Discussion Paper March, 2017
Discussion Paper March, 2017 Risk of loneliness among older people in Bournemouth and Poole Research shows that chronic loneliness can result in deterioration of health and well-being and also reduce life expectancy. This paper examines, at neighbourhood and ward levels, the risk that older people in Bournemouth and Poole are often lonely. Unless otherwise stated, “older” means aged 65 or over. We use the term “conurbation” to refer to Bournemouth and Poole together. Note that “risk” is not the same as ”count”. Individual risk reflects the likelihood that an older person will be lonely often. Areas with moderate average risks may have relatively high expected counts if they contain very large numbers of older people. This paper is mainly concerned with risk at Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) level but planners may be interested in expected counts both at this level and Ward level. We therefore also examine modelled expected counts. Key Points: There are eight Lower Super Output Areas (LSOAs) in the conurbation which are in the worst national decile for risk of being lonely often. Five of these are in Bournemouth and three are in Poole. The seven wards (20% of them) in the conurbation with highest risk are: Boscombe West (Bournemouth), Central (Bournemouth), Newtown (Poole), Westbourne & Westcliff (Bournemouth), Town Centre (Poole), Kinson North (Bournemouth) and Alderney (Poole). The seven wards with the highest expected count are Westbourne & Westcliff (Bournemouth), Kinson North (Bournemouth), Newtown (Poole), East Southbourne (Bournemouth), Canford Cliffs (Poole), Town Centre (Poole) and Parkstone (Poole). Thus four wards: Newtown, Westbourne & Westcliff, Town Centre and Kinson North have relatively high risks and counts.
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