Article Modelling Lichen Abundance for Woodland Caribou in a Fire-Driven Boreal Landscape Joseph A. Silva 1,*, Scott E. Nielsen 2 , Clayton T. Lamb 1 , Christine Hague 3 and Stan Boutin 1 1 Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2E9, Canada;
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[email protected] (S.B.) 2 Department of Renewable Resources, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2H1, Canada;
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[email protected]; Tel.: +1-519-277-1940 Received: 18 September 2019; Accepted: 25 October 2019; Published: 1 November 2019 Abstract: Woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou) are reliant on Cladonia spp. ground lichens as a major component of their diet and lichen abundance could be an important indicator of habitat quality, particularly in winter. The boreal forest is typified by large, stand-replacing forest fires that consume ground lichens, which take decades to recover. The large spatial extent of caribou ranges and the mosaic of lichen availability created by fires make it challenging to track the abundance of ground lichens. Researchers have developed various techniques to map lichens across northern boreal and tundra landscapes, but it remains unclear which techniques are best suited for use in the continuous boreal forest, where many of the conflicts amongst caribou and human activities are most acute. In this study, we propose a two-stage regression modelling approach to map the abundance (biomass, kg/ha) of Cladonia spp. ground lichens in the boreal forest.