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Metro 2040 Performance Monitoring 2011-2016 METRO VANCOUVER’S REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY Terry Hoff SENIOR REGIONAL PLANNER, METRO VANCOUVER

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Metro 2040 Performance Monitoring 2011-2016 METRO VANCOUVER’S REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY Terry Hoff SENIOR REGIONAL PLANNER, METRO VANCOUVER 2016 Census of Agriculture Results Theresa Duynstee REGIONAL PLANNER, PARKS, PLANNING AND ENVIRONMENT Regional Planning Committee September 8, 2017 2016 Census of Agriculture Products 2 Agricultural Land Use Census of Agriculture Inventory Based on the “farm” Based on the “parcel” . farms and farm operators . actively farmed land . land tenure and land management . detailed land use . crop and livestock . residential footprint . financial measures . irrigation Historical data reveals long term trends 2016 update will provide change in land use Source: Farm operator Source: Ortho‐photography and field surveys TOTAL FARM AREA (1996‐2016) includes workable and non‐work land 14,000 12,000 Langley (28%) 10,000 Delta (24%) 8,000 Surrey (18%) HECTARES 6,000 Pitt Meadows (13%) 4,000 Richmond (8%) 2,000 Maple Ridge (6%) 0 Burnaby (.7%) 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 (indicates the percent of the region) Total 5 Yr Municipality/ Farms Change Region 2016 2011-2016 NUMBER OF FARMS Burnaby 47 9% Delta 185 -8% Includes Barnston Island, Greater Vancouver A 73 -15% Port Coquitlam and other Langley 1,103 -19% municipalities with farms Maple Ridge 203 -12% Pitt Meadows 133 -18% Richmond 189 -10% Surrey 439 -10% Vancouver 40 14% Metro Vancouver 2,412 -14% Fraser Valley 2,576 -6% British Columbia 17,528 -11% Canada 193,492 -6% 5 3,525 FARM OPERATORS Less than 35 Decrease of in Metro Vancouver (average age is 56.7) 5 operators years old since 2011 6% Greater than 55 35‐55 years old 35% years old 59% Decrease of Decrease of 290 operators 425 operators since 2011 since 2011 LAND USE ON FARMS All other uses Woodlands 14% and wetlands 3% Unmanaged Pasture 13% Crops 65% Managed Pasture 4% Summerfallow land 1% 7 CROP PRODUCTION ON FARMS 900 800 700 600 Farms 500 of 400 Number 300 200 100 0 Hay & Field Vegetables Fruit, Nuts, & Greenhouse Nursery & Sod Mushrooms Crops Berries Products 2001 2006 2011 2016 8 LIVESTOCK & POULTRY Change from Number of Number of 2011‐2016 Farms Animals Cattle and calves ‐95 +2,190 Chicken and hens +368 +87,043 Sheep and lamb +106 ‐28 Horses and ponies ‐1,320 ‐1,908 Bee colonies +415 +7,491 60% Percent Change in Irrigation Area 2011 2016 50% Area 40% Farm Total of 30% Percent 20% 10% 0% Burnaby Delta Electoral Langley Maple Pitt Richmond Surrey Vancouver Metro Area A Ridge Meadows Vancouver GROSS ANNUAL FARM RECEIPTS Gross Farm 5 Yr 10 Yr 15 Yr Municipality/ Receipts Change Change Change Region 2015 ($) 2010-2015 2005-2015 1995-2015 Burnaby 12,937,561 12% 35% -13% Delta 223,516,003 32% 17% 39% Greater Vancouver A 12,537,483 23% -8% 24% Langley 340,111,011 23% 49% 67% Maple Ridge 18,616,019 83% -46% -52% Pitt Meadows 81,308,215 -3% 40% 61% Richmond 57,841,958 19% 43% 54% Surrey 196,632,472 18% 28% 8% Vancouver 11,075,259 -2% xx Metro Vancouver 954,575,981 21% 31% 37% Fraser Valley 1,468,505,390 31% 59% 174% British Columbia 3,729,364,086 27% 41% 103% Canada 69,367,544,142 36% 64% 115% 11 Municipality/ Receipts per Region Hectare Burnaby $46,706 Delta $24,589 GROSS RECEIPTS PER HECTARE Greater Vancouver A $18,118 Langley $31,471 Maple Ridge $7,611 Pitt Meadows $16,992 Richmond $18,527 Surrey $28,062 Vancouver $71,917 Metro Vancouver $24,872 Fraser Valley $24,132 Capital $4,869 Okanagan-Similkameen $1,955 Squamish-Lillooet $1,343 Thompson-Okanagan $250 12 British Columbia $1,440 Metro 2040 Performance Monitoring 2011-2016 METRO VANCOUVER’S REGIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY Terry Hoff SENIOR REGIONAL PLANNER, METRO VANCOUVER September 2017 Overview • Context Measures – Regional Growth 2011 - 2016 • Summary Performance Measures - Goal 1 – 2011 - 2016 • Land Use Designation Measures - 2011 - 2017 • 5 Year Evaluation of Growth Strategy 2 Context Measures Broader regional growth trends that provide context for performance measures • Regional and Subregional Population Growth • Housing Growth and Changing composition • Employment Growth and Change 3 Metro Vancouver’s Historic Growth Trends Census 2011-2016 Average past 30 years • Population +150,000 / 30,000/yr • Population 33,000 per year • Dwellings +70,000 / 14,000 /yr • Dwellings 14,000 per year 250,000 200,000 Population 150,000 100,000 150,000 50,000 Housing 70,000 0 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 4 Metro Components of Population Growth Growth 2011- 2016 35,000 Net Immigration 30,000 • Immigration (79%) 25,000 Births • Natural Increase (28%) 20,000 15,000 • Inter Provincial (6%) 10,000 Natural Increase 5,000 • Intra Provincial (-14%) Net Inter Provincial 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 -5,000 2015 2016 Net Intra Provincial -10,000 -15,000 Deaths -20,000 5 Immigration to Metro Vancouver by Origin 12,000 China, People's Republic of India Iran 10,000 Korea, Republic of China Philippines United Kingdom and Colonies United States of America 8,000 6,000 Philippines 4,000 India Korea 2,000 Iran US 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 6 Aging Population 2% 2% 2% 2016 1% 2011 2006 1% 2001 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 7 Shifting 60% 2001 2006 2011 2016 Housing 50% 40% Structure 30% Types 20% 10% Share of Total 0% Detached Row Apartment 70% 60% Detached Row Apartment 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Share of Growth 0% 2001-2006 2006-2011 2011-2016 8 Trends and Projected CompositionofHousingStock andProjected Trends 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 0% 5% 2017 2018 Detached Single 2019 2020 2021 Multi Detached Multi 2022 2023 (5% of Growth) 2024 2025 (30% of Growth) 2026 Apartment 2027 2028 2029 (60% of Growth) 2030 Row 2031 2032 (6% of Growth) 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 9 2041 Subregional Growth Distributions Population Growth of 150,000 - 2011 to 2016 - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 Core Areas 47% of Metro Total 36% Vancouver, Burnaby, New West, Richmond, UBCUEL South of Fraser 32% 45% of Metro Growth Surrey, Langleys, Delta, White Rock TriCities 10% 11% Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Anmore, Belcarra North Shore 7% 4% North Vancouvers, West Vancouver, Lions Bay Ridge Meadows 4% 5% Maple Ridge, Pitt Meadows 10 Municipal Population Growth 1971-2016 700,000 600,000 500,000 Vancouver 400,000 Surrey 300,000 200,000 Burnaby Richmond Coquitlam Langley 100,000 - 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 201611 Subregional Growth Distributions Dwelling Growth of 70,000 - 2011 to 2016 - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 Core Areas Vancouver, Burnaby, New 51% 48% West, Richmond, UBCUEL South of 28% of Metro Total 34% of Growth Surrey,Fraser Langleys, Delta, White Rock Tri-Cities Coquitlam, Port Coquitlam, 9% 10% of Growth Port Moody, Anmore, Belcarra North Shore North Vancouvers, 8% 3% of Growth West Vancouver, Lions Bay Ridge 4% 4% of Growth Maple Ridge,Meadows Pitt Meadows 12 Summary Measures An overview of how well Metro 2040 goals and strategies are being achieved Strategy Performance Measures Provide more detail on specific strategies and policy actions 13 Goal 1: Create a Compact Urban Area Strategy 1.1: Contain Urban Development Within the Urban Containment Boundary Summary Measure – Urban Containment • percent of regional dwelling unit growth located within the Urban Containment Boundary • Metro 2040 Target - 99% 14 Goal 1: Create a Compact Urban Area Strategy 1.2: Focus Growth in Urban Centres and Frequent Transit Development Areas Summary Measures – Growth in Priority Areas • percent of regional dwelling unit growth located in Urban Centres • Metro 2040 Target – 40% • percent of regional dwelling unit growth located in Frequent Transit Development Areas • Metro 2040 Target – 28% 15 Net Dwelling Unit Growth 2011-2016 Distribution 70,000 Units 16 Percent of Regional Dwelling Growth Located Within the UCB Target to 2041 • 99% Performance 2011-2016 • 98% 17 Percent of Regional Dwelling Growth Located Within Urban Centres Target to 2041 • 40% Performance 2011-2016 • 39% 18 Growth Among Urban Centres 39% of dwelling unit growth was within Metro 2040 Urban Centre boundaries Urban Centre Unit Growth Share of Metro Metro 2040 2011 - 2016 Unit Growth Targets 2011 - 2016 Urban Centres Total About 27,000 39% 40% Metro Core About 11,000 16% 8% Surrey City Centre About 2,100 3% 7% Regional Centres About 9,000 13% 14% Municipal Centres About 4,600 7% 12% 19 Metro Core Richmond City Centre Dwellings Lonsdale Metrotown and Edmonds Lougheed Growth Surrey Metro Centre Langley Centre New Westminster… Coquitlam Town Centre Metro’s Guildford MTC Maple Ridge Town Centre Brentwood MTC Urban Ambleside MTC Fleetwood MTC Centres Port Coquitlam MTC Inlet Centre MTC Semiahmoo Pitt Meadows MTC 2011-2016 Aldergrove MTC Lynn Valley MTC Ladner MTC Oakridge MTC Cloverdale MTC Newton MTC Willoughby MTC 20 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Percent of Regional Dwelling Growth Located in Frequent Transit Development Areas Target to 2041 • 28% Performance 2011-2016 • 25% • Based on proximity to TransLink’s Frequent Transit Network 21 Percent of Regional Dwelling Growth Located in General Urban Areas Target to 2041 • 31% Performance 2011-2016 • 34% • Includes potential future transit corridors 22 Percent of Regional Dwelling Growth Located in Remaining Urban Areas Estimate to 2041 • 20% Performance 2011-2016 • 15% - 20% • 6,000 hectares 23 REGIONAL DESIGNATIONS AND OVERLAYS Summary Measures • total and cumulative change in hectares of land in each of the six regional land use designations • total and cumulative change in hectares of land in the Urban Containment Boundary • total and cumulative change in number of Urban Centres • total and cumulative change in number of Frequent Transit Development Areas 24 Land Use Designation Changes Metro 2040 Designation
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