Generalized Wishart Distribution for Probabilistic Structural Dynamics

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Generalized Wishart Distribution for Probabilistic Structural Dynamics Comput Mech (2010) 45:495–511 DOI 10.1007/s00466-010-0467-3 ORIGINAL PAPER Generalized Wishart distribution for probabilistic structural dynamics Sondipon Adhikari Received: 9 April 2009 / Accepted: 3 January 2010 / Published online: 23 January 2010 © Springer-Verlag 2010 Abstract An accurate and efficient uncertainty quantifi- Keywords Unified uncertainty quantification · Random cation of the dynamic response of complex structural sys- matrix theory · Wishart distribution · Model validation · tems is crucial for their design and analysis. Among the Parameter identification many approaches proposed, the random matrix approach has received significant attention over the past decade. In this List of symbols paper two new random matrix models, namely (1) gener- f(t) Forcing vector alized scalar Wishart distribution and (2) generalized diag- M, C and K Mass, damping and stiffness matrices, onal Wishart distribution have been proposed. The central respectively aims behind the proposition of the new models are to (1) φ Undamped eigenvectors improve the accuracy of the statistical predictions, (2) sim- j q(t) Response vector plify the analytical formulations and (3) improve computa- δ Dispersion parameter of G tional efficiency. Identification of the parameters of the newly G n Number of degrees of freedom proposed random matrix models has been discussed. Closed- (•)T Matrix transposition form expressions have been derived using rigorous analyti- R Space of real numbers cal approaches. It is considered that the dynamical system is R+ Space n × n real positive definite matrices proportionally damped and the mass and stiffness properties n Rn×m Space n × m real matrices of the system are random. The newly proposed approaches |•| Determinant of a matrix are compared with the existing Wishart random matrix model etr {•} exp {Trace (•)} using numerical case studies. Results from the random matrix • Frobenius norm of a matrix, approaches have been validated using an experiment on a F • = (•)(•)T 1/2 vibrating plate with randomly attached spring-mass oscilla- F Trace ∼ tors. One hundred nominally identical samples have been Distributed as (•) created and separately tested within a laboratory framework. Trace Sum of the diagonal elements of a matrix Relative merits and demerits of different random matrix for- pdf Probably density function mulations are discussed and based on the numerical and experimental studies the recommendation for the best model has been given. A simple step-by-step method for imple- 1 Introduction menting the new computational approach in conjunction with general purpose finite element software has been outlined. Finite element codes implementing physics based models are used extensively for the dynamic analysis of complex sys- tems. Laboratory based controlled tests are often performed B to gain insight into some specific physics of a problem. Such S. Adhikari ( ) tests can indeed lead to new physical laws improving the School of Engineering, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK computational models. Test data can also be used to calibrate e-mail: [email protected] a known model. However, neither of these activities may 123 496 Comput Mech (2010) 45:495–511 be enough to produce a credible numerical tool because of a central Wishart distribution for the system matrices. In a several types of uncertainties which exist in the physics based recent paper [7] it was shown that Wishart matrix with prop- computational framework. Such uncertainties include, but erly selected parameters can be used for systems with both are not limited to (1) parameter uncertainty (e.g, uncertainty parametric uncertainty and nonparametric uncertainty. The in geometric parameters, friction coefficient, strength of the main conclusions arising from this study were: materials involved); (2) model uncertainty (arising from the lack of scientific knowledge about the model which is a priori – Wishart random matrix distribution can be obtained either unknown); (3) experimental error (uncertain and unknown using the maximum entropy approach or using the matrix errors percolate into the model when they are calibrated factorization approach. against experimental results). These uncertainties must be – The maximum entropy approach gives a natural selection assessed and managed for credible computational predic- for the parameters. Through numerical examples it was tions. shown that the parameters obtained using the maximum The predictions from high resolution numerical models entropy approach may yield non-physical results. In that may sometimes exhibit significant differences with the the ‘mean of the inverse’ and the ‘inverse of the mean’ of results from physical experiments due to uncertainty. When the random matrices can be significantly different. substantial statistical information exists, the theory of prob- – The parameters of the pdf of a Wishart random matrix ability and stochastic processes offer a rich mathematical obtained using the maximum entropy approach are not framework to represent such uncertainties. In a probabilis- unique since they depend on what constraints are used in tic setting, the data (parameter) uncertainty associated with the optimization approach. the system parameters, such as the geometric properties and – Considering that the available ‘data’ is the mean and (nor- constitutive relations (i.e. Young’s modulus, mass density, malized) standard deviation of a system matrix, it was Poisson’s ratio, damping coefficients), can be modeled as shown that when the mean of the inverse equals to the random variables or stochastic processes using the so-called inverse of the mean of the system matrices, the predictive parametric approach. These uncertainties can be quantified accuracy is maximum. and propagated, for example, using the stochastic finite element method [8,9,15,17,20,23,25,26,28,34,40–42,49]. Recently, the uncertainty due to modelling error has received The aim of this paper is to further explore the idea of proper attention as this is crucial for model validation [21,22,35]. parameter selection of Wishart matrices. Specifically, we ask The model uncertainty problem poses serious challenges as the question ‘what is the simplest possible Wishart random the parameters contributing to the modelling errors are not matrix model which can be used without compromising the available a priori and therefore precludes the application of predictive accuracy?’. The definition of ‘simplest’ and ‘accu- a parametric approach to address such issues. Model uncer- racy’ will be explained later in the paper. The outline of the tainties do not explicitly depend on the system parameters. paper is as follows. In Sect. 2 dynamic response of linear For example, there can be unquantified errors associated with stochastic systems is discussed. A brief overview of random the equation of motion (linear or non-linear), in the damping matrix models in probabilistic structural dynamics is given model (viscous or non-viscous [3,11]), in the model of struc- in Sect. 3. The identification method of the two new random tural joints. The model uncertainty may be tackled by the so- matrix model is proposed in Sect. 4. In Sect. 5 the accu- called non-parametric method pioneered by Soize [44–46] racy and efficiency the proposed random matrix models are and adopted by others [5,6,31,32]. numerically verified. An experiment conducted on a vibrat- The equation of motion of a damped n-degree-of-freedom ing plate with randomly attached sprung-mass oscillators is linear dynamic system can be expressed as used to validate the proposed approach in Sect. 6. Based on the numerical and experimental studies, a step-by-step ¨( ) + ˙( ) + ( ) = ( ) Mq t Cq t Kq t f t (1) approach is outlined in Sect. 7 to apply the proposed uncer- where f(t) ∈ Rn is the forcing vector, q(t) ∈ Rn is the tainty quantification approach. response vector and M ∈ Rn×n, C ∈ Rn×n and K ∈ Rn×n are the mass, damping and stiffness matrices respectively. In order to completely quantify the uncertainties associated 2 Dynamic response of discrete stochastic systems with system (1) we need to obtain the probability density functions of the random matrices M, C and K.Usingthe Modal analysis, originally due to Lord rayleigh [39], is the parametric approach, such as the stochastic finite element most widely used approach for linear structural dynamics. method, one usually obtains a problem specific covariance Using this approach the dynamic response of a system can structure for the elements of system matrices. The nonpara- be obtained by linear superposition of vibration modes. The metric approach [5,6,44–46] on the other hand results in extension of classical modal analysis to stochastic systems 123 Comput Mech (2010) 45:495–511 497 requires the calculation of natural frequencies and mode- Since is a symmetric and positive definite matrix, it can shapes which are random in nature. The efficiency and be diagonalized by a orthogonal matrix r such that accuracy of a computational method therefore crucially T = 2 dependent on the efficiency and accuracy of the calcula- r r r (9) tion of random natural frequencies and mode-shapes. In this Here the subscript r denotes the random nature of the eigen- section first we transform the coupled equations of motion values and eigenvectors of the random matrix . Recalling in the modal modal domain and then introduce uncertainty T = that r r In, from Eq. (6) we obtain directly in natural frequencies and mode-shapes using ran- −1 dom matrix theory. The parameter estimation and sampling 2 2 ¯ q¯ = s In + sC + f (10) of this random matrix distribution are discussed in details in −1 later sections. = 2 + ζ + 2 T ¯ r s In 2s r r r f (11) Assuming all the initial conditions are zero and taking the Laplace transform of the equation of motion (1)wehave where s2M + sC + K q¯(s) = f¯(s) (2) ζ = diag [ζ1,ζ2,...,ζn] (12) The response in the original coordinate can be obtained as where (•¯) denotes the Laplace transform of the respective − quantities. The aim here is to obtain the statistical properties 1 q¯(s) = q¯ (s)= s2I + 2sζ +2 ( )T f¯(s) of q¯(s) ∈ Cn when the system matrices are random matrices.
Recommended publications
  • STAT 802: Multivariate Analysis Course Outline
    STAT 802: Multivariate Analysis Course outline: Multivariate Distributions. • The Multivariate Normal Distribution. • The 1 sample problem. • Paired comparisons. • Repeated measures: 1 sample. • One way MANOVA. • Two way MANOVA. • Profile Analysis. • 1 Multivariate Multiple Regression. • Discriminant Analysis. • Clustering. • Principal Components. • Factor analysis. • Canonical Correlations. • 2 Basic structure of typical multivariate data set: Case by variables: data in matrix. Each row is a case, each column is a variable. Example: Fisher's iris data: 5 rows of 150 by 5 matrix: Case Sepal Sepal Petal Petal # Variety Length Width Length Width 1 Setosa 5.1 3.5 1.4 0.2 2 Setosa 4.9 3.0 1.4 0.2 . 51 Versicolor 7.0 3.2 4.7 1.4 . 3 Usual model: rows of data matrix are indepen- dent random variables. Vector valued random variable: function X : p T Ω R such that, writing X = (X ; : : : ; Xp) , 7! 1 P (X x ; : : : ; Xp xp) 1 ≤ 1 ≤ defined for any const's (x1; : : : ; xp). Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) p of X: function FX on R defined by F (x ; : : : ; xp) = P (X x ; : : : ; Xp xp) : X 1 1 ≤ 1 ≤ 4 Defn: Distribution of rv X is absolutely con- tinuous if there is a function f such that P (X A) = f(x)dx (1) 2 ZA for any (Borel) set A. This is a p dimensional integral in general. Equivalently F (x1; : : : ; xp) = x1 xp f(y ; : : : ; yp) dyp; : : : ; dy : · · · 1 1 Z−∞ Z−∞ Defn: Any f satisfying (1) is a density of X. For most x F is differentiable at x and @pF (x) = f(x) : @x @xp 1 · · · 5 Building Multivariate Models Basic tactic: specify density of T X = (X1; : : : ; Xp) : Tools: marginal densities, conditional densi- ties, independence, transformation.
    [Show full text]
  • Mx (T) = 2$/2) T'w# (&&J Terp
    View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Elsevier - Publisher Connector Applied Mathematics Letters PERGAMON Applied Mathematics Letters 16 (2003) 643-646 www.elsevier.com/locate/aml Multivariate Skew-Symmetric Distributions A. K. GUPTA Department of Mathematics and Statistics Bowling Green State University Bowling Green, OH 43403, U.S.A. [email protected] F.-C. CHANG Department of Applied Mathematics National Sun Yat-sen University Kaohsiung, Taiwan 804, R.O.C. [email protected] (Received November 2001; revised and accepted October 200.2) Abstract-In this paper, a class of multivariateskew distributions has been explored. Then its properties are derived. The relationship between the multivariate skew normal and the Wishart distribution is also studied. @ 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords-Skew normal distribution, Wishart distribution, Moment generating function, Mo- ments. Skewness. 1. INTRODUCTION The multivariate skew normal distribution has been studied by Gupta and Kollo [I] and Azzalini and Dalla Valle [2], and its applications are given in [3]. This class of distributions includes the normal distribution and has some properties like the normal and yet is skew. It is useful in studying robustness. Following Gupta and Kollo [l], the random vector X (p x 1) is said to have a multivariate skew normal distribution if it is continuous and its density function (p.d.f.) is given by fx(z) = 24&; W(a’z), x E Rp, (1.1) where C > 0, Q E RP, and 4,(x, C) is the p-dimensional normal density with zero mean vector and covariance matrix C, and a(.) is the standard normal distribution function (c.d.f.).
    [Show full text]
  • Bayesian Inference Via Approximation of Log-Likelihood for Priors in Exponential Family
    1 Bayesian Inference via Approximation of Log-likelihood for Priors in Exponential Family Tohid Ardeshiri, Umut Orguner, and Fredrik Gustafsson Abstract—In this paper, a Bayesian inference technique based x x x ··· x on Taylor series approximation of the logarithm of the likelihood 1 2 3 T function is presented. The proposed approximation is devised for the case, where the prior distribution belongs to the exponential family of distributions. The logarithm of the likelihood function is linearized with respect to the sufficient statistic of the prior distribution in exponential family such that the posterior obtains y1 y2 y3 yT the same exponential family form as the prior. Similarities between the proposed method and the extended Kalman filter for nonlinear filtering are illustrated. Furthermore, an extended Figure 1: A probabilistic graphical model for stochastic dy- target measurement update for target models where the target namical system with latent state xk and measurements yk. extent is represented by a random matrix having an inverse Wishart distribution is derived. The approximate update covers the important case where the spread of measurement is due to the target extent as well as the measurement noise in the sensor. (HMMs) whose probabilistic graphical model is presented in Fig. 1. In such filtering problems, the posterior to the last Index Terms—Approximate Bayesian inference, exponential processed measurement is in the same form as the prior family, Bayesian graphical models, extended Kalman filter, ex- distribution before the measurement update. Thus, the same tended target tracking, group target tracking, random matrices, inference algorithm can be used in a recursive manner.
    [Show full text]
  • Interpolation of the Wishart and Non Central Wishart Distributions
    Interpolation of the Wishart and non central Wishart distributions Gérard Letac∗ Angers, June 2016 ∗Laboratoire de Statistique et Probabilités, Université Paul Sabatier, 31062 Toulouse, France 1 Contents I Introduction 3 II Wishart distributions in the classical sense 3 III Wishart distributions on symmetric cones 5 IV Wishart distributions as natural exponential families 10 V Properties of the Wishart distributions 12 VI The one dimensional non central χ2 distributions and their interpola- tion 16 VII The classical non central Wishart distribution. 17 VIIIThe non central Wishart exists only if p is in the Gindikin set 17 IX The rank problem for the non central Wishart and the Mayerhofer conjecture. 19 X Reduction of the problem: the measures m(2p; k; d) 19 XI Computation of m(1; 2; 2) 23 XII Computation of the measure m(d − 1; d; d) 28 XII.1 Zonal functions . 28 XII.2 Three properties of zonal functions . 30 XII.3 The calculation of m(d − 1; d; d) ....................... 32 XII.4 Example: m(2; 3; 3) .............................. 34 XIIIConvolution lemmas in the cone Pd 35 XIVm(d − 2; d − 1; d) and m(d − 2; d; d) do not exist for d ≥ 3 37 XV References 38 2 I Introduction The aim of these notes is to present with the most natural generality the Wishart and non central Wishart distributions on symmetric real matrices, on Hermitian matrices and sometimes on a symmetric cone. While the classical χ2 square distributions are familiar to the statisticians, they quickly learn that these χ2 laws as parameterized by n their degree of freedom, can be interpolated by the gamma distributions with a continuous shape parameter.
    [Show full text]
  • Singular Inverse Wishart Distribution with Application to Portfolio Theory
    Working Papers in Statistics No 2015:2 Department of Statistics School of Economics and Management Lund University Singular Inverse Wishart Distribution with Application to Portfolio Theory TARAS BODNAR, STOCKHOLM UNIVERSITY STEPAN MAZUR, LUND UNIVERSITY KRZYSZTOF PODGÓRSKI, LUND UNIVERSITY Singular Inverse Wishart Distribution with Application to Portfolio Theory Taras Bodnara, Stepan Mazurb and Krzysztof Podgorski´ b; 1 a Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University, Roslagsv¨agen101, SE-10691 Stockholm, Sweden bDepartment of Statistics, Lund University, Tycho Brahe 1, SE-22007 Lund, Sweden Abstract The inverse of the standard estimate of covariance matrix is frequently used in the portfolio theory to estimate the optimal portfolio weights. For this problem, the distribution of the linear transformation of the inverse is needed. We obtain this distribution in the case when the sample size is smaller than the dimension, the underlying covariance matrix is singular, and the vectors of returns are inde- pendent and normally distributed. For the result, the distribution of the inverse of covariance estimate is needed and it is derived and referred to as the singular inverse Wishart distribution. We use these results to provide an explicit stochastic representation of an estimate of the mean-variance portfolio weights as well as to derive its characteristic function and the moments of higher order. ASM Classification: 62H10, 62H12, 91G10 Keywords: singular Wishart distribution, mean-variance portfolio, sample estimate of pre- cision matrix, Moore-Penrose inverse 1Corresponding author. E-mail address: [email protected]. The authors appreciate the financial support of the Swedish Research Council Grant Dnr: 2013-5180 and Riksbankens Jubileumsfond Grant Dnr: P13-1024:1 1 1 Introduction Analyzing multivariate data having fewer observations than their dimension is an impor- tant problem in the multivariate data analysis.
    [Show full text]
  • An Introduction to Wishart Matrix Moments Adrian N
    An Introduction to Wishart Matrix Moments Adrian N. Bishop1, Pierre Del Moral2 and Angèle Niclas3 1University of Technology Sydney (UTS) and CSIRO, Australia; [email protected] 2INRIA, Bordeaux Research Center, France; [email protected] 3École Normale Supérieure de Lyon, France ABSTRACT These lecture notes provide a comprehensive, self-contained introduction to the analysis of Wishart matrix moments. This study may act as an introduction to some particular aspects of random matrix theory, or as a self-contained exposition of Wishart matrix moments. Random matrix theory plays a central role in statistical physics, computational mathematics and engineering sci- ences, including data assimilation, signal processing, combi- natorial optimization, compressed sensing, econometrics and mathematical finance, among numerous others. The mathe- matical foundations of the theory of random matrices lies at the intersection of combinatorics, non-commutative algebra, geometry, multivariate functional and spectral analysis, and of course statistics and probability theory. As a result, most of the classical topics in random matrix theory are technical, and mathematically difficult to penetrate for non-experts and regular users and practitioners. The technical aim of these notes is to review and extend some important results in random matrix theory in the specific Adrian N. Bishop, Pierre Del Moral and Angèle Niclas (2018), “An Introduction to Wishart Matrix Moments”, Foundations and Trends R in Machine Learning: Vol. 11, No. 2, pp 97–218. DOI: 10.1561/2200000072. 2 context of real random Wishart matrices. This special class of Gaussian-type sample covariance matrix plays an impor- tant role in multivariate analysis and in statistical theory.
    [Show full text]
  • Package 'Matrixsampling'
    Package ‘matrixsampling’ August 25, 2019 Type Package Title Simulations of Matrix Variate Distributions Version 2.0.0 Date 2019-08-24 Author Stéphane Laurent Maintainer Stéphane Laurent <[email protected]> Description Provides samplers for various matrix variate distributions: Wishart, inverse-Wishart, nor- mal, t, inverted-t, Beta type I, Beta type II, Gamma, confluent hypergeometric. Allows to simu- late the noncentral Wishart distribution without the integer restriction on the degrees of freedom. License GPL-3 URL https://github.com/stla/matrixsampling BugReports https://github.com/stla/matrixsampling/issues Encoding UTF-8 LazyData true Imports stats, keep ByteCompile true RoxygenNote 6.1.1 NeedsCompilation no Repository CRAN Date/Publication 2019-08-24 22:00:02 UTC R topics documented: rinvwishart . .2 rmatrixbeta . .3 rmatrixbetaII . .4 rmatrixCHIIkind2 . .6 rmatrixCHIkind2 . .7 rmatrixCHkind1 . .8 1 2 rinvwishart rmatrixgamma . .9 rmatrixit . 10 rmatrixnormal . 11 rmatrixt . 12 rwishart . 13 rwishart_chol . 14 Index 16 rinvwishart Inverse-Wishart sampler Description Samples the inverse-Wishart distribution. Usage rinvwishart(n, nu, Omega, epsilon = 0, checkSymmetry = TRUE) Arguments n sample size, a positive integer nu degrees of freedom, must satisfy nu > p-1, where p is the dimension (the order of Omega) Omega scale matrix, a positive definite real matrix epsilon threshold to force invertibility in the algorithm; see Details checkSymmetry logical, whether to check the symmetry of Omega; if FALSE, only the upper tri- angular part of Omega is used Details The inverse-Wishart distribution with scale matrix Ω is defined as the inverse of the Wishart dis- tribution with scale matrix Ω−1 and same number of degrees of freedom.
    [Show full text]
  • Arxiv:1402.4306V2 [Stat.ML] 19 Feb 2014 Advantages Come at No Additional Computa- Archambeau and Bach, 2010]
    Student-t Processes as Alternatives to Gaussian Processes Amar Shah Andrew Gordon Wilson Zoubin Ghahramani University of Cambridge University of Cambridge University of Cambridge Abstract simple exact learning and inference procedures, and impressive empirical performances [Rasmussen, 1996], Gaussian processes as kernel machines have steadily We investigate the Student-t process as an grown in popularity over the last decade. alternative to the Gaussian process as a non- parametric prior over functions. We de- At the heart of every Gaussian process (GP) is rive closed form expressions for the marginal a parametrized covariance kernel, which determines likelihood and predictive distribution of a the properties of likely functions under a GP. Typ- Student-t process, by integrating away an ically simple parametric kernels, such as the Gaus- inverse Wishart process prior over the co- sian (squared exponential) kernel are used, and its pa- variance kernel of a Gaussian process model. rameters are determined through marginal likelihood We show surprising equivalences between dif- maximization, having analytically integrated away the ferent hierarchical Gaussian process models Gaussian process. However, a fully Bayesian nonpara- leading to Student-t processes, and derive a metric treatment of regression would place a nonpara- new sampling scheme for the inverse Wishart metric prior over the Gaussian process covariance ker- process, which helps elucidate these equiv- nel, to represent uncertainty over the kernel function, alences. Overall, we
    [Show full text]
  • Wishart Distributions for Covariance Graph Models
    WISHART DISTRIBUTIONS FOR COVARIANCE GRAPH MODELS By Kshitij Khare Bala Rajaratnam Technical Report No. 2009-1 July 2009 Department of Statistics STANFORD UNIVERSITY Stanford, California 94305-4065 WISHART DISTRIBUTIONS FOR COVARIANCE GRAPH MODELS By Kshitij Khare Bala Rajaratnam Department of Statistics Stanford University Technical Report No. 2009-1 July 2009 This research was supported in part by National Science Foundation grant DMS 0505303. Department of Statistics STANFORD UNIVERSITY Stanford, California 94305-4065 http://statistics.stanford.edu Technical Report, Department of Statistics, Stanford University WISHART DISTRIBUTIONS FOR COVARIANCE GRAPH MODELS By Kshitij Khare† and Bala Rajaratnam∗ Stanford University Gaussian covariance graph models encode marginal independence among the compo- nents of a multivariate random vector by means of a graph G. These models are distinctly different from the traditional concentration graph models (often also referred to as Gaus- sian graphical models or covariance selection models), as the zeroes in the parameter are now reflected in the covariance matrix Σ, as compared to the concentration matrix −1 Ω=Σ . The parameter space of interest for covariance graph models is the cone PG of positive definite matrices with fixed zeroes corresponding to the missing edges of G.As in Letac and Massam [20] we consider the case when G is decomposable. In this paper we construct on the cone PG a family of Wishart distributions, that serve a similar pur- pose in the covariance graph setting, as those constructed by Letac and Massam [20]and Dawid and Lauritzen [8] do in the concentration graph setting. We proceed to undertake a rigorous study of these “covariance” Wishart distributions, and derive several deep and useful properties of this class.
    [Show full text]
  • 2. Wishart Distributions and Inverse-Wishart Sampling
    Wishart Distributions and Inverse-Wishart Sampling Stanley Sawyer | Washington University | Vs. April 30, 2007 1. Introduction. The Wishart distribution W (§; d; n) is a probability distribution of random nonnegative-de¯nite d £ d matrices that is used to model random covariance matrices. The parameter n is the number of de- grees of freedom, and § is a nonnegative-de¯nite symmetric d £ d matrix that is called the scale matrix. By de¯nition Xn 0 W ¼ W (§; d; n) ¼ XiXi;Xi ¼ N(0; §) (1:1) i=1 so that W ¼ W (§; d; n) is the distribution of a sum of n rank-one matrices d de¯ned by independent normal Xi 2 R with E(X) = 0 and Cov(X) = §. In particular 0 E(W ) = nE(XiXi) = n Cov(Xi) = n§ (See multivar.tex for more details.) In general, any X ¼ N(¹; §) can be represented X = ¹ + AZ; Z ¼ N(0;Id); so that § = Cov(X) = A Cov(Z)A0 = AA0 (1:2) The easiest way to ¯nd A in terms of § is the LU-decomposition, which ¯nds 0 a unique lower diagonal matrix A with Aii ¸ 0 such that AA = §. Then by (1.1) and (1.2) with ¹ = 0 Xn µXn ¶ 0 0 0 W (§; d; n) ¼ (AZi)(AZi) ¼ A ZiZi A ;Zi ¼ N(0;Id) i=1 i=1 0 ¼ AW (d; n) A where W (d; n) = W (Id; d; n) (1:3) In particular, W (§; d; n) can be easily represented in terms of W (d; n) = W (Id; d; n). Assume in the following that n > d and § is invertible.
    [Show full text]
  • Bayesian Inference for the Multivariate Normal
    Bayesian Inference for the Multivariate Normal Will Penny Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, University College, London WC1N 3BG, UK. November 28, 2014 Abstract Bayesian inference for the multivariate Normal is most simply instanti- ated using a Normal-Wishart prior over the mean and covariance. Predic- tive densities then correspond to multivariate T distributions, and the moments from the marginal densities are provided analytically or via Monte-Carlo sampling. We show how this textbook approach is applied to a simple two-dimensional example. 1 Introduction This report addresses the following question. Given samples of multidimensional vectors drawn from a multivariate Normal density with mean m and precision Λ, what are the likely values of m and Λ ? Here, the precision is simply the inverse of the covariance i.e. Λ = C−1. Whilst it is simple to compute the sample mean and covariance, for inference we need the probability distributions over these quantities. In a Bayesian conception of this problem we place prior distributions over all quantities of interest and use Bayes rule to compute the posterior. We follow the formulation in Bernardo and Smith [1] (tabularised on page 441). 2 Preliminaries 2.1 Multivariate T distribution The multivariate T distribution over a d-dimensional random variable x is p(x) = T (x; µ, Λ; v) (1) with parameters µ, Λ and v. The mean and covariance are given by E(x) = µ (2) v V ar(x) = Λ−1 v − 2 The multivariate T approaches a multivariate Normal for large degrees of free- dom, v, as shown in Figure 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Exact Largest Eigenvalue Distribution for Doubly Singular Beta Ensemble
    Exact Largest Eigenvalue Distribution for Doubly Singular Beta Ensemble Stepan Grinek Institute for Systems Genetics, NYU Langone Medical Center, New York, NY, USA Abstract In [1] beta type I and II doubly singular distributions were introduced and their densities and the joint densities of nonzero eigenvalues were derived. In such matrix variate distributions p, the dimension of two singular Wishart distributions defining beta distribution is larger than m and q, degrees of freedom of Wishart matrices. We found simple formula to compute exact largest eigenvalue distribution for doubly singular beta ensemble in case of identity scale matrix, Σ = I. Distribution is presented in terms of existing expression for CDF of Roys statistic: −1 λmax ∼ max eig Wq(m; I)Wq(p − m + q; I) ; where Wk(n; I) is Wishart distribution with k dimensions, n degrees of free- dom and identity scale matrix. 1. Introduction The presented work is motivated by recent research on the method in the field of multivariate genomics data, Principal Component of Heritability (PCH). PCH is a method to reduce multivariate measurements on multiple arXiv:1905.01774v3 [math.ST] 4 Jan 2020 samples to one or two vectors representing the relative importance of the measurements. The criterion of the optimisation is the ratio between ex- plained (model) variance and residual variance in the multivariate regression model [3]. We recently achieved exact generalisation of this method to the case when number of measurements, p, is higher than number of observations, Email address: [email protected] (Stepan Grinek) Preprint submitted to Elsevier January 7, 2020 n, see our package P CEV on Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN).
    [Show full text]