Contacts: Robyn Mcdougle, Ph.D. – Faculty Director, Office of Public
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Contacts: Robyn McDougle, Ph.D. – Faculty Director, Farrah Stone Graham, Ph.D. – Survey Director Office of Public Policy Outreach (804) 305-3447 or [email protected] (804) 827-3290 or [email protected] Almost half of Virginians want Confederate monuments left in place, remainder split on actions RICHMOND, Va. (Jan. 9, 2018) — Virginians are split over what course of action to take with Confederate monuments, according to a new poll by the L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs at Virginia Commonwealth University. A plurality of 49 percent of adult state residents favor leaving Confederate statues in place as they are, while 46 percent favor some type of change. But those supporting changes are far from united — 23 percent of those surveyed favor moving the statues to museums, 13 percent favor adding context in the current location such as additional signage, and 10 percent favor removing the statues, according to the Winter 2017-18 Public Policy Poll conducted by the Wilder Shool’s Offie of Puli Poli Outreah. For comparison, exit polls conducted by The Washington Post folloig Virgiia’s Noeer gubernatorial election that offered only two response options showed 57 percent of Virginians wanting monuments to stay in place and 39 percent supporting removal. Ma sures hae sipl asked folks hether the faor ouets eig reoed or left i plae, said Ro MDougle, Ph.D., diretor of the Offie of Puli Poli Outreah. Proidig respodets additional options that range between those two choices gives policymakers important information about the nuances of public opinion on the issue. Our poll shows that a portion of each side on the issue would prefer options like additional signage in their current loatio or reoal to a useu. The poll, a random sample of 788 adults in Virginia conducted by landline and cell telephone from Dec. 8- 26, has a margin of error of 3.49 percentage points. Significant differences of perspective exist along key demographic categories with Republicans, white respondents, those with a high school diploma or less of education, and those age 65 and older significantly more likely to favor leaving monuments in place. Figure 1: Geographic regions referenced: Northern Virginia (light blue); Northwest (purple); West (green); South Central (yellow); Tidewater (pink) Regionally, those in the West (65 percent) and Northwest (59 percent) were more likely to favor leaving monuments in place without any changes than those from Northern Virginia (37 percent). 1 Likewise, of those in the poll who reported their choice in the 2017 gubernatorial election, 69 percent of voters who supported Republican Ed Gillespie want the monuments to remain as they are, compared to only 20 percent of those who backed Democrat Ralph Northam. However, a plurality of Northam voters (46 percent) prefer relocation of the monuments to a museum, compared to only 15 percent who want to see complete removal. While no consensus exists on what to do with Confederate monuments, a large majority of the overall respondents (76 percent) are unwilling to pay for any changes to the monuments through increased taxes. Twenty-one percent would be willing to pay more in taxes to pay for changes or removal. Those most frequently willing to pay are the 10 percent who favor complete removal — 63 percent of that group expressed willingness to pay more in taxes. Younger, more educated, and minority respondents were significantly more likely to be willing to pay more in taxes, though in no category was a majority willing to do so. Regionally, Northern Virginia led in willingness to pay higher taxes (31 percent) compared to the Northwest (9 percent) and West (7 percent). For a PDF of the 13-page report including complete question wording and detailed tables of results, go to http://wilder.vcu.edu/office-of-public-policy-outreach/ On Tuesday, Jan. 16, the Wilder Shool’s Offie of Public Policy Outreach will release further poll results easurig Virgiias’ ies o issues of public safety, economic development, and K-12 and higher education. On Jan. 5, the Wilder School released its first poll results showing that more than one in five oters i Virgiia’s reet gueratorial eletio sa the ade their deisio i respose to the Trup administration. ### About VCU and VCU Health Virginia Commonwealth University is a major, urban public research university with national and international rankings in sponsored research. Located in downtown Richmond, VCU enrolls more than 31,000 students in 220 degree and certificate programs in the arts, sciences and humanities. Seventy- ie of the pogas ae uiue i Vigiia, ay of the cossig the disciplies of VCU’s 13 schools and one college. The VCU Health brand represents the health sciences schools of VCU, the VCU Massey Cancer Center and the VCU Health System, which comprises VCU Medical Center (the only academic edical cete ad Level I taua cete i the egio), Couity Meoial Hospital, Childe’s Hospital of Richmond at VCU, MCV Physicians and Virginia Premier Health Plan. For more, please visit www.vcu.edu and vcuhealth.org. 2 On Confederate Monuments, a Divided Public As localities across the commonwealth face questions about Confederate monuments on public property, the public remains split over what course of action to take. A plurality of 49 percent favor leaving Confederate statues in place as they are, while 46 Confederate Monuments Thinking about the monuments to Confederate percent favor some type of figures in Virginia which of the following courses of action do you favor? change. But those favoring a change are far from united All - Wilder Poll 49 13 23 10 6 WaPost eit… 57 39 on the best course — 23 West 65 5 17 10 3 percent of those surveyed Northwest 59 6 23 1 11 South Central 49 22 17 8 4 favor moving the statues to Tidewater 46 12 27 13 2 museums, 13 percent favor Northern VA 37 15 28 13 8 adding context in the current Gillespie 69 14 11 3 3 Hyra 63 7 22 7 0 location such as additional Northam 20 16 46 15 4 signage, and 10 percent favor 65+ 61 12 19 5 4 removing statues all 45-64 51 14 23 8 4 35-44 51 14 22 7 5 together. For comparison, 18-34 31 12 32 18 7 exit polls conducted by The White 60 15 18 4 3 Minority Washington Post following 25 8 33 24 9 Virgiia’s gueratorial HS grad or less 62 11 12 7 8 Some college 47 9 25 15 3 election that offered only College_+ 35 18 34 9 4 two response options Republican 75 11 8 5 1 showed 57 percent wanting Independent 49 13 17 8 13 Democrat 28 15 37 15 5 monuments to stay in place 0 20 40 60 80 100 and 39 percent favoring Leave them in place as they are Add context in the current location such as additional signage removal.1 The contrast of the Relocate to museums Remove all together two polls suggests a portion Do’t Ko/Refused of each side on the issue Source: 2017-18 Winter Public Policy Poll, L. Douglas Wilder School of Government and Public Affairs 1 See full results of that exit poll at - https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2017/local/virginia- politics/governor-exit-polls/?utm_term=.828f10b67814 3 would prefer options like additional signage in their current location or removal to a museum. Regional differences on the question were striking. Almost a majority (49 percent) of residents in South Central, which includes Richmond and its Monument Avenue tourist destination, want to leave monuments as they are, with a second most popular option in the South Central region being adding context. In contrast, those in the West (65 percent) and Northwest (59 percent) were more likely to favor leaving monuments in place without any changes than were those from Northern Virginia (37 percent). The Tidewater area showed 46 percent support for leaving monuments as they are. In these four other regions, the second most popular option was removal of monuments to a museum. Significant differences of perspective exist along key demographic categories with Republicans, white respondents, those with a high school diploma or less of education, and those 65 and older significantly more likely to favor leaving monuments in place. Republicans, at 75 percent, were far more likely to support monuments remaining as they are than were independents, at 49 percent, or Democrats at only 28 percent. The plurality of Democrats (37 percent) would like to see monuments removed to museums, while only 15 percent support removal all together. Adding context in the current location such as additional signage was a preferred action for a small portion of all political identification groups — 11 percent of Republicans, 13 percent of independents and 15 percent of Democrats selected this option. Though not as pronounced as the partisan divide, white respondents (60 percent) were significantly more likely to want monuments left as they are compared to only 25 percent of minority respondents who said the same. Among white respondents, the next most popular course of action was to move monuments to museums — a course favored by 18 percent. Minority responses were more evenly split, with 33 percent supporting a relocation to museums and 24 percent supporting removal altogether. Those with a high school diploma or less of education (62 percent) were more likely to support leaving monuments as they are compared to those with some college (47 percent) and those with a college degree or more (35 percent). Among college degree holders, removal of monuments to a museum, at 34 percent, was almost as popular as leaving monuments as they are, while 18 percent of those ith a ollege degree supported addig otet i a ouet’s urret loatio.