History2+Economics
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
This Is the Heritage Society After All – to 1893, and the Shape of This
1 IRVING HERITAGE SOCIETY PRESENTATION By Maura Gast, Irving CVB October 2010 For tonight’s program, and because this is the Irving Heritage Society, after all, I thought I’d take a departure from my usual routine (which probably everyone in this room has heard too many times) and talk a little bit about the role the CVB plays in an historical context instead. I’m hopeful that as champions of heritage and history in general, that you’ll indulge me on this path tonight, and that you’ll see it all come back home to Irving by the time I’m done. Because there were really three key factors that led to the convention industry as we know it today and to our profession. And they are factors that, coupled with some amazing similarities to what’s going on in our world today, are worth paying attention to. How We as CVBs Came to Be • The Industrial Revolution – And the creation of manufacturing organizations • The Railroad Revolution • The Panic of 1893 One was the industrial revolution and its associated growth of large manufacturing organizations caused by the many technological innovations of that age. The second was the growth of the railroad, and ultimately the Highway system here in the US. And the third was the Panic of 1893. The Concept of “Associations” 2 The idea of “associations” has historically been an American concept – this idea of like‐minded people wanting to gather together in what came to be known as conventions. And when you think about it, there have been meetings and conventions of some kind taking place since recorded time. -
Twenty-Five Years of Unemployment Insurance in the United States
some of the highlights of the many developments More and more the programs have stressed the in these programs. preventive aspects of their services. The three programs have some things in com- All have consistently struggled to improve the mon. In all of them, the most consistent trend quality and skills of the workers as well as their has been toward broadening the services to meet numbers. Often only the high purposes and the needs of special groups of children. strong will of those administering and carrying All three programs consistently have carried on the services have made it possible to keep serv- the torch for higher standards of care and serv- ices from eroding in quality. ices of better quality. The programs have been responsive to new The three programs have reached out to hard- knowledge, new treatment, and new facilities. to-serve groups--children in isolated areas, chil- They have kept their services in tune with the dren with special problems, children requiring changing pace and circumstances in the lives of specialized services. families and children in the Nation. Twenty-five Years of Unemployment Insurance J in the United States by R. GORDON WAGENET* INTEREST IN UNEMPLOYMENT insurance THE FEDERAL-STATE SYSTEM legislation in the United States first appeared The Social Security Act did not establish a long before the enactment of the Social Security system of unemployment insurance in the United Act, but it took the most severe depression in the States. It provided an inducement to the States Nation’s history and the encouragement of State to enact unemployment insurance laws. -
Aftermath : Seven Secrets of Wealth Preservation in the Coming Chaos / James Rickards
ALSO BY JAMES RICKARDS Currency Wars The Death of Money The New Case for Gold The Road to Ruin Portfolio/Penguin An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC penguinrandomhouse.com Copyright © 2019 by James Rickards Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin to continue to publish books for every reader. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Rickards, James, author. Title: Aftermath : seven secrets of wealth preservation in the coming chaos / James Rickards. Description: New York : Portfolio/Penguin, [2019] | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2019010409 (print) | LCCN 2019012464 (ebook) | ISBN 9780735216969 (ebook) | ISBN 9780735216952 (hardcover) Subjects: LCSH: Investments. | Financial crises. | Finance—Forecasting. | Economic forecasting. Classification: LCC HG4521 (ebook) | LCC HG4521 .R5154 2019 (print) | DDC 332.024—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019010409 Penguin is committed to publishing works of quality and integrity. In that spirit, we are proud to offer this book to our readers; however, the story, the experiences, and the words are the author’s alone. While the author has made every effort to provide accurate telephone numbers, internet addresses, and other contact information at the time of publication, neither the publisher nor the author assumes any responsibility for errors or for changes that occur after publication. Further, the publisher does not have any control over and does not assume any responsibility for author or third-party websites or their content. -
Large Shocks in US Macroeconomic Time Series
Large shocks in U.S. macroeconomic time series: 1860–1988 Olivier Darné, Amélie Charles To cite this version: Olivier Darné, Amélie Charles. Large shocks in U.S. macroeconomic time series: 1860–1988. 2009. hal-00422502 HAL Id: hal-00422502 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00422502 Preprint submitted on 7 Oct 2009 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. EA 4272 WorkingPaper Large shocks in U.S. macroeconomic time series: 1860–1988 Document de Travail Olivier DARNE (*) Amélie CHARLES (**) 2009/24 (*) LEMNA, Université de Nantes (**) Audencia Nantes, School of Management Laboratoire d’Economie et de Management Nantes-Atlantique Université de Nantes Chemin de la Censive du Tertre – BP 52231 44322 Nantes cedex 3 – France www.univ-nantes.fr/iemn-iae/recherche Tél. +33 (0)2 40 14 17 19 – Fax +33 (0)2 40 14 17 49 Large shocks in U.S. macroeconomic time series: 1860–1988 Olivier DARNÉ ∗ and Amélie CHARLES † Abstract In this paper we examine the large shocks due to major economic or financial events that affected U.S. macroeconomic time series on the pe- riod 1860–1988, using outlier methodology. -
The Rising Thunder El Nino and Stock Markets
THE RISING THUNDER EL NINO AND STOCK MARKETS: By Tristan Caswell A Project Presented to The Faculty of Humboldt State University In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Business Administration Committee Membership Dr. Michelle Lane, Ph.D, Committee Chair Dr. Carol Telesky, Ph.D Committee Member Dr. David Sleeth-Kepler, Ph.D Graduate Coordinator July 2015 Abstract THE RISING THUNDER EL NINO AND STOCK MARKETS: Tristan Caswell Every year, new theories are generated that seek to describe changes in the pricing of equities on the stock market and changes in economic conditions worldwide. There are currently theories that address the market value of stocks in relation to the underlying performance of their financial assets, known as bottom up investing, or value investing. There are also theories that intend to link the performance of stocks to economic factors such as changes in Gross Domestic Product, changes in imports and exports, and changes in Consumer price index as well as other factors, known as top down investing. Much of the current thinking explains much of the current movements in financial markets and economies worldwide but no theory exists that explains all of the movements in financial markets. This paper intends to propose the postulation that some of the unexplained movements in financial markets may be perpetuated by a consistently occurring weather phenomenon, known as El Nino. This paper intends to provide a literature review, documenting currently known trends of the occurrence of El Nino coinciding with the occurrence of a disturbance in the worldwide financial markets and economies, as well as to conduct a statistical analysis to explore whether there are any statistical relationships between the occurrence of El Nino and the occurrence of a disturbance in the worldwide financial markets and economies. -
Friday, June 21, 2013 the Failures That Ignited America's Financial
Friday, June 21, 2013 The Failures that Ignited America’s Financial Panics: A Clinical Survey Hugh Rockoff Department of Economics Rutgers University, 75 Hamilton Street New Brunswick NJ 08901 [email protected] Preliminary. Please do not cite without permission. 1 Abstract This paper surveys the key failures that ignited the major peacetime financial panics in the United States, beginning with the Panic of 1819 and ending with the Panic of 2008. In a few cases panics were triggered by the failure of a single firm, but typically panics resulted from a cluster of failures. In every case “shadow banks” were the source of the panic or a prominent member of the cluster. The firms that failed had excellent reputations prior to their failure. But they had made long-term investments concentrated in one sector of the economy, and financed those investments with short-term liabilities. Real estate, canals and railroads (real estate at one remove), mining, and cotton were the major problems. The panic of 2008, at least in these ways, was a repetition of earlier panics in the United States. 2 “Such accidental events are of the most various nature: a bad harvest, an apprehension of foreign invasion, the sudden failure of a great firm which everybody trusted, and many other similar events, have all caused a sudden demand for cash” (Walter Bagehot 1924 [1873], 118). 1. The Role of Famous Failures1 The failure of a famous financial firm features prominently in the narrative histories of most U.S. financial panics.2 In this respect the most recent panic is typical: Lehman brothers failed on September 15, 2008: and … all hell broke loose. -
Gtmped3ebook.Pdf
Gold: the Monetary Polaris by Nathan Lewis Third Edition: April 2016 Copyright 2013 by Nathan Lewis. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form of by any means electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, printing, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from Canyon Maple Publishing. Published by Canyon Maple Publishing PO Box 98 New Berlin, NY 13411 [email protected] newworldeconomics.com If you think in terms of a year, plant a seed; if in terms of ten years, plant trees; if in terms of 100 years, teach the people. –Confucius [I]n all cases human society chooses for that basis-article we call "money" that which fluctuates least in price, is the most generally used or desired, is in the greatest, most general, and most constant demand, and has value in itself. "Money" is only a word meaning the article used as the basis-article for exchanging all other articles. An article is not first made valuable by law and then elected to be "money." The article first proves itself valuable and best suited for the purpose, and so becomes of itself and in itself the basis-article – money. It elects itself. ... [The precious] metals proved their superiority. These do not decay, do not change in value so rapidly ... these metals are less liable to fluctuate in value than any article previously used as "money." This is of vital importance, for the one essential quality that is needed in the article which we use as a basis for exchanging all other articles is fixity of value. -
The Real Bills Views of the Founders of the Fed
Economic Quarterly— Volume 100, Number 2— Second Quarter 2014— Pages 159–181 The Real Bills Views of the Founders of the Fed Robert L. Hetzel ilton Friedman (1982, 103) wrote: “In our book on U.S. mon- etary history, Anna Schwartz and I found it possible to use M one sentence to describe the central principle followed by the Federal Reserve System from the time it began operations in 1914 to 1952. That principle, to quote from our book, is: ‘Ifthe ‘money market’ is properly managed so as to avoid the unproductive use of credit and to assure the availability of credit for productive use, then the money stock will take care of itself.’” For Friedman, the reference to “the money stock”was synonymous with “the price level.”1 How did American monetary experience and debate in the 19th century give rise to these “real bills” views as a guide to Fed policy in the pre-World War II period? As distilled in the real bills doctrine, the founders of the Fed under- stood the Federal Reserve System as a decentralized system of reserve depositories that would allow the expansion and contraction of currency and credit based on discounting member-bank paper that originated out of productive activity. By discounting these “real bills,”the short- term loans that …nanced trade and goods in the process of production, policymakers ful…lled their responsibilities as they understood them. That is, they would provide the reserves required to accommodate the “legitimate,” nonspeculative, demands for credit.2 In so doing, they The author acknowledges helpful comments from Huberto Ennis, Motoo Haruta, Gary Richardson, Robert Sharp, Kurt Schuler, Ellis Tallman, and Alexander Wolman. -
History of Financial Turbulence and Crises Prof
History of Financial Turbulence and Crises Prof. Michalis M. Psalidopoulos Spring term 2011 Course description: The outbreak of the 2008 financial crisis has rekindled academic interest in the history of fi‐ nancial turbulence and crises – their causes and consequences, their interpretations by eco‐ nomic actors and theorists, and the policy responses they stimulated. In this course, we use the analytical tools of economic history, the history of economic policy‐ making and the history of economic thought, to study episodes of financial turbulence and crisis spanning the last three centuries. This broad historical canvas offers such diverse his‐ torical examples as the Dutch tulip mania of the late 17th century, the German hyperinflation of 1923, the Great Crash of 1929, the Mexican Peso crisis of 1994/5 and the most recent sub‐ prime mortgage crisis in the US. The purpose of this historical journey is twofold: On the one hand, we will explore the prin‐ cipal causes of a variety of different manias, panics and crises, as well as their consequences – both national and international. On the other hand, we shall focus on the way economic ac‐ tors, economic theorists and policy‐makers responded to these phenomena. Thus, we will also discuss bailouts, sovereign debt crises and bankruptcies, hyperinflations and global re‐ cessions, including the most recent financial crisis of 2008 and the policy measures used to address it. What is more, emphasis shall be placed on the theoretical framework with which contemporary economists sought to conceptualize each crisis, its interplay with policy‐ making, as well as the possible changes in theoretical perspective that may have been precipi‐ tated by the experience of the crises themselves. -
Insights from the Federal Reserve's Weekly Balance Sheet, 1942-1975
SAE./No.104/May 2018 Studies in Applied Economics INSIGHTS FROM THE FEDERAL RESERVE'S WEEKLY BALANCE SHEET, 1942-1975 Cecilia Bao and Emma Paine Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise Insights from the Federal Reserve’s Weekly Balance Sheet, 1942 -1975 By Cecilia Bao and Emma Paine Copyright 2017 by Cecilia Bao and Emma Paine. This work may be reproduced or adapted provided that no fee is charged and the original source is properly credited. About the Series The Studies in Applied Economics series is under the general direction of Professor Steve H. Hanke, co-director of the Johns Hopkins Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise ([email protected]). The authors are mainly students at The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore. Some performed their work as research assistants at the Institute. About the Authors Cecilia Bao ([email protected]) and Emma Paine ([email protected]) are students at The Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland. Cecilia is a sophomore pursuing a degree in Applied Math and Statistics, while Emma is a junior studying Economics. They wrote this paper as undergraduate researchers at the Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise during Fall 2017. Emma and Cecilia will graduate in May 2019 and May 2020, respectively. Abstract We present digitized data of the Federal Reserve System’s weekly balance sheet from 1942- 1975 for the first time. Following a brief account of the central bank during this period, we analyze the composition and trends of Federal Reserve assets and liabilities, with particular emphasis on how they were affected by significant events during the period. -
Essays in Macroeconomic History and Policy by Jeremie
Essays in Macroeconomic History and Policy by Jeremie Cohen-Setton A dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Economics in the Graduate Division of the University of California, Berkeley Committee in charge: Professor Barry Eichengreen, Chair Professor Christina Romer Associate Professor Yuriy Gorodnichenko Professor Andrew Rose Summer 2016 Essays in Macroeconomic History and Policy Copyright 2016 by Jeremie Cohen-Setton 1 Abstract Essays in Macroeconomic History and Policy by Jeremie Cohen-Setton Doctor of Philosophy in Economics University of California, Berkeley Professor Barry Eichengreen, Chair The Making of a Monetary Union: Evidence from the U.S. Discount Market 1914-1935 The decentralized structure of the Federal Reserve gave regional Reserve banks a large degree of autonomy in setting discount rates. This created repeated and continued periods of non- uniform discount rates across the 12 Federal Reserve districts. Commercial banks did not take full advantage of these differentials, reflecting the effectiveness of qualitative restrictions on the use of discount window liquidity in limiting the geographical movement of funds. While the choice of regional autonomy over complete financial integration was reasonable given the characteristics of the U.S. monetary union in the interwar period, the Federal Reserve failed to use this autonomy to stabilize regional economic activity relative to the national average. The diagnosis that the costs of decentralization outweighed the gains from regional differentiation motivated reforms that standardized and centralized control of Reserve bank discount policies. Supply-Side Policies in the Depression: Evidence from France The effects of supply-side policies in depressed economies are controversial. -
The Many Panics of 1837 People, Politics, and the Creation of a Transatlantic Financial Crisis
The Many Panics of 1837 People, Politics, and the Creation of a Transatlantic Financial Crisis In the spring of 1837, people panicked as financial and economic uncer- tainty spread within and between New York, New Orleans, and London. Although the period of panic would dramatically influence political, cultural, and social history, those who panicked sought to erase from history their experiences of one of America’s worst early financial crises. The Many Panics of 1837 reconstructs the period between March and May 1837 in order to make arguments about the national boundaries of history, the role of information in the economy, the personal and local nature of national and international events, the origins and dissemination of economic ideas, and most importantly, what actually happened in 1837. This riveting transatlantic cultural history, based on archival research on two continents, reveals how people transformed their experiences of financial crisis into the “Panic of 1837,” a single event that would serve as a turning point in American history and an early inspiration for business cycle theory. Jessica M. Lepler is an assistant professor of history at the University of New Hampshire. The Society of American Historians awarded her Brandeis University doctoral dissertation, “1837: Anatomy of a Panic,” the 2008 Allan Nevins Prize. She has been the recipient of a Hench Post-Dissertation Fellowship from the American Antiquarian Society, a Dissertation Fellowship from the Library Company of Philadelphia’s Program in Early American Economy and Society, a John E. Rovensky Dissertation Fellowship in Business History, and a Jacob K. Javits Fellowship from the U.S.