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Commercial Real Estate Investment Review / Second Quarter 2021 Greater Toronto Area GTA Investment Activity Low borrowing costs and abundant over-quarter, with the number of by Sector and Dollar Volume cash continued to fuel investors’ transactions rising in all five sectors appetite for commercial real estate and the overall count up 26%. assets in the Greater Toronto Area Cap rates crept downward during 7% (GTA) during the second quarter of 2021, as ongoing vaccinations the second quarter as buyers and 15% 32% allowed Ontario to begin ‘Step sellers navigated the ongoing Q2 2021 Three’ of its reopening plan, giving uncertainty. The overall GTA-wide stakeholders greater confidence in average declined 10 basis points $4.9B the future. Decade-low availability (bps) to 4.1%, with a corresponding 17% of industrial space and robust 10-bps decrease posted by all asset occupier demand made buyers’ classes except multi-residential, 29% hunger for ICI land and industrial which remained stable at 3.5%. assets especially insatiable – both sectors have the potential to exceed ICI Land Relentlessly pursued by investors for Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q2 2020 annual volume records by year-end. development or as a safe asset class, ICI land sales increased 95% quarter- ICI Land In all, second-quarter sales of office, industrial, retail, multi-residential over-quarter and a whopping $1.6B $807M $356M and ICI land assets (>=$1 million) 342% year-over-year to nearly $1.6 billion in the second quarter of Industrial across the GTA totaled nearly $4.9 billion – up 24% quarter-over-quarter 2021 (representing 32% of the GTA $1.4B $1.4B $1.7B and 69% compared with the second total). The sector’s first-half total of quarter of 2020 – with quarterly nearly $2.4 billion already exceeds Multi-Residential gains posted in every sector but 2020’s $2.1-billion full-year tally, and $815M $642M $310M office and industrial, which were flat. in fact, every annual result since Total first-half investment volume 1995 except 2018 ($2.8 billion) and Retail of $8.8 billion was up 54% year- 2019 ($2.9 billion). The sector may $725M $693M $322M over-year, and, notably, higher than be on pace to surpass those highs the first-half results from recent in 2021. The quarter’s two largest Office pre-pandemic years as well. Deal transactions were separated by a $349M $349M $204M activity also increased quarter- slim margin: Panattoni Development purchased a 59-acre site at 8000 © 2021 Avison Young Commercial Real Estate Services, LP, Brokerage. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third-party sources and has not been independently verified by Avison Young. Avison Young makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof. Investment sales data sourced from Avison Young, Altus RealNet and Altus InSite. Greater Toronto Area CRE Investment Review / Second Quarter 2021 4.1% $1.4B 95% Average cap rate for all asset Total industrial investment Increase in ICI land dollar types GTA-wide – down 10 sales in the second quarter volume quarter-over-quarter, bps quarter-over-quarter, but – accounting for 29% of total to $1.6 billion unchanged year-over-year GTA investment GTA Investment Volume GTA Select Capitalization Rates 20 9.0% 18 8.0% 16 14 7.0% 12 10 6.0% 8 $ in billions (CAD) 5.0% 6 4 4.0% 2 0 3.0% '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 Q2'21 YTD Q2'21 YTD Office Industrial Downtown Class AA Office Single-Tenant Industrial Retail Multi-Residential Tier I Regional Mall Multi-Tenant Industrial ICI Land Multi-Residential © 2021 Avison Young Commercial Real Estate Services, LP, Brokerage. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third-party sources and has not been independently verified by Avison Young. Avison Young makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof. Investment sales data sourced from Avison Young, Altus RealNet and Altus InSite. Greater Toronto Area CRE Investment Review / Second Quarter 2021 $90.6M The industrial sector’s largest deal of the second quarter was the sale of 8350 Lawson Rd., a 321,000-sf facility in Milton, for $282 psf 8350 Lawson Rd. Dixie Rd. in Brampton from Ford quarter 2021 was the sale of 8350 quarter, rising 5% quarter-over-quarter Motor Company for future industrial Lawson Rd., a 321,000-square-foot (sf) and 125% year-over-year to $725 development; while Cadillac Fairview facility in Milton, purchased by GWL million (15% share) in the second bought the remaining 50% interest Realty Advisors for $282 per square quarter. Year-to-date investment in the 169-acre Toronto Buttonville foot (psf). For perspective, the vendor volume of $1.4 billion represents 81% Municipal Airport (in Markham) from had acquired the property in 2008 for of 2020’s full-year total – a promising partner Armadale Properties with a $86 psf. Strong results in Etobicoke, sign for this asset class. The city and view to future mixed-use development. Scarborough and North York made suburbs were both well represented The Brampton sale helped make the City of Toronto the most active of among the top five transactions during Peel the GTA’s top region by dollar the GTA’s regions by dollar volume the quarter, with one asset each located volume during the quarter, with 42% with 34% of the quarterly total. in the urban downtown and midtown, of the overall total. In all, 3,846 acres alongside suburban centres from each changed hands as Durham led the Multi-Residential of the west, north and east GTA regions. GTA’s regions by acreage sold (43%). Investors remain drawn to multi- residential assets despite the relative Office Industrial scarcity of assets available on the Office was the least-traded asset class The industrial sector remains red-hot market. Multi-residential transaction for the sixth consecutive quarter as with $1.4 billion worth of properties volume totaled $815 million in the investors continue to await some changing hands for the second second quarter (17% share) – up clarity with respect to future occupier consecutive quarter (29% share), for 27% quarter-over-quarter and 163% demand in the sector. Availability and a year-to-date tally of $2.8 billion – compared with the second quarter of vacancy rates continued to rise during implying the sector may be on pace to 2020. Year-to-date volume of nearly the second quarter, while investor exceed 2020’s record-setting full-year $1.5 billion represents more than caution largely directed capital to other total of $4.6 billion. Quarterly volume 60% of the full-year 2020 figure. As asset types. Second-quarter investment was down 17% year-over-year, but the is often the case, the sector’s biggest volume was equal to the first quarter’s comparison is skewed by a $1.3-billion transaction during the quarter at $349 million (7% share) – but was portfolio sale between Alberta’s TC was a portfolio sale – CAPREIT’s up 71% compared with the second Energy and Ontario Power Generation purchase of a four-property, 485-unit quarter of 2020. At $698 million, year- that occurred in second-quarter portfolio in Oshawa at an aggregate to-date investment volume was up 2020. Decade-low 1.1% availability in price per unit of $213,720. 10% year-over-year. Suburban assets the GTA’s industrial leasing market remain popular with investors amid amplifies buyer demand for this asset Retail the uncertainty caused by COVID-19, class, as well as ICI land. The largest Investment in the retail sector and made up four of the quarter’s five industrial transaction of second- increased for the fourth consecutive largest transactions in the sector. © 2021 Avison Young Commercial Real Estate Services, LP, Brokerage. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third-party sources and has not been independently verified by Avison Young. Avison Young makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof. Investment sales data sourced from Avison Young, Altus RealNet and Altus InSite. Greater Toronto Area CRE Investment Review / Second Quarter 2021 Significant Transactions by Sale Price Sector Office Total Price Price psf Purchaser Vendor College Square $58,775,000 $235 Crown Realty Partners Epic Realty Partners 100 Gough Rd. $47,500,000 $425 BentallGreenOak Hans Group 229 College St. $29,300,000 $702 University of Toronto 229 College Street Holdings Inc. 5255 Satellite Dr. $22,000,000 $306 Rathcliffe Capital Manulife Real Estate Huntley Properties – Crown Realty Huntley Properties / $21,330,000 $132 Crown Realty Partners Partners Portfolio 2761052 Ontario Inc. Industrial Total Price Price psf Purchaser Vendor 8350 Lawson Rd. $90,600,000 $282 GWL Realty Advisors Oxford Properties Invar Building – Soneil Investments $72,800,000 $195 Soneil Investments Invar Building Corp. Portfolio 77 Belfield Rd. $65,000,000 $176 Amazon Belfield Investment Corp. 501 Consumers Rd. $56,000,000 $134 Amazon Consumers Road Investments Inc. 601-607 Milner Ave. $40,425,000 $92 Nicola Wealth Real Estate 2608342 Ontario Ltd. Retail Total Price Price psf Purchaser Vendor Oakwoods Centre $42,350,000 $565 Accu Electric Motors Inc. Carttera Private Equities Keswick Marketplace (75% interest) $22,725,000 $190 First National RioCan REIT 111 St. Clair Ave. W. $20,350,000 $911 111 St.
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