Debtor-In-Possession Financing And
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In Search of Distress Risk
THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXIII, NO. 6 • DECEMBER 2008 In Search of Distress Risk JOHN Y. CAMPBELL, JENS HILSCHER, and JAN SZILAGYI∗ ABSTRACT This paper explores the determinants of corporate failure and the pricing of financially distressed stocks whose failure probability, estimated from a dynamic logit model using accounting and market variables, is high. Since 1981, financially distressed stocks have delivered anomalously low returns. They have lower returns but much higher standard deviations, market betas, and loadings on value and small-cap risk factors than stocks with low failure risk. These patterns are more pronounced for stocks with possible informational or arbitrage-related frictions. They are inconsistent with the conjecture that the value and size effects are compensation for the risk of financial distress. THE CONCEPT OF FINANCIAL DISTRESS has been invoked in the asset pricing lit- erature to explain otherwise anomalous patterns in the cross-section of stock returns (Chan and Chen (1991) and Fama and French (1996)). The idea is that certain companies have an elevated probability that they will fail to meet their financial obligations; the stocks of these financially distressed companies tend to move together, so their risk cannot be diversified away; and investors charge a premium for bearing such risk.1 The premium for distress risk may not be cap- tured by the standard Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) if corporate failures ∗ John Y. Campbell is with the Department of Economics, Harvard University and NBER. Jens Hilscher is with the International Business School, Brandeis University. Jan Szilagyi is with Duquesne Capital Management LLC. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the authors’ employers. -
Dealing with Secured Lenders1
CHAPTER TWO Dealing with Secured Lenders1 David Hillman2 Mark Shinderman3 Aaron Wernick4 With investors continuing to pursue higher yields, the market for secured debt has experienced a resurgence since the depth of the fi nancial crisis of 2008. For borrowers, the lenders’ willingness to make these loans has translated to increased liquidity and access to capital for numerous purposes, including (i) providing working capital and funding for general corporate purposes; (ii) funding an acquisition-related transaction or a recapitalization of a company’s balance sheet; or (iii) refi nancing a borrower’s existing debt. The increased debt loads may lead to fi nancial distress when a borrower’s business sags, at which point management will typically turn to its secured lenders to begin negotiations on the restructuring of the business’s debt. Consequently, the secured lenders usually take the most active role in monitoring the credit and responding to problems when they fi rst arise. Secured loans come in many different forms and are offered from a range of different investors. The common feature for secured debt is the existence of a lien on all or a portion of the borrower’s assets. Following is a brief overview of the common types of secured lending: Asset-Based Loans. The traditional loan market consisted of an asset based lender (traditionally a bank or commercial fi nancing institution) providing revolving loans, term loans, and letters of credit secured by a fi rst priority lien on accounts receivable, inventory, equipment, and 1. Special thanks to Douglas R. Urquhart and Roshelle Nagar of Weil, Gotshal & Manges, LLP for their contributions to earlier editions of this chapter. -
Underwriting; Development of the Restructuring Plan
Chapter 5 Underwriting; Development of the Restructuring Plan Executive Summary Section 5-1 This chapter describes the PAEs actions for financial underwriting of the M2M transaction and the development of the Restructuring Plan. The PAE will determine the project’s rents, expenses, and deposits to the reserves under various scenarios. The PAE will then size the first and second mortgages, and third mortgage, if needed, and determine the amount of claim payable by FHA, as well as the sources and uses in the transaction, and the owner’s financial return. The results of this underwriting, the due diligence described in Chapter 4, the tenant comments, and owner negotiations are consolidated in the draft Restructuring Plan Package submitted to the OAHP Preservation Office. The PAE should work cooperatively with the owner and lender as needed throughout this process. Underwriting Model Section 5-2 A. General. OAHP has provided an Underwriting Model for use in completing the financial underwriting of M2M transactions. A copy of the Model is available on OAHP’s Web site or can be obtained through the OAHP Preservation Office. Use of the Model is required and helps meet the unique requirements of this program that will not be present in other underwriting models. However, the Model is only an aid and may not be appropriate or complete for every case; the PAE remains responsible for its own conclusions, and for appropriately addressing unusual conditions that may not be fully considered by the model or this Guide. B. Using the Model. PAEs are responsible for using the most recent, appropriate model and generally following the procedures reflected therein. -
Policy Brief 13-3: Debt Restructuring and Economic Prospects in Greece
Policy Brief NUMBER PB13-3 FEBRUARY 2013 a significant part of even the reduction for private holdings. A Debt Restructuring and December package of official sector relief (in the form of lower interest rates and support for a buyback of about half of the Economic Prospects restructured privately held debt) set the stage for resumption of IMF and euro area program disbursements and restored the conditions for managing the remaining debt over the next few in Greece years if reasonable growth and fiscal expectations are achieved. Over the longer term, however, it is unclear that Greece William R. Cline will be able to reenter private capital markets by 2020 even if its debt level is down to the range of about 120 percent of William R. Cline, senior fellow, has been associated with the Peterson GDP. The damage to its credit reputation from restructuring Institute for International Economics since its inception in 1981. His with a large haircut seems likely to leave it in a more difficult numerous publications include Resolving the European Debt Crisis (coed- borrowing position than other euro area sovereigns even if itor, 2012), Financial Globalization, Economic Growth, and the Crisis it achieves comparable debt levels. Further relief on official of 2007–09 (2010), and The United States as a Debtor Nation (2005). sector claims thus seems likely to be needed in the future, Note: I thank Jared Nolan for research assistance. For comments on an but is not urgent at present because almost all of Greece’s earlier draft, I thank without implicating Joseph Gagnon and Edwin borrowing needs should already be covered for the next few Truman. -
Creating a Framework for Sovereign Debt Restructuring That Works 1
Creating a Framework for Sovereign Debt Restructuring that Works 1 Martin Guzman2 and Joseph E. Stiglitz3 Abstract Recent controversies surrounding sovereign debt restructurings show the weaknesses of the current market-based system in achieving efficient and fair solutions to sovereign debt crises. This article reviews the existing problems and proposes solutions. It argues that improvements in the language of contracts, although beneficial, cannot provide a comprehensive, efficient, and equitable solution to the problems faced in restructurings—but there are improvements within the contractual approach that should be implemented. Ultimately, the contractual approach must be complemented by a multinational legal framework that facilitates restructurings based on principles of efficiency and equity. Given the current geopolitical constraints, in the short-run we advocate the implementation of a “soft law” approach, built on the recognition of the limitations of the private contractual approach and on a set of principles – most importantly, the restoration of sovereign immunity – over which there may be consensus. We suggest that in a context of political economy tensions it should be impossible for a government to sign away the sovereign immunity either for itself or successor governments. The framework could be implemented through the United Nations, or it could prompt the creation of a new institution. Keywords: Sovereign Debt Crises, Sovereign Debt Restructuring, Debt Contracts, International Lending 1 We are indebted to Sebastian -
Financial Distress in the Life Insurance Industry: an Empirical Examination
FINANCIAL DISTRESS IN THE LIFE INSURANCE INDUSTRY: AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION JamesM. Carson, Ph.D. Assistant Professor Department of Finance, Insurance and Law 5480 Illinois State University Normal, IL 61790-5480 U.S.A. Telephone: (309) 438-2968 Fax: (309) 438-5510 The financial condition of life insurers has received widespread public attention in recent years, especially with the failure of two large life insurers, Mutual Benefit Life and Executive Life, both in 1991. Failures of the magnitude of these two insurers and the increased frequency of insolvency suggest that a reexamination of the risk profiles of life insurers is warranted. The goals of the paper are to provide empirical evidence on the strength of three types of bankruptcy detection models and to identify significant variables in the early detection of financially distressed life insurers. The empirical methodologies include multiple discriminant analysis, logistic regression, and recursive partitioning (RP). An application of the RP methodology to insurance data has not been presented in the insurance or finance literature. Several variables and their relationship to the probability of insolvency are examined, including real estate, separate account assets,leverage, premium growth and other variables. The study utilizes data from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners for a sample of insurers that either did (1,380) or did not (40) remain solvent for the years 1990 and 1991. Improvements upon prior research are made in the areasof sample selection and the source of data collection. 1211 Les difficult& financihres dans le secteur de I’assurance vie : Examen empirique James M. Carson, PhD. Departement de finances, d’assurances et de droit 5480 Illinois State University Normal. -
Acquirer Financial Constraints, Takeover Characteristics, and Short-Term Performance of Distressed Target Takeovers
Acquirer Financial Constraints, Takeover Characteristics, and Short‐term Performance of Distressed Target Takeovers University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Business School Master Thesis June 2015 Student: F. L. Gelens Student number: 10034714 Email: [email protected] Supervisor: dr. V. Vladimirov Faculty: Economics and Business Program: Business Economics, Finance Track Field: Corporate Finance, Mergers & Acquisitions Statement of Originality: This document is written by Student F. L. Gelens who declares to take full responsibility for the contents of this document. I declare that the text and the work presented in this document is original and that no sources other than those mentioned in the text and its references have been used in creating it. The Faculty of Economics and Business is responsible solely for the supervision of completion of the work, not for the contents. Abstract Many motives for corporate acquisitions have been investigated, however the takeovers of financially distressed targets are less well explored. The papers that investigate distressed target takeovers examine the takeover characteristics and their wealth effects for the target and acquirer shareholders. These papers however, do not investigate the possible influence of acquirer financial constraints on these factors. This study examines whether acquirer financial constraints are related to the premiums, payment method, and short‐term performance of distressed target takeovers. Despite inconsistent findings across the different financial distress measurements used, the results suggest that acquirers of financially distressed targets are more likely to pay with equity, and this likelihood is increased when the acquirer is financially constrained. Additionally, the results of this research suggest that mergers and acquisitions in which distressed targets are combined with a financially unconstrained acquirer, lead to the highest wealth effects for the target company. -
A Theory of the Regulation of Debtor-In-Possession Financing
Vanderbilt Law Review Volume 46 Issue 4 Issue 4 - May 1993 Article 4 5-1993 A Theory of the Regulation of Debtor-in-Possession Financing George G. Triantis Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/vlr Part of the Banking and Finance Law Commons, and the Bankruptcy Law Commons Recommended Citation George G. Triantis, A Theory of the Regulation of Debtor-in-Possession Financing, 46 Vanderbilt Law Review 901 (1993) Available at: https://scholarship.law.vanderbilt.edu/vlr/vol46/iss4/4 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarship@Vanderbilt Law. It has been accepted for inclusion in Vanderbilt Law Review by an authorized editor of Scholarship@Vanderbilt Law. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A Theory of the Regulation of Debtor-in-Possession Financing George G. Triantis* I. INTRODUCTION .......................................... 901 II. THE REGULATION OF DIP FINANCING UNDER SECTION 364 ........................................ 904 III. FINANCIAL AGENCY PROBLEMS OF INSOLVENT FIRMS AND BANKRUPTCY LAW RESPONSES ............................. 910 IV. A MODEL OF JUDICIAL OVERSIGHT OF FINANCING DECISIONS UNDER SECTION 364 ................................. 918 V. CONCLUSION ............................................... 927 MATHEMATICAL APPENDIX ............................... 929 I. INTRODUCTION The profile of Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code in public con- sciousness has surged recently. Other than the automatic stay on the enforcement of claims,1 the -
223(A)(7) Underwriting Standards Comparison Between Normal Housing Processing and OMHAR Debt Restructuring Transactions*
223(a)(7) Underwriting Standards Comparison Between Normal Housing Processing and OMHAR Debt Restructuring Transactions* HUD Multifamily Hub or Program Center OMHAR To refinance existing loan to reduce interest rate To refinance existing loan, re-underwrite at market Purpose of program and/or extend amortization period in order to rents/expenses/interest rates and restructure debt in reduce risk of default. order to prevent default upon reduction of rents. 2530 Required for new or proposed principal partners. Required for all restructurings. Debt Service 1.11 Generally 1.2 to 1.4 to determine supportable debt. Coverage Ratio Loan-to-Value Ratio LTV not relevant. Less than or equal to 100% LTV. Lesser of original principal balance, or current Lesser of current UPB, or DS coverage or LTV Loan Ceiling UPB plus rehab and transaction costs, or DS criterion. coverage criterion. Loan Term Remaining term + 12 years. Remaining term + 12 years. 100% financeable, to the extent it can be Owner/borrower responsible for 50% of transaction Transaction Costs supported in mortgage. Refund half of fees costs for new takeout. Appraisal Standards Not required for A7. PAE obtains limited-scope appraisal for restructuring. Inspection Owner is required to submit their work write-up and Standards/ Owner/mortgagee is required to submit work estimates for 20-year reserve for Replacement write-up and estimates for 12-year reserve for replacements/repairs. PAE obtains independent Reserve replacement. HUD Field Office reviews. inspection (PCA), OMHAR reviews. OCAF applied Requirement annually to required deposit. PAE prepares draft environmental review for all Environmental HUD Field Office performs environmental review projects undergoing restructuring. -
When It Comes to Restructuring Corporate Debt, Care Needs to Be
Legal and Regulatory | Debt restructuring When it comes to restructuring corporate debt, care needs to be taken that trade is prioritised and the “each lender for itself” approach is suppressed for a better collective outcome, says Geoff Wynne n a market of low commodity prices and global trade growing at marginally less than world GDP, it is no surprise that some trade finance facilities are looking distinctly fragile. This article takes Ia closer look at restructurings involving trade finance obligations and, importantly, sets out the advantages of giving “true” trade debt priority. Historic context The argument started way back in the 1980s, particularly with the Latin American debt crises, where short term debts were paid – country restructurings paid short term debts because they matured quickly and should be outside long term restructurings. There was an assumption that because it was short term, it was trade debt, but this was www.tfreview.com 69 P69_TFR_Vol19_Iss10_Geoff Wynne.indd 69 06-Sep-16 2:39:02 PM Legal and Regulatory | Debt restructuring “The first question not always the case. would be paid because it was required for business There is certainly no evidence that any legal continuity. is, where does the system actually grants trade debt priority. But as Here is another clue that there could be better many know, the argument resurfaced in 2008–09 treatment for these trade receivables. A payer will creditor rank if its after the financial crisis, particularly when looking argue that they will pay their trade receivables loan or receivable is at the bank restructurings in Kazakhstan.1 in an ongoing business because they want to Definitions were crafted for trade debt and its guarantee the source of supply. -
Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt: the Role of a Bankruptcy Regime∗
Structuring and Restructuring Sovereign Debt: The Role of a Bankruptcy Regime∗ Patrick Bolton Columbia University∗∗ Olivier Jeanne IMF§ This version, November 2007 ∗This paper has benefited from the comments of Anil Kashyap (the editor) and three anonymous referees. The views expressed in this paper are those of the author and should not be attributed to the International Monetary Fund, its Executive Board, or its man- agement. Also affiliated with the National Bureau of Economic Research (Cambridge), the Center∗∗ for Economic Policy Research (London) and the European Corporate Governance Institute (Brussels). Contact address: Columbia Business School, 3022 Broadway, Uris Hall 804, New York, NY 10027; phone: (212) 854 9245; fax:(212) 662 8474 ; email: [email protected]. § Also affiliated with the Center for Economic Policy Research (London). Contact address: IMF, 700 19th street NW, Washington DC 20431; phone: (202) 623 4272; email: [email protected]. 1 abstract In an environment characterized by weak contractual enforcement, sov- ereign lenders can enhance the likelihood of repayment by making their claims more difficult to restructure ex post. We show however, that competition for repayment between lenders may result in a sovereign debt that is excessively difficult to restructure in equilibrium. This inefficiency may be alleviated by a suitably designed bankruptcy regime that facilitates debt restructuring. 2 1 Introduction The composition of sovereign debt and how it affects debt restructuring ne- gotiations in the event of financial distress has become a central policy issue in recent years. There are two major reasons why the spotlight has been turned on this question. First, the change in the IMF’s policy orientation towards sovereign debt crises, with a proposed greater weight on ‘private sector involvement’ (Rey Report, G-10, 1996), has brought up the question of how easy it actually is to get ‘the private sector involved’; that is, how easy it is to get private debt-holders to agree to a debt restructuring. -
Financial Distress Comparison Across Three Global Regions
Journal of Risk and Financial Management FINANCIAL DISTRESS COMPARISON ACROSS THREE GLOBAL REGIONS Harlan D. Platt Northeastern University Marjorie B. Platt Northeastern University ABSTRACT Globalization has precipitated movement of output and employment between regions. We examine factors related to corporate financial distress across three continents. Using a multidimensional definition of financial distress we test three hypotheses to explain financial distress using historical financial data. A null hypothesis of a single global model was rejected in favor of a fully relaxed model which created individual financial distress models for each region. This result suggests that despite other indications of worldwide convergence, international differences in accounting rules, lending practices, managements skill levels, and legal requirements among others has kept corporate decline from becoming commoditized. 129 Journal of Risk and Financial Management I. INTRODUCTION As companies move production offshore they face a growing risk of supply-chain disruption caused by the possible financial distress of foreign suppliers. Receiving a 12 month early warning of impending supplier difficulties provides buying companies the opportunity to either remediate the supplier’s condition or to contract with another supplier. The choice of actions may depend upon the capacity utilization in that particular sector or the availability of other suppliers. A supplier early warning system for manufacturing firms is analogous to bankruptcy models that alert lenders or investors that an offending firm is unable to service its long-term debt. Unlike investment analysts for whom obtaining advance warning of bankruptcy is sufficient, corporate purchasers require advance warning of supplier financial distress, a condition which normally precedes bankruptcy by some period of time.