Statement of the Sudanese Civil Society Initiative, 4 February 2009
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Sudan Brief December 2019
NUMBER 63 SUDAN BRIEF DECEMBER 2019 Sudan’s popular uprising and the demise of Islamism1 In December 2018, a peaceful popular uprising erupted in Sudan which led to the downfall of Omar al-Bashir in April 2019. The thirty-year authoritarian rule by the Islamist National Congress Party (NCP) thereby came to an end. Last month, a new law AUTHOR officially dissolved the NCP which was a key demand of the Munzoul A. M. Assal University of Khartoum popular protest moment. SUDAN BRIEF 2019:03 This Sudan Brief is concerned with the fractionalization of Islamism during Bashir’s rule (1989-2019). It does not focus on the details of Bashir’s brutal rule, rather, it is about the emerging disunity from within which eventually led to the removal of Bashir from power. I analyze factors that led to the Islamists adopting a more pragmatic stand, especially after the main ideologue of the Islamist movement was kicked out into the cold in 1999. The Brief argues that although the Islamists have successfully created a parallel or deep state the last three decades, the political shift of power away from the Islamists which the 2018 popular uprising represent, makes the political future of Islamism bleak. Loss of social sympathy The recent protests were fore fronted by young coming third in the elections and forming part of women and men who were born and raised during the coalition government of Sadiq el-Mahdi. While Islamist authoritarianism. This was in and of the NIF used the transitional period to reinforce itself seen as a crushing defeat of the Islamists’ its position, the multiparty democracy provided ideological project and thus represent a bleak future them with yet another chance to build and further for political Islam in Sudan. -
The Fall of Al-Bashir: Mapping Contestation Forces in Sudan
Bawader, 12th April 2019 The Fall of al-Bashir: Mapping Contestation Forces in Sudan → Magdi El-Gizouli Protests in Khartoum calling for regime change © EPA-EFE/STR What is the Sudanese Professionals Association (SPA) anyway, perplexed commentators and news anchors on Sudan’s government-aligned television channels asked repetitively as if bound by a spell? An anchor on the BBC Arabic Channel described the SPA as “mysterious” and “bewildering”. Most were asking about the apparently unfathomable body that has taken the Sudanese political scene by surprise since December 2018 when the ongoing wave of popular protests against President Omar al-Bashir’s 30-year authoritarian rule began. The initial spark of protests came from Atbara, a dusty town pressed between the Nile and the desert some 350km north of the capital, Khartoum. A crowd of school pupils, market labourers and university students raged against the government in response to an abrupt tripling of the price of bread as a result of the government’s removal of wheat subsidies. Protestors in several towns across the country set fire to the headquarters of the ruling National Congress Party (NCP) and stormed local government offices and Zakat Chamber1 storehouses taking food items in a show of popular sovereignty. Territorial separation and economic freefall Since the independence of South Sudan in 2011, Sudan’s economy has been experiencing a freefall as the bulk of its oil and government revenues withered away almost overnight. Currency depreciation, hyperinflation and dwindling foreign currency reserves coupled with the rise in the prices of good and a banking crisis with severe cash supply shortages, have all contributed to the economic crisis. -
Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and U.S. Policy
Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and U.S. Policy -name redacted- Specialist in African Affairs October 5, 2012 Congressional Research Service 7-.... www.crs.gov R42774 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and U.S. Policy Summary Congress has played an active role in U.S. policy toward Sudan for more than three decades. Efforts to support an end to the country’s myriad conflicts and human rights abuses have dominated the agenda, as have counterterrorism concerns. When unified (1956-2011), Sudan was Africa’s largest nation, bordering nine countries and stretching from the northern borders of Kenya and Uganda to the southern borders of Egypt and Libya. Strategically located along the Nile River and the Red Sea, Sudan was historically described as a crossroads between the Arab world and Africa. Domestic and international efforts to unite its ethnically, racially, religiously, and culturally diverse population under a common national identity fell short, however. In 2011, after decades of civil war and a 6.5 year transitional period, Sudan split in two. Mistrust between the two Sudans—Sudan and South Sudan—lingers, and unresolved disputes and related security issues still threaten to pull the two countries back to war. The north-south split did not resolve other simmering conflicts, notably in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Southern Kordofan. Roughly 2.5 million people remain displaced as a result of these conflicts. Like the broader sub-region, the Sudans are susceptible to drought and food insecurity, despite significant agricultural potential in some areas. -
Sudan Opposition to the Government, Including
Country Policy and Information Note Sudan: Opposition to the government, including sur place activity Version 2.0 November 2018 Preface Purpose This note provides country of origin information (COI) and analysis of COI for use by Home Office decision makers handling particular types of protection and human rights claims (as set out in the basis of claim section). It is not intended to be an exhaustive survey of a particular subject or theme. It is split into two main sections: (1) analysis of COI; and (2) COI. These are explained in more detail below. Asessment This section analyses the evidence relevant to this note – i.e. the COI section; refugee/human rights laws and policies; and applicable caselaw – by describing this and its inter-relationships, and provides an assessment on whether, in general: x A person is reasonably likely to face a real risk of persecution or serious harm x A person is able to obtain protection from the state (or quasi state bodies) x A person is reasonably able to relocate within a country or territory x Claims are likely to justify granting asylum, humanitarian protection or other form of leave, and x If a claim is refused, it is likely or unlikely to be certifiable as ‘clearly unfounded’ under section 94 of the Nationality, Immigration and Asylum Act 2002. Decision makers must, however, still consider all claims on an individual basis, taking into account each case’s specific facts. Country of origin information The country information in this note has been carefully selected in accordance with the general principles of COI research as set out in the Common EU [European Union] Guidelines for Processing Country of Origin Information (COI), dated April 2008, and the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin and Asylum Research and Documentation’s (ACCORD), Researching Country Origin Information – Training Manual, 2013. -
Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and US Policy
Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and U.S. Policy Lauren Ploch Blanchard Specialist in African Affairs October 5, 2012 Congressional Research Service 7-5700 www.crs.gov R42774 CRS Report for Congress Prepared for Members and Committees of Congress Sudan and South Sudan: Current Issues for Congress and U.S. Policy Summary Congress has played an active role in U.S. policy toward Sudan for more than three decades. Efforts to support an end to the country’s myriad conflicts and human rights abuses have dominated the agenda, as have counterterrorism concerns. When unified (1956-2011), Sudan was Africa’s largest nation, bordering nine countries and stretching from the northern borders of Kenya and Uganda to the southern borders of Egypt and Libya. Strategically located along the Nile River and the Red Sea, Sudan was historically described as a crossroads between the Arab world and Africa. Domestic and international efforts to unite its ethnically, racially, religiously, and culturally diverse population under a common national identity fell short, however. In 2011, after decades of civil war and a 6.5 year transitional period, Sudan split in two. Mistrust between the two Sudans—Sudan and South Sudan—lingers, and unresolved disputes and related security issues still threaten to pull the two countries back to war. The north-south split did not resolve other simmering conflicts, notably in Darfur, Blue Nile, and Southern Kordofan. Roughly 2.5 million people remain displaced as a result of these conflicts. Like the broader sub-region, the Sudans are susceptible to drought and food insecurity, despite significant agricultural potential in some areas. -
The Case of the Sudan's Power Relations
American University in Cairo AUC Knowledge Fountain Theses and Dissertations 6-1-2015 A Prince and a Fractured Kingdom: The Case of the Sudan’s Power Relations Jihad Salih Mashamoun Follow this and additional works at: https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds Recommended Citation APA Citation Salih Mashamoun, J. (2015).A Prince and a Fractured Kingdom: The Case of the Sudan’s Power Relations [Master’s thesis, the American University in Cairo]. AUC Knowledge Fountain. https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/63 MLA Citation Salih Mashamoun, Jihad. A Prince and a Fractured Kingdom: The Case of the Sudan’s Power Relations. 2015. American University in Cairo, Master's thesis. AUC Knowledge Fountain. https://fount.aucegypt.edu/etds/63 This Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by AUC Knowledge Fountain. It has been accepted for inclusion in Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of AUC Knowledge Fountain. For more information, please contact [email protected]. The American University in Cairo School of Humanities and Social Sciences A Prince and a Fractured Kingdom: The Case of the Sudan’s Power Relations A Thesis Submitted to The Political Science Department In partial fulfillment of the requirements for A Master of Arts Degree By Jihad Salih Mashamoun Under the supervision of Dr. Nadia Farah April 30,2015 Table of Contents Dedication……………………………………………………………………………v Acknowledgments…………………………………………………………………...vi Acronyms………………………………………………………………………………………….. vii Abstract……………………………………………………………………………...xi Introduction…………………………………………………………………………...1 -
Darfursaudi Arabia the Violence.!Bur Sudan of Geopolitics Nation-State and the Policy of Hegemony and Coercion in Post-Colonial Sudan
.! .! .!Aswan Egypt Libya Wadi Halfa Jiddah .! Mecca AUGUST 2008 .!.! DarfurSaudi Arabia The Violence.!Bur Sudan of Geopolitics Nation-state and the policy of hegemony and coercion in post-colonial Sudan KhartoumOmdurman .!.! Asmara Sanaa Chad Eritrea.! .! Yemen Sudan !El Obeid . .! .! Djibouti .!Djibouti Elsadig Elsheikh Research Associate Somalia Adis Abeba .! john a. powell KIRWAN INSTITUTEEthiopia Executive Director FOR THE STUDY OF RACE AND ETHNICITY Andrew Grant-Thomas Deputy Director THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY Central African Republic .!Bangui Zaire Somalia Kenya Congo Uganda .! Photo Credits: United Nations kirwan institute A university-wide interdisciplinary research institute, the Kirwan Institute generates and supports innovative analyses of the dynamics that underlie racial marginality and undermine full and fair democratic practices in the United States and throughout the global community. Its work informs policies and practices to produce equitable change. Darfur: the Violence of Geopolitics Nation‐state and the policy of hegemony and coercion in post‐colonial Sudan1 By Elsadig Elsheikh Research Associate, the International Program Kirwan Institute for the Study of Race and Ethnicity, the Ohio State University August 2008 1 This paper is part of a book (forthcoming From VDM‐Germany) Glossary Almahadya: It is the first Sudanese State that ended the Turco‐Egyptian colonization of Sudan (1821‐1884). The Almahadya rule lasted fourteen years (1884‐1898). Almahadya derives its name from its leader Mohamed Ahmad Almahadi, who led a movement to liberate most of what will become today to be known as Sudan in 1881. CPA: It is the acronym for the Comprehensive Peace Agreement that was signed between the Government of the Sudan and the Sudan’s Peoples Liberation Movement/Army. -
Why Sudan's Popular Consultation Matters
UNIteD StAteS INStItUte of Peace www.usip.org SPeCIAL RePoRt 1200 17th Street NW • Washington, DC 20036 • 202.457.1700 • fax 202.429.6063 ABOUT THE REPO R T Jason Gluck This report examines Sudan’s popular consultation, an ongoing process whereby the people of the Sudanese states of Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile will democratically and popularly assess the 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement and determine whether it satisfactorily reflects the aspirations of the people. Why Sudan’s Popular If not, the two states will negotiate with the government of Sudan to remedy any defects in the agreement in order to reach a final settlement of the decades-long Sudanese civil war. This report seeks to explain what popular consultation is, Consultation Matters how it is likely to unfold, what the metrics are for measuring success, and what roles the international community might play. In addition, the report describes how a successful process Summary could transform Sudanese politics and governance, and how a neglected or mismanaged process could destabilize not • Largely unnoticed outside the region, the Sudanese states of Southern Kordofan and Blue just Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile, but all Sudan. In other Nile have begun the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA)–mandated process of popular words, it explains why popular consultation matters. consultation, which permits Southern Kordofan and Blue Nile to either adopt the CPA as the Jason Gluck is a senior rule of law adviser in USIP’s Rule of Law final settlement between the two states and the Government of Sudan (GoS) or renegotiate Center of Innovation. -
1. FACTBOX: Sudan Presidential Election Results Tuesday 27 April
1. FACTBOX: Sudan presidential election results Tuesday 27 April 2010 SUDAN NATIONAL PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 10,114,310 valid votes cast 1. Omer Hassan Al-Bashir (National Congress Party) 68.24% - 6,901,694 votes 2. Yasir Arman (Sudan People’s Liberation Movement) 21.69% - 2,193,826 votes 3. Abdullah Deng Nhial (Popular Congress Party) 3.92% - 396,139 votes 4. Hatim Al-Sir (Democratic Unionist Party) 1.93% - 195,668 votes 5. Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi (Umma Party) 0.96% - 96,868 votes 6. Kamil Idriss (Independent) 0.76% - 77,132 votes 7. Mahmood Ahmed Jeha (Independent) 0.71% - 71,708 votes 8. Mubarak al-Fadil (Umma Reform and Renewal Party) 0.49% - 49,402 votes 9. Munir Sheikh El-din Jallab (New National Democratic Party) 0.40% - 40,277 votes 10. Abdel-Aziz Khalid (Sudanese National Alliance) 0.34%- 34,592 votes 11. Fatima Abdel-Mahmood (Sudanese Socialist Democratic Union) 0.30% - 30,562 votes 12. Mohamed Ibrahim Nugud (COMMUNIST PARTY) 0.26% - 26,442 votes SOUTH SUDAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 2,813,830 valid votes cast 1. Salva Kiir (Sudan People’s Liberation Movement) 92.99% - 2,616,613 votes 2. Lam Akol (Sudan People’s Liberation Movement for Democratic Change) 7.01% - 197,217 votes (ST) END1 2. Election results (NB - these were sent to me by colleagues and do not constitute an official statement) I. Presidential elections The detailed result of Mr Omer Bashir in the presidential elections Total votes he got in the South 354695 Total No of voters for all presidential candidates 2572165 Percentage of votes for Bashir in the South 13.79% Total -
Sudan: What Kind of State? What Kind of Crisis?
crisis states research centre OCCASIONAL PAPERS Occasional Paper no. 2 Sudan: What kind of state? What kind of crisis ? Alex de Waal Social Science Research Council April 2007 ISSN 1753 3082 (online) Copyright © Alex de Waal, 2007 Crisis States Research Centre Although every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and reliability of material published in this Occasional Paper, the Crisis States Research Centre and LSE acce pt no responsibility for the veracity of claims or accuracy of information provided by contributors. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior permission in writing of the publisher nor be issued to the public or circulated in any form other than that in which it is published. Requests for permission to reproduce this Occasional Paper, or any part thereof, should be sent to: The Editor, Crisis States Research Centre, LSE, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE 1 Sudan: What Kind of State? What Kind of Crisis? Alex de Waal Social Science Research Council Overview In its half century of independent statehood, Sudan has only rarely and briefly been at peace. From the eve of independence until 1972, a separatist rebellion in the South caused hundreds of thousands of deaths. Peace in the South coincided with an on-off civil war in the North between a secular leftist government and conservative sectarian forces. “National reconciliation” between the Northern foes in 1977 prompted a slow slide into renewed war in the South, which crystallised into all-out rebellion in 1983 and the spreading of the conflict to adjoining areas in the North in 1985 and to eastern Sudan in 1994. -
Polity IV Country Report 2010: Sudan
Polity IV Country Report 2010: Sudan Score: 2009 2010 Change Polity: -4 -2 +2 Democ: 0 1 +1 Autoc: 4 3 -1 Durable: 5 Tentative: Yes SCODE SUD CCODE 625 Date of Report 1 June 2011 Polity IV Component Variables XRREG XRCOMP XROPEN XCONST PARREG PARCOMP 1 0 0 2 3 3 Date of Most Recent Polity Transition (3 or more point change) End Date 12 August 2002 Begin Date 9 July 2005 Polity Fragmentation: No Constitution 2005 (Interim National Constitution) President Umar Hassan Ahmad al-Bashir (NCP); initially seized power in Executive(s) June 1989; officially became president 1993; initially directly elected 1996; reelected 11 and 15 April 2010; 68.2% Bicameral: National Assembly (450 seats; most recent elections, 11 and 15 April 2010) National Congress Party (NCP): 323 Legislature Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM): 99 Other parties: 21 Independents: 3 Vacant: 4 Council of States (50 seats; indirectly elected by state legislatures) Judiciary Constitutional Court; National Supreme Court; National Courts of Appeal Narrative Description:1 Executive Recruitment: Self-Selection (4) Uman Hassan Ahmad al-Bashir initially gained power in June 1989 by means of a military coup that displaced Sudan’s first freely elected civilian government in eighteen years. He immediately dissolved the legislature, suspended the 1985 constitution, banned all political parties other than his own National Islamic Front (NIF), and established the Revolution Command Council for National Salvation (RCC) as the supreme ruling body of an Islamic state. In 1993, facing increasing international condemnation and 1 The research described in this report was sponsored by the Political Instability Task Force (PITF). -
Sudan Profile
Thai Trade Center CAIRO Sudan Profile Location North-eastern Africa, bordering the Red Sea, between Egypt and Eritrea. At the top left, the capital city of Sudan, Khartoum, is located at the convergence of the Blue Nile and the White Nile. Although the Blue Nile is much shorter than the White Nile, it contributes about 80% of the flow of the river. The Dahlak Archipelago is seen off the Red Sea coast of Eritrea. Because of their isolation, the numerous coral reefs of the Dahlak Archipelago are some of the most pristine in the world. North of the Rift Valley, in central Ethiopia, are the Simien Mountains and Lake Tana. Lake Tana is the source of the Blue Nile. Photo courtesy of NASA. Basic Information ormation . Country name: Sudan . Capital: Khartoum . Population: 37,345,935 (July 2017 est.) . Population growth rate: 1.64% (2017 est.) . Total area: 1,861,484 sq km . Government Type : presidential republic . Independence: 1 January 1956 from Egypt and UK . Chief of state: President Umar Hassan Ahmad Albashir (since 16 October 1993) . First Vice President & Prime Minister: Bakti Hassan Salih . Second Vice President: Hasabu Mohamed Abdel Rrahmin . Note - the president is both chief of state and head of government . Ethnic Groups: Sudanese Arab (approximately 70%), Fur, Beja, Nuba, Fallata Languages : Arabic (official), English (official), Nubian, Ta Bedawie, Fur . Religions : Sunni Muslim, small Christian minority Population Pyramid A population pyramidormation illustrates the age and sex structure of a country's population and may provide insights about political and social stability, as well as economic development. The population is distributed along the horizontal axis, with males shown on the left and females on the right.