The Impacts of Profitability, Liquidity, Leverage, Firm Size, and Free Cash Flow

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The Impacts of Profitability, Liquidity, Leverage, Firm Size, and Free Cash Flow International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 22, Issue 1 (AUGUST) ISSN 2289-1552 2020 FINANCIAL DISTRESS: THE IMPACTS OF PROFITABILITY, LIQUIDITY, LEVERAGE, FIRM SIZE, AND FREE CASH FLOW Angela Dirman ABSTRACT The research objective to be achieved is to provide understanding and knowledge to the public, especially investors and creditors about the effect of profitability, liquidity, leverage, company size, and free cash flow on financial distress and can be used as a reference for future researchers and stakeholders (investors, creditors, and government) in making relevant and reliable decisions. The method used is quantitative research with secondary data taken from the issuer's financial statements on IDX with data collection techniques using the purposive sampling method. Analysis of the data used is multiple linear regression. The population in this research is manufacturing companies of basic and chemical industry sectors which are listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange which is conducted for 3 years of observation, namely 2016-2018. The sample is determined by the purposive sampling method so that as many as 90 samples are obtained. The analysis technique used is the statistical test t, and the classic assumption test which includes normality test, multicollinearity test, heterokedasticity test, and autocorrelation test. The results of this study indicate that the profitability variable has a positive effect on financial distress; variable liquidity, leverage, and free cash flow do not effect financial distress; and firm size variables have a negative effect on financial distress Keywords: Profitability, Liquidity, Leverage, Company Size, Free Cash Flow, Financial Distress INTRODUCTION The global economic crisis is an event in which all sectors of the world market economy experience collapse (degression) and affect other sectors throughout the world. The global economic crisis occurs due to unavoidable market economic problems around the world due to bankruptcy and turbulent economic situations. The most visible sector due to the effects of the global economic crisis is the economic sector from the smallest to the largest. Including stock exchanges in the Middle East, Russia, Europe, South America and North America. No exception in the US itself, investors on the Wall Street Exchange suffered huge losses. In Indonesia, the real sector has been affected by the global crisis. The sectors most affected by the global crisis are those that rely on external (tradable) demand, such as the manufacturing, agriculture and mining industries (kompas.com). In addition to the global financial crisis, the start of free trade between ASEAN countries also affected the company's performance. The more freely foreign companies enter Indonesia, the competition between companies is increasing. Companies that cannot survive facing the situation indicate that the company has experienced failure which is indicated by financial distress. Companies that experience financial distress will experience difficulties in generating profits in a reporting period, besides that the company also experiences difficulties in fulfilling its short-term obligations to third parties such as investors, creditors and employees (Rahmawati, 2014). As in manufacturing companies that are not free from financial problems. One of the companies experiencing financial distress is PT Citra Maharlika Nusantara Corpora Tbk. (Cipaganti). The company previously named PT Cipaganti Citra Graha Tbk was declared bankrupt on April 27, 2017 because the peace proposal was rejected by the majority of creditors. This bankruptcy case also stems from the PKPU Cipaganti status since October 31, 2016. The company's total debt amounts to IDR245 billion. Another case that befell a company listed on the IDX is PT. Berau Coal Energy, which was sued for bankruptcy by creditors because it failed to pay off maturing debts. PT. Berau Coal Energy Tbk has defaulted its US $ 450 bond debt maturing on July 8, 2015. The 12.5 percent coupon bond was issued by Berau Resources Pte Ltd in Singapore and guaranteed by PT. Berau Coal Energy Tbk. The delay in repaying the debt is then interpreted as the inability of the company to settle its debt burden so that it is reported to have gone bankrupt or bankruptcy. According to Platt & Platt (2002) financial distress has been defined as a decrease or even a condition of decline. Financial distress becomes an interesting topic in the financial sector and financial health companies as an important indicator for users who are interested in knowing more about company performance (Pernamasari, Purwaningsih, Tanjung, & Rahayu, 2019). Information regarding finances is used by people who are at the same time as people who are at an early age. So that the damage and even the parties to the worst conditions are still very poor. When a company experiences financial difficulties, it will be a consideration for investors and creditors who will invest their capital. Thus, companies should be able to show good company performance to be able to attract investors (Widhiari & Aryani Merkusiwati, 2015). The performance of an entity can be seen from the analysis of financial statements. The results of the analysis of an entity's financial statements can be used as material for decision making and decision making for company owners, managers and investors. Financial statement ratio analysis can azlso be used as a medium to predict financial difficulties faced by companies (Widhiari & Aryani Merkusiwati, 2015). Prediction errors in the future will be fatal in the survival of the company, prediction errors result in loss of income or investment that has been invested into the company. The importance of a bankruptcy prediction analysis is very much needed by several related parties, such as investors, banks, the government, and primarily the company itself. The correct prediction will also make the company know in advance the company's financial condition (Rohmadini, Saifi, & Darmawan, 2018). According to Li & Du (2011) research on financial distress generally uses financial indicators to predict the condition of a company in the future. Financial indicators in this study are profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, and leverage. In addition to using indicators of corporate financial performance, in this study there are also other factors namely firm size and free cash flows. 17 International Journal of Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 22, Issue 1 (AUGUST) ISSN 2289-1552 2020 Profitability is the company's ability to generate profits. Where profit is one indicator of how well the company's performance. Profitability includes all revenues and costs incurred by the company as the use of assets and liabilities in a period. The main purpose of the company is to have high profits. High profits will increase the welfare of its shareholders and will increase the interest of investors to invest their funds in the company. High profits will also illustrate the level of success of the company in carrying out its operational activities (Rohmadini et al., 2018). If the level of profitability of the company is getting higher, it is unlikely that the company will experience financial distress. Ananto, Mustika, & Handayani (2017) and Curry & Banjarnahor (2018) in their research found that profitability had a negative effect on financial distress, but in Rohmadini et al., (2018) profitability measured by ROA had no effect on financial distress. In addition to profitability, financial distress can also be predicted through a liquidity ratio. Liquidity ratio is the ratio used to measure how liquid a company is (Kasmir, 2012). Short-term creditors are very concerned with this current ratio because the conversion of inventories and accounts receivable to cash is the main source, from which companies can wash cash to pay short- term creditors. From the point of view of short-term creditors, the higher the current ratio of companies the greater the protection (Gamayuni in Triwahyuningtias & Muharam (2012). Curry & Banjarnahor (2018) found that liquidity had a negative effect on financial distress, while the results of Rohmadini et al., (2018) and Cinantya & Merkusiwati (2015) in their research found that there was no effect of liquidity on the possibility of financial distress. Besides financial distress can also be predicted through financial leverage. Leverage ratio is a ratio used to measure the extent to which a company's assets are financed from debt. Leverage indicates an influence on investment rates and investment opportunities in companies where the level of debt of a company will indirectly affect the interests and trust of investors in investing (Rohmadini et al., 2018). High and low corporate debt will affect the size of the risk of financial distress that will be borne by the company. Rohmadini et al., (2018), and Curry & Banjarnahor (2018) in their research found that leverage has a negative effect on financial distress, while research results from Bernardin & Tifani (2019) in their research found that there was no effect of leverage on financial distress. In addition to the above ratio, financial distress can also be predicted through firm size. The firm size illustrates how the total assets owned by the company. The greater the company's total assets, the company's financial condition will be more stable and stronger in dealing with the possibility of bankruptcy in the future. Bernardin & Tifani (2019) in their research found that there was a significant influence with a
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