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CLUA Cerrado Assessment August 2016

Maps by topic

Background Physical geography 2 Land use and vegetation 3 Carbon stock 4 Protected, indigenous, and community lands 5 Priority areas for potential protection 7

Deforestation and fire Deforestation by municipality over time 11 Fires by municipality 12 Deforestation and protected areas, cropland, & pasture 13 Agricultural infrastructure & suitability 16 Risk of future deforestation 19

Other Hydrography and hydroelectric power 23

The following maps illustrate the geography of the Cerrado, in particular how deforestation is playing out across Matopiba. They draw heavily upon data generated or hosted by LAPIG Maps.

v The Cerrado is a tropical that occupies the central part , north of São Paulo and , and south and east of the Amazon. Matopiba is an economic zone in the north of the biome.

Note: the Cerrado is an ecosystem type characterized by mosaic savanna that can be found across central Brazil, as well as in parts of Rondônia, Pará, Paraná, and . These maps show the official boundaries of the political Cerrado rather than the extent of cerrado ecosystem.

2 Matopiba

The Cerrado contains part of nine states. Much of the southern Cerrado has been deforested for crops and pasture, while the north has more intact savanna. Matopiba

3 Carbon Stock

Northern parts of the Cerrado, near the Amazon, tend to have more carbon-dense, rainforest- like vegetation.

4 Conservation areas can be broadly divided into federal and state protected areas and indigenous lands. In total, Brazil recognizes 12 different types of conservation units, with varying levels of protection.

5 Community lands

Matopiba

The Cerrado is home to many indigenous people, quilombola communities, extractivistas, geraizeiros, ribeirinhos, and family farmers, who live throughout the . This map shows those community lands that are formally recognized. Efforts are underway to better map community lands that are not yet formally recognized. Matopiba

6 Babassu forests

This map shows the extent of the Babassu forest. It was made in a collaboration between researchers and the Interstate Movement of the Babassu Coconut Breakers through a project called Projeto Nova Cartografia Social da Amazônia. It was published in August 2015.

Across the Cerrado, only 8% of land is in protected areas. WWF has prioritized additional areas for conservation, shown here.

7 Key Biodiversity Areas (KBAs) identified by the Critical Ecosystem Partnership Fund (CEPF) are strategic locations for the conservation of globally important biodiversity in the Cerrado.

8 Corridors, also identified by CEPF, allow for ecological connectivity between fragmented of biodiversity. They are essential for ecological resilience in the face of stressors like agricultural expansion and climate change.

9 Cropland and pasture already exists within some priority KBAs– but large swaths of KBAs still remain in native vegetation.

10 Cerrado Deforestation

• The Cerrado has experienced significant, ongoing deforestation in the last decade. • Municipalities in , western , and Piauí have consistently been the areas with the most deforestation from 2002-2014. • Deforestation in Mato Grosso has decreased over that period.

2002-2006 2006-2010 2010-2014

1 1 11 Generally, fires are most common in the areas experiencing high deforestation, though burned area is very high in the northwest boundary of the Cerrado, even though the deforestation rate is not as high in that area as in In Piaui, which otheris relatively parts of the biome and rugged, deforestationmuch of isthis mostly area is protected. occuring on flat plateaus. 12 Protected area status is no guarantee against deforestation; some protected areas, such as Ilha do Bananal, have experienced high rates of deforestation in recent years. 1 3 13 • Expansion of cropland in western Bahia, northern Mato Grosso, Piauí, and Maranhão appears to be driving much recent deforestation. • Deforestation occurs in a more piecemeal manner around pasturelands.

14 Matopiba

• Soy expansion has driven native vegetation conversion in Bahia and Piauí, hotspots for deforestation over the past decade. • Pastureland expansion in has expanded into natural vegetation, including in the Ilha de Bananal State protected area.

15 Pasture and slaughterhouses in Matopiba

AlthoughThis map pasturelandshows the extent is found of the Babassu forest. It was made in a collaboration acrossbetween Matopiba researchers, it is moreand the densely Interstate Movement of the Babassu Coconut concentratedBreakers through along a projectthe eastern called Projeto Nova Cartografia Social da Amazônia. It edgewas published of Matopiba in August, in Tocantins 2015. and Maranhão. Slaughterhouses are also concentrated in this part of the region.

Source: Agroicone and Agrosatellite 16 Crop and Silos in Matopiba

Cropland is centered in Western Bahia, and scattered throughout the other Matopiba states. For the most part, silos are as located in the same areas.

17 Agricultural Potential

A recent analysis by Agrosatélite identifies areas of native vegetation with the soil, climate, altitude, and slope characteristics that make it Data produced by suitable for cropland (dark green and produced by Agrosatélite dark orange). Most existing cropland with support from the falls in areas with these characteristics, Moore Foundation and such areas may be at high risk of future deforestation.

18 Projected Future Deforestation

One analysis from Ferreira et al., (2013), which assumes that deforestation will continue at the same rate as 2002-2007, projects that much future deforestation will occur in Western Bahia. 18 Maranhao and Piaui

In the northern Cerrado, Although large swathes of municipalities like Baixa deforestation are Grande do Ribeiro, Balsas, expected across Bahia and Urucui, and Mirador face Piauí, deforestation in the prospect of high high carbon stock areas is deforestation in the expected mainly in coming years, according Maranhão and Tocantins. to one model.

19 Tocantins and Bahia

Both Western Bahia and Western Tocantins face significant risk of further native vegetation loss. in Western Bahia is one important municipality to watch: it is at risk of losing more than a hundred thousand hectares of native vegetation, according to one model.

20 Mato Grosso

Continued high deforestation is a risk across much of northern Mato Grosso, including in Luciara, Paranatinga, , and .

21 The Cerrado is often called the birthplace of the waters, because it contains the headwaters of the Tocantins, La Plata, and São Francisco rivers.

22 The Cerrado lies on top of importantThe aquifers. Cerrado has These a mix of aquiferslarge are notand yetsmall stressed, dams, but pollutionranging and from over 7.2 KWh to withdrawalsmore maythan becomea MW. Many an of issue as thesedevelopment dams are in the south and west, with continues. fewer in the drier, less- developed north.

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