“Dumb” yet Deadly: Local Knowledge and Poor Tradecraft among Islamist Militants in Britain and Spain1 Michael Kenney Associate Professor of Political Science and Public Policy and Fellow at the International Center for the Study of Terrorism at the Pennsylvania State University Penn State Harrisburg, 777 W. Harrisburg Pike, Olmsted W160 Middletown, PA 17057-4898
[email protected] Abstract: Islamist militants frequently lack a talent for tradecraft. In recent attacks in Britain and Spain, terrorists made numerous mistakes: receiving traffic citations while traveling in “enemy” territory, acting suspiciously when questioned by the police, and traveling together during missions. Militants’ preference towards suicide operations restricts their ability to acquire practical experience, particularly when they lose their lives during attacks. And their unyielding devotion to their cause blinds them to opportunities to improve their operations. This is good news for counter-terrorism officials. Terrorists’ poor tradecraft provide alert law enforcers with critical leads they can use to identify their attackers, unravel their plots, and—sometimes—disrupt their operations before they cause additional harm. “Dumb” yet Deadly 1 Terrorism requires knowledge, knowledge about whom or what to attack—and how to attack them. Building a bomb requires familiarity with chemicals that are combined to form explosive compounds, detonators that ignite the chemicals to create the explosion, and electrical devices or fuses that trigger detonation. To plan and perform attacks, terrorists must know how to operate secretly in hostile environments without detection from law enforcers, what intelligence professionals call tradecraft.2 Militants with relevant knowledge are more likely to execute effective attacks than those without.