ASSOCIATION OF GREATER MANCHESTER AUTHORITIES GREATER MANCHESTER TRANSPORTATION UNIT
TRANSPORT STATISTICS GREATER MANCHESTER 2008
SUMMARY
This report presents results of GMTU’s traffic and transport monitoring during 2008.
These include:
• trends in Local Transport Plan indicators • countywide traffic growth • daily, weekly and seasonal flow profiles on motorways and A roads • traffic growth by district • comparison of local and national traffic growth • traffic and pedestrian activity in key centres • trends in countywide rail and Metrolink patronage • trends in bus service supply • background information
GMTU Report 1476 E Ellis D Atkin J Morewood A Castle November 2009
GMTU Report 1476 Foreword
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We acknowledge the assistance of The Highways Agency in providing automatic traffic counter data on motorways.
Version Purpose/ Changes Author Date Date Issued To Whom No. Changed 1 First Release A Castle et al 27/11/2009 27/11/2009 www.gmtu.gov.uk
All enquiries to:
Greater Manchester Transportation Unit 1st Floor Salisbury House Granby Row Manchester M1 7AH
Telephone: 0161 455 2062 Internal Tel; 815 2062
Fax: 0161 455 2071
e-mail: [email protected]
website: http://www.gmtu.gov.uk/
The Greater Manchester Transportation Unit provides a strategic and local transportation service to and on behalf of the ten district councils of Greater Manchester. The unit is funded by the ten districts and attached to Manchester City Council as lead authority.
GMTU Report 1476 Foreword
FOREWORD
The Greater Manchester Transportation Unit provides a comprehensive service in all aspects of transportation for the ten local authority districts in Greater Manchester. The work of the unit includes the core services of traffic monitoring, and maintenance and analysis of the unit's traffic accident database. This report forms part of the traffic monitoring service to districts and as such maintains the series of annual reports for Greater Manchester begun in 1983. It is available as an Adobe Acrobat file and on the GMTU website (www.gmtu.gov.uk) for those who would like an electronic version.
This report does not include detailed traffic flow information for individual road links. Instead, separate reports have again been produced for each district, incorporating all the traffic flow information for that district.
All of the road traffic data used in the production of the annual reports are available for district use. The results of manual counts can be obtained through interrogation of the map based data retrieval system GMCOUNTS. Also, road casualty data can be obtained from GMTU’s Geographic Information System – GMAPS and Microsoft Access Database - GMAXI.
Information on Greater Manchester Local Transport Plan (GMLTP) targets and indicators is subject to approval by the Department for Transport (DfT) and may be revised as part of the LTP performance management process. Information in this report is correct as at 30 November 2009 and any future updates will be made available on the electronic version.
GMTU Report 1476 Contents
C O N T E N T S Page
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...... 1 1 LOCAL TRANSPORT PLAN HEADLINE INDICATORS...... 11 FORMER BEST VALUE INDICATORS ...... 13 NI 168: Principal Road Condition...... 13 NI 169: Non-principal Classified Road Condition...... 14 Unclassified Road Condition...... 15 Principal Footway Condition ...... 15 NI 47: Road Safety – All KSI...... 16 NI 48: Road Safety – Child KSI ...... 17 Road Safety – Slight Casualties ...... 18 NI 177a: Bus Patronage ...... 19 Rail Patronage...... 20 NI 177b: Metrolink Patronage ...... 21 Bus Satisfaction (residents)...... 22 OTHER PREVIOUSLY MANDATORY INDICATORS...... 23 LTP 1a: NI 175 Accessibility (Households)...... 23 LTP 1b: NI 176 Accessibility to employment...... 24 LTP 2: Area Wide Road Traffic...... 25 LTP 3: Cycling ...... 26 LTP 4: NI 198 Mode Share of Journeys to School...... 27 LTP 5a: NI 178 Bus Punctuality of Timetabled Services ...... 28 LTP 5b: Bus Reliability of Timetabled Services ...... 29 LTP 6a: Peak Traffic Flow to Regional Centre...... 30 LTP 6b: Peak Traffic Flow to Other Key Centres...... 31 LTP 7: NI 167 Congestion ...... 32 LTP 8a: Air Quality (Concentration of NO2 at Worst Case Receptor Sites in Each District’s AQMA) ...... 33 LTP 8b: Local Traffic Emissions - Tonnes NOX Emitted from Road Transport on Major Roads in Each District ...... 33 LOCAL INDICATORS...... 35 LTP 9: Climate Change ...... 35 LTP 10a: Accessible Infrastructure (Buses)...... 37 LTP 10b: Accessible Infrastructure (Bus Stops) ...... 38 LTP 10c: Accessible Infrastructure (Rail Stations)...... 38 LTP 10d: Accessible Infrastructure (Pedestrian Crossings)...... 39 LTP 10e: Accessible Infrastructure (Public Rights of Way)...... 40 LTP 11: Walking ...... 41 LTP 12a: Modal Share to Regional Centre...... 42 LTP 12b: Modal Share to Other Key Centres ...... 43 LTP 12c: Modal Share to Manchester Airport...... 44 2 ROAD TRAFFIC...... 45 MOTORWAY TRAFFIC...... 47 Traffic Growth on Motorways 2007-2008...... 47 Changes in Motorway Weekday Traffic Flow Profiles 2007-2008...... 48 Peak Hour to Peak Period Ratios on Motorways...... 50 Traffic Flows on Motorways in 2008 ...... 50
(i) GMTU Report 1476 Contents
C O N T E N T S Page
24-Hour Traffic Flow Profiles on Motorways in 2008 ...... 51 Daily Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008...... 53 Daily Variation on Motorways by Time Period ...... 54 Monthly Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 ...... 55 A ROAD TRAFFIC ...... 56 Traffic Growth on A Roads 2007-2008 ...... 56 Changes in A Road Weekday Traffic Flow Profiles 2007-2008 ...... 56 Peak Hour to Peak Period Ratios on A Roads ...... 58 24-Hour Traffic Flow Profiles on A Roads in 2008...... 59 Daily Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008 ...... 61 Daily Variation on A Roads by Time Period...... 62 Monthly Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008...... 63 B ROAD TRAFFIC ...... 64 Traffic Growth on B Roads 2007-2008 ...... 64 Changes in B Road Weekday Traffic Profiles 2007-2008...... 64 Peak Hour to Peak Period Ratios on B Roads ...... 66 MINOR ROAD TRAFFIC...... 67 Traffic Growth on Minor Roads 2007-2008...... 67 Changes in Minor Road Weekday Traffic Profiles 2007-2008 ...... 67 COMPARISONS OF TRAFFIC AND GROWTH ...... 68 Comparison of National and Local Growth in Traffic Flows 1993-2008 ...... 68 Composition of Motorway, A Road, B Road and Minor Road Traffic 1999-2008 70 Average Hourly Flows on Motorways, A, B and Minor Roads in 2008...... 72 Traffic Growth on A Roads and B Roads Combined 2007-2008 ...... 74 Traffic Growth on A Roads and B Roads by District 2007-2008 ...... 74 Annual Vehicle Kilometres on Motorways, A Roads and B Roads in 2008 ...... 75 Annual Vehicle Kilometres on A Roads and B Roads by District in 2008 ...... 76 Trends in Greater Manchester Vehicle Kilometres on Motorways, A and B Roads 1993-2008 ...... 77 National and Local Vehicle Kilometres 1993 – 2008 ...... 78 Congestion Monitoring: Average Journey Time Rates 2004/05 – 2007/08...... 79 3 KEY CENTRE MONITORING ...... 81 Introduction to Key Centre Monitoring ...... 83 Bolton Key Centre ...... 84 Bury Key Centre ...... 86 Manchester Key Centre...... 88 Oldham Key Centre ...... 90 Rochdale Key Centre ...... 92 Salford Key Centre - Eccles...... 94 Stockport Key Centre...... 96 Tameside Key Centre – Ashton-under-Lyne...... 99 Trafford Key Centre - Altrincham ...... 101 Wigan Key Centre ...... 103 4 OTHER ROAD TRAFFIC STATISTICS ...... 105 Car Occupancy...... 107 Walking...... 109
(ii) GMTU Report 1476 Contents
C O N T E N T S Page
Cycling...... 111 Cycle Flows on Major Roads ...... 113 Automatic Cycle Counts ...... 115 Carriage of Cycles on Trains ...... 119 Cycle Training in Schools ...... 120 5 PUBLIC TRANSPORT...... 121 RAIL PATRONAGE ...... 123 Rail Passenger Counts...... 123 Rail Patronage by Corridor ...... 126 METROLINK PATRONAGE ...... 134 Metrolink Passenger Counts 2008...... 134 The Altrincham Line...... 136 The Bury Line ...... 138 The Eccles Line ...... 140 BUS SERVICE SUPPLY...... 145 Annualised Bus Mileage ...... 145 Annualised Bus Mileage by District ...... 147 Commercial and Subsidised Bus Mileage ...... 148 Analysis by Time of Day and Day of Week...... 149 Bus Mileage by Operator...... 152 Market Share of Operating Groups...... 153 Bus Registration Changes 2002-2007...... 154 6 BACKGROUND INFORMATION ...... 155 Retail Price Index ...... 157 Fuel Prices...... 158 Public Transport Fares ...... 159 Car Parking Provision and Charges in Greater Manchester...... 161 Personal Travel –Metropolitan Area Statistics 2008 ...... 165 Road Vehicles ...... 168 Weekly Earnings...... 168 Air Transport...... 169 Road Lengths in Greater Manchester 2008...... 171 Population of Greater Manchester...... 172 Greater Manchester Local Highway Authorities Transport Capital Allocation...174 Highway Schemes...... 176 Major Public Transport Schemes...... 183 Weather Data ...... 184 APPENDIX 1 TRAFFIC COUNT FACTORS APPENDIX 2 SOME RECENT GMTU PUBLICATIONS
(iii) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
L I S T O F T A B L E S Page
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Table 1 Percentage Changes in 12-Hour Traffic Flows on a Sample of Motorways, A Roads and B Roads between 2007 and 2008 ...... 5 1. LOCAL TRANSPORT HEADLINE INDICATORS Table 1.1 NI 168 – Principal Road Condition ...... 13 Table 1.2 NI 169 –Non-principal Classified Road Condition ...... 14 Table 1.3 Unclassified Classified Road Condition ...... 15 Table 1.4 Principal Footway Condition...... 15 Table 1.5 NI 47 – All KSI...... 16 Table 1.6 NI 48 – Child KSI...... 17 Table 1.7 Slight Casualties...... 18 Table 1.8 NI 177a – Bus Patronage...... 19 Table 1.9 Rail Patronage ...... 20 Table 1.10 NI 177b – Metrolink Patronage...... 21 Table 1.11 Bus Satisfaction...... 22 Table 1.12 LTP 1a – NI 175 Accessibility (Households)...... 23 Table 1.13 LTP 1b – NI 176 Accessibility of working age people to employment (GM average) ...... 24 Table 1.14 LTP 2 – Area Wide Road Traffic...... 25 Table 1.15 LTP 3 – Cycling ...... 26 Table 1.16 LTP 4 – NI 198 Mode Share of Journeys to School (%car) ...... 27 Table 1.17 LTP5a – NI 178 Bus Punctuality (Timetabled)...... 28 Table 1.18 LTP 5b – Bus Reliability (Timetabled) ...... 29 Table 1.19 LTP 6a – Peak Traffic Flow (Regional Centre) ...... 30 Table 1.20 LTP 6b – Peak Traffic Flow (Other Key Centres) ...... 31 Table 1.21 LTP 7 – NI 167 Congestion ...... 32 Table 1.22 LTP 8b – Local Traffic Emissions ...... 34 Table 1.23 LTP 9 – Climate Change ...... 35 Table 1.24 LTP 10a – Accessible Infrastructure (Buses) ...... 37 Table 1.25 LTP 10b – Accessible Infrastructure (Bus Stops) ...... 38 Table 1.26 LTP 10c – Accessible Infrastructure (Rail Stations)...... 38 Table 1.27 LTP 10d – Accessible Infrastructure (Pedestrian Crossings) ...... 39 Table 1.28 LTP 10e – Accessible Infrastructure (PRoW) ...... 40 Table 1.29 LTP 11 – Walking ...... 41 Table 1.30 LTP 12a – Modal Share to Regional Centre...... 42 Table 1.31 LTP 12b – Modal Share to Other Key Centres ...... 43 Table 1.32 LTP 12c – Modal Share to Manchester Airport...... 44 2. ROAD TRAFFIC Table 2.1 Percentage Changes in Average Flows on 12 Motorway Links
(iv) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
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Between 2007 and 2008 ...... 47 Table 2.2 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 12 Motorway Links in 2007 and 2008 ...... 48 Table 2.3 Ratio of Peak Hour to Peak Period Traffic for Motorways 1990- 2008 ...... 50 Table 2.4 Average Hourly Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 ...... 51 Table 2.5 Average Daily Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 ...... 53 Table 2.6 Average Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 by Time Period...... 54 Table 2.7 Average Monthly Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008...... 55 Table 2.8 Percentage Changes in Average Flows on 96 A Road Links Between 2007 and 2008 ...... 56 Table 2.9 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 96 A Road Links in 2007 and 2008 ...... 56 Table 2.10 Ratio of Peak Hour to Peak Period Traffic for A Road Links 1990- 2008 ...... 58 Table 2.11 Average Hourly Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008...... 59 Table 2.12 Average Daily Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008...... 61 Table 2.13 Average Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008 by Time Period 62 Table 2.14 Average Monthly Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008 ...... 63 Table 2.15 Percentage Changes in Average Flows on 70 B Road Links Between 2007 and 2008 ...... 64 Table 2.16 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 70 B Road Links in 2007 and 2008 ...... 64 Table 2.17 Ratio of Peak Hour to Peak Period Traffic for B Road Links 1990- 2008 ...... 66 Table 2.18 Percentage Changes in Average Flows on 127 Minor Road Links Between 2007 and 2008 ...... 67 Table 2.19 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 40 Minor Road Links in 2007 and 2008 ...... 67 Table 2.20 Traffic Flow Indices for Local and National Motorways and A Roads, 1993-2008...... 68 Table 2.21 Percentage Composition of Traffic on Motorway, A Road, B Road and Minor Road Links 07:00-19:00 Hours, 2001- 2008...... 70 Table 2.22 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 24 Motorway, 198 A Road, 124 B Road and 144 Minor Road Links in 2008 ...... 72 Table 2.23 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on 24 Motorway, 198 A Road, 124 B Road and 144 Minor Road Links in 2008 as a Percentage of 12- Hour Flow...... 72 Table 2.24 Percentage Changes in Average Flows on 166 A and B Road Links Between 2007 and 2008 ...... 74 Table 2.25 12-Hour Average Traffic Flows in 2007 and 2008 on A Roads and B Roads by District ...... 74 Table 2.26 Annual Vehicle Kilometres in 2008...... 75
(v) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
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Table 2.27 Vehicle Kilometres on A Roads by District in 2008...... 76 Table 2.28 Vehicle Kilometres on B Roads by District in 2008...... 76 Table 2.29 Trends in Vehicle Kilometres (millions) 1993-2008 by Vehicle Type and Road Class...... 77 Table 2.30 National and Local Vehicle Kilometres (millions) by Road Class 1993-2008...... 78 Table 2.31 Average Journey Time Rates Greater Manchester 2007/08 ...... 79 3. KEY CENTRE MONITORING Table 3.1 Bolton Key Centre Cordon Counts 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007 and 2009 ...... 84 Table 3.2 Car and Public Transport Trips into Bolton Key Centre...... 85 Table 3.3 Car and Non-Car Trips into Bolton Key Centre ...... 85 Table 3.4 Bury Key Centre Inbound Vehicles 1997, 1999, 2002, 2005 and 2008 ...... 86 Table 3.5 Car and Public Transport Trips into Bury Key Centre...... 87 Table 3.6 Car and Non-Car Trips into Bury Key Centre ...... 87 Table 3.7 Manchester Key Centre Cordon Counts 1997, 1999, 2002, 2005, 2006 and 2009 ...... 88 Table 3.8 Car and Public Transport Trips into Manchester Key Centre ...... 89 Table 3.9 Car and Non-Car Trips into Manchester Key Centre ...... 89 Table 3.10 Oldham Key Centre Inbound Vehicles 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007 and 2008 ...... 90 Table 3.11 Car and Public Transport Trips into Oldham Key Centre...... 91 Table 3.12 Car and Non-Car Transport Trips into Oldham Key Centre...... 91 Table 3.13 Rochdale Key Centre Inbound Cordon Counts 1997, 1999, 2002, 2005, 2008 and 2009 ...... 92 Table 3.14 Car and Public Transport Trips into Rochdale Key Centre...... 93 Table 3.15 Car and Non-Car Trips into Rochdale Key Centre ...... 93 Table 3.16 Eccles Key Centre Inbound Cordon Counts 1997, 2001, 2004, 2007 & 2009...... 94 Table 3.17 Car and Public Transport Trips into Eccles Key Centre...... 95 Table 3.18 Car and Non-Car Trips into Eccles Key Centre ...... 95 Table 3.19 Stockport Key Centre Cordon Counts 1997, 2000, and 2003- 2008 ...... 96 Table 3.20 Car and Public Transport Trips into Stockport Key Centre...... 97 Table 3.21 Car and Non-car Trips into Stockport Key Centre ...... 98 Table 3.22 Ashton Key Centre Inbound Cordon Counts 1997, 1998, 2001, 2004, 2007 & 2008...... 99 Table 3.23 Car and Public Transport Trips into Ashton Key Centre (excluding Ikea and Old St areas) ...... 100 Table 3.24 Car and Non-Car Trips into Ashton Key Centre (excluding Ikea and Old St areas)...... 100 Table 3.25 Altrincham Key Centre Inbound Cordon Counts 1997, 1999, 2002,
(vi) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
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2005, 2008 and 2009 ...... 101 Table 3.26 Car and Public Transport Trips into Altrincham Key Centre ...... 102 Table 3.27 Car and Non-Car Trips into Altrincham Key Centre...... 102 Table 3.28 Wigan Key Centre Inbound Vehicles 1997, 2000, 2003, 2006 and 2009 ...... 103 Table 3.29 Car and Public Transport Trips into Wigan Key Centre...... 104 Table 3.30 Car and Non-Car Trips into Wigan Key Centre ...... 104 4. OTHER ROAD TRAFFIC STATISTICS Table 4.1 Average Peak and Off-Peak Car Occupancy in Greater Manchester ...... 107 Table 4.2 Key Centre Cordon Pedestrian Flows AM Peak Period (07:30- 09:30)...... 109 Table 4.3 Key Centre Cordon Pedestrian Flows Off-Peak Period (10:00- 12:00)...... 110 Table 4.4 Key Centre Cordon Cycle Flows AM Peak Period (07:30-09:30) 111 Table 4.5 Key Centre Cordon Cycle Flows Off-Peak Period (10:00-12:00).112 Table 4.6 Average and Highest 12-Hour Two-way Cycle Flows on A and B Roads in Each District, 2008...... 113 Table 4.7 Pedal Cycle Kilometres on A & B Roads 2001-2008...... 114 Table 4.8 Average Hourly Profile at ACC “Commuting” Sites in 2008...... 115 Table 4.9 Average Hourly Profile at ACC “Leisure” Sites in 2008 ...... 116 Table 4.10 Daily Indices at ACC “Commuting” Sites in 2008 ...... 117 Table 4.11 Daily Indices at ACC “Leisure” Sites in 2008...... 117 Table 4.12 Monthly Indices at ACC “Commuting” Sites in 2008...... 118 Table 4.13 Monthly Indices at ACC “Leisure” Sites in 2008 ...... 118 Table 4.14 Cycles Carried on Trains (Single Day 07:30 to 13:30) 2003 - 2008 ...... 119 Table 4.15 On Road Cycle Training by District 2008/09...... 120 Table 4.16 Trend in Proportion of Children receiving on road training...... 120 5. PUBLIC TRANSPORT Table 5.1 Boarders and Alighters at 74 Rail Stations Surveyed in 2008 .....123 Table 5.2 Manchester Bound Boarders by Corridor 1991 and 1999-2008 (excluding the Eccles Corridor) Peak Period (0730-0930) ...... 126 Table 5.3 Manchester Bound Boarders by Corridor 1991 and 1999 to 2008 (excluding the Eccles Corridor) Off-Peak Period (0930-1330) ...127 Table 5.4 Inbound Boarders at Rochdale/Oldham Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 – Peak Period (0730-0930) ...... 129 Table 5.5 Inbound Boarders at Rochdale/Oldham Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 – Off-Peak Period (0930-1330) ...... 129 Table 5.6 Inbound Boarders at Marple and Glossop Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 - Peak Period (0730-0930) ...... 130 Table 5.7 Inbound Boarders at Marple and Glossop Corridor Stations 1991
(vii) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
L I S T O F T A B L E S Page
and 1999 to 2008 – Off Peak Period (0930-1330)...... 131 Table 5.8 Inbound Boarders at Stockport Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 - Peak (0730-0930) ...... 132 Table 5.9 Inbound Boarders at Stockport Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 - Off Peak (0930-1330)...... 132 Table 5.10 Inbound Boarders at Ashton-under-Lyne Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 – Peak Period (0730-0930) ...... 132 Table 5.11 Inbound Boarders at Ashton-under-Lyne Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 – Off-Peak Period (0930-1330) ...... 133 Table 5.12 Inbound Boarders at Styal Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 –Peak Period (0730-0930) ...... 133 Table 5.13 Inbound Boarders at Styal Corridor Stations 1991 and 1999 to 2008 –Off-Peak Period (0930-1330) ...... 133 Table 5.14 Boarders and Alighters on the Altrincham Line Surveyed in Autumn 2008 ...... 134 Table 5.15 Boarders and Alighters on the Bury Line Surveyed in Autumn 2008 ...... 135 Table 5.16 Boarders and Alighters on the Eccles Line Surveyed in Autumn 2008 ...... 135 Table 5.17 Weekday Peak Inbound Boarders on the Altrincham Metrolink Line (07:30-09:30)...... 136 Table 5.18 Weekday Off-Peak Inbound Boarders on the Altrincham Metrolink Line (09:30-13:30)...... 137 Table 5.19 Weekday Peak Inbound Boarders on the Bury Metrolink Line (07:30-09:30)...... 138 Table 5.20 Weekday Off-Peak Inbound Boarders on the Bury Metrolink Line (09:30-13:30)...... 139 Table 5.21 Weekday Peak Manchester Bound Boarders on the Eccles Metrolink Line (07:30-09:30) ...... 141 Table 5.22 Weekday Peak Eccles Bound Alighters on the Eccles Metrolink Line (07:30-09:30)...... 142 Table 5.23 Weekday Off-Peak Manchester Bound Boarders on the Eccles Metrolink Line (09:30-13:30) ...... 143 Table 5.24 Weekday Off-Peak Eccles Bound Alighters on the Eccles Metrolink Line (09:30-13:30)...... 144 Table 5.25 Total Greater Manchester Annualised Bus Mileage in Millions, 1985 to 2007 ...... 146 Table 5.26 Annualised Bus Mileage in Millions, 2002 to 2007, and 1985 (pre- deregulation year) ...... 147 Table 5.27 Commercial and Subsidised Bus Mileage in Millions, 2002 to 2007, and 1985 (pre-deregulation year)...... 148 Table 5.28 Weekday Peak (07:00–09:00) Bus Mileage by District...... 149 Table 5.29 Weekday Off-Peak (10:00–15:00) Bus Mileage by District...... 149 Table 5.30 Weekday Evening (20:00–22:00) Bus Mileage by District...... 150
(viii) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
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Table 5.31 Saturday Bus Mileage by District...... 150 Table 5.32 Sunday Bus Mileage by District...... 151 Table 5.33 Bus Mileage of Operators 2002 to 2007, and 1985 (pre-deregulation year)...... 152 Table 5.34 Market Share of Bus Mileage of Operating Groups with more than 2% of Market Share in either 2006 or 2007...... 153 Table 5.35 Bus Registration Changes November 2001 – October 2007...... 154 6. BACKGROUND INFORMATION Table 6.1 Retail Price Index (All Items) 1987-2008 – Base Jan 1987 = 100157 Table 6.2 The Cost of Fuel per Litre 1991-2008...... 158 Table 6.3 Public Transport Peak Fares for Average Journeys 1991 to 2008 ...... 160 Table 6.4 Public Transport Off-Peak Fares for Average Journeys 1991 to 2008 ...... 160 Table 6.5 Public Car Parks in Key Centres 2008 (excluding contract only car parks) ...... 161 Table 6.6 Number of Spaces Available in Public Car Parks by Key Centre 2003 to 2008 ...... 162 Table 6.7 Average Prices in Public Car Parks by Key Centre 2003 to 2008163 Table 6.8 Usual Method of Travel to Work by Region of Workplace – Metropolitan Areas: Autumn 2007 (%) ...... 165 Table 6.9 Time Taken to Travel to Work by Region of Workplace – Metropolitan Areas: Autumn 2007...... 165 Table 6.10 Average time taken to travel to work (minutes) by mode– Metropolitan Areas: Autumn 2007...... 166 Table 6.11 Trips per person per year by main mode of travel – Metropolitan Areas: 2003-2005...... 166 Table 6.12 Average distance travelled by main mode of travel – Metropolitan Areas: 2003-2005...... 166 Table 6.13 Average number of trips per person per year by purpose – Metropolitan Areas: 2003-2005 ...... 167 Table 6.14 Trips to and from school by main mode and region of residence – Metropolitan Areas: 2003-2005 ...... 167 Table 6.15 Motor vehicles (thousands) licensed by taxation class – Metropolitan Areas: 2007 ...... 168 Table 6.16 Mean gross weekly earnings – Metropolitan Area: 1999-2008....168 Table 6.17 Air Transport Statistics – Comparisons of Manchester and UK Trends...... 170 Table 6.18 Road Lengths in Greater Manchester 2008 (kilometres)...... 171 Table 6.19 The Registrar General’s Mid-Year Estimates of Population (Thousands)...... 172 Table 6.20 Indices of Population Change (1971-2007) ...... 172 Table 6.21 Household Estimates and Projections by District, Greater
(ix) GMTU Report 1476 List of Tables
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Manchester 1981- 2031 (Thousands) ...... 173 Table 6.22 Total Capital Provision to Individual Districts 2000/1 to 2009/10 £ million...... 174 Table 6.23 Greater Manchester LTP Settlement 2009/10 (£ million)...... 175 Table 6.24 Highway Schemes over £1 Million completed 1986- Spring 2009 .176 Table 6.25 Major Public Transport Schemes over £5 Million completed 1986- Spring 2009...... 183
(x) GMTU Report 1476 List of Figures
L I S T O F F I G U R E S
Figure Page
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1 National and Local Growth in Traffic Flows 1993-2008 6
LOCAL TRANSPORT PLAN HEADLINE INDICATORS
1.1 NI 47 Road Safety – All KSI 16 1.2 NI 48: Road Safety – Child KSI 17 1.3 Road Safety – Slight Casualties 18 1.4 NI 177a: Bus Patronage 19 1.5 Rail Patronage 20 1.6 NI 177b: Metrolink Patronage 21 1.7 Bus Satisfaction (AGMA BV104 Survey) 22 1.8 LTP1a: NI 175 Accessibility 23 1.9 LTP2: Area Wide Road Traffic 25 1.10 LTP3: Cycling Index 26 1.11 LTP4: NI 198 Percentage of Primary, Secondary and all Pupils 27 Travelling to School by Car 1.12 LTP5a: NI 178 Bus Punctuality (timetabled) 28 1.13 LTP6a: Vehicles travelling towards the Regional Centre 30 1.14 LTP6b: Vehicles travelling towards Other Key Centres 31 1.15 LTP7: NI 167 Congestion Travel Rate Person Journey Time 33 (minutes/mile) 1.16 LTP8b: Index of Nox Emissions from Major Roads 34 1.17 LTP9: Index of Carbon Emissions 36 1.18 LTP10a: Percentage of Wheelchair Accessible Buses 37 1.19 LTP10c: Percentage of Accessible Rail Stations 38 1.20 LTP11: Walking Trips 41 1.21 LTP12a: Non-car trips to Regional Centre 42 1.22 LTP12b: Non-car Use to Other Key Centres 43 1.23 LTP12c: Proportion of Vehicle Trips by Road Relative to the 44 Number of Air Passengers
(xi) GMTU Report 1476 List of Figures
Figure Page
2 ROAD TRAFFIC
2.1 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on Motorways in 2007 and 2008 - 49 All Motors 2.2 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on Motorways in 2007 and 2008 - 49 All Goods 2.3 24-Hour Annual Average Weekday Flows on Motorways in Insert Greater Manchester 2008 after 50 2.4 Average Hourly Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 52 2.5 Average Daily Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 53 2.6 Average Monthly Traffic Flow Indices on Motorways in 2008 55 2.7 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on A Roads in 2007 and 2008 - 57 All Motors 2.8 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on A Roads in 2007 and 2008 - 57 All Goods 2.9 Average Hourly Traffic Flow Profiles on A Roads in 2008 60 2.10 Average Daily Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads in 2008 61 2.11 Average Monthly Traffic Flow Indices on A Roads and 63 Motorways in 2008 2.12 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on B Roads in 2007 and 2008 - 65 All Motors 2.13 Average Hourly Traffic Flows on B Roads in 2007 and 2008 - 65 All Goods 2.14 National and Local Growth in Traffic Flows on Motorways 1993- 69 2008 2.15 National and Local Growth in Traffic Flows on A Roads 1993- 69 2008 2.16 Percentage Composition of 12-Hour Traffic Flows By Road 71 Class in 2008 2.17 Average Hourly All Motor Traffic Flows on Motorways, A 73 Roads, B Roads and Minor Roads in 2008 2.18 Average Hourly All Goods Vehicle Traffic Flows on Motorways, 73 A Roads, B Roads and Minor Roads in 2008 2.19 Annual Vehicle Kilometres by Vehicle and Road Type in 2008 75 2.20 Indices of National and Local Vehicle Kilometres by Road Class 78 1993-2008 2.21 Change in Average Journey Time Rates (mins/mile) 2004/2005 79 to 2007/08 (Motorways)
(xii) GMTU Report 1476 List of Figures
Figure Page 2.22 Change in Average Journey Time Rates (mins/mile) 2004/2005 80 to 2007/08 (A & B Roads) 2.23 Average Journey Time Rates 2005/06 to 2007/08 – Motorways 80 and A & B Roads
4 OTHER ROAD TRAFFIC STATISTICS
4.1 Average Car Occupancies – 1994-2009 108 4.2 Index of A & B Pedal Cycle Km 2001-2008 114 4.3 Average Hourly Cycle Flow Profiles in 2008 116 4.4 Average Daily Cycle Flow Indices in 2008 117 4.5 Average Monthly Cycle Flow Indices in 2008 118
5 PUBLIC TRANSPORT
5.1 Rail and Metrolink Peak (07:30-09:30) Inbound Boarders at 125 Stations inside the GMPTE Area 2006-2008 5.2 Indices of Peak and Off-Peak Trends in Inbound Boarders 127 1991-2007 5.3 Rail Peak Period Patronage by Corridor 1999 to 2008 128 5.4 Rail Off-Peak Period Patronage by Corridor 1999 to 2008 128 5.5 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Altrincham Line in the 136 Peak Period 5.6 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Altrincham Line in the Off- 137 Peak Period 5.7 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Bury Line in the Peak 138 Period 5.8 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Bury Line in the Off - Peak 139 Period 5.9 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Eccles Line in the Peak 141 Period 5.10 Eccles Bound Alighters on the Eccles Line in the Peak Period 142 5.11 Manchester Bound Boarders on the Eccles Line in the Off-Peak 143 Period 5.12 Eccles Bound Alighters on the Eccles Line in the Off-Peak 144 Period 5.13 Annualised Bus Mileage in Millions 1991-2007 and 1985 (pre- 146 deregulation) 5.14 Commercial and Subsidised Bus Mileage in Millions 1991-2007 147 and 1985 (pre-deregulation)
(xiii) GMTU Report 1476 List of Figures
Figure Page 5.15 Indices of Bus Mileage by Day of Week and Time Period 151 5.16 Bus Mileage by Operator Group 2006 and 2007 154
6 BACKGROUND INFORMATION
6.1 Indices of Fuel Prices 1991-2008 158 6.2 Indices of Public Transport Fares 1991-2008 159 6.3 Spaces Available in Public Car Parks in Key Centres in Greater 164 Manchester 6.4 Average Prices of Public Car Parks in Key Centres in Greater 164 Manchester 6.5 Air Transport Indicators for Manchester and UK Airports 169 6.6 Monthly Mean Temperature 2005 to 2008 184 6.7 Monthly Rainfall 2005 to 2008 184 6.8 Average Monthly Hours of Sunshine 2005 to 2008 185
(xiv)
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
GMTU Report 1476 Executive Summary
TRANSPORT STATISTICS GREATER MANCHESTER 2008 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Local Transport Plan Previously, indicators have been categorised as Best Value, mandatory and local headline. Following changes to the government’s monitoring system indicators are now categorised as National, former Best Value, previously mandatory and local in this report. In most instances, the indicators have a base of 2003/04, a target of 2010/11 and a trajectory of milestones to reach in the intervening years. Progress against these milestones is summarised here. Maintenance (National and former Best Value) • We appear to have made good progress in maintaining principal roads and non-principal roads while results for maintaining unclassified roads, footway condition and ease of use of Public Rights Of Way (PROW) are inconclusive. Inconsistencies in methodology, target setting and revisions to last year’s data make it difficult to form firm conclusions on progress.
Road Casualties (National and former Best Value) • Child killed and seriously injured (KSI) casualties (NI 48) and slight casualties are well on track and, while we have not done as well as we would have hoped for on total KSI (NI 48), the numbers are decreasing.
Public Transport (National and former Best Value) • Bus (NI 177a) and Rail are on track, and have already exceeded the LTP2 final target. Metrolink (NI 177b) patronage is very close to its milestone.
• The final target for bus satisfaction (formerly BV 104) has been exceeded and revision is being considered.
Road and Other Traffic (National and previously Mandatory)
• Area wide vehicle mileage (LTP2) has decreased and is on track • The increase in the estimated number of cyclists in 2007 and 2008 exceeded the final target meaning that LTP3 is well on track. • Mode share of journey to schools (LTP4) is not yet available. • Peak period traffic flow to urban centres (LTP6) is on track and has in fact decreased. This is probably due in part to the effects of the recession. • Congestion (LTP7) has also exceeded its target.
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Accessibility (National and previously Mandatory)
• We are in the process of replacing the former LTP1a indicator (percentage of households within 30 minutes of a category A interchange or Manchester City Centre by 08:45) with indicators based on each District’s local priorities, in order to better reflect Local Area Agreements. LTP1a will still be calculated.
• No Greater Manchester target has been set for the LTP1b replacement (NI 176 accessibility to employment by working age people) as no districts chose to set targets against this national indicator in their Local Area Agreements.
• The methodology for capturing and reporting bus punctuality (LTP5 NI 178) and reliability indicators has been reviewed, and revised to ensure it is fit for purpose and meets business requirements. The sample sizes have been increased and are statistically significant at county and district level. The observations occur at start and midpoints in line with LTP guidance (and also DfT guidance from the Traffic Commissioners). The methodology ensures that surveys are consistent, repeatable every quarter, and the data is robust. The datasets will allow trend analysis from a new base and will be reported from 2009/10 when a full year’s worth of data is available.
Pollution (previously Mandatory) • The index of change in the emissions of NOx from major roads (LTP8) was on track in 2007 but data is yet to be available for 2008.
Pollution (local)
• The index of change in the emissions of CO2 from major roads (LTP8) was on track in 2007 but data is yet to be available for 2008.
Public Transport (local)
• The percentage of wheelchair accessible buses indicator (LTP10a) will be calculated using data from the revised monitoring system. • The percentage of accessible bus stops on QBC routes LTP10b has exceeded the target. The QBC programme has now ended. • A new definition of accessibility is being developed for accessible rail stations (LTP10c) and there will be a revised indicator and targets.
Road and Other Traffic (local) • The numbers of people walking (LTP11) was on track last year. 2007 data from the National Travel Survey (NTS) is not yet available.
• Modal share of trips to the regional centre, the modal share of trips to other key centres (LTP12b) and Manchester Airport (LTP12a&c) are all on track.
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Road Traffic Traffic Flow Changes on Major Roads in Greater Manchester 2007-2008 Table 1 gives a summary of percentage changes in traffic flows in Greater Manchester between 2007 and 2008. • There was a 1% decrease in traffic flows on motorways, 2% decrease on A roads and a 1% decrease on B roads between 2007 and 2008. Traffic flows also decreased by 1% on minor roads. • Goods vehicle traffic increased slightly on motorways but decreased on other roads. • Pedal cycle flows have increased by 8% on A roads, 6% on B roads and 8% on minor roads. Note, though, that as the flows are small, measured changes are less statistically reliable than for other vehicle types.
Table 1 Percentage Changes in 12-Hour Traffic Flows on a Sample of Motorways, A Roads and B Roads between 2007 and 2008 Buses and Motor Pedal All Road Class Cars Goods Coaches Cycles Cycles Motors Motorways -2 1 3 21 - -1 A Roads -2 -3 -2 3 8 -2 B Roads -1 -1 -1 3 6 -1 Minor Roads* -1 -3 -3 0 8 -1 * Flows are small and observed changes are consequently less statistically reliable than on other roads Longer Term National and Local Growth in Traffic Flows
• Indices of national and local growth in traffic flows on motorways and A roads since 1993 are illustrated in Figure 1. • Traffic flows on national and local motorways both showed increases of 32% between 1993 and 2008. Growth on local motorways had been slower than nationally but, following the completion of the M60 ring in October 2000, began to rise more steeply in 2001 to exceed national levels by 2002. Local flows have levelled of in the last few years, partly due to long-term roadworks on the M60 junctions 5 to 8, now completed. • Traffic flow levels on A roads locally have shown less increase than nationally since 1993 although both have been fairly static in the last 10 years and fell between 2007 and 2008.
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Figure 1 National and Local Traffic Growth 1993 - 2008
140 135
130
125
120 115
Traffic Flow Index Traffic 110
105
100 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Year Local Motorway National Motorway Local A Road National A Road
Index: 1993=100
Composition of Traffic
• In 2008 cars made up about 80% of all road traffic. The proportion of cars ranged from 75% on motorways to 84% on minor roads • Motorways had a higher proportion of goods traffic than other roads. This relative difference increased with size of goods vehicle. Heavy goods vehicles with more than 4 axles accounted for 5.5% of traffic on motorways, 1.4% on A roads, 0.6% on B roads and 0.5% on minor roads. Vehicle Kilometres on Motorways, A Roads and B Roads in Greater Manchester in 2008
• Motorways made up 12% of the major road network and carried 45% of traffic including 62% of goods vehicle traffic. The average annual flow per kilometre on motorways was 34.4 million vehicles. • A roads made up 61% of the major road network and carried 44% of traffic. The average annual flow per kilometre on A roads was 6.7 million vehicles. • B roads made up 27% of the major road network and carried 11% of traffic. The average annual flow per kilometre on B roads was 3.9 million vehicles. • Vehicle kilometres on major roads have increased by 20% since 1993 but this overall increase reflects increases of 50% on motorways compared with 4% on A roads. Traffic Speeds
• Average morning peak hour (0800-0900) speeds are 34 mph on GM motorways and 15 mph on built-up A and B roads.
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• Average inter–peak speeds (1000-1600) are 49 mph on motorways and 19 mph on built-up A and B roads. Key Centre Monitoring