Atmos. Meas. Tech., 8, 1469–1489, 2015 www.atmos-meas-tech.net/8/1469/2015/ doi:10.5194/amt-8-1469-2015 © Author(s) 2015. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Investigating bias in the application of curve fitting programs to atmospheric time series P. A. Pickers and A. C. Manning Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, UK Correspondence to: P. A. Pickers (
[email protected]) Received: 31 May 2014 – Published in Atmos. Meas. Tech. Discuss.: 16 July 2014 Revised: 6 November 2014 – Accepted: 6 November 2014 – Published: 23 March 2015 Abstract. The decomposition of an atmospheric time series programs for certain types of data sets, and for certain types into its constituent parts is an essential tool for identifying of analyses and applications. In addition, we recommend that and isolating variations of interest from a data set, and is sensitivity tests are performed in any study using curve fitting widely used to obtain information about sources, sinks and programs, to ensure that results are not unduly influenced by trends in climatically important gases. Such procedures in- the input smoothing parameters chosen. volve fitting appropriate mathematical functions to the data. Our findings also have implications for previous studies However, it has been demonstrated that the application of that have relied on a single curve fitting program to inter- such curve fitting procedures can introduce bias, and thus in- pret atmospheric time series measurements. This is demon- fluence the scientific interpretation of the data sets. We inves- strated by using two other curve fitting programs to replicate tigate the potential for bias associated with the application of work in Piao et al.