Hurricanes.Ca
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Departamento De Física Tesis Doctoral
Departamento de Física Tesis Doctoral ANALYSIS OF THE RAINFALL VARIABILITY IN THE SUBTROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC REGION: BERMUDA, CANARY ISLANDS, MADEIRA AND AZORES Irene Peñate de la Rosa Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Noviembre de 2015 UNIVERSIDAD DE LAS PALMAS DE GRAN CANARIA Programa de doctorado Física Fundamental y Aplicada Departamento de Física ANALYSIS OF THE RAINFALL VARIABILITY IN THE SUBTROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC REGION: BERMUDA, CANARY ISLANDS, MADEIRA AND THE AZORES Tesis Doctoral presentada por D" Irene Peñate de la Rosa Dirigida por el Dr. D. Juan Manuel Martin González y Codirigida por el Dr. D. Germán Rodríguez Rodríguez El Director, El Codirector, La Doctoranda, (firma) (firma) (firma) \ Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, a 17 de noviembre de 2015 DEPARTAMENTO DE FÍSICA PROGRAMA DE DOCTORADO: FÍSICA FUNDAMENTAL Y APLICADA TESIS DOCTORAL ANALYSIS OF THE RAINFALL VARIABILITY IN THE SUBTROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC REGION: BERMUDA, CANARY ISLANDS, MADEIRA AND AZORES PRESENTADA POR: IRENE PEÑATE DE LA ROSA DIRIGA POR EL DR. D. JUAN MANUEL MARTÍN GONZÁLEZ CODIRIGIDA POR EL DR. D. GERMÁN RODRÍGUEZ RODRÍGUEZ LAS PALMAS DE GRAN CANARIA, 2015 Para Pedro y Ángela (mis padres), Andrés, Alejandra y Jorge Irene ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This thesis has been carried out within the framework of a research collaboration between the Spanish Agency of Meteorology (AEMET) and the Bermuda Weather Service (BWS), such cooperative efforts have been very successful in accomplishing my meteorological training and research objectives. I would like to acknowledge the support to both institutions, especially to Mark Guishard (BWS) for his passionate discussions and by way of his outstanding knowledge about contemporary scientific theories relevant to tropical cyclone forecasting, including case studies of local events. -
2014 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Review
2014 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Review WHITEPAPER Executive Summary The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was a quiet season, closing with eight 2014 marks the named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes (Category 3 or longest period on stronger). record – nine Forecast groups predicted that the formation of El Niño and below consecutive years average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Atlantic Main – that no major Development Region (MDR)1 through the season would inhibit hurricanes made development in 2014, leading to a below average season. While 2014 landfall over the was indeed quiet, these predictions didn’t materialize. U.S. The scientific community has attributed the low activity in 2014 to a number of oceanic and atmospheric conditions, predominantly anomalously low Atlantic mid-level moisture, anomalously high tropical Atlantic subsidence (sinking air) in the Main Development Region (MDR), and strong wind shear across the Caribbean. Tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin was also influenced by below average activity in the 2014 West African monsoon season, which suppressed the development of African easterly winds. The year 2014 marks the longest period on record – nine consecutive years since Hurricane Wilma in 2005 – that no major hurricanes made landfall over the U.S., and also the ninth consecutive year that no hurricane made landfall over the coastline of Florida. The U.S. experienced only one landfalling hurricane in 2014, Hurricane Arthur. Arthur made landfall over the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane on July 4, causing minor damage. While Mexico and Central America were impacted by two landfalling storms and the Caribbean by three, Bermuda suffered the most substantial damage due to landfalling storms in 2014.Hurricane Fay and Major Hurricane Gonzalo made landfall on the island within a week of each other, on October 12 and October 18, respectively. -
Hurricane Arthur
Meteorological Mainstream: Hurricane Arthur Hurricane Arthur was an Independence Day spoiler for North Carolina merchants. It spun up off of the Florida coast as a Tropical Depression on June 30 and strengthened into a hurricane July 3 as moved northward, taking a bead on the North Carolina shore early on the morning of July 4. It was the earliest visit by a hurricane to the area since records began in 1851. The eye of “Arthur” crossing Pamlico Sound, North Carolina early on the morning of July 4 / NWS radar data. Hurricane Warnings had people running for high ground and leaving beaches deserted during a traditionally very busy…and profitable…summer weekend. The storm reached Category 2 intensity with 100-mph winds as it paralleled the coastline of the Tar-Heel State. There were trees and power lines downed and some roof and beach damage; Cape Lookout weather equipment measured the highest wind gust at 101 mph. However, the sustained 100-mph winds remained mostly offshore. Had Arthur’s track been just 40 miles farther west the story would have been much different, and for the worse, not only due to winds but because of a considerable storm surge. As it was, the surge maxed out at about four feet above normal. There was flooding, but it was far from catastrophic. Arthur turned northeastward and headed out to sea quickly on the morning of July 4, allowing for some of the Holiday weekend to be salvaged. Downed power lines and in some cases damaged roadways did hinder the flow of tourists but it was not a total loss for area businesses. -
National Hurricane Operations Plan
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE/ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration OFFICE OF THE FEDERAL COORDINATOR FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH National Hurricane Operations Plan FCM-P12-2015 Washington, DC May 2015 THE INTERDEPARTMENTAL COMMITTEE FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH (ICMSSR) MR. DAVID McCARREN, CHAIR MR. PAUL FONTAINE Acting Federal Coordinator Federal Aviation Administration Department of Transportation MR. MARK BRUSBERG Department of Agriculture DR. JONATHAN M. BERKSON United States Coast Guard DR. LOUIS UCCELLINI Department of Homeland Security Department of Commerce DR. DAVID R. REIDMILLER MR. SCOTT LIVEZEY Department of State United States Navy Department of Defense DR. ROHIT MATHUR Environmental Protection Agency MR. RALPH STOFFLER United States Air Force DR. EDWARD CONNER Department of Defense Federal Emergency Management Agency Department of Homeland Security MR. RICKEY PETTY Department of Energy DR. RAMESH KAKAR National Aeronautics and Space MR. JOEL WALL Administration Science and Technology Directorate Department of Homeland Security DR. PAUL B. SHEPSON National Science Foundation MR. JOHN VIMONT Department of the Interior MR. DONALD E. EICK National Transportation Safety Board MR. MARK KEHRLI Federal Highway Administration MR. SCOTT FLANDERS Department of Transportation U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission MR. MICHAEL C. CLARK Office of Management and Budget MR. MICHAEL BONADONNA, Secretariat Office of the Federal Coordinator for Meteorological Services and Supporting Research Cover Image NOAA GOES-13, 15 October 2014; Hurricane Gonzalo; Credit: NOAA Environmental Visualization Laboratory FEDERAL COORDINATOR FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AND SUPPORTING RESEARCH 1325 East-West Highway, Suite 7130 Silver Spring, Maryland 20910 301-628-0112 http://www.ofcm.gov/ NATIONAL HURRICANE OPERATIONS PLAN http://www.ofcm.gov/nhop/15/nhop15.htm FCM-P12-2015 Washington, D.C. -
Orleans Parish Hazard Mitigation Plan
Hazard Mitigation Plan City of New Orleans Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness January 7, 2021 1300 Perdido Street, Suite 9W03 (504) 658-8740 ready.nola.gov/hazard-mitigation DRAFT – January 7, 2020 1 Table of Contents Section 1: Introduction ................................................................................................................... 9 1.1 New Orleans Community Profile ...................................................................................................... 11 1.1.1 Location ..................................................................................................................................... 11 1.1.2 History of Orleans Parish ........................................................................................................... 12 1.1.3 Climate ....................................................................................................................................... 14 1.1.4 Transportation ............................................................................................................................ 15 1.1.5 Community Assets ..................................................................................................................... 17 1.1.6 Land Use and Zoning ................................................................................................................. 18 1.1.7 Population .................................................................................................................................. 24 1.1.8 -
Autumn 2014 Severe Weather by Mark Wool
READ ABOUT SEVERE WEATHER THAT OCCURRED IN ISSUE 9 Winter 2014-15 THE REGION THIS AU- TUMN……………………...1 EMPLOYEE SPOTLIGHT: MEET OUR LEAD FORECASTER, JEFF FOURNIER.............. 2 CLIMATE RECAP FOR AUTUMN OUTLOOK FOR WIN- TER ............................. 4 Tallahassee NEWS AND NOTES FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE . topics The National Weather Service (NWS) office in Tallahassee, FL provides weather, hydrologic, and climate forecasts and warnings for Southeast Ala- bama, Southwest & South Central Georgia, the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, and the adjacent Gulf of Mexico coastal waters. Our primary mission is the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the local economy. Autumn 2014 Severe Weather By Mark Wool Autumn was characterized by long stretches of dry Blountstown, FL. This was only the third EF2 or weather. From September 17th to November 30th, stronger tornado to hit the NWS Tallahassee fore- there were only 11 days with measurable rain. cast area since March 2007. A detailed report, However, there were three severe weather events including damage photos, a loop of radar data and this fall, including a rare mid-October event, and a photo gallery, are available for this event via this an equally unusual multi-day stretch of persistent link. A couple of photos are pictured below right. rain in the run up to Thanksgiving. The lion’s share of the rainfall that occurred across the region http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tae/?n=event- in October was associated with a severe weather 20141117_blountstown_tornado event that occurred on October 13-14th. Tallahas- see received 4.74 inches at the airport. -
American Meteorological Society Manuscript (Non-Latex) Click Here to Download Manuscript (Non-Latex) Glider Manuscript Jdong Etal Rev V2.Docx
AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY Weather and Forecasting EARLY ONLINE RELEASE This is a preliminary PDF of the author-produced manuscript that has been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication. Since it is being posted so soon after acceptance, it has not yet been copyedited, formatted, or processed by AMS Publications. This preliminary version of the manuscript may be downloaded, distributed, and cited, but please be aware that there will be visual differences and possibly some content differences between this version and the final published version. The DOI for this manuscript is doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-16-0182.1 The final published version of this manuscript will replace the preliminary version at the above DOI once it is available. If you would like to cite this EOR in a separate work, please use the following full citation: Dong, J., R. Domingues, G. Goni, G. Halliwell, H. Kim, S. Lee, M. Mehari, F. Bringas, J. Morell, and L. Pomales, 2017: Impact of assimilating underwater glider data on Hurricane Gonzalo (2014) forecast. Wea. Forecasting. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-16-0182.1, in press. © 2017 American Meteorological Society Manuscript (non-LaTeX) Click here to download Manuscript (non-LaTeX) Glider_Manuscript_JDong_etal_rev_v2.docx 1 2 Impact of assimilating underwater glider data 3 on Hurricane Gonzalo (2014) forecast 4 5 6 Jili Dong1,2*, Ricardo Domingues3,4, Gustavo Goni4, George Halliwell4, Hyun-Sook 7 Kim1,2, Sang-Ki Lee4, Michael Mehari3,4, Francis Bringas4, Julio Morell5, Luis Pomales5 8 9 10 1I.M. System Group, Inc., Rockville, MD, -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary – 2014
THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON SUMMARY – 2014 SPECIAL FOCUS ON ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA (PRELIMINARY) Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section December 4, 2014 Satellite Image: Hurricane Gonzalo – Oct 13, 12:45 pm 2014 1 The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary – 2014 Special Focus on Antigua and Barbuda Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section December 3, 2014 The Season in Brief The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was relatively quiet generally but relatively average for Antigua. It produced eight (8) named storms. Of the eight (8) storms, six (6) became hurricanes and two reached major hurricane status - category three (3) or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The strongest tropical cyclone for the season was Major Hurricane Gonzalo with peak winds of 145 mph and minimum pressure of 940 mb (see figure 2). Gonzalo impacted Antigua and Barbuda and most of the other northeast Caribbean islands causing loss of lives and 100s of millions of dollars in damage. Relative to Antigua and Barbuda Relative to Antigua and Barbuda, the rest of the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands, two (2) tropical cyclones entered or formed in our defined monitored area (10N 40W – 10N 55W – 15N 70W – 20N 70W – 20N 55W – 15N 40W – 10N 40W) - Bertha and Gonzalo. Gonzalo impacted the northeast Caribbean with hurricane force winds, passing directly over Antigua, St. Martin and Anguilla. This is the first time since Jose in 1999, Antigua has had sustained hurricane force winds, ending our 14 year hurricane drought. In terms of number of named storms, it was not a quiet season for Antigua but rather an average one; however, with respect to hurricanes, we were a year over due since one affects us every three years on average. -
Sensitivity Analysis of Hurricane Arthur (2014) Storm Surge Forecasts to WRF Physics Parameterizations and Model Configurations
OCTOBER 2017 Z H A N G E T A L . 1745 Sensitivity Analysis of Hurricane Arthur (2014) Storm Surge Forecasts to WRF Physics Parameterizations and Model Configurations FAN ZHANG AND MING LI Horn Point Laboratory, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Cambridge, Maryland ANDREW C. ROSS Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania SERENA BLYTH LEE Griffith School of Engineering, Griffith Climate Change Response Program, Griffith Centre for Coastal Management, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia DA-LIN ZHANG Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland, College Park, College Park, Maryland (Manuscript received 13 December 2016, in final form 17 July 2017) ABSTRACT Through a case study of Hurricane Arthur (2014), the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model and the Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) are used to investigate the sensitivity of storm surge forecasts to physics parameterizations and configurations of the initial and boundary conditions in WRF. The turbulence closure scheme in the planetary boundary layer affects the prediction of the storm intensity: the local closure scheme produces lower equivalent potential temperature than the nonlocal closure schemes, leading to significant reductions in the maximum surface wind speed and surge heights. On the other hand, higher-class cloud microphysics schemes overpredict the wind speed, resulting in large overpredictions of storm surge at some coastal locations. Without cumulus parameterization in the outermost domain, both the wind speed and storm surge are grossly underpredicted as a result of large precipitation decreases in the storm center. None of the choices for the WRF physics parameterization schemes significantly affect the prediction of Arthur’s track. -
Full Report on NC 12 Hot Spots
NC 12 Hot Spots AREAS LOCATED FROM MARC BASNIGHT BRIDGE (FORMERLY “BONNER BRIDGE”) TO OCRACOKE ISLAND Midgett, Craig A NCDOT DIV 1 June 2021 Oregon Inlet NC 12 Hot Spots Canal Zone 1 2 Pea Island Visitor Center Rodanthe 3 'S' Curves Raleigh ! Avon 4 Buxton 5 Frisco Hatteras 6 Ocracoke Island Hatteras Inlet 7 ± Legend Hot Spots NC 12 Ocracoke Inlet Introduction Since 2010 more than $72 million dollars has been spent to make NC 12 passable in locations south of Bonner Bridge to, and including, Ocracoke Island following various storm events. The events listed in the table below include hurricanes, nor’easters and other severe storms that have caused rising tides that breached dunes in particular areas, indicated as Hot Spots, that have been constructed to keep ocean water from washing over NC 12. Noted below in the table there were two years, 2014 and 2015, when Ocracoke was exclusively majorly impacted by hurricanes. 2010 Hurricane Earl 2011 Hurricane Irene 2012 Hurricane Sandy 2013 No Named Storm 2014 No Named Storm; Hurricane Arthur (Ocracoke) 2015 No Named Storm; Hurricane Joaquin (Ocracoke) 2016 TS Hermine/Hurricane Matthew 2017 Hurricane Florence 2018 No Named Storm 2019 Hurricane Dorian November Nor'easter 2020 Nor'easter As sea levels continue to rise and with water temperatures increasing leading to more frequent and severe storm events the expectation is an increase in the need for maintenance until more permanent mitigation can be achieved through future projects. 1 NC 12 Hot Spot Canal Zone (1) The Canal Zone Hot Spot is just south of the new Marc Basnight Bridge. -
! 1! NASA's Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) Investigation
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20170005486 2019-08-31T16:22:19+00:00Z 1! NASA’s Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) Investigation 2! 3! Scott A. Braun, Paul A. Newman, Gerald M. Heymsfield 4! NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland 5! 6! Submitted to Bulletin of the American Meteor. Society 7! October 14, 2015 8! 9! 10! 11! Corresponding author: Scott A. Braun, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 612, 12! Greenbelt, MD 20771 13! Email: [email protected] 14! ! 1! 15! Abstract 16! The National Aeronautics and Space Administrations’s (NASA) Hurricane and Severe Storm 17! Sentinel (HS3) investigation was a multi-year field campaign designed to improve understanding 18! of the physical processes that control hurricane formation and intensity change, specifically the 19! relative roles of environmental and inner-core processes. Funded as part of NASA’s Earth 20! Venture program, HS3 conducted five-week campaigns during the hurricane seasons of 2012-14 21! using the NASA Global Hawk aircraft, along with a second Global Hawk in 2013 and a WB-57f 22! aircraft in 2014. Flying from a base at Wallops Island, Virginia, the Global Hawk could be on 23! station over storms for up to 18 hours off the East Coast of the U.S. to about 6 hours off the 24! western coast of Africa. Over the three years, HS3 flew 21 missions over 9 named storms, along 25! with flights over two non-developing systems and several Saharan Air Layer (SAL) outbreaks. 26! This article summarizes the HS3 experiment, the missions flown, and some preliminary findings 27! related to the rapid intensification and outflow structure of Hurricane Edouard (2014) and the 28! interaction of Hurricane Nadine (2012) with the SAL.