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Wager Guide Keeneland Race Course Nov06-07 Breeders

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Wager Guide Keeneland Race Course Nov06-07 Breeders 1/ST BET WAGER GUIDE BREEDERS’ CUP NOV06-07 KEENELAND RACE COURSE BREEDERS’ CUP NEED-TO-KNOW HOST SITE: Keeneland (also hosted 2015) RACE DATES: Friday-Saturday, Nov. 6-7 FRIDAY FIRST RACE POST TIME: 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY FIRST RACE POST TIME: 10:15 A.M. ET WATCH FREE AND WAGER: All races on 1/ST BET App // Xpressbet.com FRIDAY TELEVISION: NBCSN, 2:00-5:30 PM ET SATURDAY TELEVISION: NBCSN and NBC, 12:00-5:30 PM ET WAGERING NOTES: $1M Guaranteed Pool // Friday Late Pick 5 ($.50 min) $2M Guaranteed Pool // Saturday Late Pick 5 ($.50 min) $1M Guaranteed Pool // Saturday Ultra Pick 6 ($1 min.) FRIDAY CHAMPIONSHIP LINEUP G2 Juvenile Turf Sprint $1M 2YO 5-1/2 furlongs (turf) G1 Juvenile Turf $1M 2YO 1 mile (turf) G1 Juvenile Fillies $2M 2YOF 1-1/16 miles G1 Juvenile Fillies Turf $1M 2YOF 1 mile (turf) G1 Juvenile $2M 2YO 1-1/16 miles *10-race card includes 5 races from Keeneland. SATURDAY CHAMPIONSHIP LINEUP G1 Filly & Mare Sprint $1M F/M 7 furlongs G1 Turf Sprint $1M 3&UP 5-1/2 furlongs (turf) G1 Dirt Mile $1M 3&UP 1 mile G1 Filly & Mare Turf $2M F/M 1-3/16 miles (turf) G1 Sprint $2M 3&UP 6 furlongs G1 Mile $2M 3&UP 1 mile (turf) G1 Distaff $2M F/M 1-1/8 miles G1 Turf $4M 3&UP 1-1/2 miles (turf) G1 Classic $6M 3&UP 1-1/4 miles *12-race card includes 3 races from Keeneland. 1ST.COM/BET 2 BREEDERS’ CUP EXPERT PICKS We tasked our expert racing analysts across the 1/ST family to provide their early selections for this year’s 14 Breeders’ Cup Championship races over November 6-7 at Keeneland. Take advantage of our Breeders’ Cup Money- Back Guarantee up to $10 per race! Details. PETER LURIE DUSTIN FABIAN MATT DINERMAN NAOMI TUKKER @Peterlurievo @1stbet @3coltshandicap @NaomiTukker JUV. TURF SPRINT JUVENILE FILLIES JUVENILE TURF JUV. FILLIES TURF UBETTERBELIEVEIT GIRL DADDY MUTASAABEQ MOTHER EARTH GOLDEN PAL PRINCESS NOOR BATTLEGROUND AUNT PEARL AFTER FIVE SIMPLY RAVISHING GRETZKY THE GREAT MISS AMULET COWAN CRAZY BEAUTIFUL NEW MANDATE PLUM ALI JEREMY PLONK JASON BLEWITT MILLIE BALL RON NICOLETTI @Horseplayernow @jasonblewitt30 @camillayakteen @RONIC17 JUVENILE TURF SPRINT F&M TURF DIRT MILE ESSENTIAL QUALITY IMPRIMIS RUSHING FALL COMPLEXITY SITTIN ON GO INTO MYSTIC AUDARYA MR FREEZE JACKIE’S WARRIOR GOT STORMY SISTERCHARLIE ART COLLECTOR KEEPMEINMIND GLASS SLIPPERS MEAN MARY OWENDALE STAN SALTER MICHELLE YU ZOE CADMAN JON WHITE @MDHorseRadio @themichelleyu @zoecadman @PostTimeJon F&M SPRINT SPRINT MILE DISTAFF SPEECH YAUPON IVAR SWISS SKYDIVER SERENGETI EMPRESS COLLUSION ILLUSION FACTOR THIS VALIANCE GAMINE DIAMOND OOPS RAGING BULL MONOMOY GIRL VENETIAN HARBOR C Z ROCKET UNI HOROLOGIST JEFF SIEGEL JOHN DESANTIS EDDIE OLCZYK ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE @jsiegelracing @XBJohnnyD BRENT MUSBURGER FULL-CARD PICKS TURF CLASSIC BEST BETS 1/ST BET TARNAWA MAXIMUM SECURITY EDDIE OLCZYK - P.5 FRIDAY PICKS - P.7 MAGICAL IMPROBABLE BRENT MUSBURGER - P.6 SATURDAY PICKS - P.8 UNITED TOM’S D’ETAT MOGUL HIGHER POWER 1ST.COM/BET 3 BREEDERS’ CUP MONEY-BACK GUARANTEEGET YOUR CASH BACK – UP TO $10 – WHEN YOU FINISH 2ND OR 3RD IN BREEDERS' CUP RACES HOW IT WORKS: 1. BET UP TO $10 ON A HORSE TO WIN ONE OR MORE OF THE 14 BREEDERS’ CUP CHAMPIONSHIP RACES ON NOVEMBER 6 & 7, 2020. 2. EACH TIME A HORSE YOU BET FINISHES 2ND OR 3RD, YOU’LL RECEIVE A REFUND OF YOUR WIN BET. 3. ALL REFUNDS WILL BE PAID BY TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10 @ 5:00PM ET. 1/ST $10THE CREDIT+ OFFICIAL APP OF: PREAKNESS STAKES // PEGASUS WORLD CUP // SANTA ANITA PARK $500GULFSTREAM BONUS PARK // GOLDEN GATE FIELDS // MARYLAND JOCKEY CLUB BET PROMO CODE: SPORTOFKINGS Must be 18 or older (21 in AL, AZ, IA, IN, KS, NH, ND, WA) to open an account with 1/ST BET and reside in a state where such activity is legal. Void where prohibited. National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700. EDDIE OLCZYK’S BETTING TIPS FRIDAY BANKROLL BUILDER RACE 4 // MCCONNELL SPRINGS STAKES // 1:15 PM ET #7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE (9-2 morning line) is my key, likely to get a great set-up after chasing Filly & Mare Sprint contender Come Dancing at Saratoga. She should sit just behind the speed for a jockey- trainer combination you have to consider. I’d be happy at a price around 5-1. Win: #7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE Exacta Box: #7 UNHOLY ALLIANCE, #6 UNIQUE FACTOR, #9 ROYAL CHARLOTTE SATURDAY MUST-USE HORSES ? RACE 5 // BREEDERS’ CUP TURF SPRINT // 12:39 PM ET #14 EXTRAVAGANT KID (15-1 ML) I’m okay with the 14-hole that will scare away many and produce a bigger price. The rider change to Umberto Rispoli could fit his style. This tactical horse was runner-up to Leinster, who will be no worse than third choice around 4 or 5-1 and Extravagant Kid may be overlooked as high as 20-1. Definitely consider him up and down the exotics. RACE 8 // BREEDERS’ CUP SPRINT // 2:36 PM ET #11 DIAMOND OOPS (8-1 ML) My strongest play of the weekend. Bet him last year in Dirt Mile and didn’t get away great. Glad they didn’t go to Turf Sprint because he’s better on dirt. The jockey change from one Frenchman (Julien Leparoux) to another (Florent Geroux) really perked him up. The pace sets up for him to finish and he’s doing extremely well coming into the Sprint. CLASSIC TAKE The way I see the Classic (Race 12, 5:18 pm ET) is pretty straight forward. TACITUS, no thanks. TITLE READY, no thanks. GLOBAL CAMPAIGN, HIGHER POWER and MAXIMUM SECURITY, no thanks as well. That whittles it down to 5 contenders, and the 10 furlongs may not suit BY MY STANDARDS. TIZ THE LAW couldn’t beat AUTHENTIC at a mile and one-quarter in the Derby, despite how great his record and resume looks. That leaves AUTHENTIC, TOM’S D’ETAT and IMPROBABLE, and I’m leaning to IMPROBABLE. He appears ready to run a huge race, and if you can get the 5-to-2 morning line (which I predict you will) that’s a helluva price. 1ST.COM/BET 5 RACE SCHEDULE & CONDITIONS November 7 • Championships Saturday BREEDERS’ CUP CLASSIC (Grade I) To be run Saturday, November 7 With a gross purse of US$6,000,000 (includes travel awards) Owners purse to be divided as follows: 1st $3,120,000, 2nd $1,080,000, 3rd $540,000, 4th $300,000, 5th $180,000, 6th $120,000, 7th $60,000, 8th $60,000, 9th $60,000, 10th $60,000 In addition to gross purse, nominator awards will be paid to both the foal and stallion nominator (based on eligibility qualifications) as follows: 1st $100,000, 2nd $30,000, 3rd $15,000, 4th $7,500 Additional $1,000 Foal Nominator Award paid 5th through last. For three year olds and upward One Mile and One-Quarter (1 1/4M) (Dirt) (2000m) $75,000 pre-entry fee due at Noon (EDT) on Monday, October 26, 2020, and $75,000 entry fee due at 10:00 am (EST) on Monday, November 2, 2020 Payable to Keeneland Association, Inc. at the Breeders’ Cup Racing Office, Keeneland Race Course, 4201 Versailles Road, Lexington, KY 40510 Northern Hemisphere-bred: Weights: 3YO 122 lbs; 4YO & Up 126 lbs Southern Hemisphere-bred: Weights: 3YO 118 lbs; 4YO & Up 126 lbs Fillies & Mares Allowed 3 lbs Horses not nominated to the Breeders’ Cup must be nominated by the pre-entry deadline. NOT MORE THAN 14 STARTERS MAY TAKE PART IN THIS RACE • 4 ALSO-ELIGIBLES MAY BE TAKEN Travel All non-Kentucky based runners that ship into Kentucky from a North American location will receive a $10,000 shipping stipend upon starting. All international runners will receive a $40,000 shipping stipend upon starting. Runners who stable in Kentucky are not eligible for the award. CLASSIC SATURDAY // RACE 12 // 5:13PM GRADE 1 - $6,000,000 24 members.breederscup.com BRENT MUSBURGER’S CLASSIC CALL This year’s $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic could be renamed the Bob Baffert Invitational. He trains three of the 10 entries. Baffert won the Classic 3 years in a row with Bayern (2014), American Pharoah (2015) and Arrogate (2016), and has finished second four times. This year he has the first and third shortest-priced horses on the morning line (IMPROBABLE and MAXIMUM SECURITY), and all his “other” horse did was win the Kentucky Derby over the same distance (AUTHENTIC). A freshened TIZ THE LAW (3-1) comes back from his second-place finish in the Derby with trainer Barclay Tagg saying he looks as good as he did in August, when he showed career- best form winning the Travers. At age 7, TOM’S D’ETAT (6-1) comes off a troubled run in the Whitney, where he was left at the starting gate and forced to close on a slow pace yet still finished third. TACITUS (20-1) has been a source of frustration for his backers, losing five of the? last six times he was favored, including odds-on losses in his last two starts. That will not be a factor this time. In the Classic, I tend to bet older horses – I’m going with 4-year-old MAXIMUM SECURITY, predicting a big bounce- back after losing his last start in the Grade 1 Awesome Again. He has been training beautifully for Baffert with 3 bullet works in Southern California. Jockey Luis Sáez will stalk the pace closer than he did in his last outing, and that will be easy with front-running AUTHENTIC alongside.
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