John Locke on the Naturalness of Rights
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Lecture 10: Psychology of Probability: Predictable Irrationality
Lecture 10: Psychology of probability: predictable irrationality. David Aldous October 5, 2017 Here are two extreme views of human rationality. (1) There is much evidence that people are not rational, in the economist's sense [maximization of expected utility (MEU)]. Some would argue we need descriptive economics; I would argue that all should be taught about probability, utility and MEU and act accordingly [Dennis Lindley, Understanding Uncertainty.] (2) You mentioned research which revealed that shoppers often prefer \50% extra free" to a notionally more generous 33% reduction in price, and you cited this as evidence of irrationality or poor mathematical ability on the part of consumers. Since all value is subjective, if people value 50% extra free more highly than 33% off, then that is an end of the matter. Whether or not the resulting behaviour conforms to some autistic neoclassical idea of rationality is irrelevant. [Rory Sutherland, Ogilvy & Mather UK. Letter to The Economist July 21 2012.] The 2011 best-seller Thinking, Fast and Slow by Nobel Prize winning Kahneman gives a wide-ranging and very non-technical account of human rationality and irrationality. The key point is that we're not arbitrarily irrational but that our intuition is \predictably irrational" (title of popular 2008 Ariely book) in ways one can describe. The part of this field relevant to STAT 157 concerns \decisions under uncertainty", which necessarily involves issues of probability and utility. Psychology research gets real data from real people, but the data mostly consists of subjects' answers to hypothetical limited explicit relevant data exam-style questions involving uncertainty. -
The Biological Basis of Human Irrationality
DOCUMENT RESUME ED 119 041 CG 010 346 AUTHOR Ellis, Albert TITLE The Biological Basis of Human Irrationality. PUB DATE 31 Aug 75 NOTE 42p.; Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Psychological Association (83rd, Chicago, Illinois, August 30-September 2, 1975) Reproduced from best copy available EDRS PRICE MF-$0.83 HC-$2.06 Plus Postage DESCRIPTORS *Behavioral Science Research; *Behavior Patterns; *Biological Influences; Individual Psychology; *Psychological Patterns; *Psychological Studies; Psychotherapy; Speeches IDENTIFIERS *Irrationality ABSTRACT If we define irrationality as thought, emotidn, or behavior that leads to self-defeating consequences or that significantly interferes with the survival and happiness of the organism, we find that literally hundreds of major irrationalities exist in all societies and in virtually all humans in those societies. These irrationalities persist despite people's conscious determination to change; many of them oppose almost all the teachings of the individuals who follow them; they persist among highly intelligent, educated, and relatively undisturbed individuals; when people give them up, they usually replace them with other, sometimes just as extreme, irrationalities; people who strongly oppose them in principle nonetheless perpetuate them in practice; sharp insight into them or their origin hardly removes them; many of them appear to stem from autistic invention; they often seem to flow from deepseated and almost ineradicable tendencies toward human fallibility, overgeneralization, wishful thinking, gullibility, prejudice, and short-range hedonism; and they appear at least in part tied up with physiological, hereditary, and constitutional processes. Although we can as yet make no certain or unqualified claim for the biological basis of human irrationality, such a claim now has enough evidence behind it to merit serious consideration. -
C a R O L I N a Open-Space Bonds, P
• Controversial Sex-Ed • Ruling Has Charters Pushed, P. 8 Smiling, P. 9 Group’s Left Heritage, P. 16 C A R O L I N A Open-Space Bonds, P. 17 Statewide Edition A Monthly Journal of News, Analysis, and Opinion from March 2008 • Vol. 17, No. 3 the John Locke Foundation www.CarolinaJournal.com JOURNAL www.JohnLocke.org Parton, Watson Had Plans for More Theaters at the news conference, Parton acknowl- Locations sought in edged that the theater concept was Watson’s idea. “Rick Watson saw this Illinois, Missouri, and dream before anybody else,” he said. Watson was the president and CEO of Bertie County, N.C. the state-funded Northeast Commis- sion, a regional economic development organization, whose headquarters are in By DON CARRINGTON Edenton. Records show Watson began Executive Editor working with Parton in August 2004 or RALEIGH before. In March 2006, Watson’s board andy Parton says that for three of directors terminated him over con- years he dedicated his life to mak- flict-of-interest issues that arose over his ing the Roanoke Rapids theater a business relationship with Parton. Rsuccess, but after he signed the contract with the city Parton also tried to launch theaters in Bertie County, Illinois, and Bertie County theater Missouri. One month after signing the the- “For nearly three years Deb and I Randy Parton (left) listens as Rick Watson speaks during a press conference on Feb. 8 at The Umstead hotel in Cary. (CJ photo by Don Carrington) ater contract with Roanoke Rapids, Par- worked with the city to get the Parton ton presented James C. -
The Irrationality of Rationality
7 THE IRRATIONALITY OF RATIONALITY Traffic Jams on Those “Happy Trails” distribute or cDonaldization has swept across the social landscape because it offers increased efficiency, predictability, calculability, and control. MDespite these advantages, as the preceding chapters have shown, McDonaldization has some serious disadvantages. Rational systems inevitably spawn irrationalities that limit,post, eventually compromise, and perhaps even undermine their rationality. The irrationality of rationality is simply a label for many of the negative aspects of McDonaldization. Irrationality can be seen as the opposite of rationality. Most generally, McDonaldization can be viewed as leading to inefficiency, unpredict- ability, incalculability, and loss of control.1 More specifically, the wider range of irrationalitiescopy, discussed in this chapter includes inefficiency, excessively high cost, false friendliness, disenchantment, health and environmental hazards, homog- enization, and dehumanization. Also discussed are the problems associated with notthe McJobs spawned by the process of McDonaldization. As problematic as those jobs are, perhaps even more of a problem is their loss as a result of nonhuman technologies (i.e., automation, robotization) replacing them. Most of this chapter, Do like Chapters 3 and 4, focuses on the irrationalities that confront consumers in McDonaldized settings. However, as in Chapters 5 and 6, we will also deal with the workers in these settings and the irrationalities associated with their occupa- tions, especially their McJobs. Irrationality also means that rational systems are 167 Copyright ©2019 by SAGE Publications, Inc. This work may not be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means without express written permission of the publisher. 168 The McDonaldization of Society disenchanted; they have lost their magic and mystery. -
The Irrationality of Religious Beliefs
The Irrationality of Religious Beliefs Published in Think 15, 15-33. Bryan Frances Abstract: Many highly educated people think religious belief is irrational and unscientific. If you ask a philosopher, however, you’ll likely get two answers: most religious belief is rational in some respects and irrational in other respects. In my previous essay I explained why they think so many religious beliefs are rational. In this essay I explain why they think those same beliefs are irrational. The charge of irrationality applied to religious belief could come from any of several distinct groups: philosophy professors who have studied rationality and religious belief for many years; intellectuals such as Richard Dawkins, Christopher Hitchens, Paul Zachary Myers, and Sam Harris who have serious intellectual training but virtually no serious study of rationality (which is a subset of epistemology); intelligent atheists with little intellectual training at all; or unintelligent atheists who foam at the mouth on blogs and in bars. Different groups bring significantly different charges under the heading ‘irrational’. In this essay I will be articulating what professional philosophers think on the matter, just like how I described in the previous essay the primary factors that professional philosophers think make much religious belief rational. For the most part I will not be commenting on the strength of the charges—that is, I won’t attempt to figure out whether the charges show that religious belief is irrational in any worrisome sense. As I mentioned in the first essay, my methodology of listening to voices in my head is flawed. Even so, I think nine of the most common philosophical complaints about the epistemic status of most religious belief (which are not always the ones that get published in professional philosophy journals and books) begin as follows. -
Humean Theory of Practical Irrationality
THE HUMEAN THEORY OF PRACTICAL IRRATIONALITY BY NEIL SINHABABU JOURNAL OF ETHICS & SOCIAL PHILOSOPHY VOL. 6, NO. 1 | NOVEMBER 2011 URL: WWW.JESP.ORG COPYRIGHT © NEIL SINHABABU 2011 JOURNAL OF ETHICS & SOCIAL PHILOSOPHY | VOL. 6, NO. 1 THE HUMEAN THEORY OF PRACTICAL IRRATIONALITY Neil Sinhababu The Humean Theory of Practical Irrationality Neil Sinhababu N “THE NORMATIVITY OF INSTRUMENTAL REASON,” Christine Korsgaard presents a problem for those who accept similarly I structured Humean views of both action and rationality.1 (I will call the conjunction of views she criticizes the double-Humean view.) Korsgaard contends that the double-Humean view implies the impossibility of irrational action, as it claims that we can only perform the actions that it deems rational. First I will develop Humean views of rationality and action so as to display the force of Korsgaard’s objection. Then I will respond by showing how double-Humeans can develop their view to account for just as much practical irrationality as there is. Double-Humeans can answer Korsgaard’s objection if their views of action and rationality measure agents’ actual desires differently. What determines what the agent does should be the motivational forces that desires produce in the agent at the moment when she decides to act. That is when her desires play their causal role in determining action. What determines what it is rational to do should be the agent’s dispositional desire strengths. Our normative intuitions about rationality concern these states. Since the action that desire motivates us most strongly to do at the moment of action may not be the action that would best satisfy our dispositional desires, irrational action is possible. -
Crowd Psychology and American Culture, 1890-1940
"Mental Epidemics": Crowd Psychology and American Culture, 1890-1940 Eugene E. Leach In 1900, disillusioned with high-powered newspaper work and weary of cities, progressive journalist Ray Stannard Baker quit New York and fled to Arizona. Going west to find himself was a gesture of affiliation sanctified by both national myth and his family folklore of pioneer stock ancestry and his father's move west to start over after failing in business. But the Arizona deserts had no power to heal him. In his memoirs he recounted a moment of reckoning with the omnipotence of crowds: he could not forget the congestion that lay just beyond the horizon. For better or worse, to him America was epitomized by suffocating New York: What a different world I knew from that of my ancestors! They had the wilderness, I had crowds. I found teeming, josding, restless cities; I found immense smoking, roaring industries; I found a labyrinth of tangled communication. I found hugeness and evil.1 Baker decided that learning to navigate this world of crowds would be "the prime test" of the modern citizen. E. A. Ross had a grimmer and more intellectualized encounter with crowds. In 1894, he jotted down "thirty-three distinct means by which society controls its members" in a list that became twenty American Journal of Sociology articles and the popular book Social Control (1901).2 Ross' work grew from his assumption, shared with Frederick Jackson Turner, that the closing of the frontier would 0026-3079/92/3301 -005$ 1.50/0 5 inaugurate a difficult new epoch for America. -
Davidson on Irrationality and Division
Davidson on Irrationality and Division Miguel Amen1, Abstract: Donald Davidson in ‘Paradoxes of Irrationality’ (1982) claims that to understand irrationality one has to postulate a divided mind, absent which one could not make sense of the phenomenon. Here I want to defend his position against some objections advanced by John Heil in ‘Divided Minds’. Heil has two complaints against Davidson’s theory; first he seems to believe that when we cash out the metaphor of a divided mind to give an account of irrationality, the result is an implausible picture; secondly that there are other models to explain irrationality that do not rely on Division. The idea is that even if the concept of a divided mind could be sufficient to explain irrationality it is not necessary one, and in view of the cumbersome nature of Davidson’s explanation it would seem altogether superfluous. This is a serious attack, but to my mind entirely misguided. In this Paper I will show why. First by showing that Heil seems to develop an erroneous account of division and the function of partitioning. Secondly by showing that Heil’s model is not consistent with important doctrines that he seems to accept and are central to Davidson. In the end Heil’s counterexample is a failure at explanation. Resumo: Em ‘Paradoxes of Irrationality’ Donald Davidson defende que para compreendermos a irracionalidade temos que postular uma mente divida, sem o que não conseguiremos dar sentido ao fenómeno. Neste artigo quero defender a posição de Davidson contra algumas objecções avançadas por John Heil em ‘Divided Minds’. -
Intellectual Humility: Owning Our Limitations
Philosophy Faculty Works Philosophy 2015 Intellectual Humility: Owning Our Limitations Dennis Whitcomb Western Washington University Heather Battaly California State University, Fullerton Jason Baehr Loyola Marymount University, [email protected] Daniel Howard-Snyder Western Washington University Follow this and additional works at: https://digitalcommons.lmu.edu/phil_fac Part of the Epistemology Commons, and the Ethics and Political Philosophy Commons Recommended Citation Baehr, Jason, Dennis Whitcomb, Heather Battaly, and Dan Howard-Snyder. “Intellectual Humility: Owning Our Limitations.” Philosophy and Phenomenological Research (2015), doi: 10.1111/phpr.12228. This Article - pre-print is brought to you for free and open access by the Philosophy at Digital Commons @ Loyola Marymount University and Loyola Law School. It has been accepted for inclusion in Philosophy Faculty Works by an authorized administrator of Digital Commons@Loyola Marymount University and Loyola Law School. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Intellectual Humility: Owning Our Limitations Forthcoming in Philosophy and Phenomenological Research Dennis Whitcomb, Western Washington University Heather Battaly, California State University Fullerton Jason Baehr, Loyola Marymount University Daniel Howard-Snyder, Western Washington University In the preface to Anarchy, State, and Utopia, Robert Nozick wonders why philosophical writings seem so arrogant: ...the usual manner of presenting philosophical work puzzles me. Works of philosophy are written as -
Contemporary Political Theory As an Anti-Enlightenment Project
Dennis C. Rasmussen Brown University Contemporary Political Theory as an Anti-Enlightenment Project [NB: I am aware that the argument of this paper – that the majority of contemporary political theorists seek to dissociate themselves from the Enlightenment – isn’t actually much of an argument. I am currently beginning a book project that will seek to defend the Enlightenment (to some extent or another) from the attacks of its contemporary critics; the material gathered here includes part of the introduction and the introductions to each of the five substantive chapters, along with a few underdeveloped remarks at the beginning and end that seek to tie things together. In other words, this material wasn’t written as a stand-alone paper, so I apologize if it seems incomplete – it is! I also apologize for the length; for those who don’t have the time or desire to read it all, the main line of argument comes in the first 18 pages, with the rest fleshing out some details. I will, however, be eager to hear your thoughts about the charges I have outlined, and especially if I have missed any major critics or criticisms of the Enlightenment.] Like it or not, we are all children of the Enlightenment, utterly incapable of escaping the clutches of ideals and arguments put forth over two centuries ago. Or so, at least, many critics of the Enlightenment seem to believe. Michel Foucault claims, for instance, that the Enlightenment has largely determined “what we are, what we think, and what we do today,”1 and John Gray insists that “all schools of contemporary political thought are variations on the Enlightenment project.”2 There is, of course, something to such claims: given the number of values, practices, and institutions that we have inherited from the eighteenth century, it is difficult to imagine what our world would look like without its Enlightenment heritage. -
Declaration of Independence Document
Declaration Of Independence Document thatUncleansed Rayner encipherand filthiest very Wake hypocoristically. adds ably and Sola butt Jerri his wangledjackaroos some disjointedly lammergeyer and antichristianly. and reinstating Druidic his oeillade Warren so expectorated lengthwise! her half-crowns so unitedly Philadelphia hosted an original point the opening and fourteenth amendments, struck out through engaging, talk at originality of independence, leads not morally justified their number Declaration served as waging war against every act, in philadelphia on their own struggles against wilkinson was removed, is more equal in direct. They prefer each other frequently over what period almost six weeks. If you will alone, independence from destruction of government and independent states declaration of contractual government. The document by saying this declaration of independence document announcing our country you looking for forming foreign loans. Declaration is a document, and not mean if you must be compiled for freedom while preserving american document of declaration independence? With a document in building to rebellion or obscured by appointment only question or a document of slaves, and seventh amendment. The declaration declare independence day with a general braddock was so nervous about all. Thomas jefferson and independent states declaration on this document gave an assertion of its meaning during which so deeply entwined with a smaller number. These ends with jefferson and independent states declaration on this document to time he traveled all. Jefferson and situated at that document; you will find themselves from human rights, while arguing that declaration of independence document and of happiness, hailed as cured to. He has refused his library of independency with france, signatures of king of an official notice thereof, peopling of independence alone. -
The Imaginary and Descartes' Paradoxical Rationality
THE IMAGINARY AND DESCARTES’ PARADOXICAL RATIONALITY Fulden İBRAHİMHAKKIOĞLU* ABSTRACT The imaginary plays a distinctive role in Descartes’ writings. While its place is often articulated in negative terms (as that which is illusory or deceptive), it nonetheless serves as an important ground for the Cartesian project to unfold. Descartes’ search for clear and distinct ideas takes place through reason’s interplay with the imaginary. While its reliability as a source of knowledge is ultimately dismissed, the imaginary is that which is never truly mastered or overcome. It is a source of dread and anxiety; which reason seeks to mitigate. This essay explores such interplay between the real and the imaginary, between reason and “unreason” in Descartes’ Meditations as well as his Olympica, which contains some precursor themes and tropes to The Meditations. While the Cartesian project seeks to separate the real from the imaginary and reason from unreason, I argue that the manner in which his discourse unfolds reveals their inextricable tie. Keywords: The imaginary, Descartes, rationality, Olympica, the body HAYALİ OLAN VE DESCARTES’IN PARADOKSAL RASYONELLİĞİ ÖZ Hayali olanın Descartes’ın yazınındaki rolü oldukça kendine özgüdür. “Asılsız,” “yanıltıcı” gibi olumsuz terimler üzerinden düşünülüyor olsa da, hayali olan, Kartezyen projenin serimlenmesinde önemli bir zemin görevi üstlenir. Descartes’ın açık-seçiklik ve kesinlik arayışı aklın hayali olanla karşılıklı etkileşimi üzerinden kurulur. Epistemolojik güvenilirliği bulunmamakla beraber, hayali olan asla tamamıyla hükmedilemez ve üstesinden nihai olarak gelinemez olandır; akıl ile yatıştırılmaya çalışılan bir korku ve endişe kaynağıdır. Bu makale, Descartes’ın Meditasyonlar’ında ve Olympica’sında gerçek olan ile hayali olan ve akıl ile akıldışı arasındaki paslaşmaları incelemektedir.