Resilience Analysis in Borno State, Nigeria
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AnalysIng Resilience for better targeting and action and targeting better Resiliencefor AnalysIng RESILIENCE ANALYSIS ANALYSIS RESILIENCE IN BORNO STATE BORNO IN FAO resilience RESILIENCE INDEX MEASUREMENT AND ANALYSIS II y RIMA II analysis report No. 16 AnalysIng Resilience for better targeting and action FAO resilience analysis report No. 16 RESILIENCE ANALYSIS IN BORNO STATE I g e r i Na Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Rome, 2019 Required citation: FAO. 2019. Resilience analysis in Borno State, Nigeria. Rome. 44 pp. Licence: CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO. The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. 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Cover photo: © FAO/Sonia Nguyen iii CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS .......................................................... v ACRONYMS .................................................................... vi OBJECTIVE OF THE ANALYSIS .................................................... viii 1 KEY MESSAGES .............................................................. 1 2 MAIN FINDINGS, POLICY AND PROGRAMMING IMPLICATIONS ...................... 5 2.1 GEOGRAPHICAL PROFILES ................................................. 5 2.2 IDPS, HOST AND RETURNEE COMMUNITIES .................................. 9 2.3 HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION AND GENDER OF HOUSEHOLD HEAD .............. 10 2.4 SUBJECTIVE RESILIENCE ................................................. 13 2.5 VIOLENCE EXPOSURE .................................................... 14 3 METHODOLOGY AND COVERAGE ................................................ 17 4 NEXT STEPS ................................................................ 19 REFERENCES ................................................................. 20 ANNEX I - RESILIENCE MEASUREMENT ........................................... 22 ANNEX II - REGRESSION ANALYSES .............................................. 25 ANNEX III - DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS ............................................. 30 FIGURES 1 Data collection map ...........................................................ix 2 Resilience capacity index by Local Government Areas (LGAs) .........................6 3 Correlation of pillars and resilience capacity index by LGAs ..........................6 4 Main shocks reported by households by LGAs ......................................8 5 Shares of food consumption by household type .....................................9 6 Income sources by gender of household head .....................................12 7 Subjective Resilience Index ....................................................14 iv TABLES 1 Interviewed households by LGAs ................................................17 A1 MIMIC results ...............................................................23 A2 Variables employed in the RIMA-II model .........................................24 A3 Regression analysis: food security indicators .....................................25 A4 Subjective resilience and food security ...........................................27 A5 Effect of violence exposure on food security ......................................28 A6 Descriptive statistics for the full sample and by household types .....................30 A7 Descriptive statistics by LGAs ..................................................32 A8 Descriptive statistics of violence exposure – percentage of households reporting different dimensions of violence ........................................................34 A9 Descriptive statistics of violence exposure – percentage of households reporting different dimensions of violence by household type ........................................34 v ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The report has been jointly prepared by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations’ Nigeria Decentralized Office and the Resilience Analysis and Policies (RAP) team of FAO Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA). Special thanks go to Rebecca Pietrelli, Marco d’Errico, Stefania Di Giuseppe, Genevieve Theodorakis, Agnese Loy, Baoubadi Atozou and Lavinia Antonaci from FAO ESA Division; to Jordan Kakemu from FAO Nigeria Office; to Luca Russo from FAO Resilience Programme Management Team (SP5); and to Nigeria Northeast team for their invaluable contributions of technical expertise and information, as well as to Tomaso Lezzi and Giorgia Wizemann for the formatting and layout of the publication. The work carried out by FAO, the World Food Programme (WFP), and the United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women) Nigeria Country Offices, without which this baseline survey and resilience analysis would not have been possible, is also immensely appreciated. Special thanks to the enumerators and data clerks who worked tirelessly and ensured that reliable data with high quality standards were collected during the survey process. FAO would like to thank the European Union for the financial support which made possible the development of this publication. vi ACRONYMS ABS Access to Basic Services AC Adaptive Capacity AST Assets CH Cadre Harmonisé CILSS Comité Permanent Inter-Etats de Lutte contre la Sécheresse dans le Sahel CSI Coping Strategy Index ESA Agricultural Development Economics Division, FAO EU European Union EUTF Emergency Trust Fund for Africa FCS Food Consumption Score HH Household Head HHDDS Household Dietary Diversity Score HRP Humanitarian Response Plan IDPs Internally Displaced Persons LGA Local Government Area MIMIC Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes NEMA National Emergency Management Agency RAP Resilience Analysis and Policies (team) RCI Resilience Capacity Index RIMA Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis RPBA Recovery and Peace Building Assessment SEM Structural Equation Model SEMA State Emergency Management Agencies SO Specific Objective SSN Social Safety Nets TLU Tropical Livestock Unit vii UN Women United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of the Women USD United States Dollars WFP World Food Programme viii OBJECTIVE OF THE ANALYSIS Borno State, located in the north-east of Nigeria (see Figure 1), has been transformed from a dynamic and populated rural area into a zone of displacement, hazards and food insecurity as the result of escalating levels of violence. Since 2009, the conflict in north-eastern Nigeria has devastated agricultural livelihoods in various ways, including livestock losses; reduced access to fishing grounds; destruction of irrigation and farming facilities; and the collapse of extension services and key agriculture-based value chains. Losses have been caused by levies imposed by Boko Haram on transported production,