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EARTH SYSTEM GOVERNANCE Science and Implementation Plan of the Earth System Governance Project 2018 Coordinating Lead Authors: Sarah Burch, Aarti Gupta, Cristina Yumie Aoki Inoue, Agni Kalfagianni, Åsa Persson Lead Authors: Andrea K. Gerlak, Atsushi Ishii, James Patterson, Jonathan Pickering, Michelle Scobie, Jeroen van der Heijden, Joost Vervoort Contributing Authors Carolina Adler, Michael John Bloomfield, Riyanti Djalante, John S. Dryzek, Victor Galaz, Christopher Gordon, Renée Harmon, Sikina Jinnah, Rakhyun E. Kim, Lennart Olsson, Judith van Leeuwen, Vasna Ramasar, Paul Wapner, Ruben Zondervan Citation This report can be cited as: Earth System Governance Project. 2018. Earth System Governance. Science and Implementation Plan of the Earth System Governance Project. Utrecht, the Netherlands. Contact Earth System Governance International Project Office www.earthsystemgovernance.org Email: [email protected] Contents List of Figures 5 List of Tables 5 1 Introduction 6 1.1 Background and Process 7 1.2 Relevance and Urgency 10 1.3 Structure of the Plan 15 2 A New Earth System Governance Research Framework 18 3 Contextual Conditions 22 3.1 Transformations 23 3.2 Inequality 28 3.3 Anthropocene 31 3.4 Diversity 35 4 Research Lenses 42 4.1 Architecture and Agency 43 4.2 Democracy and Power 49 4.3 Justice and Allocation 56 4.4 Anticipation and Imagination 61 4.5 Adaptiveness and Reflexivity 68 5 Conducting Earth System Governance Research 76 5.1 Ontology and Epistemology – Different Ways of Knowing 77 5.2 Methodology and Methods of Analysis 79 5.3 Disciplinary Depth, Interdisciplinarity and Transdisciplinarity 83 6 Earth System Governance in Society 86 6.1 Science-Society Interactions: Goals and Approaches 87 6.2 Integrating Earth System Governance Research into Education 89 7 Modus Operandi of the Earth System Governance Network 94 7.1 Organization 95 7.2 Enabling Environment 98 References 102 List of Figures Figure 1. The Earth System Governance Research Framework 19 Figure 2. Illustration of how the ESG Research Framework generates research questions 21 List of Tables Table 1: The New Earth System Governance Science and Implementation Plan: Process and Timeline 9 Table 2: The ESG Research Framework: interplay between research lenses and contextual conditions – Architecture and Agency 48 Table 3: The ESG Research Framework: interplay between research lenses and contextual conditions – Democracy and Power 55 Table 4: The ESG Research Framework: interplay between research lenses and contextual conditions – Justice and Allocation 61 Table 5: The ESG Research Framework: interplay between research lenses and contextual conditions – Anticipation and Imagination 67 Table 6: The ESG Research Framework: interplay between research lenses and contextual conditions – Adaptiveness and Reflexivity 74 1 Introduction INTRODUCTION This Science and Implementation Plan sets out the agenda for the next decade of earth system governance research. In this section, we present a new vision developed by the research community and describe the background and process of developing the plan. We explain the structure of the plan, and provide an overview of environmental, economic, social and political trends that define the context of the next generation of earth system governance research. To facilitate high-quality and novel earth system governance research, we need to regularly rethink the relevance and urgency of our research endeavour in light of a changing world and changing earth system. This plan builds on successful elements of the previous plan but adds new research lenses and approaches that have come to the fore and will be important to earth system governance in the coming decade. While the timeframe of this plan is the next ten years, we expect that there will be active engagement and discussion when taking it forward, to ensure high relevance to governance challenges and new scientific findings. The implementation of this plan will be aided by shorter-term action plans developed by the Scientific Steering Committee. 1.1 Background and Process The Earth System Governance Project was launched in 2009 to explore governance mechanisms addressing multilevel environmental change, as presented in its ten-year Science and Implementation Plan (Biermann et al., 2009a). The Science and Implementation Plan proposed to coordinate research using a framework of five analytical problems: Accountability, Adaptiveness, Agency, Allocation and access, and Architecture (‘the five As’), with crosscutting themes of knowledge, norms, power and scale. Since 2009, the earth system governance research network has grown and is now well established in the scientific community. Project activities have expanded to include 14 research centres, more than 65 lead faculty members, 60 senior research fellows, 210 research fellows, and about 20 otherwise affiliated researchers, coordinators and staff, as well as a considerable communication and outreach capacity and a wide variety of conferences, initiatives and publication series delivered. A decade after its inception, it is now a timely moment to update the existing Earth System Governance Research Framework to reflect new innovations, opportunities and complexities emerging in earth system governance, and to continue to stimulate a pluralistic, vibrant and relevant research community in this field. While most of the five As are still seen as relevant, a need has been identified to more prominently incorporate concepts like democracy, power, anticipation and imagination in the analytical framework. 7 EARTH SYSTEM GOVERNANCE SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN With this new Science and Implementation Plan for the next decade, the aim is to learn from past achievements and simultaneously take the next step in our ability and efforts to understand new, emerging and existing problems and solutions related to global environmental change. The new plan also aims to expand the global mobilization of researchers, stimulate and facilitate research collaboration, and effectively communicate and engage with society. Our vision is to understand, imagine and help realize just and sustainable futures by stimulating a pluralistic, vibrant and relevant research community The first steps towards this plan were taken through open discussions with the Earth System Governance Lead Faculty and research fellows as well as the wider community at the 2014 Norwich Conference on Earth System Governance, and the 2015 Canberra Conference on Earth System Governance, which identified issues for a next-generation research agenda and new potential modes of collaboration and engagement with society. In 2016, the New Directions Initiative was launched. A team of lead authors was established to co-develop a Science and Implementation Plan with the earth system governance research community. The 22 lead authors represented a variety of disciplines, areas of research expertise, gender and geographical balance. Five coordinating lead authors were selected by the group, with the responsibility to initiate the discussion and coordinate the writing process. At the 2016 Nairobi Conference on Earth System Governance, the lead authors met to develop the first draft of the table of contents. It was then presented to and discussed with the conference participants. Based on this feedback, the lead authors developed a full draft Science and Implementation Plan for discussion during and after the 2017 Lund Conference on Earth System Governance. Based on feedback received at the conference, the lead authors revised the plan and presented it at a round table at the 2018 Annual Convention of the International Studies Association in San Francisco, April 2018. In May and June 2018, the full draft was made available online for review and feedback by the entire earth system governance community of researchers. Based on this feedback, the coordinating lead authors led the final revision. The final plan was launched at the 2018 Utrecht Conference on Earth System Governance, in November 2018. 8 INTRODUCTION 2006 Appointment of a Scientific Planning Committee to design a new core project under the International Human Dimensions Programme on Global Environmental Change 2007 2007 Amsterdam Conference on Earth System Governance (first global conference on earth system governance, shaping the new research agenda) 2009 Launch of the Earth System Governance Project and the original Science and Implementation Plan in New Delhi 2014 Initial discussions on new directions at the 2014 Norwich Conference on Earth System Governance 2015 Continued discussions on new directions at the 2015 Canberra Conference on Earth System Governance 2016 Lead authors were invited and coordinating lead authors selected to start writing a new Science and Implementation Plan Lead authors met at the 2016 Nairobi Conference on Earth System Governance and presented an outline of the plan to all conference participants 2017 A full draft plan was discussed by lead authors at a meeting prior to the Lund conference and its key elements were discussed with conference participants in plenary 2018 Earth system governance community invited to review a revised plan in early summer Coordinating lead authors led the final revision of the plan Launch of the new Earth System Governance Science and Implementation Plan at the 2018 Utrecht Conference on Earth System Governance Table 1 The New Earth System Governance Science and Implementation Plan: Process and Timeline In parallel with the New Directions process, a Harvesting