District Profile Cover Paths.Indd
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CONTENTS INTRODUCTION.................................................................................... 3 THAMES-COROMANDEL DISTRICT ...................................................... 4 SUMMARY OF MAIN STATISTICS ................................................................................. 4 USUALLY RESIDENT POPULATION ................................................................................ 5 AGE .......................................................................................................................... 6 ETHNICITY.................................................................................................................. 8 HOUSING .................................................................................................................. 8 HOME OWNERSHIP .................................................................................................... 9 RENT........................................................................................................................ 10 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR FORCE.......................................................................... 10 EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY ...................................................................................... 11 INCOME .................................................................................................................. 11 MAIN SETTLEMENTS ............................................................................ 12 USUALLY RESIDENT POPULATION .............................................................................. 12 AGE ........................................................................................................................ 14 HOUSING ................................................................................................................ 15 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOUR FORCE.......................................................................... 16 CONCLUSION .................................................................................... 17 APPENDICES....................................................................................... 18 APPENDIX A: USUALLY RESIDENT POPULATION FIGURES .......................................... 18 APPENDIX B: HOUSING FIGURES ............................................................................. 18 APPENDIX C: MAIN SETTLEMENT INFORMATION ...................................................... 19 2 INTRODUCTION This document gives a broad overview of population and demographic information for the Thames-Coromandel District and its main settlements. Such information is important for the targeting and delivery of Council services, facilities and resources. Population projections are useful for helping assess population trends and for planning future community infrastructure needs. You may also find the information in this document useful for business planning, use in schools or general knowledge. The first part of this document provides an overview of District statistics and the second part looks at the characteristics of some of the main settlements on the Peninsula. Appendices A and B contain population and housing figures for the main settlements, the District and New Zealand from the last three census counts. Appendix C includes information on each of the main settlements in the District. 3 THAMES-COROMANDEL DISTRICT The table below gives some general comparisons between New Zealand and the Thames-Coromandel District. Summary of Main Statistics New Zealand TC District Population Population growth Compared to national statistics, the Thames-Coromandel District is 11% 5% rate (1996-2006) characterised by: Age • a lower resident population growth rate (people who live in the District on Median Age1 36 46 a permanent basis); People aged under 15 22% 18% • an older population (and fewer people aged under 15 years); years People aged 65+ 12% 21% • a greater proportion of the population who are European; years • a higher rate of dwelling growth; Ethnicity2 • a higher proportion of unoccupied dwellings (ie holiday homes and European 68% 76% baches). Maori 15% 15% • a higher proportion of people in the labour force earning less than Other 28% 16% Dwellings $20,000; New dwelling growth 17% 26% • a lower unemployment rate; rate (1996-2006) • a lower proportion of households with internet access. Unoccupied dwellings 10% 48% Labour force Income less than 39% 45% $20,000 Unemployment rate 5.1% 3.8% Table 1: Quick comparisons between New Zealand and the Thames-Coromandel District (2006) 1 Half the usually resident population is younger than the median age and half is older. 2 The 2006 Census allowed people to specify more than one ethnic group. Where a person reported more than one ethnic group, they have been counted in each applicable group. Hence, the total percentages add to more than 100%. 4 Usually Resident Population The population increased quite substantially between 1991 and 1996 but steadied over the next ten years, as shown below. Table 2 allows a comparison to be made between New Zealand and the Thames-Coromandel The usually resident population is a count of all people who usually live in the District in terms of population growth. Over the past ten years the Thames- Thames-Coromandel District and who actually filled in a form for the 2006 Coromandel District has experienced growth below that of the New Zealand Census. It excludes all visitors to the District, but includes residents who were population as a whole. temporarily elsewhere in New Zealand on census night. Inter-censual period The usually resident population for the Thames-Coromandel District on 1991-1996 1996-2001 2001-2006 census night (7 March 2006) was 25,941 people (see the graph below). New Zealand 7% 3% 8% TC District 14% 1% 3% Table 2: Percentage Growth of the Usually Resident Population Between Census Counts Growth of the Thames-Coromandel District Usually Resident (1991-2006) Population 1991-2006 28,000 At the time of the 2006 Census, the Thames-Coromandel District population 25,176 25,941 accounted for only 0.6% of New Zealand’s usually resident population. 26,000 24,822 24,000 While the census counted almost 26,000 usual residents, it is estimated that Num be r of 21,747 People the usually resident population might in fact be slightly higher – at 26,253 22,000 people. This is because people outside of New Zealand on census night who 20,000 are usually resident in the Thames-Coromandel District are not included in the usually resident population count. 18,000 1991 1996 2001 2006 Census Year In addition to the nearly 26,000 usual residents recorded on census night, there were a further 3,150 people in the Thames-Coromandel District, giving a total census night population of 29,091 people. This takes into account people who were just visiting the District on census night from New Zealand or overseas. Unless otherwise specified all statistics given in this document refer to the usually resident population. 5 Looking forward Age The overall District population is projected to continue growing over the next The Thames-Coromandel District, like the rest of New Zealand, has an aging 3 30 years. Based upon current trends, population projections produced by the population. University of Waikato predict that the usually resident population of the Thames-Coromandel District is likely to be around 31,300 by the year 2041, In 2006, the proportion of people in the District aged under 50 years was 4 as shown in the graph below. This equates to population growth of around lower than for New Zealand as a whole. Conversely, the proportion of people 18% from 2006 to 2041. It is interesting to note the almost linear population over 50 in the District was higher than for New Zealand. 45% (11,577 people) growth from 2006 until 2026 which is then projected to tail off by 2041. of the Thames-Coromandel District population was over 50, compared to 28% of the New Zealand population, as presented below. Projected Population of the Thames-Coromandel District 2006-2041 Age Comparison Between New Zealand and the Thames- 31,376 31,315 Coromandel District 2006 32,000 31,137 20 30,522 NZ 29,474 TCD 30,000 15 28,521 Us ually 27,820 Resident 28,000 % of Usually Population 26,253 Resident 10 Population 26,000 5 24,000 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 0 Census Year 9 39 59 0- 80+ 10-19 20-29 30- 40-49 50- 60-69 70-79 Age (in years) In 2006, the median age (half of the population is older than this and half is 3 A series of population projections (high, medium and low) were prepared by Waikato University younger) of people living in the District was 46 years, significantly higher than for the Thames-Coromandel District in 2007. 4 This is based on medium fertility, mortality and net migration. As a general rule, the projected for the rest of New Zealand at 36 years. medium rate of population growth is most likely (as opposed to high or low projections). Population growth in the Thames-Coromandel District from 1981 to 2001 closely mirrored the projected medium rate of population growth. The base population used for the projections was the estimated usually resident population at 30 June 2006 (see previous page). 6 Looking forward population as a whole. The fact that the lines of the same colour are virtually parallel shows that the trend projected for both areas is very similar – the trend being that the population is aging. The number of people aged over 65 years in the District is expected to increase in the future. This is likely due to the fact that the Thames- Coromandel