Impact, Overpopulation, Biological Diversity and Conservation
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Statistical Analysis of Human Overpopulation and Its Impact on Sustainability
Statistical Analysis of Human Overpopulation and its Impact on Sustainability Susanne Bradley Abstract In this project, I examine the relationship between population size and resource use, with particular emphasis on carbon emissions. I use a combination of time series methods and regression analysis to obtain forecasts for global carbon emissions and energy use to the year 2060, taking into account population growth and economic development. In general, my predictions are consistent with predictions already made by different experts, though mine tend to be slightly more pessimistic. I end by addressing some potential ways to decrease population growth rates. 1 Introduction In the twentieth century, human population nearly quadrupled from 1.6 billion to 6.1 billion. Over that same period of time, global carbon consumption increased by a factor of twelve [1]. Population growth has begun to slow, especially in developed countries, but global population is not expected to reach peak levels for at least thirty years [2][3]. In light of these trends, a natural question to ask is whether the Earth can support these kinds of increases in both population and per capita consumption. The population aspect of this is important because if we assume that available resources are finite, then a smaller population size may not solve the problem of overconsumption but it will slow demand for resources and give us more time to develop sustainable long-term solutions. Despite the intuitively clear relationship between population and resource consumption, the issue of overpopulation is one that has been largely ignored in scientific circles since the 1970s [4]. -
Analysis of Habitat Fragmentation and Ecosystem Connectivity Within the Castle Parks, Alberta, Canada by Breanna Beaver Submit
Analysis of Habitat Fragmentation and Ecosystem Connectivity within The Castle Parks, Alberta, Canada by Breanna Beaver Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in the Environmental Science Program YOUNGSTOWN STATE UNIVERSITY December, 2017 Analysis of Habitat Fragmentation and Ecosystem Connectivity within The Castle Parks, Alberta, Canada Breanna Beaver I hereby release this thesis to the public. I understand that this thesis will be made available from the OhioLINK ETD Center and the Maag Library Circulation Desk for public access. I also authorize the University or other individuals to make copies of this thesis as needed for scholarly research. Signature: Breanna Beaver, Student Date Approvals: Dawna Cerney, Thesis Advisor Date Peter Kimosop, Committee Member Date Felicia Armstrong, Committee Member Date Clayton Whitesides, Committee Member Date Dr. Salvatore A. Sanders, Dean of Graduate Studies Date Abstract Habitat fragmentation is an important subject of research needed by park management planners, particularly for conservation management. The Castle Parks, in southwest Alberta, Canada, exhibit extensive habitat fragmentation from recreational and resource use activities. Umbrella and keystone species within The Castle Parks include grizzly bears, wolverines, cougars, and elk which are important animals used for conservation agendas to help protect the matrix of the ecosystem. This study identified and analyzed the nature of habitat fragmentation within The Castle Parks for these species, and has identified geographic areas of habitat fragmentation concern. This was accomplished using remote sensing, ArcGIS, and statistical analyses, to develop models of fragmentation for ecosystem cover type and Digital Elevation Models of slope, which acted as proxies for species habitat suitability. -
Understanding Predation
COLLEGE OF AGRICULTURAL, CONSUMER AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Understanding Predation Louis C. Bender1 aces.nmsu.edu/pubs • Cooperative Extension Service • Circular 688 The College of Agricultural, Consumer and Environmental Sciences is an engine for economic and community development in New Mexico, improving Figure 1. Predation is a frequently misunderstood ecological process, primarily because people empathize with the prey and confuse the act of predation with the effect of predation on populations of prey. While successful predation re- the lives of New sults in the death of individuals, those deaths may have little or no effect on the population as a whole. (Photo courtesy of L. Bender.) Mexicans through SUMMARY academic, research, Predation is a much misunderstood ecological process. Most people confuse the act of predation with the effect, believing that the killing of an individual and extension animal invariably results in a negative impact on the population (Figure 1). This view is frequently wrong, and ignores the complexity of predation at the individual, population, and community levels. At the individual level, programs. predisposition refers to characteristics (e.g., poor body condition, inadequate cover, disease, etc.) of individuals that make them more or less likely to die from predation or any other cause. Predisposition influences whether (or how likely it was that) an individual would have lived if not killed by a predator. The greater the degree of predisposition, the less likely the death of a pre- dated individual would have any effect on the population. Predisposition is necessary for predation to be compensatory, or substitutive, at the level of the population. -
An Essay on the Ecological and Socio-Economic Effects of the Current and Future Global Human Population Size
An essay on the ecological and socio-economic effects of the current and future global human population size “The global human population is and will probably remain too large to allow for a sustainable use of the earth’s resources and an acceptable distribution of welfare” MSc Thesis By Jasper A.J. Eikelboom Supervised by dr. M. van Kuijk and prof. ir. N.D. van Egmond Utrecht University 27-09-2013 Abstract Since the dawn of civilization the world population has grown very slowly, but since the Industrial Revolution in 1750 and especially the Green Revolution around 1950 the growth rate increased dramatically. At the moment there are 7 billion people and in 2100 it is expected that there will be between 8.5 and 12 billion people. Currently we already overshoot the earth’s carrying capacity and this problem will become even larger in the future. Because of the global overpopulation many negative ecological and socio-economic effects occur at the moment. Land-use change, climate change, biodiversity loss, risk of epidemics, poor welfare distribution, resource scarcity and subsequent indirect effects such as factory farming and armed struggles for resources are caused by overpopulation. All these effects are long-lasting and many are irreversible. The longer we overshoot the carrying capacity of the earth and the larger the human population becomes, the worse the effects will be. It can thus be concluded that the global human population is and will probably remain too large to allow for a sustainable use of the earth’s resources and an equal distribution of the use of these resources. -
Politics in Overpopulation Policies
POLITICS IN OVERPOPULATION POLICIES Politics in Overpopulation Policies Is it justified for a country to implement government policies to control its population? Word Count: 1327 POLITICS IN OVERPOPULATION POLICIES 2 Politics in Overpopulation Policies As civilizations grow, they become increasingly dependent on authorities to guide their daily lives, which becomes an issue with overpopulation. When communication and representation decreases between these groups, politics begin to influence many of the countries' laws and regulations. In China, when overpopulation threatened the stability of the country, the government implemented the one-child policy, which improved the quality of life, but downplayed moral rights. Implementing government policies to control population growth has been a very controversial topic globally, as it is linked to many aspects such as: politics, religion, ethics, etc. Many overpopulated countries participate in implementing policies to control the population growth, but only a handful of them do so publicly due to opposition from much more powerful governments and international organizations. The countries that are against the implementation of policies to control population growth take the stand that it is not justified that such policies lead to political interventions, violate human rights, and potentially destabilize the country in the long run. Implementing government policies to control population growth puts a country at risk of becoming dependent on the policy even after the population stabilizes, which can lead to a shift in the workforce. From 1949 to 1976, the population of China nearly doubled from 560 million to 960 million. According to Rajan, chair professor of the Centre for Development Studies in India and a two decade researcher in foreign affairs, the doubling of the population leveled off the age ratio, causing there to be many more people under the age to work than those of age to support themselves; which in turn caused many socioeconomic and environmental problems to arise (Rajan, 1994). -
Carrying Capacity
CarryingCapacity_Sayre.indd Page 54 12/22/11 7:31 PM user-f494 /203/BER00002/Enc82404_disk1of1/933782404/Enc82404_pagefiles Carrying Capacity Carrying capacity has been used to assess the limits of into a single defi nition probably would be “the maximum a wide variety of things, environments, and systems to or optimal amount of a substance or organism (X ) that convey or sustain other things, organisms, or popula- can or should be conveyed or supported by some encom- tions. Four major types of carrying capacity can be dis- passing thing or environment (Y ).” But the extraordinary tinguished; all but one have proved empirically and breadth of the concept so defi ned renders it extremely theoretically fl awed because the embedded assump- vague. As the repetitive use of the word or suggests, car- tions of carrying capacity limit its usefulness to rying capacity can be applied to almost any relationship, bounded, relatively small-scale systems with high at almost any scale; it can be a maximum or an optimum, degrees of human control. a normative or a positive concept, inductively or deduc- tively derived. Better, then, to examine its historical ori- gins and various uses, which can be organized into four he concept of carrying capacity predates and in many principal types: (1) shipping and engineering, beginning T ways prefi gures the concept of sustainability. It has in the 1840s; (2) livestock and game management, begin- been used in a wide variety of disciplines and applica- ning in the 1870s; (3) population biology, beginning in tions, although it is now most strongly associated with the 1950s; and (4) debates about human population and issues of global human population. -
Morality and Problems of Overpopulation
MORALITY AND PROBLEMS OF OVERPOPULATION Alarm signals are being hoisted everywhere in the popular press, warning of an imminent onslaught of world overpopulation.1 Even discriminating readers must be wondering how serious the threat is, and what steps ought to be taken. Pressure for compulsory birth control is building up. Catholic opposition appears unreasonable because contrary to the common good.2 This paper will try to establish four points to your satisfaction, 1 The Population Reference Bureau of Washington, D. C., has a number of able writers on its list who issue widely printed news releases, enter articles into such large circulation periodicals as Time, Redbook, The Saturday Eve- ning Post, Newsweek, Nation's Business, Fortune, Look, Scientific American, and others. They follow the alarmist trend. The Planned Parenthood Federa- tion, with headquarters in New York, is quite outspoken in its efforts to popularize birth control and to refute the stand of the Catholic Church. The Reader's Digest of December, 1958, carried a pessimistic article by Julian Huxley; What's New of Abbott Laboratories carried a similar one by Sir Charles Darwin in the late winter issue of 1959; it also presented an opposing view of the present writer in the spring issue; Kingsley Davis follows the alarmist trend in The New York Times Magazine, March 5, 1959; Newsweek featured a short article entitled "The Avalanche of Babies" on April 27, 1959. The tone of newspaper reports tends toward pessimism, and so does that of a spate of books on the reading stand. 2 Many non-Catholic writers have adopted a moderate attitude in their criticism of the Catholic Church's stand: some suggest ways in which the Church could escape gracefully from what they suppose to be a dilemma. -
Fifty Years of Food and Foraging in Moose: Lessons in Ecology from a Model Herbivore
ALCES VOL. 46, 2010 SHIPLEY - MOOSE AS A MODEL HERBIVORE FIFTY YEARS OF FOOD AND FORAGING IN MOOSE: LESSONS IN ECOLOGY FROM A MODEL HERBIVORE Lisa A. Shipley Department of Natural Resource Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, Washington 99164-6410, USA ABSTRACT: For more than half a century, biologists have intensively studied food habits and forag- ing behavior of moose (Alces alces) across their circumpolar range. This focus stems, in part, from the economic, recreational, and ecosystem values of moose, and because they are relatively easy to observe. As a result of this research effort and the relatively simple and intact ecosystems in which they often reside, moose have emerged as a model herbivore through which many key ecological ques- tions have been examined. First, dietary specialization has traditionally been defined solely based on a narrow, realized diet (e.g., obtaining >60% of its diet from 1 plant genus). This definition has not been particularly useful in understanding herbivore adaptations because >99% of mammalian herbi- vores are thus classified as generalists. Although moose consume a variety of browses across their range, many populations consume 50-99% of their diets from 1 genus (e.g., Salix). Like obligatory herbivores, moose have demonstrated adaptations to the chemistry and morphology of their nearly monospecific diets, which precludes them from eating large amounts of grass and many forbs. New classifications for dietary niche suggest that moose fit on the continuum between facultative special- ists and facultative generalists. Second, moose have been the subject of early and influential models predicting foraging behavior based on the tradeoffs between quality and quantity in plants. -
Biology Predator and Prey Relationships April 23, 2020
High School Science Virtual Learning Biology Predator and Prey Relationships April 23, 2020 High School Applied Biological Science Lesson: Predator-Prey Relationships Objective/Learning Target: Students will understand how predator-prey relationships function. Bell Ringer Activity Take a look at this image. 1) Who is the predator? 2) Who is the prey? 3) What do you think would happen to the population of this fish if the bears were no longer feeding out of these waters? Bell Ringer Answers 1) The predator is the bear. 2) The prey is the fish. 3) The population of this fish would most likely increase if the bears were no longer feeding out of these waters. Predators control prey populations and do so directly by reducing the size of those populations by the number of prey individuals they consume. Let’s Get Started! Lesson Activity: Directions: Please watch the video linked below and answer the following questions: 1. If the prey population is high and the predator population is relatively low what will happen the the predator population? 2. What will happen to the prey population when the predator population is high? 3. What organisms were involved in the real life example he gave about predator-prey relationships? Links:Predator-Prey Video Lesson Questions Answers 1. The predator population will increase. 2. The prey population will decrease. 3. The example he gave in the video was between a hare and a lynx. Practice Questions Watch this video and answer the following questions. 1. How would you describe the relationship between the eagle and the hare? 2. -
Discussing Population Concepts: Overpopulation Is a Necessary Word and an Inconvenient Truth
1 Discussing population concepts: Overpopulation is a necessary word and an inconvenient truth Frank Götmark*, Jane O’Sullivan, Philip Cafaro F.G., Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Box 463, SE-40530 Göteborg, Sweden. * Corresponding author, e-mail [email protected], phone +46702309315 J.O., School of Agriculture and Food Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia., e- mail [email protected] P.C., School of Global Environmental Sustainability, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA 80523, e-mail [email protected] Abstract In science, in the media, and in international communication by organizations such as the UN, the term ‘overpopulation’ is rarely used. Here we argue that it is an accurate description of our current reality, well backed up by scientific evidence. While the threshold defining human overpopulation will always be contested, overpopulation unequivocally exists where 1) people are displacing wild species so thoroughly, either locally or globally, that they are helping create a global mass extinction event; and where 2) people are so thoroughly degrading ecosystems that provide essential environmental services, that future human generations likely will have a hard time living decent lives. These conditions exist today in most countries around the world, and in the world as a whole. Humanity’s inability to recognize the role population growth has played in creating our environmental problems and the role population decrease could play in helping us solve them is a tremendous brake on environmental progress. While reducing excessive populations is not a panacea, it is necessary to create ecologically sustainable societies. -
Is Population Growth an Environmental Problem? Teachers’ Perceptions and Attitudes Towards Including It in Their Teaching
sustainability Article Is Population Growth an Environmental Problem? Teachers’ Perceptions and Attitudes towards Including It in Their Teaching Iris Alkaher 1,2,* and Nurit Carmi 2 1 Faculty of Science, Kibbutzim College of Education Technology and the Arts, Tel Aviv 6250769, Israel 2 Department of Environmental Sciences, Tel-Hai Academic College, Upper Galilee 1220800, Israel; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] Received: 14 March 2019; Accepted: 28 March 2019; Published: 3 April 2019 Abstract: Population growth (PG) is one of the drivers of the environmental crisis and underlies almost every environmental problem. Despite its causative role in environmental challenges, it has gained little attention from popular media, public and government agenda, or even from environmental organizations. There is a gap between the gravity of the problem and its relative absence from the public discourse that stems, inter alia, from the fact that the very discussion of the subject raises many sensitive, complex and ethical questions. The education system is a key player in filling this gap, and teachers have an opportunity to facilitate the discussion in this important issue. While educators mostly agree to include controversial environmental topics in school curricula, calls for addressing PG remain rare. This study explores teachers’ perspectives of PG as a problem and their attitudes towards including it in their teaching, focusing on environmental and non-environmental teachers. While perceiving PG as an environmental problem and supporting its inclusion in schools was significantly higher among the environmental-teachers, similar concerns were reported by all the teachers concerning engaging students in discourse around this controversial issue. -
Overpopulation Is Not the Problem - Nytimes.Com Page 1 of 3
Overpopulation Is Not the Problem - NYTimes.com Page 1 of 3 September 13, 2013 Overpopulation Is Not the Problem By ERLE C. ELLIS BALTIMORE — MANY scientists believe that by transforming the earth’s natural landscapes, we are undermining the very life support systems that sustain us. Like bacteria in a petri dish, our exploding numbers are reaching the limits of a finite planet, with dire consequences. Disaster looms as humans exceed the earth’s natural carrying capacity. Clearly, this could not be sustainable. This is nonsense. Even today, I hear some of my scientific colleagues repeat these and similar claims — often unchallenged. And once, I too believed them. Yet these claims demonstrate a profound misunderstanding of the ecology of human systems. The conditions that sustain humanity are not natural and never have been. Since prehistory, human populations have used technologies and engineered ecosystems to sustain populations well beyond the capabilities of unaltered “natural” ecosystems. The evidence from archaeology is clear. Our predecessors in the genus Homo used social hunting strategies and tools of stone and fire to extract more sustenance from landscapes than would otherwise be possible. And, of course, Homo sapiens went much further, learning over generations, once their preferred big game became rare or extinct, to make use of a far broader spectrum of species. They did this by extracting more nutrients from these species by cooking and grinding them, by propagating the most useful species and by burning woodlands to enhance hunting and foraging success. Even before the last ice age had ended, thousands of years before agriculture, hunter- gatherer societies were well established across the earth and depended increasingly on sophisticated technological strategies to sustain growing populations in landscapes long ago transformed by their ancestors.