland and were therefore slightly lower than those provided by INRAB. As
was lower or higher. Therefore, for the simulations at the LUSAC observations were only available for the period 1999–2004, simula-
level, fallow-crop cycles with 1 year of cropping and 5 years of tion of tuber yield of yam was carried out within each LUSAC for the
fallowing and a crop rotation without fallow were also defined. same period. Then, tuber yields were aggregated from the LUSAC
Simulation duration was 17 years from 1988 to 2004. level to both the sub-basin and commune level taking into account
36 A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39
the area share of the LUSACs within these larger spatial units in
order to obtain the average tuber yield Ys as N
Ys = Yi × Areai
i
with Ys is the average tuber yield per sub-basin/district in
−1 −1 −1 −1
t ha a ; Yi is the tuber yield in LUSAC unit i in t ha a .
Areai is the decimal area percentage of LUSAC unit i in the
respective sub-basin/district. As a measure of precision to compare
statistical data and simulated values the following parameters were
used:
a. The mean residual error ME as
n
ME = 1
(y − x ) n i i
i=1
b. The mean absolute error MR as
n y 1 i − xi
MR = n xi
i=1
c. Root Mean Square Error RMSE as n 0.5
1 2 100
RMSE = (yi − xi) n x¯
i=1
Where n is the sample number, x is the observed and y is the sim-
ulated value. A value of 0 of mean residual error (ME) indicates no
systematic bias between simulated and measured values. The mean
relative error (MR) gives an indication of the mean magnitude of the
error in relation to the observed value. Small values indicate little
difference between simulated and measured values.
The minimum value of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) which
is 0 indicates that simulated and measured values are identical.
Regression analysis was performed with the MS EXCEL software
program.
3. Results and discussion
3.1. Distribution of fallow classes and model validation
The frequency distribution of fallow-cropland classes obtained
by the fallow distribution procedure is sensitive to the scenarios
of fallow availability. In Scenario 1, where all non-cropped land is
available for fallowing, 38 out of 64 sub-basins belong to the fallow-
cropland class 2 with an average fallow-cropland ratio of 3.0, which
means that 3 ha of fallow are available for one hectare of cropland
(Fig. 4). On the other hand, in scenario 3, where it is assumed that
only 25% of the bush savannah is available as fallow land, none of
the sub-basins falls into this class, but 50% of the sub-basins fall
into class 4 with a fallow-cropland ratio of 1.0.
In the period 1999–2004, the mean annual tuber yield observed
−1
in the 10 districts of the Upper Oueme catchment was 4.51 Mg ha
according to the reports of the agricultural statistics (Table 4).
Fig. 4. Spatial distribution of fallow-cropland classes in the Upper Oueme catchment
Fig. 5 shows that the correlation between the observed and as affected by three different scenarios of fallow availability (left: 100% availability
of fallow land; right: 25% availability of fallow land; down: 50% availability of fallow
simulated mean yam tuber yields for the 10 districts, with coef-
land). For description of fallow-cropland classes see text and Table 2.
ficients of determination between 0.27 and 0.15 depending on
the assumptions with respect to fallow availability. When the
entire non-cropped area would be considered to be available as
fallow land (Scenario 1), the mean yield over the 10 districts,
−1
i.e. 4.51 Mg ha (INRAB, 2005), is overestimated by 0.44%. Gaiser
A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39 37
Table 4
Mean observed tuber yield, simulated tuber yields and simulated mineralized nitrogen content over 10 districts within the Upper Oueme catchment from 1999 to 2004 for
three scenarios with different fallow availability (ME = mean error, MRE = mean relative error and RMSE = root mean square error).
−1
Scenario Yam area with crop fallow Simulated annual Observed yield Simulated yield ME (Mg ha ) MRE (%) RMSE (%)
−1 −1
ratio >4 or yam area after 4 mineralized (Mg ha ) (Mg ha )
−1
years of fallow. (%) nitrogen (kg ha )
S1: All rangeland as fallow 83.8 191.4 4.51 4.53 +0.02 +0.4 28.3
S2: 50% rangeland as fallow 71.1 164.1 4.51 3.87 −0.64 −14.2 25.6
S3: 25% rangeland as fallow 52.8 118.9 4.51 2.85 −1.66 −36.8 38.0
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 6 6 6 ) )
) y = 0.60x + 1.20 y = 0.54x + 0.47
-1 y = 0.47 + 2.49 -1 -1 2 2 5 R2 = 0.15 5 R = 0.27 5 R = 0.18
4 4 4
3 3 3
2 2 2 Simulated yield (Mg ha Simulated yield (Mg ha Simlulated yield (Mg ha 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 -1 Observed tuber yield (Mg ha ) Observed tuber yield (Mg ha-1) Observed tuber yield (Mg ha-1)
−1
Fig. 5. Simulated versus observed average yam tuber yields (in Mg ha ) of 10 districts belonging to the Upper Oueme catchment for three different scenarios with decreasing
fallow availability.
Table 5
Mean observed tuber yield, yield difference, fallow-cropland ratio and proportion of the protected area in the 10 districts of the Upper Oueme catchment.
Mean yield (1999–2004) Yield difference (simulated – Fallow–cropland Proportion of
−1 * −1
(Mg ha ) observed) (Mg ha ) ratio protected area (%)
Pehouco 4.5 1.26 4.7 0.0
Tchaourou 4.7 0.51 3.7 46.2
Kouandé 4.2 0.44 1.6 0.0
N’Dali 4.4 0.05 4.4 19.6
Parakou 3.7 0.03 3.0 0.0
Bembèrèkè 4.0 −0.17 3.8 0.0
Bassila 4.7 −0.22 4.1 6.2
Kopargo 4.9 −0.24 1.6 0.5
Djougou 5.1 −0.28 3.2 8.6
Sinendé 5.3 −0.96 4.6 0.0
*
Scenario 1: 100% fallow availability.
et al. (2010a) reported from a multi-location validation in tropi- fallow based agricultural systems (Fig. 6). When available fallow
cal regions, that maize yield predictions by the EPIC model at the land is reduced to 50 or 25% (which corresponds to mean fal-
field scale are overestimated on highly acid soils. However, this is low durations of less than 4 years) the mean annual yam yield
−1
not the case in Central Benin, where mean soil pH ranges between decreases from 4.53 to 3.87 and 2.85 Mg ha , respectively, over
6.1 and 7.4 in the topsoil and 6.1–7.9 in the subsoil (Junge, 2004; all districts (Table 4). This is in line with the findings of Watson
Igue, 2000). On the other hand, a major factor determining yields and Goldsworthy (1964), who reported that yam yields decline
at the farm and regional scale in West Africa is the availability of sharply when grown after short fallow of about 1–3 years duration.
fallow and to which extent it is included in the crop rotations. With For the scenarios 2 and 3 the mean errors between simulated and
decreasing availability of fallow land, the mean simulated crop
yield at the district level decreases which is explained by the sim-
120
ulated changes in mineralized nitrogen (Table 5). With decreasing
fallow availability in the simulations, there is a decrease in nitrogen
) 100
mineralization (Table 5). Yam is often the first crop grown after fal- -1
low. According to the literature, the integration of yam production 80
with slash-and-burn practices is the consequence of the high soil
fertility requirement of yam (Orkwor et al., 1998). Kabeerathumma 60
Yam- fallow rota on
et al. (1991) showed that total exportation of N, P and K, respec-
No Fallow
40 tively, range between 73 and 205, 21 and 57, and 77 and 260 kg (permanent yam
cropping)
of nutrients per hectare depending on species and varieties. How-
Organic carbon (Mgha 20
ever, little information is available on nutrient requirements of
yam for optimum yield and how to satisfy them. The simulated
0
mean soil organic carbon content over all cropland during the sim- 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Years
ulation period was also sensitive to the inclusion of fallow into
the yam rotation. Permanent yam cropping showed a decline in
Fig. 6. Comparison of soil organic carbon content under permanent yam cropping
soil organic matter which is the prime source of nutrients in the
(i.e., no inclusion of fallow crop) and yam-fallow rotation.
38 A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39
−1 −1 −1 −1 6000
observed yields are −0.64 Mg ha a and −1.66 Mg ha a , with
− y = 57.3x + 4366 mean relative errors of 14.2% and −36.8%, respectively. Therefore,
R2 = 0.02
the best agreement between simulated and observed yields has 5000
been realized under the Scenario 1 (i.e., 100% of the bush savannah )
-1
is available as fallow) which suggests that effective fallow avail-
4000
ability over the entire catchment is 100% and that 83.8% of the land
area, fallowed for at least 4 years, is available for yam cultivation
(Table 4). This is in contrast to the effective fallow availability for 3000
maize, which is below 25% in the Upper Oueme catchment of Cen-
tral Benin corresponding to an effective fallow-cropland ratio of less Yam yield (kg ha
2000
than 1 (Gaiser et al., 2010b). It has been frequently reported that
yam has a high priority in the cropping systems in the cereal-root a
zone of West Africa (Forde, 1937) and elsewhere (Sullivan, 2010). 1000
In the humid savanna, yam is planted in rotation with maize and 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
cassava whereas in the less humid savanna, sorghum and maize are
Fallow-cropland ratio
the main crops in the rotation (Diehl, 1992; Forde, 1937; Richards,
1983). However, in all cases yam is used as the first crop in the rota- 1800
y = 118.81x 2 - 621.77x + 1833.8
tion after fallow. Yam farmers purposely are searching for virgin
R2 = 0.68
savanna land, preferably with sparse trees, where the tree trunk can
1600
serve as stake for the yam vine after clearing and burning. Hence,
yam is the pioneer of deforestation in the humid savanna and yam
)
1400
farmers are moving either temporarily or permanently to explore -1
fertile savanna land. Singer (2005) reports about the tremendous
increase of new village in the district of Tchaourou (Central Benin)
1200
within the last 30 years of the last century and a proportion of exter-
nal labor forces from other districts of more than 25%. A case of a
single farmer family is described which moved from its homestead 1000
Maize yield (kg ha
at least four times within 55 years (1935–1990), “hunting for fertile
land”. Thus, as long as there are reserves of virgin savanna land in
800
a given region, the farmers will move and explore it, regardless of
the average fallow-cropland ratio in this region. This may be the b
reason why, between 1998 and 2004, observed yam yields at dis- 600
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
trict level were independent of the fallow-cropland ratio (Fig. 7).
Comparison with the relationship between fallow-cropland ratio Fallow-cropland ratio FU100
and maize yields for the same 10 districts demonstrates the par-
Fig. 7. Relationship between fallow-cropland ratio in 10 districts of the Upper
ticularity of yam compared to the major food crop maize (Gaiser
Oueme catchment and average observed yam (a) and maize (b) yields in the period
et al., 2010b). In contrast to yam, where the bulk of the production
1998–2004.
is produced by specialized yam farmers and in most cases planted
in the first year after fallow, maize is cropped by the bulk of the
bush savannah is available as fallow), one district (Tchaourou) falls
population at variable rank in the rotation. This explains that maize
under Scenario 2 (i.e., 50% of the bush savannah is available as fal-
yield depends strongly on the fallow–cropland ratio in this region,
low) and one district (Pehounco) falls under Scenario 3 (i.e., 25% of
whereas yam yields are, as long as land reserves are accessible to
the bush savannah is available as fallow). The fact that in this selec-
the yam farmers, still independent of the fallow–cropland ratio.
tion procedure most of the districts fall under Scenario 1 (i.e., 100%
of the bush savannah is available for yam cultivation) confirms that
3.2. Estimation of fallow availability for yam per district
6
As Fig. 5a and Table 5 show, there are two districts (Péhounco 100% fallow availability
and Tchaourou) where the simulated yields overestimate yam pro-
−1 50% fallow availability
ductivity by more than 0.5 Mg ha . In those districts it seems that )
-1 5
fallow availability and hence fallow–cropland ratio has been over- 25 % fallow availabliity
estimated. In Tchaourou overestimation of fallow availability is
most likely due to the fact that this district which has the high-
est proportion of protected forest among the districts within the 4
catchment (46.2%). Thus, the access for the yam farmers is not
only limited by lack of infrastructure, but also by legal restric-
tions. Therefore, if yam yields at Tchaourou are simulated under
3
scenario 2 (50% of fallow availability), simulated yields are closer ha (Mg yield Simulated
−1 y = 0.91 x + 0.19
to the observed yield (−0.36 Mg ha ). In this way, for each dis-
R2 = 0.48
trict and scenario the simulated yam yields were compared with
the observed yield. Assuming that fallow availability is the deter- 2
minant driver for yam yield, we chose the simulated yield values of 2 3 4 5 6
yam closest to the 1:1 line under different scenarios of fallow avail-
Observed tub er yield (Mg ha-1)
ability (Fig. 5) and plotted them in Fig. 8 to identify the actual fallow
availability in each of the districts. Out of 10 districts considered in
Fig. 8. Selection of the fallow scenario for each of the 10 districts where simulated
−1
the present study, 8 districts fall under scenario 1 (i.e., 100% of the values fit best to the yield level (in Mg ha ) reported in the statistics.
A.K. Srivastava et al. / Field Crops Research 131 (2012) 32–39 39
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XULU-Framework. Ph.D. Thesis, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences,
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