Malaysia Daybreak | 22 June 2021 FBMKLCI Index
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Malaysia | June 22, 2021 Key Metrics Malaysia Daybreak | 22 June 2021 FBMKLCI Index 1,700 ▌What’s on the Table… 1,650 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— 1,600 1,550 Gamuda – Short-term headwinds a buying opportunity 1,500 Likelihood of a delayed MRT 3 tender timeline from Aug to end-2021 is a 1,450 short-term negative, but not surprising given disruptions from the FMCO. The 1,400 RM5bn PSI land reclamation project remains intact, pending EMP approval in Jun-20 Aug-20 Oct-20 Dec-20 Feb-21 Apr-21 Jun-21 July. Penang state government remains supportive. Risk-reward looks attractive ——————————————————————————— – Gamuda is a laggard among the large caps under coverage (-18% YTD); MRT FBMKLCI 3 and Budget 2022 are potential catalysts. 1,572.24 -16.81pts -1.06% JUN Future JUL Future 1567 - (-0.82%) 1567.5 - (-0.85%) ——————————————————————————— Autos – Decelerating TIV in May Gainers Losers Unchanged TIV in May fell 19% mom due to MCO 3.0 implementation, a shorter working 323 770 393 ——————————————————————————— month following Hari Raya holidays, and the ongoing chip shortage issues. TIV Turnover could fall by 20-25% qoq in 2Q21F due to FMCO, but recover in 2H21F with the 6040.54m shares / RM2797.515m sales tax holiday extension, in our view. Maintain 2021F TIV (580k). Retain 3m avg volume traded 6664.43m shares Neutral rating, with Sime, UMW and Bermaz as preferred sector picks. 3m avg value traded RM3857.05m ——————————————————————————— Regional Indices FBMKLCI FSSTI JCI SET HSI Strategy Note – Key insights into weekly flows (14/6-18/6) 1,572 3,118 5,996 1,601 28,489 ———————————————————————————————— Retail investors remained the largest net buyers last week, buying Top Glove and Market Indices Serba Dinamik. Foreign institutional investors turned net buyers, buying MRDIY Close % chg YTD % chg and CIMB. Local institutional investors were the largest and only net sellers, FBMKLCI 1,572.24 (1.1) (3.4) FBM100 11,167.31 (1.0) (2.9) offloading MRDIY and CIMB. MYDIY, Top Glove and PPB Group were the top FBMSC 16,121.16 (1.0) 3.6 three featured in last week’s top net buy/sell lists. Supermax, Serba Dinamik and FBMMES 7,558.61 (1.9) (29.6) Dow Jones 33,876.97 1.8 10.7 QL Resources were the top three short-selling targets last week. NASDAQ 14,141.48 0.8 9.7 FSSTI 3,117.87 (0.8) 9.6 FTSE-100 7,062.29 0.6 9.3 SENSEX 52,574.46 0.4 10.1 Hang Seng 28,489.00 (1.1) 4.6 ▌News of the Day… JCI 5,996.25 (0.2) 0.3 ———————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————————— KOSPI 3,240.79 (0.8) 12.8 Nikkei 225 28,010.93 (3.3) 2.1 • Axiata, Telenor, Digi ink deals for proposed Celcom-Digi merger PCOMP 6,827.17 (0.4) (4.4) • UMNO issues a 14-day notice to government to convene Parliament SET 1,601.13 (0.7) 10.5 Shanghai 3,529.18 0.1 1.6 • MAHB submits revamp plan for Subang airport to government Taiwan 17,062.98 (1.5) 15.8 ———————————————————————————————— • Nestle (M) appoints Tunku Alina as independent non-executive director Top Actives • Sunway Medical Centre appointed as healthcare organiser at SPCC Close % chg Vol. (m) • EPF sells 15m more Serba shares on open market VSOLAR GROUP 0.015 (25.0) 533.4 INDUSTRONICS 0.270 12.5 253.6 BORNEO OIL 0.040 14.3 208.0 MMAG HOLDINGS 0.180 (2.7) 206.4 FINTEC GLOBAL 0.035 0.0 165.9 FOCUS DYNAMICS 0.035 (12.5) 163.7 MPAY 0.265 6.0 127.1 EA HOLDINGS 0.025 0.0 116.3 ———————————————————————————————— Economic Statistics Close % chg US$/Euro 1.1911 (0.09) RM/US$ (Spot) 4.1465 (0.04) RM/US$ (12-mth NDF) 4.1925 (0.34) OPR (%) 1.75 0.00 GOLD ( US$/oz) 1,785.41 0.12 WTI crude oil US spot (US$/barrel) 73.66 2.82 CPO spot price (RM/tonne) 3,509.00 (0.57) ———————————————————————————————————————— Ivy NG Lee Fang, CFA T (60) 3 2261 9073 E [email protected] Show Style "View Doc Map" IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES, INCLUDING ANY REQUIRED RESEARCH CERTIFICATIONS, ARE PROVIDED AT THE END OF THIS REPORT. IF THIS REPORT IS DISTRIBUTED IN Powered by the THE UNITED STATES IT IS DISTRIBUTED BY CGS-CIMB SECURITIES (USA), INC. AND IS CONSIDERED THIRD-PARTY AFFILIATED RESEARCH. EFA Platform Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Sources: CIMB. COMPANY REPORTS Malaysia Daybreak | June 22, 2021 Global Economic News The White House laid out a plan to share 55m US Covid-19 vaccine doses globally, with roughly 75% of the doses allocated to Latin America and the Caribbean, Asia and Africa through the COVAX international vaccine-sharing program. The plan fulfills President Joe Biden's commitment to share 80m US-made vaccines with countries around the world. The president sketched out his priorities for the first 25m doses from that pledge earlier this month. Of the 55m remaining doses, some 41m would be shared through COVAX, the White House said, with approximately 14m going to Latin America and the Caribbean, some 16m to Asia, and roughly 10m to Africa. The other 25%, or roughly 14m doses, would be shared with "regional priorities," including Colombia, Argentina, Iraq, Ukraine, the West Bank and Gaza. (Reuters) The debate over when and how the Federal Reserve could begin to reduce some of its massive stimulus for the economy was on full display on Monday, as two U.S. central bank officials explained their support for an earlier withdrawal and a third said any change was still quite a ways away. In prepared testimony released late on Monday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US economy continues to show “sustained improvement” and forecast further job market gains and a decline in inflation from current elevated levels, but he did not say anything about the taper debate. But earlier in the day, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan laid out some of the major questions Fed officials will have to grapple with as they work through an early test of the central bank’s new strategic framework at a time when inflation is coming in strong and the labor market recovery is weaker than expected. (Reuters) The US is preparing additional sanctions against Russia for the poisoning of opposition leader Alexey Navalny, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan said. President Joe Biden said he raised Navalny’s case with Russian President Vladimir Putin during their summit last week and made it clear to him that Russia would face “devastating” consequences if Navalny died in prison. While Putin sought to caution the US against expanding sanctions, Sullivan’s comments point in that direction. (Bloomberg) China adjusted how banks can set deposit rates in a move that could lower longer term funding costs and boost economic growth. Under a new way of calculating the ceiling on deposits rates, banks will be allowed to add basis points on top of the existing benchmark rate instead of as before using a multiple. Under the new regime, ceilings for short-term time deposits and certificates with a term of six months or less will rise, while longer-term rates will fall, the self-discipline body backed by the People’s Bank of China said in a statement on Monday. (Bloomberg) China on Sunday became the first country in the world to have administered 1bn doses of COVID-19 vaccines. Such achievement is believed to be a "milestone" but not "surprising" given China's thorough vaccination plan and effective implementation system, Global Times reported. China has administered more than 1.1bn doses as of Saturday, according to data released by the National Health Commission on Sunday. The number is about three times that delivered in the US, and almost 40 percent of the 2.5bn shots given globally, according to data website Our World in Data. (The Edge Markets) 2 Malaysia Daybreak | June 22, 2021 South Korea’s exports are set to climb by double digits again in Jun as the global economy shakes off the effects of the pandemic, though a slower pace from recent months suggests the days of outsize gains may have passed. Exports rose 29.5% in the first 20 days of the month from a year earlier, the customs office reported Monday. Adjusted for calendar effects, average daily shipments increased 33.7% in the period, which had half a business day less compared with last year. (Bloomberg) Malaysia Economic News Malaysia is developing a vaccine to protect against Covid-19 using the messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) technology. Health Minister, Datuk Seri Dr Adham Baba, said in a joint press conference with National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme Coordinating Minister, Khairy Jamaluddin, that the Malaysian Institute for Medical Research (IMR) started developing it with Universiti Putra Malaysia (UPM) in Nov 2020. “The original SARS-CoV-2 virus and variants are currently in the cloning stage,” he said. (Malay Mail) The Special Committee on Ensuring Access to Covid-19 Supply (JKJAV) will meet this week to fine-tune the process of vaccinating children aged 12 and above, with the Comirnaty vaccine produced by Pfizer-BioNTech, Science, Technology and Innovation Minister Khairy Jamaluddin said. (Malay Mail) The vaccination process for pregnant women will commence in Kuala Lumpur and Perlis this weekend, National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) Coordinating Minister Khairy Jamaluddin said. He said from the 98,166 applications received by the Covid-19 Immunisation Task Force (CITF), some 3,000 appointments were given to pregnant women in Kuala Lumpur and another 224 in Perlis last week.