Swarthmore College Works Political Science Faculty Works Political Science Winter 2019 Bad World: The Negativity Bias In International Politics D. D. P. Johnson Dominic Tierney Swarthmore College,
[email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://works.swarthmore.edu/fac-poli-sci Part of the Political Science Commons Let us know how access to these works benefits ouy Recommended Citation D. D. P. Johnson and Dominic Tierney. (2019). "Bad World: The Negativity Bias In International Politics". International Security. Volume 43, Issue 3. 96-140. DOI: 10.1162/isec_a_00336 https://works.swarthmore.edu/fac-poli-sci/689 This work is brought to you for free by Swarthmore College Libraries' Works. It has been accepted for inclusion in Political Science Faculty Works by an authorized administrator of Works. For more information, please contact
[email protected]. Bad World Bad World Dominic D.P. Johnson and The Negativity Bias in International Dominic Tierney Politics In the lead-up to the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, the George W. Bush administration ªxated on the perceived threat from Iraqi weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and Saddam Hussein’s links to international terrorism.1 After the overthrow of the Baathist regime, when the U.S. military position deteriorated, President Bush was extremely reluctant to accept a loss and instead pursued an escalatory strategy known as the “surge” by committing tens of thousands of additional troops. Following the withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from Iraq in 2011, the intervention was widely remembered as a costly failure, and the desire to avoid a repeat experience became a major source of learning, leading to, for ex- ample, the Obama doctrine.2 Strikingly, as the Iraq War evolved from prospec- tive operation, to current endeavor, to past adventure, bad information always loomed large.