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The MJO Remained Weak During the Past Week As Reflected on the RMM
The MJO remained weak during the past week as reflected on the RMM-based MJO index, though there are indications that the signal is still present over the eastern Indian Ocean and the far western Maritime Continent in the upper levels. The CPC velocity potential based MJO index depicts a much slower propagation of the upper-level anomaly field, due in part to interference from the La Nina base state and ongoing tropical cyclone activity over the Atlantic. Dynamical model MJO index forecasts are in good agreement supporting renewed eastward propagation of a fairly weak MJO signal over the Maritime Continent during Week1, with possible emergence over the West Pacific by Week-2. Despite this advancing intraseasonal signal, the low frequency suppressed convective signal over the Pacific will likely play the greater role, and there is considerable uncertainty regarding the evolution of the MJO once it reaches the Pacific. Therefore, although dynamical models depict a somewhat quieter period of tropical cyclone activity over the Atlantic basin during Week-2 which would be consistent with MJO activity, there is no clear signal favoring increased shear. There are currently four active tropical cyclones over the Atlantic basin, and one tropical cyclone over the East Pacific. In addition to Hurricane Paulette, which formed last week and brought wind, rain, and surge impacts to Bermuda, Hurricane Sally formed over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and is currently near the northeastern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storms Teddy and Vicky formed over the main development region (MDR) between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. -
Storm Watcher Pdf, Epub, Ebook
STORM WATCHER PDF, EPUB, EBOOK Maria V Snyder | 228 pages | 05 May 2013 | Leap Books, LLC | 9781616030339 | English | Powell, WY, United States National Hurricane Center Tropical Storm Wilfred forms over the eastern Atlantic. Tropical Depression 22 forms in the Gulf of Mexico. September 17, September 14, Hurricane Teddy forms over the central Atlantic. September 16, Hurricane Sally has formed over the Gulf of Mexico. September 12, Paulette is now a hurricane over the northwestern Atlantic. September 13, The NHC indicates that Nana has become a hurricane and is expected to make landfall along the coast of Belize tonight. September 02, Tropical Storm Omar forms off the east coast of the United States. September 01, Marco has become a hurricane and could make landfall near the Louisiana coast on Monday. August 23, Tropical Storm Laura becomes a hurricane , forecast to reach category 3 before making landfall on the south coast of the USA. August 25, Tropical Storm Kyle has formed off the east coast of the United States. August 14, August 13, Tropical Depression 10 forms over the eastern Atlantic. J uly 31, Hurricane Isaias moving closer towards southern Florida. August 01, Hanna strengthens and has become the first hurricane of the Atlantic season. July 25, J uly 22, Tropical Storm Fay has formed near the coast of North Carolina. July 09, July 05, Tropical Storm Dolly forms over the north Atlantic. June 23, June 2, Tropical Storm Bertha has formed near the coast of South Carolina this morning. May 27, May 16, Storm Names for the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Tropical Storm Arthur. -
Nwa Newsletter
August 2016 No 16 - 8 NWA NEWSLETTER NWA Webinars Bring Better Science, Better Communication, Better Benefi ts for Members Trisha Palmer, NWA Councilor; NWA Professional Development Committee Chair Inside Jonathan Belles, Weather.com Digital Meteorologist 41st Annual Meeting: Did you know that the NWA hosts webinars each month? These webinars are offered free to NWA Special Events . 4 members, and they have been a great success! On the fi rst Wednesday of every month, a different Keynote Speaker . 6 NWA committee presents a webinar, up to an hour long, on a vast variety of meteorological topics and NWA programs. Meeting Sponsors . 6 General Info and Schedule . 7 In preparing for each monthly webinar, an ad-hoc team of planners and In Memory of Dave Schwartz . 2 technical support personnel including NWA Social Media . 2 Trisha Palmer (NWA Professional Development Committee Chair), Tim August President’s Message . 3 Brice (NWA Social Media Committee), New JOM Articles . 5 and Jonathan Belles collaborate with committees and their guests to create Chapter News: High Plains . 5 the best possible presentation of useful New NWA Members . 7 information. Assistance has been strong across the Association with dedicated Screenshot of NWA member Mike Mogil during the January New Seal Holders . 8 members including Greg Carbin, Frank webinar, “Planting MORE Micro-scale Forecasts” Alsheimer, Trevor Boucher, and Hulda Strategic Planning Committee . 9 Johannsdottir providing a great deal of service to this series. The webinars have been hosted on Professional Development and both GoToWebinar and Google Hangouts in order to extend benefi ts to as many people as possible Other Events . -
KJAX 2018 Product Criteria.Xlsx
Product Criteria Coastal Products Coastal Flood Statement Used to describe coastal hazards that do not meet advisory, warning or watch criteria such as minor beach erosion & elevated (Action) water levels. Coastal Flood Advisory Highlight minor flooding like tidal overflow that is imminent or possible within 12 Hours& if confidence is high (equal to or greater than 50%), then may extend or set to begin within 24 hrs. Coastal Flood Watch Significant coastal flooding is possible. This includes Moderate and Major flooding in the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) product. Coastal Flood Warning Significant coastal flooding is occurring, imminent or highly likely. This includes Moderate and Major flooding in AHPS. High Surf Advisory Breaker heights ≥ 7 Feet Rip Current Statement When a high risk of rip currents is expected Marine Products Small Craft Exercise Caution Winds 15-20 knots and/or seas 6 Feet Small Craft Advisory Winds 20-33 knots and/or seas ≥ 7 Feet Small Craft Advisory (seas only) Winds< 20 knots & seas ≥ 7 Feet (usually with a swell) Gale Watch Wind speed 34-47 knots or frequent gusts 34-47 knots Gale Warning Wind speed 34-47 knots or frequent gusts 34-47 knots Storm Watch Wind speed 48-63 knots or gusts of 48-63 knots Storm Warning Wind speed 48-63 knots or gusts of 48-63 knots Marine Dense Fog Advisory Widespread visibility < 1 nautical mile in fog Marine Dense Smoke Advisory Widespread visibility < 1 nautical mile in smoke Marine Weather Statement Update or cancel at Special Marine Warning (SMW), a statement on non-severe showers & thunderstorms, short-lived wind/sea increase that could be dangerous for small boats, significant conditions prevailing for 2+ Hours that could impact marine operations including: rough seas near inlets/passes, dense fog, low water events, HAZMAT spills, rapidly increasing/decreasing or shifting winds, or details on potential water landings. -
10-320 Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services
Department of Commerce • National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration • National Weather Service NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INSTRUCTION 10-320 MAY 14, 2020 Operations and Services Marine And Coastal Weather Services, NWSPD 10-3 SURF ZONE FORECAST AND COASTAL/LAKESHORE HAZARD SERVICES NOTICE: This publication is available at: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/directives/. OPR: W/AFS26 (J. Kuhn) Certified by: W/AFS26 (M. Angove) Type of Issuance: Unscheduled SUMMARY OF REVISIONS: This instruction supersedes NWSI 10-320, “Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services”, dated December 30, 2019. This instruction includes the following changes: Updated sections 2.3.3, 2.4, 2.6, 2.7 for reformatting of the Surf Zone Forecast Updated Appendix A Surf Zone Forecast examples. Digitally signed by STERN.ANDREW STERN.ANDREW.D.1382920348 .D.1382920348 Date: 2020.04.30 12:09:45 -04'00' 4/30/2020 Andrew D. Stern Date Director, Analyze, Forecast, and Support Office NWSI 10-320 MAY 14, 2020 Surf Zone Forecast and Coastal/Lakeshore Hazard Services Table of Contents: Page 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 4 2 Surf Zone Forecast (product category SRF) ............................................................................ 4 2.1 Mission Connection .......................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Issuance Guidelines ......................................................................................................... -
Thursday's Focus Is on Hurricanes and Flooding
Florida’s Severe Weather Awareness Week takes place from February 1-5, 2021. Severe Weather Awareness Week is an opportunity for Floridians to learn about the various weather hazards that frequently impact the state and how families and businesses can prepare for these natural events. Each day focuses on a specific weather event. Thursday’s focus is on hurricanes and flooding. The most feared weather phenomenon throughout Florida during the summer and early fall is the tropical cyclone. Close to the tropics and surrounded on three sides by warm water, the unique location of Florida makes it particularly vulnerable to these systems as they develop across the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea. The relatively flat terrain of Florida can also make it susceptible to flooding. Florida has a long history of hurricanes. Records indicate that approximately 118 hurricanes and around 164 tropical storms have impacted the state since 1888 (133 years), with many more cited in history books prior to that year and even before official records were kept. DID YOU KNOW??? No other state in the country has more hurricane landfalls per year on average than Florida does. Nearly 40% of all hurricanes that strike the United States make landfall in Florida. DID YOU KNOW??? In the last 150 years, all of Florida’s counties have been impacted by at least one hurricane. The North Atlantic Ocean hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and continues through November 30. However, tropical systems can still form outside of hurricane season as early as May and as late as December. -
SA-Announce Notification System User Manual Version 8.0.0 ©2009 Syn-Apps L.L.C
SA-Announce Notification System User Manual Version 8.0.0 ©2009 Syn-Apps L.L.C. About Syn-Apps Syn-Apps L.L.C. was founded in 2000 as a consulting firm focused on developing software for IP telephony. Since that time Syn-Apps has more than tripled in size and has expanded its consulting services to include enterprise application development. We believe that our relatively small firm is able to fulfill the needs of our customers more efficiently and inexpensively than our larger competitors. Syn-Apps has an extensive knowledge base in numerous technologies, including .NET, C#, VB.Net, SQL Server, Java, C++ and other mainstream development tools. Syn-Apps additionally has a strong background in network design and networking fundamentals. We believe this combination of experience in a broad range of technologies allows us to offer our customers an end-to-end application development solution. We believe that in order to have a successful application deployment one should not only understand the development environment but also understand how the application will interact with the rest of network. Syn-Apps employs one of the Cisco Systems Engineers that was responsible for the network development and design for many Fortune 100 companies. We believe that this enables us to become a valuable asset to any development team. Syn-Apps developers have a wide variety of development experience in many diverse industries. Our developers have been employed by, or consulted for companies such as Microsoft, Cisco, General Motors, General Dynamics, Bloomberg, and many others. All of our developers have a keen understanding of the software development life cycle and know how to develop successful applications. -
Hurricane Sally Gains Strength As It Nears Southern US 16 September 2020, by Gianrigo Marletta, with Tori Otten in Washington
Hurricane Sally gains strength as it nears southern US 16 September 2020, by Gianrigo Marletta, With Tori Otten In Washington to the Weather Channel, and video posted to social media appeared to show some areas had started to flood. At 0500 GMT, Sally was about 65 miles south of Mobile, Alabama and heading north at a crawling pace of two miles per hour in the Gulf of Mexico, though the storm was expected to pick up speed through Wednesday. Sally is one of five tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean—a phenomenon only recorded once before, in September 1971, according to meteorologists. Sally is one of five tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean—a phenomenon only recorded once before, in September 1971, according to meteorologists Hurricane Sally picked up strength as it edged towards the US Gulf Coast early Wednesday, with forecasts of drenching rains that could provoke "historic" and potentially deadly flash floods. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) said coastal areas in Alabama, Mississippi and Florida were in the sights of the storm, that was packing maximum sustained winds of around 105 miles (165 Water floods a road in Mississippi hours before Sally kilometers) per hour by midnight local time (0500 made landfall GMT). The storm—previously downgraded to Category 1—had strengthened again to Category 2, it said. Alabama governor Kay Ivey told a press conference: "We are looking at record flooding, "Historic life-threatening flooding likely along perhaps breaking historic levels. And with rising portions of the northern Gulf coast," the Miami- water comes a greater risk for loss of property and based center had warned late Tuesday, adding the life. -
|||GET||| Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1St Edition
GPS YOUR GUIDE THROUGH PERSONAL STORMS 1ST EDITION DOWNLOAD FREE James Coyle | 9781532014437 | | | | | Hurricane Paulette, Tropical Storm Sally both track closer to land Galveston Hurricane Retrieved February 23, Hurricane Epsilon Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1st edition now rapidly intensifying near Bermuda, the new model suggests it will turn towards Europe as a powerful extratropical storm October 21, Satellite Product Tutorials. A similar mission was also completed successfully in the western Pacific Ocean. Retrieved September 7, Retrieved April 30, Landfall, likely in southeastern Louisiana, is expected late Monday or early Tuesday. The storms can last for minutes, hours, days, weeks, or even years- it just depends on the circumstances. S Atlantic. National Climatic Data Center. Retrieved May 2, Dry season Harmattan Wet season. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The Northeast Pacific Ocean has a broader period of activity, but in a similar time frame to the Atlantic. Strong rip currents spread towards the East Coast October 19, Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers and Tropical Cyclone Warning Centers provide current information and forecasts to help individuals make the best decision possible. Archived Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1st edition the original on August 27, Tropical cyclone naming. Retrieved April 26, Physically, the cyclonic circulation of the storm advects environmental air poleward east of center and equatorial west of center. Archived from the original on May 9, Archived from the original on May 7, European windstorms. From hydrostatic balancethe warm core translates to lower pressure at the center at all altitudes, with the maximum pressure drop located at the surface. Archived from the original PDF on June 14, December 20, The near-surface wind field of a tropical cyclone is characterized by air rotating rapidly around a center of circulation while Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1st edition flowing radially inwards. -
2021 Pre-Season Brief
Hurricane Preparedness Week 2021 31 May - 4 June 2021 In collaboration with the Government of Bermuda Disaster Risk Reduction Mitigation Team Tropical Cyclone Terminology Tropical Depression Arthur • Tropical Depression* - A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed is <34 knots. • Tropical Storm*- A tropical cyclone in which the maximum NASA sustained surface wind speed ranges from 34 to 63 knots. *Also includes Subtropical Cyclones • Hurricane - A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind is 64 knots or higher. • Major Hurricane - A hurricane that is classified as Category 3 or higher, 96 knots and higher BWS Historical Tropical Cyclone Record For Bermuda September and October are the most active months for Bermuda storms Satellite image – Hurricane Fabian, 2003 Notable recent storms: 18 September 2019 Major Hurricane Humberto 12-13 October 2016 Major Hurricane Nicole 17 October 2014 Major Hurricane Gonzalo Storms within 100nm (i.e. meeting BWS Threat criterion) 5 September 2003 Sources: NOAA, BWS, BIOS, University of Reading Major Hurricane Fabian Teddy surge aftermath 2020 Hurricane Season – Impacts • Arthur, Edouard, Paulette, Teddy, & Epsilon threatened Bermuda. • No injuries or fatalities reported through the season. • Hurricane Paulette: • Direct hit, with eye passage right over the island, 6AM ADT Monday 14 Sept 2020. Radar Reflectivity • 25,000 electricity outages (~70% of total) • Estimated >US$50mill in damage. • Hurricane Teddy: • Distant passage, but a surge & wave event Wind Gusts rainfall Surge Waves Storm Site Elev. Spd(kts) (kts) (mm) (m) (m) Pearl Paulette Island 8m ASL 69 82 74 0.73 9 to 10 The Teddy Crescent 6m ASL 53 71 36 0.89 7 to 8 Hurr. -
Mackinac County Water Safety Review Team: Educating the Public on Rip Currents
Mackinac County Water Safety Review Team: Educating the Public on Rip Currents Ron Kinnunen Michigan Sea Grant Mackinac County Water Safety Review Team • Organized in 1998 shortly after the drowning of 12 year old Travis Brown at U.S. Forest Service Lake Michigan campground. • Increase public awareness of rip currents in the Great Lakes. • Prevent future drownings in high risk area of northern Lake Michigan in Mackinac county Water Safety Team Members • Travis Brown Family • Luce, Mackinac, Alger, • Mackinac County Sheriff’s Schoolcraft County Health Dept. Dept. • Michigan State Police • Hiawatha National Forest • Mackinac Co Office of • First National Bank of St. Emergency Services Ignace • MSU Extension and Sea • Cellular One Grant • Dune Shores Resort • St. Ignace Chamber of • Moran Township Commerce • MI Dept. Of Transportation • Allied EMS • MI DNR • Mackinac County 911 • U.S. Coast Guard • St. Ignace News • Marine Hydrodynamics • National Weather Service Laboratories (U.M.) Mackinac County Water Safety Review Team Projects • Brochure development • Public outreach • Rip current signage • Rescue stations • Logo contest • Public service announcements • Great Lakes Rip Current Conference Brochure Development • Local brochure produced by Mackinac County Water Safety Review Team National Brochure • National brochure supported by 10 Sea Grant Programs including MI and WI Sea Grant Public Outreach: Rip Current Display • Rip current education display • Used in conjunction with training events such as state park training and various educational fairs Public Outreach: Rip Current Informational Workshop • Outdoor event on Northern Lake Michigan Public Outreach: Rip Current Informational Workshop • Outdoor event on Northern Lake Michigan complete with black flies Public Outreach: U.P. Rip Current Workshop • Held in St. -
|||GET||| Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1St Edition
GPS YOUR GUIDE THROUGH PERSONAL STORMS 1ST EDITION DOWNLOAD FREE James Coyle | 9781532014413 | | | | | Hurricane Paulette, Tropical Storm Sally both track closer to land The primary circulation is larger in magnitude, dominating the surface wind field, and is responsible for the majority of the damage a storm causes, while the secondary circulation is slower but governs the energetics of the storm. A storm surge warning is in effect from Port Fourchon, La. My hope is to Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1st edition you with some tools and information that can assist you, your family, your friends, and your associates through the difficult curves, potholes, steep climbs, and soft shoulders on the roads you experience. The Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. Retrieved December 14, Archived from the original on May 27, The flooding water can also spark many dangerous oil spills. At the center of a mature tropical cyclone, air sinks rather than rises. Ensley, Gps Your Guide Through Personal Storms 1st edition J. Archived PDF from the original on March 29, Central Pacific Hurricane Center. Houston Chronicle. Main articles: Hurricane preparedness and Hurricane response. Retrieved May 6, After a significant cold outbreak and record early snow in September, winter weather is spread across the Northern Plains List of European windstorms List of atmospheric pressure records in Europe. Archived from the original on June 9, OED Online. Main article: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Retrieved October 23, The flood water can pick up the toxins from different spills and contaminate the land that it passes over. Space Time Energy Matter particles chemical elements Change.