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Ipsos MORI Northern Ireland Poll for Belfast Telehraph on the EU

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Ipsos MORI Northern Ireland Poll for Belfast Telehraph on the EU Table of Contents Page 1 Table 1 Page 1 Q1 Do you believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger or weaker if it left the European Union? Base: All Adults Table 2 Page 2 Q2 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be weaker if it left the European Union? Base: All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be weaker if it left the European Union Table 3 Page 6 Q3 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be stronger if it left the European Union? Base: All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger if it left the European Union Table 4 Page 9 Q4 As you may know the United Kingdom will have a referendum on its membership of the European Union on the 23rd of June this year. Who, if any, of these individuals will be important to you in deciding how to vote in the Referendum on European Union Membership? Base: All Adults Table 5 Page 12 Q7 Are you registered to vote? Base: All Adults 18+ (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 1/1 Q1 Do you believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger or weaker if it left the European Union? Base : All Adults Total UNWEIGHTED 1008 WEIGHTED 1008 100% Stronger 223 22% Weaker 462 46% Undecided 163 16% Do not know 159 16% Refused 2 * Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 1 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 2/1 Q2 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be weaker if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be weaker if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 469 WEIGHTED 462 100% Fewer economic benefits of 164 membership 36% Less access to EU funding for 95 local projects 21% Weaker presence in global 86 affairs 19% Fewer farming subsidies 58 13% Less freedom of movement of 57 citizens within Europe 12% Affect trade with Europe/ 54 trade agreements 12% Losing the security benefits 41 of membership 9% Lack of equality and less 32 social inclusion 7% Fewer regulations that protect 29 workers 6% Fewer environmental 28 protections 6% More strength in a group/ 24 stronger as a union 5% Lack of support and/ or 13 funding 3% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 2 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 2/2 Q2 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be weaker if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be weaker if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 469 WEIGHTED 462 100% Less co-operation in law 12 enforcement matters 3% Fine the way we are 11 2% We would be isolated 10 2% Less money 10 2% Lose jobs, increased 9 unemployment 2% We don't have the economy to 8 sustain ourselves 2% Too many unknowns 7 2% Less security 7 1% Discourage investment from 6 other european companies 1% Borders strengtened/ more 5 difficult to travel 1% Affect Northern Ireland more 4 1% We would have fewer choices 4 1% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 3 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 2/3 Q2 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be weaker if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be weaker if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 469 WEIGHTED 462 100% Increase cost of imports 3 1% Negative impact 3 1% Less migrants coming in 2 * Affect tax 2 * Too complicated 1 * Human rights issues 1 * Health care affected 1 * Increased red tape 1 * Lose of cultural links 1 * May affect tourism 1 * Uncertainity in financial 1 markets * It is a big risk 1 * Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 4 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 2/4 Q2 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be weaker if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be weaker if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 469 WEIGHTED 462 100% Sterling would be devalued 1 * Other comments 7 1% Don't know 16 4% Refused 8 2% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 5 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 3/1 Q3 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be stronger if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 215 WEIGHTED 223 100% Cost of membership would be 72 removed 32% Less bureaucracy/ fewer 68 overbearing regulations 30% Fewer open borders/ less 63 immigration 28% Increase in sovereignty of 18 member nations 8% Changes to fisheries policies 18 8% It would preserve the 18 integrity of the United 8% Kingdom Fewer links to unaccountable 17 institutions 8% Changes to farming policies 15 7% Eurozone crisis/ economic 13 difficulties in the EU 6% Don't need to be in it/ 10 doesn't make a difference 5% Economy would be stronger 8 4% Make our own decisions/ laws 7 3% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 6 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 3/2 Q3 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be stronger if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 215 WEIGHTED 223 100% Self-governing 4 2% Control our finances 3 2% Changes to import/ export 3 market 1% Increased employment/ easier 3 to start up a business 1% Better security 3 1% Control own resources 2 1% Home nations would work more 2 closely together 1% Greater democracy 1 1% More control over our own 1 military 1% Less responsible for bailing 1 out failing economies * Control our own affairs 1 * Less tax 1 * Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 7 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 3/3 Q3 Why would the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland be stronger if it left the European Union? Base : All who believe the United Kingdoms of Great Britain and Northern Ireland would be stronger if it left the European Union Total UNWEIGHTED 215 WEIGHTED 223 100% Debt would be cancelled 1 * Increase trading 1 * Other answers 12 5% Refused 3 1% Don't know 3 1% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 8 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 4/1 Q4 As you may know the United Kingdom will have a referendum on its membership of the European Union on the 23rd of June this year. Who, if any, of these individuals will be important to you in deciding how to vote in the Referendum on European Union Membership? Base : All Adults Total UNWEIGHTED 1008 WEIGHTED 1008 100% Arlene Foster, the First 153 Minister of Northern Ireland 15% David Cameron, the Prime 127 Minister and Leader of the 13% Conservative Party Martin McGuiness, the Deputy 119 First Minister of Northern 12% Ireland Mike Nesbitt, Leader of the 76 Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) 8% Boris Johnson, Mayor of London 74 7% Jeremy Corbyn, the Leader of 65 the Labour Party 6% Colum Eastwood, Leader of the 52 Social Democratic and Labour 5% Party (SDLP) Nigel Farage, the Leader of 46 the United Kingdom 5% Independence Party (UKIP) Steven Agnew, Leader of the 39 Green Party in Northern 4% Ireland Jim Allister, Leader of the 39 Traditional Unionist Voice 4% (TUV) Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 9 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 4/2 Q4 As you may know the United Kingdom will have a referendum on its membership of the European Union on the 23rd of June this year. Who, if any, of these individuals will be important to you in deciding how to vote in the Referendum on European Union Membership? Base : All Adults Total UNWEIGHTED 1008 WEIGHTED 1008 100% David Ford, Leader of the 33 Alliance Party 3% Theresa Villiers, Northern 33 Ireland Secretary of State 3% Nichola Mallon 3 * Michael Gove 2 * Dr. Josephine Deehan 1 * Ulster Farmers' Union 1 * Maurice Devenney 1 * Gerry Kelly 1 * Eamonn McCann 1 * Ian Paisley 1 * Mark Durkan 1 * Family member 1 * Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 10 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 4/3 Q4 As you may know the United Kingdom will have a referendum on its membership of the European Union on the 23rd of June this year. Who, if any, of these individuals will be important to you in deciding how to vote in the Referendum on European Union Membership? Base : All Adults Total UNWEIGHTED 1008 WEIGHTED 1008 100% The one with the best argument 1 * Don't know 1 * None of these 528 52% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 11 (16-026698) BREXIT POLL Table 5/1 Q7 Are you registered to vote? Base : All Adults 18+ Total UNWEIGHTED 990 WEIGHTED 990 100% Yes 848 86% No 131 13% Don't know 11 1% Fieldwork: April 2016 Page 12 .
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