Statistical and Economic Analysis of Zonal Conditions Impact on Efficiency of Cattle Production Supply Chain Management

View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE 692 provided by ExcelingTech Publishing Company (E-Journals) Int. J Sup. Chain. Mgt Vol. 8, No. 4, August 2019 Statistical and Economic Analysis of Zonal Conditions Impact on Efficiency of Cattle Production Supply Chain Management Nuria Rafikova1, Aigul Hazieva2*, Gamir Khabirov3, Alisa Ableeva4, Guzel Salimova5, Zaria Zalilova6, Elena Kabashova7, Nuria Valishina8 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8Department of Accounting, Statistics and Information Systems in Economy, Federal State Budgetary Educational Establishment of Higher Education «Bashkir State Agrarian University», Russia Corresponding author: [email protected] Abstract- The article presents the results of an effective supply chains is one of the new directions economic and statistical analysis of the effect of zonal of socio-economic statistics and requires conditions on the supply chain (supply chain) of comprehensive study and analysis. State statistics products, production and cost of products for currently focuses on the federation subjects’ growing and fattening cattle separately from dairy development, their distribution by administrative, and meat cows. Typological groupings of agricultural organizations of the Republic of Bashkortostan based territorial, organizational, political, demographic, on average annual data for 2014-2016 were used as a social characteristics and, to a lesser extent, by toolkit of analysis, which made it possible to obtain economic indicators of certain types of activities more reliable estimates compared with the grouping [1]. In the framework of the State Program for for a particular year. Significant differences in the 2008-2012 in 2007-2013 there was a reduction in supply chain between zones, as well as between areas cattle meat production. The reduction of livestock in the context of individual zones were found, there breeding has led to a number of negative were also identified three groups of areas in terms of consequences: the area of pastures and hayfields costs, productivity and cost of production. There were are not used, which led to the deterioration of their revealed features of the cost structure, productivity level and wages in cattle breeding in the context of condition; reduction of fertilizers, most of which zones. Multiple correlation-regression models of were obtained from cattle breeding; reduction of livestock productivity and production costs for all arable land for crops. In December 2014, an areas and zones were built, which made it possible to updated program “Development of dairy cattle determine the most significant factors. The obtained breeding” was introduced. For a systematic analysis results should be used in the development of of livestock, it is necessary to study the features of strategies and planning for organizing the managing the supply chain of agricultural products, management of the supply chain of products, as well a large set of factors characterizing the conditions as the location, production specialization, taking into and nature of production. The internal conditions of account the influence of natural and climatic conditions and the availability of natural forage lands the industry cover the technology and organization to ensure efficient production of cattle breeding. of production, supply chain management, feed production, reproduction and quality of the Key words- supply chain, analysis, grouping, cattle, animals’ herd, consumption and feed quality, wages, productivity, cost, cost structure, labor intensity. specialization and size of production, organization of labor, etc. External conditions in relation to 1. Introduction enterprises are demand for livestock products in the All over the world and in our country there is a domestic and foreign markets, ensuring rational growing attention to regional studies. It is supply chains of products, the level and disparity of connected with the necessity to control and use of prices, monopolism of customers, government territorial differences rationally in natural, material support and regulation of the industry, climatic and labor resources in order to assess and level out conditions, etc. [2]. It is required 8-10 years to on this basis of the regions socio-economic increase the volume of livestock production. Many development. A statistical study of the spatial enterprises have production capacity to increase development of Russia for the implementation of production volumes, but highly productive ______________________________________________________________ livestock is expensive and it takes at least 3 years to International Journal of Supply Chain Management IJSCM, ISSN: 2050-7399 (Online), 2051-3771 (Print) Copyright © ExcelingTech Pub, UK (http://excelingtech.co.uk/) 693 Int. J Sup. Chain. Mgt Vol. 8, No. 4, August 2019 grow. In this regard, the increase in production should be taken into account when developing a set volumes is quite problematic. One of the most of measures for the sustainable development of a important areas for the formation of the beef cattle regional meat and food sub-complex and in the industry in Russia is to establish a chain supply of implementation of regional policy [10]. In order to products of purebred pedigree cattle and its import. identify areas producing livestock products, a From the beginning of 2012 to the current date, the typologization of the level of specialization was import of purebred breeding cattle of meat breeds carried out. The beef production in the to Russia, according to AB-Center estimates, Bashkortostan Republic is carried out mainly due amounted to 143 thousand heads, which is to the implementation of over-reproduction of comparable to the increase in the total number of young cattle and culled adult cattle of black-and- cattle of meat breeds in the country during this white, Simmental, Bestuzhevskaya and some other period. The largest recipient regions of purebred breeds. In many areas of our republic there is a beef cattle are the Bryansk, Kaliningrad and significant potential for the development of beef Voronezh regions [3]. The main reasons of the beef cattle, namely natural pasture land, empty livestock cattle industry problems are the low profitability of buildings, efficient elements of resource-saving beef production compared to other types of meat, technology which can be successfully introduced the lack of investment, decrease of meat volume into beef cattle breeding and beef production [11]. due to the violation of technologies and conditions In Tennessee, USA, local beef production is of animals and rising prices. The problem of the gaining popularity and preferring. Consumers are beef shortage is more difficult to solve, since it is willing to pay fees for branded beef (certified beef an expensive project with a long payback period. steak). Several states have adopted state product The largest meat producers in the Vologda region identification programs based on geographic are agricultural enterprises of Cherepovets, location. From birth, a calf is assigned a number by Vologda and Sheksna regions [4, 5]. In the coming which it can be traced and distinguished [12]. In years, the market will focus on the production of connection with the adoption of the law "On poultry meat and pork. In the course of market Mandatory Reporting on Livestock", it is necessary saturation with these kinds of meat, the production to study the prices for beef supply before and after of beef will begin to develop. However, when implementing the law using econometric prices rise, this product will not be available to calculations [13]. Many authors are concerned many consumers, and the market will remain scarce about climate change, weather phenomena, as a [4]. In the rural areas of the Samara region a result of which they have a negative effect on heterogeneous level of development of meat production, food security, reduced productivity, production is observed. The natural and climatic and the loss of the product supply chain [14]. Only conditions of the region, territorial proximity to 34% of arable land is irrigated in Sri Lanka, so the large cities, where most of the consumers of food system is vulnerable to climate variability and products are concentrated, the level of socio- extreme changes [15]. In the last decades, green economic development of the economy and and sustainable supply chain management practices economic conditions of rural development and have been developed, trying to integrate poorly developed supply chain have a significant environmental concerns into organizations by influence on the production of meat products. It is reducing unintended negative consequences on the known that cooperation between the focal firm and environment of production and consumption external participants (for example, suppliers) processes [16]. Compared to most product supply significantly increases the level of meat production chains, food supply chains are often more complex [6]. The increasing influence of sustainability in and more difficult to manage because the food supply chain management and operations practices product is perishable and has a short shelf life. A can also be attributed to the fact that, in addition to cold chain or temperature-controlled supply chain increased demands of strong economic provides the essential facilities and methods performance, organizations are now held required to maintain the quality and quantity of responsible for the social performance by major foods. Since foods can be time

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